Core Viewpoint - The company, Shandong Hualu Hengsheng Chemical Co., Ltd., is set to hold an investor briefing on May 29, 2025, to discuss its 2024 annual and 2025 first-quarter financial results and operational performance [1][2]. Group 1: Meeting Details - The investor briefing will take place on May 29, 2025, from 15:00 to 16:00 [2][3]. - The location for the meeting is the Shanghai Stock Exchange Roadshow Center, which will be conducted via video live streaming and online interaction [1][2]. - Investors can submit questions from May 22 to May 28, 2025, through the Roadshow Center website or via the company's email [3]. Group 2: Participants - Key participants in the meeting will include Chairman Mr. Chang Huaichun, Vice General Manager and Financial Officer Mr. Gao Jinghong, Independent Director Mr. Wu Fei, and Board Secretary Mr. Gao Wenjun [2]. Group 3: Contact Information - For inquiries, investors can contact Ms. Fan Qi at phone number 0534-2465426 or via email at hlhszq@hl-hengsheng.com [3]. Group 4: Post-Meeting Access - After the investor briefing, participants can access the meeting details and main content through the Shanghai Stock Exchange Roadshow Center [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the chemical industry, indicating a positive outlook based on expected economic recovery and demand improvement [1]. Core Insights - The basic chemical industry is expected to see a recovery in profitability, with 2024 revenues projected to reach CNY 2,219.98 billion, a year-on-year increase of 2.66%, while net profit is expected to decline by 8.18% to CNY 108.87 billion [6][26]. - The oil and petrochemical sector is anticipated to maintain stable revenues and profits, with 2024 revenues estimated at CNY 7,941.40 billion, a decrease of 2.81%, and net profit expected to grow by 0.58% to CNY 372.14 billion [1][26]. - The report highlights that 23 out of 33 sub-industries in the basic chemical sector experienced revenue growth in 2024, with significant increases in chlor-alkali and textile chemicals [6][15]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The basic chemical industry is experiencing a decline in profitability, with gross and net profit margins at 16.27% and 5.13%, respectively, both down from 2023 [26]. - The report notes that the industry has been in a continuous decline in profitability from 2022 to 2024, but signs of stabilization are emerging [26]. Sub-Industry Performance - In 2024, chlor-alkali and textile chemicals showed the highest profit growth rates at 262.84% and 125.27%, respectively [15][26]. - Conversely, non-metallic materials and other plastic products faced significant profit declines of 79.24% and 67.49% [15][26]. Quarterly Analysis - For Q4 2024, the basic chemical industry reported revenues of CNY 565.72 billion, a year-on-year increase of 5.15%, but a quarter-on-quarter decline of 0.90% [6][7]. - Net profit for Q4 2024 was CNY 14.16 billion, down 10.73% year-on-year and 51.03% quarter-on-quarter [6][7]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies in rapidly developing downstream sectors, particularly in new materials, energy security, and policy-driven demand recovery [1][26]. - Recommended companies include China National Petroleum, China National Offshore Oil, and various technology firms in the semiconductor and new energy materials sectors [1][26].

证券代码：600426 证券简称：华鲁恒升 公告编号：临 2025-032 山东华鲁恒升化工股份有限公司 关于召开 2024 年度暨 2025 年第一季度业绩说明会的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗 漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担个别及连带责任。 重要内容提示： 投资者可于 2025 年 5 月 22 日(星期四) 至 5 月 28 日(星期三)16:00 前登录上证路演中心 网站首页点击"提问预征集"栏目或通过公司邮箱（hlhszq@hl-hengsheng.com）进行提问。 公司将在说明会上对投资者普遍关注的问题进行回答。 山东华鲁恒升化工股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）已于 2025 年 3 月 29 日、2025 年 4 月 26 日分别发布公司 2024 年度报告和 2025 年一季度报告，为便于广大投资者更全面 深入地了解公司 2024 年度及 2025 年一季度经营成果、财务状况，公司计划于 2025 年 5 月 29 日下午 15:00-16:00 举行 2024 年度暨 2025 年第一季度业绩说明会，就投资者关心的问 题进行交 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive (Maintain)" [6] Core Views - The report highlights that the recent US-China tariff policy has been implemented, leading to a further increase in oil prices. The focus remains on leading companies with strong alpha that are less correlated with oil prices, suggesting a bottom-up investment approach. There is significant uncertainty regarding the US tariff policy, and short-term attention should be on domestic demand and opportunities for domestic substitutes in new materials. The agricultural chemical sector, characterized by rigid demand and dividend attributes, is recommended for investment [13][14]. Summary by Sections 1. Core Views - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on leading companies with strong fundamentals that are less affected by oil price fluctuations. It suggests a bottom-up investment strategy and highlights the agricultural chemical sector as a promising area due to its rigid demand [13]. 2. Oil and Chemical Price Information 2.1 Oil - As of May 16, Brent oil prices increased by 2.3% to $65.41 per barrel. The report notes that while oil prices are rising, the increase in US oil inventories has somewhat restrained the price growth. As of May 9, US commercial oil inventories stood at 441.8 million barrels, with a weekly increase of 3.5 million barrels [14]. 2.2 Chemicals - Among the 188 monitored chemical products, the top three price increases this week were for butadiene (up 21.1%), SBS (up 13.6%), and benzene (up 11.4%). Conversely, the largest declines were seen in liquid chlorine (down 464.3%), natural gas (down 8.1%), and formic acid (down 7.4%). The report attributes the significant rise in butadiene prices to increased downstream demand and supply constraints [15][16]. 3. Investment Recommendations - Recommended companies include: - Wanhua Chemical: Core product MDI shows recent profit improvement, with upcoming petrochemical and new material projects [13]. - Huangma Technology: A leader in specialty polyether, responding positively to previous macro demand pressures [13]. - Runfeng Co., Ltd.: A rare company with global formulation registration and sales channels [13]. - Guoguang Co., Ltd.: A leading domestic differentiated formulation company in the plant growth regulator sector [13]. - Hualu Hengsheng: Core product prices are recovering alongside falling coal prices, leading to improved price differentials [13].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook on the chemical industry, particularly focusing on the recovery of the textile and home appliance chains, as well as the potential boost in corporate profits from the relaxation of urea and phosphate fertilizer export policies [3][4]. Core Insights - The report highlights a positive trend in the chemical sector driven by easing tariffs between China and the US, which is expected to benefit companies in the textile and home appliance supply chains [3][4]. - The ongoing Bayer litigation regarding glyphosate may lead to a significant restructuring in the glyphosate industry, potentially improving market conditions for alternative products [3][4]. - The report anticipates that the relaxation of export policies for urea and phosphate fertilizers will significantly enhance the profitability of related companies due to the current price differentials between domestic and international markets [3][4]. Summary by Sections Industry Dynamics - Current macroeconomic conditions in the chemical sector indicate a stabilization in oil prices due to geopolitical factors and OPEC+ production increases, while coal prices are expected to decline in the medium to long term [4][6]. - The report notes that the chemical industry PPI has shown a gradual recovery from negative values, with April's PPI at -3.2% year-on-year, primarily affected by weaker energy prices [6][8]. Investment Analysis - The report suggests focusing on traditional cyclical stocks and specific companies within the chemical sector, including Wanhua Chemical, Hualu Hengsheng, and others, which are expected to benefit from the current market conditions [3][4]. - It emphasizes the importance of identifying growth stocks with recovery potential in sectors such as semiconductor materials and OLED display materials, highlighting companies like Yake Technology and Lait Light [3][4]. Price Movements and Market Trends - The report provides detailed price movements for various chemical products, indicating a general upward trend in prices for PTA, MEG, and other key materials, driven by supply-demand dynamics and cost pressures [10][12]. - Fertilizer prices, including urea and phosphate, are expected to rise due to favorable export policies and market conditions, with current prices reported at 1830 CNY/ton for urea and 3400 CNY/ton for monoammonium phosphate [10][12].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the chemical industry [1]. Core Insights - The report highlights the potential revaluation of phosphate rock value due to ongoing supply-demand tensions, with increasing demand for phosphate fertilizers and lithium iron phosphate batteries [6][4]. - The chemical industry is expected to enter a restocking cycle in 2025, driven by low inventory levels and improving profitability among leading chemical companies [5][27]. - The report emphasizes the expansion of phosphate production capacity by Batian Co., which is set to increase its phosphate rock extraction capacity to 2 million tons per year [4][6]. Summary by Sections Core Target Tracking - The report tracks key companies in the chemical sector, including Batian Co., which is expanding its phosphate production capacity significantly [4][6]. - It also notes the performance of various chemical products, with a focus on price increases for butadiene and polyester filament due to favorable market conditions [10][14]. Market Observation - The chemical sector has shown a relative performance of 6.7% over the past month, outperforming the CSI 300 index [2]. - The report indicates that the chemical industry is experiencing a recovery phase, with several companies poised for growth due to favorable market dynamics [5][27]. Data Tracking - The report provides detailed tracking of price movements for key chemical products, including butadiene, polyester filament, and various fertilizers, indicating a general upward trend in prices [10][12][17]. - It also highlights the current chemical industry sentiment index at 93.10, reflecting a positive outlook for the sector [6][33]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies with low-cost expansion capabilities, such as Wanhua Chemical and various tire manufacturers, as well as those benefiting from rising product prices [5][7]. - It emphasizes the importance of high dividend yield companies in the chemical sector, particularly state-owned enterprises with stable financials [8][29].

证券研究报告 基础化工周报：尿素价格回升 能源化工首席证券分析师：陈淑娴，CFA 执业证书编号：S0600523020004 联系方式：chensx@dwzq.com.cn 能源化工研究助理：周少玟 执业证书编号：S0600123070007 联系方式：zhoushm@dwzq.com.cn 2025年05月18日 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 投资要点 2 ◼ 【聚氨酯板块】本周纯MDI/聚合MDI/TDI行业均价为17620/16300/11718元/吨，环比分别+345/+1150/+693元/ 吨，纯MDI/聚合MDI/TDI行业毛利分别为4280/3880/458元/吨，环比分别+98/+855/+607元/吨。 ◼ 【油煤气烯烃板块】①本周乙烷/丙烷/动力煤/石脑油均价分别为1374/4514/531/4145元/吨，环比分别+17/-91/- 9/+130元/吨。②本周聚乙烯均价为7897元/吨，环比+28元/吨，乙烷裂解/CTO/石脑油裂解制聚乙烯理论利润分别 为1157/1897/114元/吨，环比分别+15/+42/-90元/吨。③本周聚丙烯均价为7200元/吨，环比+0元/吨， PD ...

Core Viewpoint - The company, Hualu Hengsheng, has shown a mixed performance in its financial results for 2024 and Q1 2025, with significant revenue growth in 2024 but a decline in Q1 2025 profits due to falling product prices and increased costs [1][2][3]. Financial Performance - In 2024, Hualu Hengsheng reported a revenue of 34.226 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 25.55%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.903 billion yuan, up 9.14% year-on-year [1]. - For Q1 2025, the company’s revenue was 7.772 billion yuan, a decrease of 2.59% year-on-year, and the net profit attributable to shareholders was 707 million yuan, down 33.65% year-on-year [1]. Product Performance - In 2024, the revenue from various segments was as follows: new energy materials (16.433 billion yuan), fertilizers (7.297 billion yuan), organic amines (2.511 billion yuan), and acetic acid and derivatives (4.070 billion yuan) [2]. - The sales volume for new energy materials increased by 17.12% to 2.5522 million tons, while organic amines and fertilizers saw increases of 12.62% and 5.23%, respectively [2]. Price Trends - The prices of key products such as urea, isooctanol, and others declined in 2024 due to a downturn in the chemical industry [2]. - The average price changes for major raw materials in 2024 were as follows: coal (843.5 yuan/ton, down 15.65%), benzene (7377.5 yuan/ton, up 11.44%), and propylene (6200 yuan/ton, up 1.81%) [2]. Cost Structure - Sales expenses increased by 47.95% in 2024, with a sales expense ratio of 0.26%, up 0.04 percentage points year-on-year. Financial expenses surged by 223.39%, with a financial expense ratio of 0.64%, up 0.39 percentage points [3]. - The net cash flow from operating activities was 4.968 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.36%, while cash flow from investing activities was -5.075 billion yuan, up 30.29% year-on-year [3]. Future Outlook - Revenue projections for Hualu Hengsheng from 2025 to 2027 are estimated at 34.423 billion yuan, 38.571 billion yuan, and 39.880 billion yuan, representing year-on-year growth rates of 0.6%, 12.1%, and 3.4%, respectively [3]. - Net profit forecasts for the same period are 3.853 billion yuan, 4.429 billion yuan, and 5.239 billion yuan, with year-on-year changes of -1.3%, 14.0%, and 18.2% [3].

事件2：2025 年4 月25 日，华鲁恒升发布2025 年一季报，1Q25 公司营业收入为77.72 亿元，同比下降 2.59%；归母净利润为7.07 亿元，同比下降33.65%。 点评：荆州一期项目逐步放量，以量补价推动公司整体业绩增长。公司2024年新能源新材料相关产品/ 肥料/有机胺/醋酸及衍生品板块收入分别为164.33/72.97/25.11/40.70 亿元， YoY 分别为 6.19%/28.55%/-6.12%/98.34%， 毛利率分别为13.07%/29.90%/6.54%/27.62%， 同比变 化-4.17/-5.17/-6.33/6.67pcts。 事件1：2025 年3 月28 日，华鲁恒升发布2024 年年报。公司2024 年收入为342.26 亿元，同比上升 25.55%；归母净利润为39.03 亿元，同比上升9.14%；扣非归母净利润为38.70 亿元，同比上升4.49%。 对应公司4Q24营业收入为90.46 亿元，环比上升10.26%；归母净利润为8.54 亿元，环比上升3.52%。 风险提示：项目进度不及预期的风险、市场竞争加剧的风险、政策变化的风险、产品需求不及预期 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the chemical industry, indicating a "Look Favorably" investment rating for the public fund's heavy positions in the chemical sector for Q4 2024 and Q1 2025 [2]. Core Insights - The overall allocation of public funds in the chemical sector has seen a continuous decline, with the proportion of heavy chemical positions dropping from 2.50% in Q4 2024 to 1.99% in Q1 2025, indicating a position below historical averages [4][10]. - The top ten heavy positions in the chemical sector have experienced a significant decrease in market value share, influenced by fluctuating oil prices and trade barrier concerns, while certain high-certainty price elastic chemicals and new materials have seen an increase in their allocation [4][16]. - The total market value of chemical holdings by public funds has consistently declined, with the top 30 funds' heavy chemical stock market value falling by 20.2% to 66.312 billion yuan in Q4 2024 and by 20.4% to 52.816 billion yuan in Q1 2025 [32][34]. Summary by Sections 1. Changes in Public Fund Holdings in the Chemical Sector - The national heavy chemical allocation has decreased, with regional allocations in East China dropping from 3.03% to 2.05%, South China from 2.92% to 2.32%, and North China from 2.37% to 1.40% [10]. - The number of funds holding major chemical stocks has decreased, with notable declines in traditional blue-chip stocks due to trade barrier concerns, while some high-dividend stocks have seen an increase in fund holdings [22][27]. 2. Market Value and Concentration of Chemical Holdings - The market value of the top 30 funds' heavy chemical stocks has decreased significantly, with a drop in concentration from 90.36% to 87.39% of total heavy chemical stock market value [32][34]. - The top holdings include WanHua Chemical, SaiLun Tire, and China National Offshore Oil Corporation, with WanHua Chemical's market value share decreasing from 14.03% to 12.72% [32][34].