Core Viewpoint - First Shanghai maintains a "buy" rating for China Gold (600916) and raises the target price to HKD 167.07, citing the resumption of the Jiama mine as a turning point for the company's performance and the start of a new growth cycle [1] Group 1: Copper and Gold Price Cycle - The copper and gold price cycle provides strong support for the company's growth, with the Jiama mine being a key profit driver, showing a significant recovery with gold and copper production increasing by 69% and 230% year-on-year, respectively [2] Group 2: Jiama Mine Expansion Strategy - The company has outlined a clear "three-step" expansion strategy for the Jiama mine, aiming to increase daily processing capacity from 34,000 tons to 50,000 tons by mid-2027, and further to 80,000 tons, with a long-term goal of reaching 200,000 tons per day [3] Group 3: Exploration Potential - The company has significant resource expansion potential at the Jiama mine, with ongoing exploration projects in Zegulang North and Bayi pasture, which have shown great resource potential, indicating that future performance growth may be driven by resource updates and expansions [4]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights a significant decline in gold stocks, with major companies like Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining Co., Ltd. and Lingbao Gold Company experiencing drops of 5.02% and 5.06% respectively [3] - As of the report, Chifeng Jilong Gold is priced at 31.02 HKD, Lingbao Gold at 17.26 HKD, China National Gold Group Corporation at 131.9 HKD, and Tongguan Gold at 2.23 HKD [3] - The decline in gold stocks is attributed to the spot gold price falling below 3630 USD per ounce, influenced by expectations of a significant interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve [3] Group 2 - Market focus is on the upcoming FOMC meeting, with expectations that the Federal Reserve will announce a substantial interest rate cut [3] - Factors supporting the rise in gold prices include weak U.S. economic data and increasing expectations for rate cuts, alongside ongoing central bank gold purchases [3] - It is anticipated that gold and silver prices will remain high until the Federal Reserve's rate cut is confirmed on September 18, with potential short-term corrections following profit-taking [3]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article indicates a widespread decline in gold stocks, with notable drops in companies such as Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining (down 5.02% to HKD 31.02), Lingbao Gold (down 5.06% to HKD 17.26), China Gold International (down 4.42% to HKD 131.9), and Tongguan Gold (down 2.62% to HKD 2.23) [1] - As of September 15, spot gold prices fell below USD 3,630 per ounce, influenced by expectations of a significant interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve [1] - Market focus is on the upcoming FOMC meeting on September 18, with expectations that the Fed will announce a rate cut, which is anticipated to impact gold prices [1] Group 2 - Current factors supporting the rise in gold prices include weak U.S. economic data and increasing expectations for interest rate cuts, alongside ongoing central bank gold purchases providing long-term support for gold prices [1] - It is expected that gold and silver prices will remain high until the Fed's rate cut announcement, but there is a cautionary note regarding potential short-term corrections following the realization of anticipated rate cuts [1]

Group 1 - The market anticipates a potential 50 basis points interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve, leading to strong performance in Asian stock markets [2] - The expectation of a rate cut is driving global funds to accelerate purchases of gold, with recommendations to focus on leading gold companies [2] - The strategic value of rare metals is increasing due to trade disputes and geopolitical conflicts, with a clear global monopoly pattern emerging in the rare earth industry [2] Group 2 - The strategic metals sector may undergo a value reassessment, with recommendations to focus on rare earth magnets and tungsten [3] - Key Hong Kong stocks related to the gold industry include Zijin Mining, Shandong Gold, and China National Gold International [4] - Key Hong Kong stocks related to rare earth magnets include Jien Mining and those related to tungsten include Jiahua International Resources [5]

Core Viewpoint - Gold stocks continue to rise, driven by increasing expectations of interest rate cuts following the release of the US CPI data, which showed a year-on-year increase of 2.9% and a month-on-month increase of 0.4% [2] Company Performance - Lingbao Gold (03330) rose by 8.19%, trading at HKD 18.37 [2] - Tongguan Gold (00340) increased by 4.98%, trading at HKD 2.32 [2] - China Gold International (600916) (02099) saw a rise of 3.6%, trading at HKD 138.1 [2] - Zhaojin Mining (01818) increased by 3.27%, trading at HKD 29.7 [2] Market Trends - The international spot gold price has risen by 40% year-to-date, reflecting strong demand and market confidence [2] - Goldman Sachs has raised its long-term gold price forecast for 2029 and beyond to USD 3,300 per ounce, up from the previous forecast of USD 2,850 per ounce [2] - Goldman Sachs anticipates that gold prices could reach USD 4,000 per ounce by mid-2026, with extreme scenarios potentially pushing prices close to USD 5,000 [2]

Group 1 - Hong Kong gold stocks continue to rise, with Lingbao Gold (03330.HK) increasing by 8.19% to HKD 18.37 [1] - Tongguan Gold (00340.HK) rises by 4.98% to HKD 2.32 [1] - China Gold International (02099.HK) sees a 3.6% increase, reaching HKD 138.1 [1] - Zhaojin Mining (01818.HK) grows by 3.27% to HKD 29.7 [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the significant activity in the Hong Kong copper sector, driven by a major merger announcement between Anglo American and Teck Resources, which could be the largest mining merger in over a decade, reflecting a strong bet on future copper demand [1] - Copper stocks have shown notable gains, with Jiangxi Copper rising nearly 8%, Minmetals Resources up nearly 7%, and China Nonferrous Mining increasing by 6%, indicating a bullish sentiment in the market [2] - The rise in copper demand is attributed to the increasing consumption in artificial intelligence data centers, which are projected to consume over 4.3 million tons of copper in the next decade, equivalent to the annual production of Chile, the largest copper supplier [1] Group 2 - The demand for copper is also being driven by increased government defense spending, which requires substantial amounts of copper for various military equipment, including bullets, fighter jets, and missile systems [1] - The overall trend indicates that global copper consumption has been on the rise for years, while new supply is expected to struggle to keep pace with this growing demand [1]

Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights the significant activity in the Hong Kong copper sector, driven by a major merger announcement between Anglo American and Teck Resources, which could be the largest mining merger in over a decade, reflecting a strong bet on future copper demand [1] - Jiangxi Copper Co. saw a notable increase of nearly 8%, reaching a new high since its listing, while other companies like Minmetals Resources and China Nonferrous Mining also experienced substantial gains of approximately 7% and 6% respectively [1] - The rise in copper demand is attributed to the increasing consumption in artificial intelligence data centers, which are projected to consume over 4.3 million tons of copper in the next decade, equivalent to the annual production of Chile, the largest copper supplier [1] Group 2 - The article emphasizes that the demand for copper is not only driven by AI but also by increased government defense spending, which requires significant amounts of copper for various military equipment [1] - The overall trend indicates that global copper consumption has been rising for years, while new supply is expected to struggle to keep pace with this demand growth [1]

中国黄金（600916）国际(02099)涨超3%，高见134.8港元刷新历史新高。截至发稿，涨3.7%，报134.6 港元，成交额3.62亿港元。 兴业证券此前指，美联储降息预期升温，中长期看好黄金及铜价格中枢上移。长山壕金矿生产恢复稳 定，甲玛矿规划27H1投产三期尾矿库并着手提高采矿证载能力，届时产量有望恢复至尾砂外溢前水 平。招商证券也表示，甲玛矿未来扩产潜力较大。此外，公司在八一牧场和则古朗北两个探矿区开展探 矿工作，已显示出很大资源潜力，有望支撑未来更大规模的扩产。 消息面上，近期降息预期持续升温，隔夜公布的美国PPI数据不及预期，进一步支持了美联储降息的理 由。数据公布后，交易员加大了对美联储9月降息50个基点的押注。此外，据央视新闻，当地时间9月10 日，美国总统特朗普在其社交平台"真实社交"上发文再次批评美联储主席鲍威尔，并敦促立即大幅降 息。当前，市场等待今晚美8月CPI数据指引。 ...

消息面上，近期降息预期持续升温，隔夜公布的美国PPI数据不及预期，进一步支持了美联储降息的理 由。数据公布后，交易员加大了对美联储9月降息50个基点的押注。此外，据央视新闻，当地时间9月10 日，美国总统特朗普在其社交平台"真实社交"上发文再次批评美联储主席鲍威尔，并敦促立即大幅降 息。当前，市场等待今晚美8月CPI数据指引。 兴业证券此前指，美联储降息预期升温，中长期看好黄金及铜价格中枢上移。长山壕金矿生产恢复稳 定，甲玛矿规划27H1投产三期尾矿库并着手提高采矿证载能力，届时产量有望恢复至尾砂外溢前水 平。招商证券也表示，甲玛矿未来扩产潜力较大。此外，公司在八一牧场和则古朗北两个探矿区开展探 矿工作，已显示出很大资源潜力，有望支撑未来更大规模的扩产。 智通财经APP获悉，中国黄金国际(02099)涨超3%，高见134.8港元刷新历史新高。截至发稿，涨3.7%， 报134.6港元，成交额3.62亿港元。 ...