Investment Rating - The report rates the chemical industry as "Outperform" [1] Core Views - The report highlights the increase in lithium hexafluorophosphate prices and the decline in international oil and carbon black prices. It suggests focusing on sectors mentioned in the "14th Five-Year Plan," undervalued leading companies, the impact of "anti-involution" on supply, and the importance of self-sufficiency in electronic materials [1][3] Summary by Sections Industry Dynamics - In the week of November 3-9, 2025, 19 out of 100 tracked chemical products saw price increases, while 45 experienced declines, and 36 remained stable. The average price of lithium hexafluorophosphate rose to 119,000 CNY/ton, a 12.26% increase from the previous week and a 115.38% increase year-on-year [10][34] - International oil prices fell, with WTI crude closing at 59.75 USD/barrel (down 2.02%) and Brent crude at 63.63 USD/barrel (down 2.21%). U.S. oil production increased to an average of 13.651 million barrels per day, up 0.7 thousand barrels from the previous week [10][33] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on sectors highlighted in the "14th Five-Year Plan," undervalued leading companies, the effects of "anti-involution" on supply, and the growing importance of self-sufficiency in electronic materials. It suggests that policy support may lead to demand recovery and improved performance for leading companies [12][10] - Long-term investment themes include the rapid development of downstream industries such as semiconductor materials, OLED materials, and new energy materials, as well as maintaining high or improving conditions in sub-industries like fluorochemicals, agrochemicals, refining, dyes, polyester filament, and tires [12][10] Key Products and Price Changes - The report notes significant price changes among various chemical products, with dichloromethane, vitamin E, and toluene seeing notable increases, while trichloroethylene, styrene-butadiene rubber, and methanol experienced declines [32][36] - The average price of carbon black decreased to 5,981 CNY/ton, down 5.53% from the previous week and down 26.31% year-on-year [35] Market Performance - The basic chemical industry index rose by 3.54%, ranking 5th among 31 primary industries, while the oil and petrochemical sector increased by 4.47%, ranking 3rd [10][11]

Core Viewpoint - The chemical industry must embrace green low-carbon transformation as a necessary choice for high-quality development, focusing on resource utilization, technological empowerment, and management system improvement to achieve sustainability [1][2][3]. Group 1: Resource Utilization - Chemical companies should adopt clean production processes to enhance resource utilization and recycling levels, aiming for waste reduction, harmlessness, and resource recovery. For instance, Hualu Hensheng has implemented various energy-saving modifications and technological innovations, focusing on heat recovery, steam utilization, and comprehensive water use [1]. - The company has conducted energy and water balance tests to understand energy consumption and optimize resource allocation across its facilities, maximizing the value of energy and resources [1]. Group 2: Technological Empowerment - The industry needs to accelerate equipment upgrades, phasing out outdated machinery and promoting energy-efficient technologies such as high-efficiency compressors and low-nitrogen burners. Hualu Hensheng has adopted a "reduce and add" approach, eliminating older production processes and optimizing energy use in new projects [2]. - The company emphasizes selecting products that meet national energy efficiency standards during the design phase of new projects, integrating energy efficiency indicators into procurement documents and contracts to control energy consumption from the source [2]. Group 3: Management System Improvement - Chemical companies should establish comprehensive carbon footprint maps and develop tiered emission reduction roadmaps while actively participating in carbon market trading. Hualu Hensheng has initiated carbon footprint evaluations for various products, identifying high energy consumption and carbon emission stages to uncover reduction potential [3]. - The company has implemented a dual-carbon responsibility system, incorporating carbon emission intensity into performance assessments to ensure accountability across all levels of the organization [3].

（文章来源：证券时报网） 据天眼查APP显示，山东华鲁恒升化工股份有限公司成立于2000年04月26日，注册资本212321.9998万 人民币。（数据宝） 数据宝统计，截至14:01，华鲁恒升成交额16.42亿元，创2024年10月9日以来新高。最新股价上涨 4.70%，换手率2.70%。上一交易日该股全天成交额为7.11亿元。 ...

Group 1 - The chemical sector has seen a significant rise, with the chemical ETF (159870) increasing by 2.12% and a net subscription of 500 million units during the trading session [1] - Multiple industries are actively responding to the domestic "anti-involution" initiative, promoting industry self-discipline to reshape product supply and demand balance, thereby boosting product prices and enhancing industry profitability [1] - According to GGII statistics, the domestic energy storage lithium battery shipment volume is expected to reach 430 GWh in the first three quarters of 2025, exceeding 30% of the total for 2024, with an anticipated annual total of 580 GWh, representing a year-on-year growth of 67% [1] Group 2 - CITIC Securities highlights three main trading lines in the chemical sector: 1) Energy storage demand driving the improvement of the industry chain's prosperity, with a reshaping of the supply-demand pattern for upstream lithium battery materials; 2) Continued emphasis on "anti-involution" in the chemical sector, leading to potential price recovery for chemical products; 3) High prosperity within the chemical industry itself, with core businesses expected to maintain high growth [1] - As of November 10, 2025, the CSI sub-sector chemical industry theme index (000813) rose by 1.86%, with significant increases in component stocks such as Luxi Chemical (000830) up by 9.99% and Hengyi Petrochemical (000703) up by 8.11% [2] - The CSI sub-sector chemical industry theme index closely tracks the performance of large and liquid listed companies in the chemical sector, reflecting the overall performance of these companies [2]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained as "Buy" with a target price of RMB 31.50 [1][5]. Core Views - The report indicates that the demand for oxalic acid is expected to improve due to growth in the rare earth and lithium battery sectors, with a competitive landscape that is favorable [1]. - The company has a production capacity of 700,000 tons per year for oxalic acid and 300,000 tons per year for caprolactam, positioning it to benefit from the anticipated recovery in market conditions [1]. - The report highlights that the domestic competition for oxalic acid is relatively good, with the company holding a significant market share [3]. Summary by Sections Oxalic Acid Market Outlook - The apparent consumption of oxalic acid in China is projected to reach approximately 417,000 tons in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 87%. The rare earth separation and new energy sectors contribute significantly to this demand [2]. - The oxalic acid precipitation method is a mature technology for rare earth separation, which is expected to support continued demand growth as the strategic importance of rare earth resources increases [2]. Competitive Landscape - As of November 2025, the domestic oxalic acid production capacity is about 1.19 million tons, with a concentrated market where the company holds a 59% share [3]. - The company utilizes a gasification platform to co-produce dimethyl carbonate and oxalic acid, which offers cost and environmental advantages over traditional methods [3]. Caprolactam Market Dynamics - The caprolactam industry is undergoing a "de-involution" process, with companies discussing measures to reduce production by 20% and increase prices by RMB 100 per ton [4]. - The report anticipates that the supply-demand balance will improve, aiding in price recovery for various chemical products [4]. Financial Projections - The company is expected to achieve net profits of RMB 32 billion, RMB 45 billion, and RMB 54 billion for the years 2025 to 2027, respectively, with corresponding EPS of RMB 1.50, RMB 2.10, and RMB 2.56 [5][9]. - The target price of RMB 31.50 reflects a 15x PE ratio for 2026, considering the company's scale advantages and growth potential from new projects [5].

Market Overview - On November 10, A-shares opened higher but experienced fluctuations, with the Shanghai Composite Index falling below 4000 points and the ChiNext Index down 1.68% [1] - The chemical, petroleum, coal, and food and beverage sectors showed strength, while the communication and electronics sectors struggled [1] Chemical Sector Performance - The chemical sector continued to strengthen, with significant activity in fluorine and phosphorus chemicals [3] - Key stocks such as LUXI Chemical, Chengxing Shares, and Hualu Hengsheng hit the daily limit, while Dongyue Silicon Material rose over 10% [3][4] - Lithium battery electrolyte stocks were particularly active, with Huasheng Lithium Battery reaching a 20% limit up [5] Lithium Battery Market Insights - From October 1 to November 7, the price of lithium hexafluorophosphate surged from 61,000 yuan/ton to 121,500 yuan/ton, marking a recent high [6] - CITIC Securities reported that the chemical sector is trading based on three main themes: increased demand for energy storage, ongoing industry self-discipline, and high growth potential in the chemical industry [7] Storage Chip Sector Activity - On November 10, storage chip stocks surged, with ShenGong Co. hitting a 20% limit up shortly after opening [8] - Other stocks like Yintang Zhikong also reached the daily limit, indicating strong market interest [10] NAND Flash Price Increase - Reports indicated that SanDisk raised NAND flash contract prices by 50% in November, causing a ripple effect throughout the storage supply chain [12] - This price increase highlights supply tightness in the storage market, with expectations of accelerated profit releases for domestic storage module companies by the second half of 2025 due to rising prices [12]

Group 1: Chemical Sector Performance - The chemical sector continues to strengthen, with significant activity in fluorine and phosphorus chemicals, as well as lithium battery electrolyte stocks [3][7] - Notable stocks include Dongyue Silicon Material, which rose by 13.18%, and several others like LUXI Chemical and Chengxing Shares, which reached their daily limit [4][3] - Lithium carbonate prices have surged, with the price of lithium hexafluorophosphate increasing from 61,000 yuan/ton to 121,500 yuan/ton between October 1 and November 7, marking a new high [6] Group 2: Semiconductor Sector Activity - Semiconductor storage stocks experienced a collective surge, with ShenGong Co. hitting a 20% limit up, trading at 61.19 yuan per share [8][10] - Other companies in the semiconductor space, such as Yingtang Zhikong and Dayi Co., also reached their daily limit [9][10] - Reports indicate that SanDisk has raised NAND flash contract prices by 50%, causing a ripple effect throughout the storage supply chain and highlighting supply tightness [10][11] Group 3: Market Trends and Projections - CITIC Securities reports that the chemical sector is trading based on three main themes: increased demand for energy storage, ongoing industry self-discipline, and high growth potential in the chemical products sector [7] - According to招商证券, the storage industry is entering an accelerated growth phase driven by surging demand in the AI era, with limited supply-side capacity leading to a widening supply-demand gap and rising prices [11]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market shows mixed performance with sectors like lithium battery electrolyte and fluorochemical leading the gains, indicating a positive trend in the chemical industry driven by demand from the new energy sector [1] Group 1: Market Performance - On November 10, the A-share market experienced a divergence in performance, with the Zhongzheng Petrochemical Industry Index rising over 2%, and stocks like Luxi Chemical hitting the daily limit [1] - The Petrochemical ETF (159731) has seen significant net inflows, totaling 101 million yuan over the past 10 trading days, indicating strong investor interest [1] Group 2: Industry Trends - In September, the production of new energy vehicles reached 1.58 million units, accounting for 49% of total automobile production, with lithium iron phosphate batteries making up 73% of domestic power battery sales [1] - The lithium battery industry is entering a peak season in October, with production across the entire supply chain expected to increase by 3% to 9% month-on-month and 21% to 51% year-on-year [1] - Cumulative production of lithium carbonate, batteries, and key materials has shown a year-on-year increase of 27% to 58% as of October, with significant growth in battery anode materials and electrolytes exceeding 40% year-on-year [1] Group 3: Investment Recommendations - CITIC Securities highlights three main trading themes in the chemical sector: 1. The demand for energy storage is boosting the industry's overall outlook, with a reshaping of supply and demand dynamics for upstream lithium battery materials [1] 2. Continued efforts to combat internal competition in the chemical sector are expected to lead to a recovery in chemical product prices [1] 3. The chemical industry is experiencing high levels of prosperity, with core business expected to maintain strong growth [1] Group 4: ETF and Fund Insights - The Petrochemical ETF (159731) and its linked funds closely track the Zhongzheng Petrochemical Industry Index, with the basic chemical industry accounting for 60.8% and the oil and petrochemical industry for 32.2%, positioning them to benefit from the improved industry outlook and anti-internal competition policies [2]

Core Viewpoint - The petrochemical sector is experiencing significant growth, with the China Securities Petrochemical Industry Index rising by 2.3% and notable gains in individual stocks, indicating strong investor interest and capital inflow into the sector [1][3]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of November 10, 2025, the China Securities Petrochemical Industry Index has increased by 2.3%, with stocks like Luxi Chemical hitting the daily limit and Hualu Hengsheng rising by 9.63% [1]. - The Petrochemical ETF (159731) has also seen a rise of 2.29%, marking its third consecutive increase, with the latest price at 0.85 yuan [1]. - Over the past 10 trading days, the Petrochemical ETF has recorded net inflows on 9 days, totaling 101 million yuan, with its latest share count reaching 193 million and total assets at 160 million yuan, both hitting a one-year high [1]. Group 2: ETF Performance Metrics - As of November 7, 2025, the Petrochemical ETF has achieved a net value increase of 25.33% over the past six months [3]. - The ETF's highest single-month return since inception was 15.86%, with the longest streak of consecutive monthly gains being 6 months and a maximum increase of 23.51% [3]. - The average monthly return during the rising months is 5.06%, and the ETF has outperformed its benchmark with an annualized excess return of 6.12% over the last six months [3]. Group 3: Risk and Tracking Precision - The maximum drawdown for the Petrochemical ETF over the past six months is 6.47%, with a relative benchmark drawdown of 0.14%, indicating the lowest drawdown among comparable funds [3]. - The recovery time after drawdown is 21 days, showcasing the ETF's resilience [3]. - The tracking error for the ETF over the past month is 0.034%, which is the highest tracking precision among comparable funds [3]. Group 4: Top Holdings - As of October 31, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the China Securities Petrochemical Industry Index account for 56.05% of the index, with Wanhua Chemical, China Petroleum, and Salt Lake Industry being the top three [3]. - The weightings and recent performance of key stocks include Wanhua Chemical at 10.47% with a 4.40% increase, China Petroleum at 7.63% with a 1.54% increase, and Salt Lake Industry at 6.44% with a 2.01% increase [5].

Group 1 - The chemical sector continues to perform strongly, with the basic chemical sector leading the gains among 30 CITIC primary industries, reflecting a robust overall trend [1] - The Chemical ETF (516020) saw a price increase of 2.25%, with intraday gains reaching up to 3% [1][2] - Key stocks in the sector, such as Luxi Chemical and Hualu Hengsheng, experienced significant price increases of over 9% and 8% respectively [1] Group 2 - The basic chemical sector attracted over 2.65 billion CNY in net inflows from major funds on the day, the highest among all CITIC primary industries [3] - Over the past five trading days, the sector accumulated a total of 43.9 billion CNY in net inflows, ranking second among the 30 CITIC primary industries [3] - Analysts suggest that the chemical sector has been in a long-term bottoming phase, with significant upward potential due to reduced competition [3] Group 3 - The fluorochemical industry is expected to enter a long-term prosperity cycle, with growth potential across various segments, including refrigerants and high-end fluorinated materials [3] - The phosphate chemical sector is anticipated to maintain high price levels due to increased barriers to entry and challenges in processing phosphogypsum [3] - The PTA industry is projected to experience positive development due to limited new capacity and high industry concentration, leading to significant profit potential [4] Group 4 - The Chemical ETF (516020) tracks the CSI sub-industry chemical theme index, with nearly 50% of its holdings concentrated in large-cap leading stocks, providing an efficient way to invest in the sector [5] - The ETF offers exposure to various sub-sectors, including phosphate and fluorochemical industries, allowing investors to capture opportunities across the chemical sector [5] Group 5 - Current valuations in the chemical sector are relatively low, with the chemical ETF's index price-to-book ratio at 2.36, indicating a favorable long-term investment opportunity [4] - The sector is expected to benefit from a rebound in oil prices and ongoing efforts to reduce competition, suggesting significant mid-term upside potential [9]