第一上海发布研报称，维持中国黄金国际（02099）"买入"评级，上调目标价至167.07港元。该行认为，甲玛矿的复产不仅是公司业绩的拐点，更是新一轮增长周期的起点。公司的"三步走"规 公司甲玛矿资源增储潜力巨大，目前公司在则古朗北以及八一牧场的勘探项目正有序推进，目前两个矿区已展示出巨大资源潜力，直至2025年7月8日矿区2公里的连接路以及5.9平方公里的泥土 责任编辑：史丽君 甲玛矿作为公司的"利润奶牛"，其稳定运营是公司价值的基石。甲玛矿二期选厂已于2024年5月30日成功恢复运营，并迅速达到日处理矿石量3.4万吨的稳定水平。上半年公司黄金产量、铜产量 甲玛矿"三步走"扩产规划，中长期增长可见性高 公司管理层近期公布了清晰的甲玛矿"三步走"发展战略。第一阶段，2027年中期从目前3.4万吨恢复到5万吨/天的处理量；第二阶段，正常日处理量从5万吨提升到8万吨，并加大低品位矿石堆 外围勘探有望再造一个甲玛矿 第一上海主要观点如下： 铜金价格景气周期提供强劲东风 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that the resumption of operations at the Jiama Mine marks a turning point for China Gold International's performance and the beginning of a new growth cycle, with a target price raised to HKD 167.07 [1] - The company has experienced significant year-on-year increases in gold and copper production, with gold output rising by 69% and copper output by 230% in the first half of the year, indicating a strong recovery momentum [1] - The global macroeconomic environment is expected to support sustained high prices for copper and gold, which, combined with the Jiama Mine's low-cost advantages, is projected to lead to explosive growth in the company's profitability [1] Group 2 - The management has outlined a clear "three-step" expansion plan for the Jiama Mine, aiming to increase processing capacity from the current 34,000 tons per day to 50,000 tons by mid-2027, and further to 80,000 tons per day in the second phase [2] - The third phase of the plan aims to increase daily processing capacity from 80,000 tons to 200,000 tons, focusing on short-term stability, mid-term expansion, and long-term exploration to fully unlock the mine's resource potential [2] Group 3 - The company has significant resource replenishment potential at the Jiama Mine, with ongoing exploration projects in the Zegulang North and Bayi pasture areas showing great resource potential [3] - The completion of a 2-kilometer connecting road and soil sampling over 5.9 square kilometers in the mining area is expected to facilitate future performance growth through resource updates and potential expansions [3]

Core Viewpoint - First Shanghai maintains a "buy" rating for China Gold (600916) and raises the target price to HKD 167.07, citing the resumption of the Jiama mine as a turning point for the company's performance and the start of a new growth cycle [1] Group 1: Copper and Gold Price Cycle - The copper and gold price cycle provides strong support for the company's growth, with the Jiama mine being a key profit driver, showing a significant recovery with gold and copper production increasing by 69% and 230% year-on-year, respectively [2] Group 2: Jiama Mine Expansion Strategy - The company has outlined a clear "three-step" expansion strategy for the Jiama mine, aiming to increase daily processing capacity from 34,000 tons to 50,000 tons by mid-2027, and further to 80,000 tons, with a long-term goal of reaching 200,000 tons per day [3] Group 3: Exploration Potential - The company has significant resource expansion potential at the Jiama mine, with ongoing exploration projects in Zegulang North and Bayi pasture, which have shown great resource potential, indicating that future performance growth may be driven by resource updates and expansions [4]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights a significant decline in gold stocks, with major companies like Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining Co., Ltd. and Lingbao Gold Company experiencing drops of 5.02% and 5.06% respectively [3] - As of the report, Chifeng Jilong Gold is priced at 31.02 HKD, Lingbao Gold at 17.26 HKD, China National Gold Group Corporation at 131.9 HKD, and Tongguan Gold at 2.23 HKD [3] - The decline in gold stocks is attributed to the spot gold price falling below 3630 USD per ounce, influenced by expectations of a significant interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve [3] Group 2 - Market focus is on the upcoming FOMC meeting, with expectations that the Federal Reserve will announce a substantial interest rate cut [3] - Factors supporting the rise in gold prices include weak U.S. economic data and increasing expectations for rate cuts, alongside ongoing central bank gold purchases [3] - It is anticipated that gold and silver prices will remain high until the Federal Reserve's rate cut is confirmed on September 18, with potential short-term corrections following profit-taking [3]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article indicates a widespread decline in gold stocks, with notable drops in companies such as Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining (down 5.02% to HKD 31.02), Lingbao Gold (down 5.06% to HKD 17.26), China Gold International (down 4.42% to HKD 131.9), and Tongguan Gold (down 2.62% to HKD 2.23) [1] - As of September 15, spot gold prices fell below USD 3,630 per ounce, influenced by expectations of a significant interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve [1] - Market focus is on the upcoming FOMC meeting on September 18, with expectations that the Fed will announce a rate cut, which is anticipated to impact gold prices [1] Group 2 - Current factors supporting the rise in gold prices include weak U.S. economic data and increasing expectations for interest rate cuts, alongside ongoing central bank gold purchases providing long-term support for gold prices [1] - It is expected that gold and silver prices will remain high until the Fed's rate cut announcement, but there is a cautionary note regarding potential short-term corrections following the realization of anticipated rate cuts [1]

Group 1 - The market anticipates a potential 50 basis points interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve, leading to strong performance in Asian stock markets [2] - The expectation of a rate cut is driving global funds to accelerate purchases of gold, with recommendations to focus on leading gold companies [2] - The strategic value of rare metals is increasing due to trade disputes and geopolitical conflicts, with a clear global monopoly pattern emerging in the rare earth industry [2] Group 2 - The strategic metals sector may undergo a value reassessment, with recommendations to focus on rare earth magnets and tungsten [3] - Key Hong Kong stocks related to the gold industry include Zijin Mining, Shandong Gold, and China National Gold International [4] - Key Hong Kong stocks related to rare earth magnets include Jien Mining and those related to tungsten include Jiahua International Resources [5]

Core Viewpoint - Gold stocks continue to rise, driven by increasing expectations of interest rate cuts following the release of the US CPI data, which showed a year-on-year increase of 2.9% and a month-on-month increase of 0.4% [2] Company Performance - Lingbao Gold (03330) rose by 8.19%, trading at HKD 18.37 [2] - Tongguan Gold (00340) increased by 4.98%, trading at HKD 2.32 [2] - China Gold International (600916) (02099) saw a rise of 3.6%, trading at HKD 138.1 [2] - Zhaojin Mining (01818) increased by 3.27%, trading at HKD 29.7 [2] Market Trends - The international spot gold price has risen by 40% year-to-date, reflecting strong demand and market confidence [2] - Goldman Sachs has raised its long-term gold price forecast for 2029 and beyond to USD 3,300 per ounce, up from the previous forecast of USD 2,850 per ounce [2] - Goldman Sachs anticipates that gold prices could reach USD 4,000 per ounce by mid-2026, with extreme scenarios potentially pushing prices close to USD 5,000 [2]

Group 1 - Hong Kong gold stocks continue to rise, with Lingbao Gold (03330.HK) increasing by 8.19% to HKD 18.37 [1] - Tongguan Gold (00340.HK) rises by 4.98% to HKD 2.32 [1] - China Gold International (02099.HK) sees a 3.6% increase, reaching HKD 138.1 [1] - Zhaojin Mining (01818.HK) grows by 3.27% to HKD 29.7 [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the significant activity in the Hong Kong copper sector, driven by a major merger announcement between Anglo American and Teck Resources, which could be the largest mining merger in over a decade, reflecting a strong bet on future copper demand [1] - Copper stocks have shown notable gains, with Jiangxi Copper rising nearly 8%, Minmetals Resources up nearly 7%, and China Nonferrous Mining increasing by 6%, indicating a bullish sentiment in the market [2] - The rise in copper demand is attributed to the increasing consumption in artificial intelligence data centers, which are projected to consume over 4.3 million tons of copper in the next decade, equivalent to the annual production of Chile, the largest copper supplier [1] Group 2 - The demand for copper is also being driven by increased government defense spending, which requires substantial amounts of copper for various military equipment, including bullets, fighter jets, and missile systems [1] - The overall trend indicates that global copper consumption has been on the rise for years, while new supply is expected to struggle to keep pace with this growing demand [1]

一边是在AI军备竞赛中愈发不可或缺，另一边，随着各国政府加大国防支出，从子弹壳、喷气式战斗 机到导弹系统等武器装备，也正需要大量铜。(格隆汇) 港股有色金属股普遍活跃，其中铜业股涨幅最为明显，其中，江西铜业股份涨近8%表现较佳，且刷新 上市新高价，五矿资源涨近7%，中国有色矿业涨6%，中国黄金国际涨超1%。 消息上，当地时间9月9日，英美资源集团和加拿大泰克资源公司正式宣布将合并。若获得监管机构批 准，这将成为十余年来全球矿业最大规模合并案。在不少业内人士看来，这出矿业领域的"世纪交易"， 实质上便是对铜这一工业金属未来需求的巨额押注。全球铜消费量已持续攀升多年，但新增供应量预计 将很难跟上需求增速。 人工智能的崛起显然正在推动铜需求的激增，这一金属正被大量投入耗电量惊人的数字中心服务器集 群。一个人工智能数据中心的年耗电量，可能就足以媲美数十万辆电动汽车的总和。研究机构 BloombergNEF的数据显示，未来十年全球数据中心将消耗超过430万公吨铜，这几乎相当于全球最大供 应国智利一年的产量。 | 代码 | 名称 | 最新价 | 涨跌幅 ▽ | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 00 ...