2025年11月29日 证券研究报告| 2025年11月28日 PCB是十问十答 AI算力与终端创新共振，PCB重塑高密度连接格局 行业研究 · 行业专题 电子 投资评级：优于大市（维持评级） 证券分析师：胡剑 证券分析师：胡慧 证券分析师：叶子 证券分析师：张大为 证券分析师：詹浏洋 证券分析师：李书颖 021-60893306 021-60871321 0755-81982153 021-61761072 010-88005307 0755-81982362 hujian1@guosen.com.cn huhui2@guosen.com.cn yezi3@guosen.com.cn zhangdawei1@guosen.com.cn zhanliuyang@guosen.com.cn lishuying@guosen.com.cn S0980521080001 S0980521080002 S0980522100003 S0980524100002 S0980524060001 S0980524090005 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明及其项下所有内容 AI推动电子创新大周期，PCB开启中期成长趋势 请务 ...

11月27日，或由于六部门印发促消费新方案，超107亿主力资金涌入电子板块，板块吸金额高居31个申 万一级行业首位，热门ETF方面，荟聚电子板块核心龙头的电子ETF（515260）早盘活跃，场内价格最 高上探3.53%，后被大盘拖拽，涨幅逐步缩窄，最终收涨0.16%，一举收复10日均线，斩获日线3连涨。 布局工具上，电子ETF（515260）及其联接基金（A类：012550/C类：012551）被动跟踪电子50指数， 重仓半导体、消费电子行业，汇聚AI芯片、汽车电子、5G、云计算、印制电路板（PCB）等热门产 业。外部环境倒逼中国尽快实现半导体产业链自主可控，AI重塑消费电子产品的功能边界，革新用户 体验。国家顶层政策支持，产业政策配套落地，电子板块有望乘势崛起。 风险提示：电子ETF及其联接基金被动跟踪中证电子50指数，该指数基日为2008.12.31，发布于 2009.7.22，指数成份股构成根据该指数编制规则适时调整，其回测历史业绩不预示指数未来表现。本文 中提及的个股、指数成份股仅作展示，个股描述不作为任何形式的投资建议，也不代表管理人旗下任何 基金的持仓信息和交易动向。基金管理人评估电子ETF的风险 ...

Core Viewpoint - The computing hardware stocks have shown significant strength in early trading on November 27, with several companies reaching new highs in their stock prices [1]. Group 1: Stock Performance - Saiwei Electronics has surged over 10%, continuing to set historical highs [1]. - Cambridge Technology, Changguang Huaxin, Industrial Fulian, New Yisheng, and Shengyi Technology have all increased by over 5% [1].

Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights the recent performance of Shengyi Technology, which saw a 5.1% increase in stock price, reaching 58.16 yuan per share, with a trading volume of 1.681 billion yuan and a market capitalization of 141.278 billion yuan [1] - Shengyi Technology, established on June 27, 1985, and listed on October 28, 1998, is located in Dongguan, Guangdong Province. The company specializes in the design, production, and sales of copper-clad laminates, bonding sheets, printed circuit boards, ceramic electronic components, LCD products, electronic-grade glass cloth, epoxy resin, copper foil, flexible electronic materials, display materials, packaging materials, and insulation materials [1] - The main revenue composition of Shengyi Technology includes copper-clad laminates and bonding sheets at 65.96%, printed circuit boards at 28.63%, comprehensive utilization of waste resources at 3.37%, and other sources at 2.04% [1] Group 2 - From the perspective of fund holdings, data shows that Changcheng Fund has one fund heavily invested in Shengyi Technology. The Changcheng Hengkang Steady Pension One-Year Mixed Fund (FOF) A (007705) held 4,600 shares in the third quarter, accounting for 0.22% of the fund's net value, ranking as the tenth largest holding [2] - The Changcheng Hengkang Steady Pension One-Year Mixed Fund (FOF) A (007705) was established on June 3, 2020, with a current scale of 106 million yuan. Year-to-date returns are 6.09%, ranking 734 out of 1,036 in its category; the one-year return is 6.41%, ranking 723 out of 1,016; and since inception, the return is 8.2% [2]

Core Viewpoint - The overall market sentiment remains cautiously optimistic, with no significant negative trends observed in the fundamental performance of key sectors, particularly in technology and growth stocks [1] Group 1: Market Performance - As of November 26, 2025, the Shanghai 180 Index rose by 0.30%, with notable increases in stocks such as Haiguang Information (3.95%) and Zhongke Shuguang (3.53%) [1] - The Shanghai 180 ETF Index Fund also saw a slight increase of 0.17%, marking its third consecutive rise [1] Group 2: Sector Analysis - The technology growth sector, including communications and semiconductors, continues to show strong performance, suggesting that recent market adjustments may be positioning for future gains [1] - Despite a slowdown in policy support compared to the first half of the year, the overall market remains in a loose monetary environment, which is expected to support recovery in the technology sector [1] Group 3: Investment Strategy - A "barbell strategy" is recommended for investment, suggesting to maintain positions in growth sectors like communications, semiconductors, and innovative pharmaceuticals while being cautious with short-term operations [1] - Defensive investments in dividend-paying sectors are advised to mitigate risks during market fluctuations [1] Group 4: Index Composition - The Shanghai 180 Index comprises 180 large-cap stocks selected for their market capitalization and liquidity, reflecting the overall performance of core listed companies in the Shanghai securities market [2] - As of October 31, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the index account for 26.29% of the total index, with notable companies including Kweichow Moutai and China Ping An [2]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Zhuhai International Research indicates that Shengyi Technology (600183) is experiencing a strong growth momentum driven by the AI cycle, leading to an upgraded target price of 90 RMB, representing a potential upside of 62.63% from the current price [1] Financial Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, Shengyi Technology reported a main revenue of 20.614 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 39.8% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 2.443 billion RMB, up 78.04% year-on-year, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 2.379 billion RMB, reflecting an increase of 81.25% [1] - In Q3 2025 alone, the company achieved a main revenue of 7.934 billion RMB, a 55.1% year-on-year increase, and a net profit of 1.017 billion RMB, which is a 131.18% increase year-on-year [1] - The company's debt ratio stands at 45.39%, with investment income of 54.34 million RMB and financial expenses of 66.03 million RMB, while the gross profit margin is 26.74% [1] Analyst Ratings - Over the past 90 days, 11 institutions have rated the stock, with 10 giving a "buy" rating and 1 an "accumulate" rating [1] - The average target price from institutions in the last 90 days is 88.4 RMB [1] Financing and Margin Trading - In the last three months, there has been a net inflow of 192 million RMB in financing, indicating an increase in financing balance; meanwhile, there was a net outflow of 2.7362 million RMB in margin trading, leading to a decrease in margin balance [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese equity market is expected to perform well due to multiple supporting factors, with a tactical overweight view on A/H shares maintained by Guotai Junan Securities [1] Group 1: Market Performance - On November 25, 2025, the three major A-share indices opened higher, with the CSI A500 index rising by 1.10% [1] - Key stocks such as Huadian Co., Ltd. and Shenzhen South Circuit rose significantly, with Huadian hitting the daily limit and others like Shenghong Technology and Fuhua also seeing substantial gains [1] Group 2: Investment Outlook - Guotai Junan Securities highlights that the recent volatility and panic selling have released micro trading risks, creating a favorable environment for the market to establish new expectations as the 14th Five-Year Plan begins [1] - The firm believes that the regulatory authorities are determined to stabilize the capital market, and factors that previously caused valuation discounts have dissipated, indicating a potential upward trend in valuations [1] Group 3: Index Composition - As of October 31, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the CSI A500 index include major companies like CATL, Kweichow Moutai, and China Ping An, accounting for a total of 19.36% of the index [1] Group 4: Investment Products - Investors without stock accounts can access the A500 ETF through the A500 ETF Jiashi linked fund, allowing for a one-click investment in the top 500 A-share companies [2]

Core Insights - Shengyi Technology's stock increased by 5.22% to 55.42 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 4.92 billion CNY and a market capitalization of 134.62 billion CNY [1] Company Overview - Shengyi Technology, established on June 27, 1985, and listed on October 28, 1998, is located in Dongguan, Guangdong Province. The company specializes in the design, production, and sales of copper-clad laminates, bonding sheets, printed circuit boards, ceramic electronic components, LCD products, electronic-grade glass cloth, epoxy resin, copper foil, flexible electronic materials, display materials, packaging materials, and insulation materials. It also engages in non-quota license management and the acquisition and export of non-specialized goods [1] - The main revenue composition includes: copper-clad laminates and bonding sheets (65.96%), printed circuit boards (28.63%), comprehensive utilization of waste resources (3.37%), and other (2.04%) [1] Fund Holdings - According to data, one fund under Galaxy Fund holds a significant position in Shengyi Technology. The Galaxy Technology Growth Mixed Fund A (022704) held 20,100 shares in the third quarter, accounting for 4.93% of the fund's net value, ranking as the seventh largest holding. The estimated floating profit for today is approximately 55,300 CNY [2] - The Galaxy Technology Growth Mixed Fund A (022704) was established on December 27, 2024, with a latest scale of 15.92 million CNY. Year-to-date returns stand at 46.62%, ranking 670 out of 8,136 in its category, with a cumulative return since inception of 46.61% [2] Fund Manager Information - The fund manager of Galaxy Technology Growth Mixed Fund A (022704) is Gao Peng, who has been in the position for 4 years and 192 days. The total asset size of the fund is 508 million CNY, with the best fund return during his tenure being 45.35% and the worst being -20.16% [3]

Core Viewpoint - Nvidia reported a significantly better-than-expected quarterly performance, with third-quarter revenue reaching $57 billion, representing a year-on-year increase of 62% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 22%, surpassing market expectations and company guidance by 3% and 6% respectively [1] Financial Performance - Non-GAAP gross margin was 73.6%, slightly below market expectations but marginally above company guidance [1] - Gross margin improved by 1.0 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, primarily due to upgrades in the data center product mix, shortened delivery cycles, and optimized cost structure [1] Market Sentiment - The company’s strong execution and guidance have significantly alleviated market concerns regarding an AI bubble [1] - The outlook for the AI industry remains optimistic, with expectations that the AI supply chain will continue to outperform the market until 2026 [1] Investment Recommendations - The report reaffirms "buy" ratings for companies Zhongji Xuchuang and Shengyi Technology based on the positive outlook for the AI sector [1]

Core Viewpoint - Nvidia reported a significantly better-than-expected quarterly performance, with Q3 revenue reaching $57 billion, representing a 62% year-over-year increase and a 22% quarter-over-quarter increase, surpassing market expectations and company guidance by 3% and 6% respectively [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Q3 revenue of Nvidia was $57 billion, a 62% increase year-over-year and a 22% increase quarter-over-quarter, exceeding market expectations and company guidance [1] - Non-GAAP gross margin was 73.6%, slightly below market expectations but marginally above company guidance, with a quarter-over-quarter increase of 1.0 percentage points [1] Group 2: Market Outlook - The report indicates that Nvidia's strong execution and guidance have alleviated market concerns regarding an AI bubble [1] - The company maintains an optimistic outlook for the AI industry, predicting that the AI supply chain will continue to outperform the market until 2026 [1] Group 3: Investment Recommendations - The report reaffirms "buy" ratings for companies such as Zhongji Xuchuang and Shengyi Technology, based on the positive outlook for the AI sector [1]