Summary of Conference Call on Rare Earth Sector Industry Overview - The discussion primarily focuses on the rare earth sector, highlighting significant changes in the market dynamics and price trends [1][2]. Key Points and Arguments 1. **Market Conditions**: The rare earth market is experiencing notable fluctuations, with precious metals like gold benefiting from delayed expectations of monetary easing by the Federal Reserve. This has led to a significant retreat of speculative funds from the futures market, impacting metals like copper and tin, while rare earths have shown relatively better performance [1][2]. 2. **Leverage Reduction**: The overall logic of reducing leverage in the non-ferrous sector is expected to be less pronounced. The volatility in the market suggests that the systemic leverage is relatively low, and recent reductions in leverage have created more room for price adjustments [2]. 3. **Price Expectations**: There are three key logical points regarding the rare earth sector: - Prices are expected to reach new highs, with fundamentals likely to exceed market expectations. - Negative sentiment is not anticipated to worsen, as the major bearish factors have already passed. - The sector is at a critical point where specific companies, such as China Rare Earth and Zhongxi Rare Earth, are expected to resolve intra-industry competition issues [2][3]. 4. **Supply and Demand Dynamics**: - Supply-side reforms are crucial, with policies implemented in the previous year regulating the total amount of rare earth mining and smelting. This has led to a structural reform in the supply side of the industry [3][4]. - The integration of state-owned enterprises has streamlined control over domestic rare earth resources, reducing the number of companies involved in mining and smelting [4][5]. - The demand side shows a mixed picture, with export volumes hitting historical highs in the latter half of 2025, despite an overall annual decline in demand. This indicates strong overseas replenishment needs [6][7]. 5. **Strategic Stockpiling**: The trend of strategic stockpiling in response to supply chain risks is expected to continue, particularly in the context of geopolitical tensions. This will likely sustain demand for rare earths, especially in sectors like electric vehicles and industrial robotics [7][8]. 6. **Valuation Insights**: - Current valuations in the rare earth sector are considered undervalued compared to historical levels. For instance, the valuation of Northern Rare Earth is significantly lower than its historical average, suggesting potential for upward correction [8][9]. - The ongoing "valuation kill" phase has persisted since late 2025, but the expectation is that this trend may stabilize, allowing for potential recovery in valuations [9][10]. 7. **Future Outlook**: The year 2026 is seen as pivotal for resolving intra-industry competition, with significant expectations for asset injections into companies like China Rare Earth. This could create substantial arbitrage opportunities due to the disparity between internal and external profit margins [10][11]. 8. **Investment Recommendations**: The overall sentiment is bullish on the rare earth sector, with expectations of a 50% to 100% upside potential for key players like Northern Rare Earth, Zhongxi Rare Earth, and China Rare Earth, especially following recent price corrections [12][13]. Additional Important Content - The integration of various rare earth companies and the regulatory environment surrounding mining and smelting are critical factors influencing future supply and demand dynamics [4][5]. - The anticipated changes in management and operational strategies within companies like Zhongxi Rare Earth may enhance their market position and operational efficiency [12][13]. This summary encapsulates the key insights and projections discussed during the conference call regarding the rare earth sector, emphasizing the interplay between supply, demand, and market sentiment.

或由于现货黄金重回4900美元，完全收复昨日跌幅，今日（2月3日）有色ETF华宝（159876）强势反 弹，场内价格最高飙涨超6.7%，最终收涨6.4%，一举收复20日均线。 成份股方面，湖南黄金涨停，中稀有色涨超8%，涨幅居前。权重股方面，紫金矿业、北方稀土涨超 6%，洛阳钼业涨逾4%，中国铝业涨超3%。 有色金属为何能够强势反弹？或可从两方面进行拆解： 1、市场"误判"新美联储主席，降息是获提名前提 高盛指出，沃什愿意降息是他获得这份工作的先决条件，并且不认为沃什会推动资产负债表大幅缩减， 因美联储内部对"充足准备金"框架有广泛支持。沃什可能不会真正推动重启量化紧缩，因为这对风险资 产的破坏性太大。* 2、地缘政治扰动，"战略自主"重要性凸显 巴克莱指出，特朗普2.0时代的政策核心是"扩张性财政+关税通胀"。美国政府债务水平高企且无意约 束，投资者对法币贬值的长期恐惧因政策不确定性而加剧。德意志银行指出，继俄罗斯储备被冻结后， 全球央行"战略自主"需求凸显。黄金的储备地位从"收益驱动"转向"生存驱动"*。 黄金牛市还在吗？近期黄金暴跌被华尔街视为"技术性洗盘"，牛市逻辑并未动摇。德银坚定看多至6000 美 ...

Core Insights - The U.S. and Japan are actively seeking to reduce their dependence on rare earth elements, with Japan conducting successful trials for rare earth mud extraction in the Pacific Ocean [1] - Japan currently relies on China for over 70% of its rare earth imports, prompting increased focus on domestic development following China's export restrictions [1] - The U.S. plans to initiate a critical mineral reserve program with an initial funding of $12 billion to decrease reliance on China for rare earth resources [1] - China maintains a dominant position in rare earth resources, extraction technology, and downstream applications, making it challenging for other countries to rebuild their rare earth supply chains [1] Industry Performance - The A-share rare earth sector showed strong performance, with the sector rising by 3.80%, led by companies like Longhua Technology, which increased by 11.46% [3] - Analysts highlight a supply-demand resonance in the rare earth market, with increasing supply concentration and growing demand from sectors like new energy and high-end manufacturing [3] - The strategic value of rare earth resources is becoming more pronounced globally, with many countries emphasizing the importance of critical mineral reserves [3] Company Highlights - Shenghe Resources is a significant player in the domestic rare earth industry, involved in mining, refining, and recycling, with projected earnings growth exceeding 339% by 2025 [5] - Northern Rare Earth is one of the largest rare earth production and processing bases in China, benefiting from resource advantages and stable product supply [5] - Jieneng Permanent Magnet is a high-tech enterprise specializing in rare earth permanent magnet materials, positioned to benefit from the growing demand in sectors like electric vehicles and wind power [5]

Group 1 - The small metals sector increased by 4.94% on February 3, with Dongfang Tantalum leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4067.74, up 1.29%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14127.1, up 2.19% [1] - Notable performers in the small metals sector included Dongfang Silver Industry, which rose by 10.01% to a closing price of 43.21, and Zhong Rare Metals, which increased by 8.72% to 83.39 [1] Group 2 - The small metals sector saw a net inflow of 625 million yuan from main funds, while retail funds had a net inflow of 364 million yuan, and speculative funds experienced a net outflow of 989 million yuan [2] - The top stocks by main fund inflow included Beifang Rare Earth with a net inflow of 347 million yuan, and Dongfang Aluminum with 286 million yuan [3] - The overall trading volume for the small metals sector was significant, with stocks like Xiamen Tungsten Industry achieving a trading volume of 715,100 shares and a transaction value of 3.954 billion yuan [1][2]

据生意社监测，氧化镨02月02日最新价格765000.00万元/吨，最近5天上涨4.08%，10天上涨13.33%，15 天上涨13.75%，20天上涨20.00%，30天上涨29.11%，60天上涨30.77%。 相关生产商有：北方稀土(600111)中色股份(000758)中国稀土(000831)盛和资源(600392)等。 相关生产商有：北方稀土(600111)中色股份(000758)中国稀土(000831)盛和资源(600392)等。 【周期股选股方法】周期股特指原材料生产型的上市公司，该公司的利润高低受原材料价格波动影响； 因此利用生意社原材料价格的涨跌数据，提前于季报与年报，发现周期股买入信号，是投资周期股的重 要方法。欢迎使用生意社股票通。 据生意社监测，氧化镨02月02日最新价格765000.00万元/吨，最近5天上涨4.08%，10天上涨13.33%，15 天上涨13.75%，20天上涨20.00%，30天上涨29.11%，60天上涨30.77%。 【周期股选股方法】周期股特指原材料生产型的上市公司，该公司的利润高低受原材料价格波动影响； 因此利用生意社原材料价格的涨跌数据，提前于季报与年报 ...

有色金属ETF基金紧密跟踪中证细分有色金属产业主题指数，截至2026年1月30日，中证细分有色金属产业主题指数(000811)前十大权重股分别为紫金矿业、 洛阳钼业、北方稀土、中国铝业、华友钴业、中金黄金、山东黄金、兴业银锡、赣锋锂业、赤峰黄金，前十大权重股合计占比51.85%。 2月3日，金属概念午后爆发， 截至14:19，有色金属ETF基金(516650)盘中走强涨5.71%，持仓股湖南黄金涨停，中稀有色上涨8.77%，盛和资源上涨7.23%， 国城矿业，中国稀土等个股跟涨。有色金属ETF基金盘中换手23.26%，成交50.03亿元，市场交投活跃。 相关分析指出，随着市场从极端情绪中逐步平复，金属板块或将进入逻辑重塑阶段。贵金属方面，央行购金和黄金ETF持仓份额的上升，将继续成为支撑黄 金价格的重要因素。基本金属方面，近期市场将持续消化宏观修正压力，但AI叙事依旧，供给扰动频出，在全球铜矿缺口有望扩大的背景下，价格下方有 支撑。铝（轻量化）、锡（"算力金属"）、碳酸锂（储能与动力电池）等品种，将持续受益于绿色产业与科技浪潮的持续渗透。 （以上所列股票仅为指数成份股，无特定推荐之意） 有色金属ETF基金(5 ...

2月3日，有色板块持续回暖，湖南黄金冲击涨停，盛和资源、云南锗业、北方稀土、中国稀土等涨超 4%，有色矿业ETF招商（159690）涨超2%。 上周，贵金属出现历史性行情，受交易拥挤、新任美联储主席和美股科技股下跌压制，贵金属整体出现 暴跌，尤其是前期涨幅过高的白银，单日最大跌幅超过30%，黄金最大跌幅超过10%。今日盘中，金银 现货价格反弹，截至发稿，伦敦银现涨超5%，伦敦金现涨超3%。 中邮证券指出，短期来看，由于获利盘出清导致价格可能会出现剧烈震荡，不排除进一步下跌可能性， 但伦敦金可以在4800-4900盎司之间寻找低位筹码。长期来看，去美元化的进程不会转向，此次调整不 是贵金属行情的结束，耐心等待价格转向的时点。 有色矿业ETF招商（159690）所跟踪的有色矿业指数是一只高度聚焦于有色金属产业链最上游——矿产 资源开采环节的指数，当有色金属价格（如铜价、金价、锂价）上涨时，上游矿产公司的利润会直接、 快速地提升，因此有色矿业指数表现出更强的价格弹性，贝塔值更高，在商品牛市或通胀环境中进攻性 十足。 数据来源:Wind_截至2026.1.30。 了 指数介绍 主流有色主题指数历史行情 388%- 3 ...

来源：新浪基金∞工作室 声明：市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文基于第三方数据库自动发布，不代表新浪财经观点，任何在本文 出现的信息均只作为参考，不构成个人投资建议。如有出入请以实际公告为准。如有疑问，请联系 biz@staff.sina.com.cn。 2月3日，有色金属ETF（512400）开盘涨3.99%，报2.189元。有色金属ETF（512400）重仓股方面，紫 金矿业开盘涨3.36%，洛阳钼业涨3.12%，北方稀土涨2.41%，华友钴业涨2.33%，中国铝业涨2.99%，赣 锋锂业涨2.91%，山东黄金跌7.33%，云铝股份涨2.70%，中金黄金跌8.16%，藏格矿业涨3.34%。 有色金属ETF（512400）业绩比较基准为中证申万有色金属指数收益率，管理人为南方基金管理股份有 限公司，基金经理为崔蕾，成立（2017-08-03）以来回报为123.28%，近一个月回报为13.45%。 ...

Group 1 - The non-ferrous sector is experiencing a rebound, with companies like Hunan Gold and Northern Rare Earth seeing significant gains, while the non-ferrous mining ETF is also up over 2% [1] - Precious metals faced a historic downturn due to trading congestion and external pressures, with silver and gold experiencing maximum daily declines of over 30% and 10% respectively [1][14] - Short-term volatility is expected in precious metal prices due to profit-taking, but long-term trends indicate that the de-dollarization process will continue, suggesting that the current adjustment is not the end of the precious metal rally [1][18] Group 2 - The non-ferrous mining index has shown a strong performance over the past year, with a return of 146.48% and a maximum drawdown of -13.76% [3] - The index focuses on the upstream mining segment of the non-ferrous metal industry, with copper, gold, and aluminum making up over 58% of its composition [5] - Historical performance indicates that the non-ferrous mining index has a cumulative increase of 353.53% over the past decade, with an annualized return of 16.83% [10][12] Group 3 - The market outlook for 2026 suggests that central bank gold purchases and rising gold ETF holdings will continue to support gold prices, while copper prices are expected to find support amid supply disruptions [19] - The aluminum market is facing downward pressure due to seasonal factors and a decline in processing activity, with a reported drop of 1.5 percentage points in aluminum processing [19]

| 代码 | 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌 涨跌幅 ▼ | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 516780 | 稀土ETF | 1.928 | 0.074 3.99% | | | 516150 | 稀土ETF嘉实 | 1.992 | 0.074 3.86% | | | 159715 | 稀土ETF易方达 | 1.314 | 0.048 | 3.79% | | 159713 | 稀土ETF | 1.434 | 0.048 | 3.46% | 稀土概念股走强，盛和资源涨超7%，金风科技涨超5%，北方稀土、中国稀土涨超4%。 受盘面影响，稀土ETF涨近4%。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） 有券商表示，稀土作为高端制造与战略新兴产业的核心资源，正呈现供需两端共振格局。在供给集中度提升与需求 结构升级的背景下，稀土产业链的战略地位有望进一步巩固，为高端制造发展注入长期驱动力。 ...