Core Insights - The electric grid automation equipment industry in China is experiencing significant growth driven by policy incentives and technological advancements, with a projected market size of 128.6 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 9.7% [1][8][9] - The industry is supported by a series of national policies aimed at achieving carbon neutrality, emphasizing digital and intelligent transformation in the power system [5][6] - Key players in the market include State Grid NARI, XJ Electric, and Huawei, with a competitive landscape characterized by both state-owned enterprises and cross-industry entrants [2][9][10] Industry Overview - Electric grid automation equipment is essential for monitoring, controlling, protecting, and regulating electrical energy, ensuring efficient and safe operation of power systems [1][3] - The industry has evolved from relying on foreign technology to achieving self-innovation, with significant advancements in automation and integration of new technologies like AI and cloud computing [5][6] Market Dynamics - The investment structure is shifting towards the grid side, with a forecasted investment growth of 15.32% in grid engineering for 2024, further increasing by 14% in the first eight months of 2025 [6][8] - The market is segmented into various fields, with substation automation holding a 40% market share and distribution automation growing at an 11.9% rate [1][9] Competitive Landscape - The industry is characterized by a "one strong, many strong" competitive structure, with State Grid NARI leading in high-end markets, while companies like XJ Electric and Sifang Co. have established unique advantages in niche areas [9][10] - Cross-industry players like Huawei are entering the market leveraging ICT technologies, indicating a trend towards collaboration and competition among traditional and new entrants [10][12] Future Trends - The industry is expected to transition towards deep intelligence and system integration, with a focus on predictive maintenance and self-healing capabilities [10][11] - The role of electric grids is shifting from a simple energy distribution channel to a complex energy system hub, necessitating significant investments in distribution network automation [11][12] - The traditional supply chain model is evolving into a cross-industry collaborative ecosystem, where companies must seek strategic partnerships to thrive in the new market landscape [12]

Investment Rating - The report recommends investment in the electric power equipment industry, highlighting specific companies for potential investment opportunities [1][3]. Core Insights - Lithium battery material prices continue to rise, with domestic lithium hexafluorophosphate averaging 95,000 yuan/ton, up 20.25% month-on-month, and export prices at 104,000 yuan/ton, up 20.93% [1]. - The average winning bid price for lithium battery energy storage systems increased to 0.4771 yuan/Wh in September 2025, reflecting a 4.33% month-on-month rise [1]. - The report emphasizes the ongoing high demand in the wind power sector, with a target of adding no less than 120GW of new installed capacity annually during the 14th Five-Year Plan period [3]. - The Indian market shows strong demand for photovoltaic installations, with 29.5GW added in the first three quarters of 2025, a 70% year-on-year increase [3]. Summary by Sections Lithium Battery Materials - Domestic lithium hexafluorophosphate prices are at 95,000 yuan/ton, a 20.25% increase month-on-month, while export prices are at 104,000 yuan/ton, up 20.93% [1]. - Recommended companies in the lithium battery sector include Zhuhai Guanyu, Shangtai Technology, and XWANDA [1]. Energy Storage Systems - The average winning bid price for lithium battery energy storage systems reached 0.4771 yuan/Wh in September 2025, marking a 4.33% increase month-on-month [1]. - Recommended companies in the energy storage sector include Yiwei Lithium Energy, Sungrow Power, and CATL [1]. Wind Power - The "Wind Energy Beijing Declaration 2.0" sets a target of at least 120GW of new installed capacity annually during the 14th Five-Year Plan, with a cumulative target of 1,300GW by 2030 [3]. - Recommended companies in the wind power sector include Goldwind Technology and Daikin Heavy Industries [3]. Photovoltaic Market - India added 29.5GW of new photovoltaic capacity in the first three quarters of 2025, a 70% year-on-year increase [3]. - Recommended companies in the photovoltaic sector include Aiko Solar, LONGi Green Energy, and Mibet [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for multiple companies in the energy and power equipment sector, including Ningde Times, Pinggao Electric, Guoneng Rixin, Sany Renewable Energy, and others [4][7][8]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of a comprehensive green transition in China's economy, driven by goals of carbon peak and carbon neutrality, with a focus on developing a new energy system [1][2]. - The dual control of carbon emissions is expected to expand the demand for green electricity, with policies promoting both carbon market management and mandatory green electricity consumption [2][3]. - The energy sector's green and low-carbon transformation is identified as a critical area for achieving overall green transition goals, with a significant portion of new electricity demand expected to be met by clean energy sources by the end of the 14th Five-Year Plan [3]. Summary by Sections Section 1: Industry Overview - The report highlights the acceleration of green transformation in the economy, with key measures including the establishment of a dual control system for carbon emissions and the promotion of green energy transition [1][2]. Section 2: Company Recommendations - **Ningde Times (300750 CH)**: Target price raised to 566.18 CNY, with a strong outlook on electric vehicle and energy storage markets [9][10]. - **Pinggao Electric (600312 CH)**: Target price set at 22.80 CNY, benefiting from strong domestic bidding for power transmission and transformation equipment [11]. - **Guoneng Rixin (301162 CH)**: Target price of 73.54 CNY, with significant growth in service stations and customer retention [12]. - **Sany Renewable Energy (688349 CH)**: Target price increased to 38.01 CNY, with expectations of improved profitability in wind turbine sales [14]. - **Siyuan Electric (002028 CH)**: Target price raised to 147.90 CNY, driven by strong growth in overseas orders and data center demand [14]. - **Sungrow Power Supply (300274 CH)**: Target price set at 195.40 CNY, with a focus on energy storage and international expansion [14]. - **Oriental Electronics (000682 CH)**: Target price of 13.86 CNY, with steady growth in core business and new energy projects [14]. - **China Western Power (601179 CH)**: Target price set at 8.25 CNY, with a stable growth outlook in power transmission equipment [14]. - **Guodian NARI Technology (600406 CH)**: Target price of 26.00 CNY, benefiting from new power system construction [14].

Core Points - The Shanghai Investment Products Index (000102) closed at 7184.98 points, up 0.5%, with a trading volume of 649.17 billion yuan and a turnover rate of 1.29% [1] - Among the index constituents, 32 stocks rose while 15 fell, with DeYe Co., Ltd. leading the gainers at 4.61% and Hengli Hydraulic leading the decliners at 2.9% [1] Index Constituents Summary - The top ten constituents of the Shanghai Investment Products Index include: - Zijin Mining (6.33% weight, latest price 29.70, market cap 789.35 billion yuan) in the non-ferrous metals sector [1] - China Shipbuilding (5.31% weight, latest price 35.45, market cap 266.78 billion yuan) in the defense industry [1] - Northern Rare Earth (4.99% weight, latest price 49.75, market cap 179.85 billion yuan) in the non-ferrous metals sector [1] - SANY Heavy Industry (4.92% weight, latest price 22.68, market cap 192.20 billion yuan) in the machinery sector [1] - Luoyang Molybdenum (4.50% weight, latest price 15.90, market cap 340.17 billion yuan) in the non-ferrous metals sector [1] - Longi Green Energy (4.45% weight, latest price 19.04, market cap 144.29 billion yuan) in the power equipment sector [1] - Huayou Cobalt (3.97% weight, latest price 62.75, market cap 119.18 billion yuan) in the non-ferrous metals sector [1] - JAC Motors (3.84% weight, latest price 50.12, market cap 109.46 billion yuan) in the automotive sector [1] - Guodian NARI Technology (3.76% weight, latest price 23.01, market cap 184.82 billion yuan) in the power equipment sector [1] - China Shenhua Energy (3.71% weight, latest price 42.22, market cap 838.85 billion yuan) in the coal sector [1] Capital Flow Summary - The net outflow of main funds from the index constituents totaled 627 million yuan, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 527 million yuan [3] - Key stocks with significant capital flow include: - China Aluminum (net inflow of 43.41 million yuan from main funds) [3] - Luoyang Molybdenum (net inflow of 33.70 million yuan from main funds) [3] - Jianghuai Automobile (net inflow of 19.50 million yuan from main funds) [3] - Longi Green Energy (net inflow of 16.40 million yuan from main funds) [3] - Huayou Cobalt (net inflow of 158 million yuan from main funds) [3]

Core Viewpoint - The company is steadily advancing its IGBT business, with successful development of high-voltage IGBT products and significant market applications, indicating a strong growth outlook in the power semiconductor industry [1] Group 1: IGBT Business Development - The company has successfully developed 3300V and 4500V series IGBT products for high-voltage applications, which have been implemented in domestic flexible direct current projects [1] - For medium and low-voltage IGBT devices, the company has self-developed 1200V and 1700V series IGBT products, which have completed new product testing with multiple clients and achieved mass application with over 80 clients [1] Group 2: Market Outlook and Company Strategy - The company focuses on serving the construction of new power systems, with a broad market outlook as investments in the energy and power sector continue to increase [1] - Short-term valuation fluctuations are influenced by market sentiment, capital flows, and industry cycles, but the company's core competitiveness and growth logic remain unchanged [1] - The company emphasizes that operational efficiency and profitability are the foundation of its value, committing to solid operational performance and stable investment returns to reward investor trust and support [1]

Group 1 - The A-share market experienced a collective pullback on October 22, with the previously strong-performing power grid equipment sector undergoing a significant decline, as evidenced by the 2.16% drop in the Power Grid Equipment ETF (159326) by 14:31, despite some stocks like Hailianxun and Dongcai Technology rising against the trend [1] - The Power Grid Equipment ETF has attracted substantial capital, accumulating a total of 256 million yuan since October, reaching a latest scale of 381 million yuan, making it the largest power grid equipment-themed ETF in the market [1] - The rapid development of AI technology is driving an explosive increase in global data center electricity demand, necessitating upgrades to power grid infrastructure, while the aging of existing grid systems and the acceleration of renewable energy integration are creating urgent demands for grid renovation [1] Group 2 - The Power Grid Equipment ETF (159326) is the only ETF tracking the CSI Power Grid Equipment Theme Index, with a strong representation in sectors such as transmission and transformation equipment, grid automation equipment, and distribution equipment, where ultra-high voltage equipment accounts for 63% of the index, the highest in the market [2] - The top ten holdings of the ETF include industry leaders such as Guodian NARI, TBEA, and Sifang Electric, indicating a strong focus on key players in the power grid equipment sector [2]

Core Viewpoint - The stock price of Guodian NARI Technology Co., Ltd. has experienced fluctuations, with a year-to-date decline of 6.70% and a recent drop of 2.00% on October 22, 2023, indicating potential investor concerns and market volatility [1][2]. Company Overview - Guodian NARI, established on February 28, 2001, and listed on October 16, 2003, is located in Jiangning Economic and Technological Development Zone, Nanjing, Jiangsu Province. The company specializes in power grid automation, industrial control, power generation, renewable energy, and energy conservation and environmental protection [2]. - The company's main business revenue composition includes: 50.43% from smart grid, 26.98% from low-carbon energy, 16.09% from digital energy integration, 5.13% from industrial interconnection, and 1.24% from integration and others [2]. Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Guodian NARI reported a revenue of 24.243 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 20.53%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.952 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 8.97% [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 24.308 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 12.674 billion yuan distributed over the past three years [3]. Shareholder Structure - As of June 30, 2025, the number of shareholders for Guodian NARI was 100,400, a decrease of 8.75% from the previous period. The average circulating shares per person increased by 9.59% to 79,622 shares [2]. - The top ten circulating shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, holding 1.089 billion shares (a decrease of 27.48 million shares), and various ETFs such as Huaxia SSE 50 ETF and Huatai-PineBridge CSI 300 ETF, which have increased their holdings [3].

Core Insights - The China Securities National New State-Owned Enterprises Modern Energy Index has seen a slight decline of 0.13% as of October 22, 2025, with mixed performance among constituent stocks [3] - The "Wind Energy Beijing Declaration 2.0" was released on October 20, 2025, at the International Wind Energy Conference, setting ambitious targets for wind power installation during the 14th and 15th Five-Year Plans [3] Group 1: Market Performance - The top-performing stocks include PetroChina Oilfield Services, which rose by 10.00%, and China Nuclear Engineering, which increased by 4.10% [3] - The recent trading volume for the National Modern Energy ETF was 161.57 million yuan, with a turnover rate of 3.62% [3] - Over the past year, the National Modern Energy ETF has seen an average daily trading volume of 615.35 million yuan [3] Group 2: Policy Changes - Starting November 1, 2025, the 50% VAT refund policy for onshore wind power will be canceled, while the policy for offshore wind power will continue until the end of 2027 [4] - The cancellation of tax incentives for onshore wind power is expected to impact net profits by approximately 19%, creating short-term pressure on profitability [4] Group 3: Industry Outlook - Despite the short-term challenges, the long-term outlook for the wind power industry remains robust due to China's commitment to its "dual carbon" strategy [4] - The wind power supply chain is anticipated to enter a recovery phase, with a focus on leading turbine manufacturers and offshore expansion [4] - The "Two Seas" strategy for wind power equipment is expected to enhance market share and overall profitability for companies in the sector [4] Group 4: Index Composition - As of September 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the index include Changjiang Electric Power and China Nuclear Power, accounting for 47.72% of the index [6]

Summary of Earnings Preview for China Utilities Sector Industry Overview - The report focuses on the **China Utilities** sector, specifically highlighting the **Power, Renewables, and Power Grid** industries in the Asia Pacific region - The overall industry view is considered **Attractive** [4][6] Key Insights - **3Q25 Earnings Expectations**: - Continued margin recovery is anticipated for wind component and submarine cable players - Polysilicon earnings may see upside risks - Solar module producers are expected to maintain flat or show mild decline in losses quarter-over-quarter (QoQ) [1][6] - **Coal Prices and Power Tariffs**: - A slight weakening in unit profit is expected due to a small rise in coal prices and a persistently soft power tariff [6][8] - **Sector Performance**: - Wind sector is expected to see a sector-wide gross profit (GP) margin recovery, primarily driven by submarine cables with a favorable product mix in 3Q25 - Wind Turbine Generator (WTG) Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs) may experience a more muted recovery [6][8] Company-Specific Highlights - **CGN Power Co., Ltd (1816.HK)**: - On-grid power generation decreased by 3% year-over-year (YoY) in 3Q25 due to longer outage times - Estimated net profit of approximately **Rmb2.6 billion**, down 6% YoY [8][10] - **China Longyuan Power Group (0916.HK)**: - Forecasted net profit of **Rmb937 million** in 3Q25, down from **Rmb1,542 million** in 2Q25 - Net profit for 9M25 expected to be **Rmb4.5 billion**, down 22% YoY [8][10] - **Huaneng Power International Inc. (0902.HK)**: - Estimated net profit of **Rmb4.1 billion**, up approximately 38% YoY but down 5% QoQ - Unit fuel cost expected to decline by **Rmb0.036/kWh** (12% YoY) [8][10] - **Jiangsu Zhongtian Technology Co. Ltd. (600522.SS)**: - Forecasted net profit of **Rmb1.03 billion** for 3Q25, up 21.1% YoY and 9.6% QoQ [8][10] - **Goldwind (2208.HK)**: - Expected net profit of **Rmb953 million**, representing a 135.1% YoY increase [10][10] - **Tongwei Co. Ltd. (600438.SS)**: - Forecasted net loss of **Rmb2.2-2.4 billion** in 3Q25, with improvements in polysilicon business due to price rebounds [10][10] - **LONGi Green Energy Technology Co. Ltd. (601012.SS)**: - Expected loss of **Rmb1.0-1.3 billion** in 3Q25, with slight declines in wafer and module shipments [10][10] Additional Observations - **Polysilicon Players**: Potential earnings surprises are anticipated due to increases in shipments and average selling prices (ASP) in 3Q25 [6][8] - **Demand Outlook**: Weaker demand is expected in 4Q25 compared to 3Q25, particularly for solar products [6][8] This summary encapsulates the key points from the earnings preview for the China Utilities sector, highlighting both the overall industry outlook and specific company forecasts.

Group 1 - The China Central Enterprises Innovation-Driven Index has risen by 1.50%, with significant increases in constituent stocks such as PetroChina Oilfield Services up by 10.05% and China Railway Construction Heavy Industry up by 7.14% [3] - The Central Enterprises Innovation-Driven ETF (515900) has increased by 1.53%, with a latest price of 1.59 yuan, and has shown a cumulative increase of 1.23% over the past month, ranking 1/4 among comparable funds [3] - The trading volume of the Central Enterprises Innovation-Driven ETF was 587.53 million yuan, with a turnover rate of 0.17% [3] Group 2 - China Shipbuilding Industry Corporation expects a net profit attributable to shareholders of 5.55 billion to 6.15 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 104.30% to 126.39% [4] - China CNR Corporation plans to hold a board meeting on October 30 to consider and approve its performance for the first three quarters, having signed significant contracts totaling approximately 54.34 billion yuan, which is about 22% of its expected revenue for 2024 [4] - The average daily trading volume of the Central Enterprises Innovation-Driven ETF over the past year was 20.23 million yuan, ranking first among comparable funds [4] Group 3 - The Central Enterprises Innovation-Driven Index evaluates the innovation and profitability quality of listed central enterprises, selecting 100 representative companies to reflect the overall performance of innovative central enterprises [5] - As of September 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the index include China Shipbuilding, Hikvision, and China Southern Power Grid, accounting for 36.04% of the total index weight [5] - The Central Enterprises Innovation-Driven ETF has seen a significant increase in scale, growing by 13.42 million yuan over the past three months, ranking 1/4 among comparable funds [4][5]