Core Insights - The A-share rare earth permanent magnet sector has shown renewed activity, with significant market interest in related products, particularly the rare earth ETF (516780) which recorded a trading volume of 253 million yuan on July 28, marking seven consecutive trading days with over 200 million yuan in daily trading volume, indicating strong capital inflow [1] - The rare earth ETF has seen a net inflow of 127 million yuan over the past five trading days, with its total scale reaching 1.731 billion yuan as of July 28, the highest in nearly four years [1] - The price of praseodymium has increased, reflecting the strategic value of rare earth resources amid the global energy revolution and geopolitical tensions [1] Industry Analysis - A recent report from Founder Securities indicates that the rare earth magnetic materials sector is experiencing tightening supply expectations due to the ban on rare earth mining in Myanmar's Kachin region by the end of 2025 and the zero imports of rare earth metals by the U.S. in June, leading to a price surge for praseodymium and neodymium oxide, which has surpassed 500,000 yuan per ton [2] - The rare earth ETF (516780) closely tracks the CSI Rare Earth Industry Index, which includes companies involved in rare earth mining, processing, trading, and applications, with the top five constituent stocks being Northern Rare Earth, China Rare Earth, China Aluminum, Greeenmei, and Lingyi Technology, all of which are competitive leaders in the industry [2] - The management of the rare earth ETF, Huatai-PB Fund, has over 18 years of ETF operation experience and has created several benchmark ETFs, with its total ETF scale exceeding 520 billion yuan as of July 28, placing it in the top tier of the industry [2] Market Outlook - With improving demand and expectations of tightening rare earth supply, prices in the rare earth industry are likely to be supported, presenting potential investment opportunities in the rare earth sector, particularly in the rare earth ETF (516780) and its linked funds [3]

Group 1: ETF Performance - The Rare Metals ETF has a turnover rate of 6.87% with a transaction volume of 83.93 million yuan, and it ranks first among comparable funds in terms of average daily trading volume over the past week at 131 million yuan [3] - The latest scale of the Rare Metals ETF reached 1.22 billion yuan, marking a one-year high and ranking first among comparable funds [3] - The ETF's shares reached 1.843 billion, a three-month high, also ranking first among comparable funds [3] - Over the past six days, the Rare Metals ETF has seen continuous net inflows, with a single-day peak of 50.91 million yuan, totaling 177 million yuan in net inflows [3] - As of July 28, 2025, the ETF's net value has increased by 59.46% over the past year, ranking 267 out of 2938 in the index stock fund category, placing it in the top 9.09% [3] - The ETF has recorded a maximum monthly return of 24.02% since its inception, with the longest consecutive monthly gains being three months and the longest gain percentage being 14.06%, averaging a monthly return of 7.76% [3] - The ETF has outperformed its benchmark with an annualized return of 9.87% over the past three months [3] Group 2: Market Insights - Huatai Securities notes that the domestic "anti-involution" policies are intensifying, combined with recent overseas fiscal and monetary easing, leading to strong performance in the metals sector [4] - The price of polysilicon has successfully recovered, boosting market confidence, which has spilled over into lithium carbonate and alumina [4] - Lithium, cobalt, and rare earths have found price bottoms from a cost perspective, with independent factors driving price increases, such as stricter mining rights reviews for lithium and strategic enhancements and shortages for rare earths [4] - Zhongyou Securities highlights that the Democratic Republic of the Congo has banned cobalt exports since February, with extensions in June, leading to a depletion of in-transit cobalt mines, and anticipates that the peak season in September and October will drive inventory reductions [4] - The top ten weighted stocks in the China Rare Metals Theme Index as of June 30, 2025, include Salt Lake Co., Northern Rare Earth, Luoyang Molybdenum, Huayou Cobalt, Ganfeng Lithium, Tianqi Lithium, China Rare Earth, Western Superconducting, Zhongmin Resources, and Xiamen Tungsten, collectively accounting for 54.07% of the index [4]

Summary of Conference Call Records Industry or Company Involved - The discussion primarily revolves around the **internet platform industry**, particularly **food delivery services** such as Meituan, JD.com, and Alibaba, as well as the **rare earth industry** and the **financial sector**. Core Points and Arguments 1. **Internet Platforms and Price Undercutting** Internet platforms engage in price undercutting through subsidies to gain market share, which raises concerns about monopolistic practices and impacts on upstream suppliers. Regulatory bodies need to intervene to address these issues [1][2][4] 2. **Government Regulation and Pricing Mechanisms** The government is revising pricing laws to clarify improper pricing behaviors and establish standards for price undercutting. This includes shifting from direct price regulation to a cost-plus pricing model to protect public goods and prevent irrational subsidies [1][4][3] 3. **Rare Earth Industry Dynamics** The rare earth sector benefits from China's supply advantages, with a significant increase in prices (approximately 30% year-on-year). The government is cracking down on illegal rare earth mining and controlling legal supply, which enhances the market share of companies like Northern Rare Earth and China Rare Earth [1][6] 4. **Impact of Subsidies on Food Delivery Services** While subsidies increase traffic for food delivery platforms, they also pressure merchants and reduce profits. Regulatory bodies have urged platforms to improve quality assurance for riders, merchants, and food products [1][7] 5. **JD.com's Competitive Strategy** JD.com is expected to emerge from the competitive turmoil in the food delivery market by implementing a standardized cooking model through its Seven Fresh Kitchen initiative, which aims to enhance food quality and safety while reducing costs [1][9] 6. **Healthcare Procurement Strategy Changes** The National Healthcare Security Administration has adjusted its procurement strategy to focus on quality rather than low prices, addressing issues like drug efficacy and stability. This includes providing price protection for innovative drugs to encourage development [1][10] 7. **Challenges in the Financial Sector** The financial industry faces intense competition, with banks and insurance companies employing aggressive strategies to capture market share. Industry associations are working on standards to mitigate these competitive pressures [1][11] 8. **Environmental Regulations in the Construction Industry** New environmental guidelines are being implemented for non-metallic mineral manufacturing, aiming to phase out illegal operations and address overcapacity. However, local government protectionism poses challenges to these efforts [1][12] 9. **International Trade Negotiations** Recent progress in US-China tariff negotiations may lead to relaxed export controls on rare earths and semiconductors, which could impact market dynamics in various sectors, including technology and finance [1][13] Other Important but Possibly Overlooked Content - The discussion highlights the need for a shift in local government strategies to avoid redundant construction and overcapacity issues, emphasizing the importance of adjusting the objectives of local governments to prevent short-term solutions to long-term problems [1][5] - The ongoing competition among food delivery platforms is expected to lead to a transformation in consumer benefits as companies adapt to new market conditions [1][9]

7月28日，沪深两市全天成交额合计17423.07亿元，较上一日缩量450.3亿元。其中，沪市成交额为 7612.65亿元（上一交易日为8216.1亿元），成交量为5.94亿手（上一交易日为6.97亿手）；深市成交额 为9810.42亿元（上一交易日为9657.27亿元），成交量为6.84亿手（上一交易日为7.24亿手）。北方稀土 成交额居首，为131.48亿元。其次是胜宏科技、新易盛、恒瑞医药、东方财富，成交额分别为124.83亿 元、113.7亿元、99.44亿元、95.42亿元。 沪深两市今日成交额合计17423.07亿元，北方稀土成交额居首 ...

Group 1 - Northern Rare Earth (600111) has seen its stock price increase by 5.02% [1] - The Rare Earth ETF (159713) holds 13.15% of Northern Rare Earth, with its current increase at 1.35% [1] - The latest stock price has reached a 120-day high, with a trading volume of 1.09 billion yuan, reflecting a 48.87% increase in trading volume over the past month, adding 2.12 billion shares [1] Group 2 - The market is focusing on leading companies in the sector, suggesting that investors should consider buying index ETFs to capitalize on the rebound [1]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" and maintained [8] Core Views - The macroeconomic outlook is improving, leading to a comprehensive rise in metal prices, particularly strategic metals [2][4] - The report emphasizes the importance of strategic metals and bottom energy metal allocation opportunities, highlighting the revaluation of rare earths and tungsten [4] - The report suggests that the domestic growth stabilization and anti-involution policies are enhancing expectations, which is driving up domestic commodity prices [5][6] Summary by Sections Strategic Metals - Strategic metals such as rare earths and tungsten are experiencing a revaluation, with significant price increases expected due to government focus and international supply chain developments [4] - The price of rare earth concentrate has increased to 19,100 CNY/ton, reflecting a 1.5% increase [4] - Tungsten prices are also on the rise, supported by strong supply dynamics and improving company performance [4] Energy Metals - The report indicates a high probability of short-term price increases for cobalt, with a significant drop in imports noted [4] - Cobalt intermediate imports in June fell to 18,991 tons, a decrease of 61.6% month-on-month [4] - Nickel prices are expected to stabilize, with long-term price expectations likely to rise [4] Lithium - The report notes a bottoming out of lithium prices, with recent regulatory changes indicating stricter domestic mining controls [4] - The price of battery-grade lithium carbonate has rebounded by 15.2% to 76 CNY/kg [24] - The report suggests monitoring potential resource releases in the lithium sector [4] Precious Metals - Gold prices are fluctuating due to improved risk appetite and easing trade tensions, with a recommendation to increase allocation to precious metal stocks [4][6] - The report highlights that gold stocks have underperformed, suggesting a strategic buying opportunity [4] - Silver is noted for its potential upside, with a recommendation to consider silver stocks for recovery [4] Industrial Metals - The report indicates that industrial metals are experiencing mixed performance, with domestic prices leading international trends [5][6] - Copper prices on the SHFE increased by 1.1%, while aluminum prices rose by 1.2% [5] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring macroeconomic policies and their impact on metal demand [6]

Investment Rating - Industry rating: Outperform the market (maintained rating) [8] Core Views - The significant increase in lithium carbonate prices is primarily driven by supply contraction expectations and a rapid price correction due to regulatory actions against non-compliant mining practices [1] - Copper prices have shown a mixed performance, with market sentiment supporting price increases, but demand remains weak, limiting upward momentum [2][15] - Aluminum prices have risen due to external market influences and domestic production adjustments, although concerns about future demand in the photovoltaic sector persist [3][24] - Precious metals, particularly gold and silver, have seen price increases driven by heightened risk aversion amid global trade uncertainties [4][30] - Tungsten prices have increased across the board, supported by resource scarcity and cautious market activity [5][63] - The rare earth sector is experiencing a recovery in fundamentals, with significant price increases for light and heavy rare earth elements [6][41] Summary by Sections Base Metals & Precious Metals - Copper: Prices have fluctuated, with a recent increase to 78,710 CNY/ton, but market demand remains weak, leading to cautious trading [2][15] - Aluminum: Prices rose to 20,630 CNY/ton, driven by external market trends and domestic production recovery, despite concerns in the photovoltaic sector [3][24] - Precious Metals: Gold averaged 780.69 CNY/gram, up 0.83%, and silver at 9,291 CNY/kg, up 2.02%, influenced by global trade tensions [4][30] Minor Metals - Lithium: Prices for lithium carbonate have stabilized, with market sentiment remaining cautious amid steady production [41][42] - Cobalt: Prices have increased slightly, but demand remains weak, leading to limited trading activity [43][44] - Tin: Prices have risen to 34,750 USD/ton, supported by supply-side reforms and low inventory levels [53][54] - Tungsten: Prices have increased due to resource scarcity, with black tungsten averaging 186,500 CNY/ton [5][63] - Molybdenum: Prices have shown a mixed trend, with recent increases due to supply disruptions and market optimism [68][69] Rare Earths - The rare earth market is witnessing a significant recovery, with prices for light rare earths like praseodymium-neodymium oxide rising to 514,000 CNY/ton [6][41]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the non-ferrous and steel industry [5] Core Viewpoints - The report argues that the value reassessment of the strategic metals sector has just begun, contrary to some investors' belief that the recent rapid price increases indicate an impending peak [8][14] - It highlights three dimensions supporting this view: policy measures against strategic mineral smuggling, a tight supply-demand balance driving product prices up, and an increase in risk appetite due to political policy risk premiums [8][14][17] Summary by Sections Strategic Metals - Some investors believe the recent surge in strategic metals prices is unsustainable and may soon peak [8][13] - The report counters this by stating that the value reassessment of strategic metals is just beginning, driven by macroeconomic inflation, tight supply-demand dynamics, and political risk premiums [14][17] - Policy measures to combat strategic mineral smuggling are expected to be reinforced, particularly for rare earths and other strategic metals [15] - The supply-demand balance remains tight, with increasing demand from sectors like new energy vehicles and offshore wind power, leading to rising prices for rare earths [16] - Political policy risk premiums are expected to rise, enhancing the attractiveness of the strategic metals sector [17] Steel Industry - Steel prices are anticipated to continue rising due to production cut expectations [18] - Steel demand and production have decreased, but a dynamic balance in supply and demand is expected [18][25] - Inventory levels are showing differentiation among various steel products, with total inventory likely to decline further [25] - Cost increases in raw materials are pushing steel prices up, with profits for steel mills expected to recover [28] - The overall steel price index has seen a slight increase, with specific products like hot-rolled steel showing notable price rises [35] New Energy Metals - Lithium production in June 2025 saw a significant year-on-year increase of 20.95%, indicating strong supply growth [40] - The demand for new energy vehicles remains robust, with production and sales in June 2025 showing substantial growth [44] - Prices for lithium and cobalt have generally risen, while nickel prices have seen a decline [49][50] Industrial Metals - Global refined copper production has increased, with supply slightly better than expected [57] - The demand outlook is improving, with manufacturing activity expected to continue recovering [69]

Market Overview - The A-share market is experiencing a surge, with sectors like robotics and steel showing significant performance, highlighted by 12 stocks receiving over 100 million yuan in net purchases from financing clients, led by Northern Rare Earth with 380 million yuan [1][4] - The Shanghai Composite Index has surpassed 3400 points, with a trading volume increase and a stock rise-to-fall ratio of 2.57:1, although less than 50% of stocks have risen over 6% [3] Market Illusions - Four major illusions in the bull market are identified: 1. The "waiting for a rise" illusion, where investors believe their stocks will soon increase in value 2. The "hot and cold" illusion, where rapid rotation of hot stocks leads to losses for those who chase them 3. The "rise and fall" illusion, where the index rises but individual stocks do not 4. The "high and low" illusion, where low-priced stocks are perceived as safe while high-priced stocks are seen as risky [5][10] Fund Dynamics - The 12 stocks favored by financing clients include Northern Rare Earth (380 million yuan), New Yi Sheng (281 million yuan), and Hainan Huate (163 million yuan), indicating significant fund dynamics at play [4][10] - The concept of "funding competition" is discussed, where aggressive buying often leads to subsequent adjustments, creating opportunities for informed investors [7][9] Institutional Research - A total of 194 companies were subject to institutional research, with New Yi Sheng attracting the most attention; however, not all intensive research leads to positive outcomes [10] - The distinction between "genuine research" and "fake research" is crucial, as some companies are investigated due to stock price fluctuations rather than genuine interest from institutions [10] Data Utilization - The importance of using quantitative data to navigate the market is emphasized, as it can reveal underlying trends and intentions that are not immediately apparent to average investors [11][12]

Market Overview - The two markets experienced a significant net outflow of 29.193 billion yuan, with 1,766 stocks seeing net inflows and 3,075 stocks experiencing net outflows [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed down by 0.33% [1] Industry Performance - Four industries saw net inflows from large orders, with the computer industry leading at a net inflow of 3.266 billion yuan and an index increase of 1.26% [1] - The electronics sector followed with a net inflow of 2.556 billion yuan and an increase of 1.37% [1] - Other industries with net inflows included media and real estate [1] - In contrast, 27 industries experienced net outflows, with the non-ferrous metals sector seeing the largest outflow of 5.087 billion yuan [1] - The power equipment sector had a net outflow of 3.628 billion yuan, followed by construction decoration and machinery equipment [1] Individual Stock Performance - 23 stocks had net inflows exceeding 200 million yuan, with Cambricon Technologies leading at 886 million yuan [2] - Zhangjiang Hi-Tech had a net inflow of 824 million yuan, ranking second [2] - Other notable stocks with significant inflows included Yanshan Technology, Haiguang Information, and Western Securities [2] - On the outflow side, Northern Rare Earth saw the largest net outflow of 1.974 billion yuan, followed by China Power Construction and Baosteel with outflows of 1.767 billion yuan and 1.634 billion yuan respectively [2] Stock Price Movements - Stocks with net inflows exceeding 200 million yuan averaged a rise of 7.01%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index [2] - Notable stocks that hit the daily limit up included Ashi Innovation and InnoCare [2] - The sectors with the highest concentration of stocks with significant net inflows were electronics, computers, and media, with 6, 6, and 3 stocks respectively [2] Detailed Stock Data Top Net Inflows | Code | Name | Closing Price (Yuan) | Change (%) | Net Inflow (Billion Yuan) | Industry | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 688256 | Cambricon Technologies | 673.30 | 12.17 | 0.886 | Electronics | | 600895 | Zhangjiang Hi-Tech | 30.58 | 10.00 | 0.824 | Real Estate | | 002195 | Yanshan Technology | 5.88 | 4.44 | 0.462 | Computer | | 688041 | Haiguang Information | 141.49 | 3.50 | 0.439 | Electronics | | 002673 | Western Securities | 8.78 | 6.04 | 0.420 | Non-Banking Finance | [2][3] Top Net Outflows | Code | Name | Closing Price (Yuan) | Change (%) | Net Outflow (Billion Yuan) | Industry | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 600111 | Northern Rare Earth | 38.25 | 0.29 | -1.974 | Non-Ferrous Metals | | 601669 | China Power Construction | 7.22 | -3.09 | -1.767 | Construction Decoration | | 600010 | Baosteel | 2.47 | -1.98 | -1.634 | Steel | | 600326 | Tibet Tianlu | 15.43 | 9.98 | -1.205 | Building Materials | | 002594 | BYD | 337.93 | -1.40 | -1.047 | Automotive | [4]