中国黄金（600916）国际(02099)涨超3%，高见134.8港元刷新历史新高。截至发稿，涨3.7%，报134.6 港元，成交额3.62亿港元。 兴业证券此前指，美联储降息预期升温，中长期看好黄金及铜价格中枢上移。长山壕金矿生产恢复稳 定，甲玛矿规划27H1投产三期尾矿库并着手提高采矿证载能力，届时产量有望恢复至尾砂外溢前水 平。招商证券也表示，甲玛矿未来扩产潜力较大。此外，公司在八一牧场和则古朗北两个探矿区开展探 矿工作，已显示出很大资源潜力，有望支撑未来更大规模的扩产。 消息面上，近期降息预期持续升温，隔夜公布的美国PPI数据不及预期，进一步支持了美联储降息的理 由。数据公布后，交易员加大了对美联储9月降息50个基点的押注。此外，据央视新闻，当地时间9月10 日，美国总统特朗普在其社交平台"真实社交"上发文再次批评美联储主席鲍威尔，并敦促立即大幅降 息。当前，市场等待今晚美8月CPI数据指引。 ...

消息面上，近期降息预期持续升温，隔夜公布的美国PPI数据不及预期，进一步支持了美联储降息的理 由。数据公布后，交易员加大了对美联储9月降息50个基点的押注。此外，据央视新闻，当地时间9月10 日，美国总统特朗普在其社交平台"真实社交"上发文再次批评美联储主席鲍威尔，并敦促立即大幅降 息。当前，市场等待今晚美8月CPI数据指引。 兴业证券此前指，美联储降息预期升温，中长期看好黄金及铜价格中枢上移。长山壕金矿生产恢复稳 定，甲玛矿规划27H1投产三期尾矿库并着手提高采矿证载能力，届时产量有望恢复至尾砂外溢前水 平。招商证券也表示，甲玛矿未来扩产潜力较大。此外，公司在八一牧场和则古朗北两个探矿区开展探 矿工作，已显示出很大资源潜力，有望支撑未来更大规模的扩产。 智通财经APP获悉，中国黄金国际(02099)涨超3%，高见134.8港元刷新历史新高。截至发稿，涨3.7%， 报134.6港元，成交额3.62亿港元。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the ongoing surge in gold prices and its positive impact on the gold sector, leading to increased interest and investment in gold-related financial products and stocks [3][5]. Group 1: Gold Price Trends - Since the beginning of the year, gold prices have shown a strong upward trend, with a notable increase of 38.73% year-to-date as of September 10, 2023 [5]. - The international gold price started at $2,625 per ounce and reached a historical high of over $3,700 per ounce [5]. - The SSH gold stock index has seen a year-to-date increase of over 73.18%, with individual stocks experiencing average gains exceeding 80% [5][6]. Group 2: Performance of Gold ETFs - The average year-to-date increase for 20 gold ETFs is 46.63%, with stock-type gold ETFs outperforming at an average increase of 74.89% [6]. - Since July, over 3 billion yuan has flowed into gold stock ETFs, indicating strong investor interest [6]. - In contrast, commodity-type gold ETFs have faced net outflows, totaling over 10.5 billion yuan, as investors took profits [6]. Group 3: Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - Investor sentiment is mixed, with some expressing uncertainty about the sustainability of the current gold price rally [8]. - Analysts suggest that the macroeconomic environment, including potential interest rate cuts and inflation concerns, could continue to support gold prices [9][10]. - The overall trend indicates a bullish outlook for gold in the medium to long term, with expectations of continued central bank purchases and a potential increase in gold's share of global reserves [10].

Core Viewpoint - The surge in gold prices has significantly boosted the performance of the gold sector, leading to a "gold rush" in both the stock and financial product markets [1][2]. Gold Price Performance - As of September 10, COMEX gold prices have increased by 38.73% year-to-date, with a notable rise of 9.08% in the last 15 trading days [1][2]. - The international gold price started at $2,625 per ounce and reached a historical high of over $3,700 per ounce [1]. Stock Market Performance - The SSH gold stock index has seen a year-to-date increase of over 73.18%, with a 23.09% rise from August 20 to September 11 [2]. - Individual stocks in the gold sector have performed exceptionally well, with 12 stocks doubling in price and companies like WanGuo Gold Group and China National Gold International seeing year-to-date increases exceeding 200% [2]. ETF Performance - Gold ETFs have experienced significant growth, with the total scale of 20 gold ETFs increasing by nearly 1.3 times, reaching approximately 165.79 billion yuan [3]. - Stock-type gold ETFs have outperformed, with an average increase of 74.89% year-to-date, while commodity-type gold ETFs have faced net outflows totaling over 10.5 billion yuan [3]. Investor Sentiment - There is a divide among investors regarding the sustainability of the current gold price surge, with some expressing uncertainty about future trends [4]. - Analysts suggest that the current macroeconomic environment, including concerns over U.S. Federal Reserve independence and inflation, is driving demand for gold as a safe-haven asset [5]. Future Outlook - Institutions generally maintain a "short-term volatility, long-term bullish" outlook for gold prices, with expectations of continued central bank purchases and a low allocation of gold in global reserves [6]. - UBS has raised its gold price targets for 2026, forecasting prices of $3,600 and $3,700 per ounce by March and June, respectively [6].

Group 1: Hong Kong Stock Market Highlights - China Tobacco Hong Kong (06055) rose over 2% after announcing exclusive distribution agreements for brand cigars with Hubei and Shandong Tobacco [1] - Sportswear stocks generally increased, with Li Ning (02331) up nearly 1% and Tmall (06110) up nearly 2%, following a government directive to enhance the modern sports industry and boost consumption [1] - He Yu-B (02256) surged over 3% as the company announced multiple positive developments, including the approval of oral PD-L1 combined with Gorai Leisai for Phase II clinical trials [1] - Gold stocks collectively rose, with Lingbao Gold (03330) up over 4%, China Gold International (02099) up over 1%, and Zijin Mining (02899) up over 3%, amid expectations of a U.S. interest rate cut [1] - UBTECH (09880) increased over 2% after Citigroup reported that the company has received 400 million RMB in humanoid robot orders and secured a $1 billion strategic investment from a Middle Eastern fund [1] - Huimai Technology (01860) surged over 12%, reaching a historical high, with a year-to-date stock price increase of over 110% due to the continuous iteration of its AI-driven smart bidding system [1] Group 2: Other Notable Stocks - Wanka Yilian (01762) rose over 11% after announcing a comprehensive cooperation memorandum with Alibaba Cloud to create an AI marketing ecosystem [2] - Longpan Technology (02465) increased over 10%, with Citic Securities indicating potential opportunities in the battery sector due to an upcoming significant meeting [2] - Juzi Bio (02367) rose over 4%, with institutions optimistic about the recovery of live streaming during the upcoming Double Eleven shopping festival [2] - Shoucheng Holdings (00697) increased over 8% after its subsidiary announced additional investment in Songyan Power amounting to several million RMB [2] Group 3: U.S. Stock Market Highlights - Salesforce (CRM.US) fell 4.85% after reporting a 9.8% year-over-year revenue growth for Q2, with Q3 revenue guidance slightly below expectations [3] - American Eagle (AEO.US) surged 37.96% after exceeding expectations in its Q2 earnings report [3] - Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE.US) rose 1.49% with a 19% year-over-year revenue growth in Q3, marking a record high [3] - United Microelectronics (UMC.US) increased 3.46%, reporting a 1.86% year-over-year sales growth for the first eight months of the year [3] - ZTO Express (ZTO.US) continued to rise by 0.94%, with the logistics industry index in China at 50.9%, up 0.4 percentage points from the previous month [3] - Bilibili (BILI.US) rose 0.99%, with research indicating high growth in the gaming industry supported by policy, expecting continued quarter-over-quarter improvement [3] - Waterdrop (WDH.US) increased 2.25%, reporting nearly a 120% growth in net profit attributable to shareholders, driven by AI model empowerment [3] Group 4: Additional U.S. Stock Movements - Sanofi (SNY.US) fell 9.14% despite achieving all primary and secondary endpoints in a Phase III study for Amlitelimab, as results did not meet market expectations [4] - Toyota (TM.US) rose 2.40% after announcing plans to produce a pure electric vehicle model at its Czech factory, marking its first electric vehicle production in Europe [4] - Baidu (BIDU.US) increased 1.88% following the release of an action plan by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology to enhance intelligent cloud services [4] Group 5: Earnings Reports and Forecasts - C3.ai (AI.US) fell 7.31% after reporting Q1 results and revenue guidance for FY2026 that fell short of expectations [5] - Samsara (IOT.US) rose over 10% with a 30% year-over-year revenue growth in Q2 [5] - UiPath (PATH.US) increased nearly 5%, reporting Q2 revenue of $362 million, a 14% year-over-year growth, and projecting FY2026 revenue between $1.571 billion and $1.576 billion [5] - DocuSign (DOCU.US) rose nearly 9% after reporting Q2 revenue of $800.6 million, a 9% year-over-year increase, with GAAP gross margin at 79.3% [5]

中信证券研报表示，4月底以来黄金处在震荡市中，该行认为是关税冲击、美国财政、地缘政治、央行购金等因素形成了复杂的多空平衡。但这些 因素的改变有望开启黄金上行趋势。关税的预期好转可能暂告一段落，而对滞胀的影响可能刚开始体现；年内地缘风险明显下降的可能性较小； 美联储可能开启提前曲线降息；全球央行的购金趋势稳定。中性假设下，该行的模型预测年底金价有望超过3730美元/盎司。 （原标题：港股异动 | 黄金股集体走高 ADP就业数据强化美降息预期 市场聚焦今晚非农数据） 智通财经APP获悉，黄金股集体走高，截至发稿，灵宝黄金(03330)涨6.32%，报16.33港元；中国黄金国际(02099)涨3.71%，报120.2港元；招金矿 业(01818)涨3.7%，报28.04港元；紫金矿业(02899)涨3.07%，报27.5港元。 消息面上，9月4日晚，ADP数据显示，美国8月ADP就业人数增加5.4万人，低于市场预期。另据美国劳工部最新数据，美国截至8月30日当周初请 失业金人数 23.7万人，高于市场预期。美国劳动力市场持续降温进一步强化了美联储降息预期，目前市场定价显示，美联储在9月降息的概率已升 至97.4% ...

Group 1 - Gold stocks collectively rose, with Lingbao Gold increasing by 6.32% to HKD 16.33, China Gold International up by 3.71% to HKD 120.2, Zhaojin Mining up by 3.7% to HKD 28.04, and Zijin Mining up by 3.07% to HKD 27.5 [1] - The ADP report indicated that U.S. employment increased by 54,000 in August, which was below market expectations, while initial jobless claims for the week ending August 30 were 237,000, exceeding expectations [1] - The U.S. labor market is showing signs of cooling, reinforcing expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut, with market pricing indicating a 97.4% probability of a rate cut in September [1] Group 2 - CITIC Securities reported that since late April, gold has been in a volatile market due to factors such as tariff impacts, U.S. fiscal policy, geopolitical issues, and central bank gold purchases [2] - The report suggests that changes in these factors could initiate an upward trend in gold prices, with a stable trend in global central bank gold purchases [2] - Under a neutral assumption, the model predicts that gold prices could exceed USD 3,730 per ounce by the end of the year [2]

来源：滚动播报 香港恒生指数收跌1.12%，恒生科技指数跌1.85%。芯片股普跌，中芯国际、上海复旦跌超6%，华虹半 导体跌超5%；创新药概念股回调，歌礼制药跌超10%，恒瑞医药跌超6%；黄金板块下跌，灵宝黄金、 中国黄金国际跌超7%。 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article indicates a significant decline in gold stocks, with major companies experiencing substantial drops in their share prices [1] - China Gold International (02099) fell by 8.15% to HKD 115, Tongguan Gold (00340) decreased by 8.04% to HKD 2.06, Lingbao Gold (03330) dropped by 6.95% to HKD 15.4, and Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining (06693) declined by 6.11% to HKD 26.76 [1] - The spot gold price experienced a sharp decline, falling below USD 3520, and is currently reported at USD 3531.89 per ounce, down 0.77% for the day [1] Group 2 - COMEX gold futures are reported at USD 3588.3 per ounce, reflecting a decline of over 1% for the day [1] - Baocun Futures noted an accelerated upward trend in precious metals since last Friday, driven by weakening performance in both domestic and international equity markets, which has increased market demand for safe-haven assets [1] - The current market focus is on the U.S. non-farm payroll data for August, which is expected to have a critical impact on the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions in September [1]

Core Viewpoint - Gold stocks experienced a significant decline today, with major companies reporting substantial drops in their share prices due to a sharp decrease in spot gold prices [1] Group 1: Company Performance - China Gold International (02099) fell by 8.15%, closing at 115 HKD [1] - Tongguan Gold (00340) decreased by 8.04%, ending at 2.06 HKD [1] - Lingbao Gold (03330) dropped by 6.95%, with a closing price of 15.4 HKD [1] - Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining (600988) (06693) saw a decline of 6.11%, closing at 26.76 HKD [1] Group 2: Market Trends - On September 4, spot gold prices plummeted, briefly falling below the 3520 USD mark, with the latest price reported at 3531.89 USD/ounce, reflecting a daily drop of 0.77% [1] - COMEX gold futures were reported at 3588.3 USD/ounce, showing a decline of over 1% for the day [1] - Baocheng Futures noted an accelerated upward trend in precious metals since last Friday, driven by weakening performance in both domestic and international equity markets, which has increased market demand for safe-haven assets [1] Group 3: Economic Indicators - Current market focus is on the U.S. non-farm payroll data for August, which is expected to have a significant impact on the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions in September [1]