经济观察网2026年2月11日，三维股份（603033）接受机构调研，披露公司已形成"化工、交通"两大领 域三大主业的业务格局。其中新材料化工业务在内蒙古乌海市布局30万吨/年BDO和36万吨/年电石产 能，未来将向上游拓展兰炭、绿电等产能，向下游拓展PBAT等可降解塑料产能，目标是成为全球BDO 及可降解塑料一体化龙头企业。轨道交通业务重点布局珠三角、长三角及"一带一路"沿线省份，如四 川、云南，致力于高铁和地铁项目开拓。同日，公司股价报收11.36元，上涨1.25%，成交额1.09亿元。 股票近期走势近7日(2026年2月5日至12日)，三维股份股价区间振幅达6.32%，最高价为2月9日的11.76 元，最低价为2月6日的11.04元。截至2月12日收盘，股价为11.20元，当日下跌1.41%，换手率0.64%， 成交金额7221万元。资金流向显示，2月11日主力资金净流出296.72万元，但游资资金净流入332.43万 元。同期，公司所属基础化工板块下跌0.23%，橡胶板块上涨0.09%，表现略弱于行业平均水平。 机构观点根据2月11日机构调研记录，公司对2025年业绩预告进行解读：预计全年净利润亏损2 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company is committed to the real economy, focusing on its existing industries and forming a business structure centered around two main fields: chemicals and transportation [2] Group 1: Chemical Industry - The new materials chemical business has a production base located in Wuhai City, Inner Mongolia, with established capacities of 300,000 tons/year for BDO and 360,000 tons/year for calcium carbide [2] - Future plans include expanding production capacities for lanthanum carbon and green electricity, as well as developing new material capacities for PBAT [2] - The company aims to become a leading integrated enterprise in BDO and biodegradable plastics on a global scale [2] Group 2: Transportation Industry - The rail transportation business focuses on key regions such as the Pearl River Delta, Yangtze River Delta, and provinces along the Belt and Road Initiative, including Yunnan and Sichuan [2] - The company is dedicated to the development of high-speed rail construction and urban subway projects [2] Group 3: Rubber and Chemical Fiber Industries - The rubber products and chemical fiber production bases are located in Sanmen County, with main products including rubber conveyor belts, V-belts, polyester chips, and polyester industrial yarns [2] - The company is recognized as one of the leading enterprises in the rubber conveyor belt and V-belt sectors in China [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the significant impact of the cancellation of export VAT rebates on various industries, particularly in the chemical and photovoltaic sectors, which is expected to stimulate short-term export activities and initiate long-term supply-side reforms and concentration in these industries [1] - The New Materials ETF Huaxia (516710) rose by 1.64%, with constituent stocks such as China National Materials and China Jushi hitting the daily limit, and Wanhua Chemical increasing by over 3% [1] - The Ministry of Finance and the State Taxation Administration announced the cancellation of export VAT rebates for 249 products starting from April 1, 2026, affecting over 80 chemical products including methanol, lithium hexafluorophosphate, 1,2-ethanediol, BDO, and PVC [1] Group 2 - The New Materials ETF Huaxia closely tracks the CSI New Materials Theme Index, which selects 50 listed companies involved in advanced steel, non-ferrous metals, chemicals, and inorganic non-metallic materials, reflecting the overall performance of securities in the new materials sector [1] - The new materials content in the index reaches 79.85%, ranking first across all market dimensions [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company has established a 360,000 tons/year calcium carbide production capacity at its BDO integrated project in Ulanqab, Inner Mongolia, primarily to meet the raw material needs for its first phase of 300,000 tons/year BDO production [1] Group 1 - The BDO integrated project aims for a total scale of 900,000 tons/year BDO production, with a supporting calcium carbide facility of 1,200,000 tons/year [1] - Upon completion, the project is expected to rank among the top in domestic production capacity [1]

PBT：多空消息博弈 PBT价格稳定 【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点，与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立，不 对所包含内容的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证。请读者仅作参考，并请自行承担 全部责任。邮箱：news_center@staff.hexun.com 地缘局势缓和，国际原油低开低走对PTA成本支撑减弱，PTA行情宽幅下滑，BDO缺乏最新消息指引价 格维持稳定，PBT综合成本下移，此外PBT下游陆续进入假期阶段，市场观望情绪浓厚，暂未闻公开大 单成交。但是节前部分主力供应商检修，对近期PBT价格形成支撑。截至2月2日上午，PBT华东市场主 流成交区间在7750-7950元/吨，商谈均价维持稳定。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Shaanxi Black Cat (601015.SH) is expected to continue incurring losses in 2025, with projected net losses ranging from 1.19 billion to 1.09 billion yuan, primarily due to declining sales prices of its main products and pressure from both upstream coal and downstream steel industries [2][3] Financial Performance - In 2024, Shaanxi Black Cat reported a loss of 1.158 billion yuan, and the anticipated loss for 2025 is even greater, leading to cumulative losses exceeding 2 billion yuan over the past three years [3] - As of September 30, 2025, the company's total assets decreased by 9% to 19.411 billion yuan, and shareholders' equity fell by 35% to 5.639 billion yuan compared to the end of 2022 [4] - The company's debt ratio increased from 48% at the end of 2022 to approximately 62.02% by September 2025, indicating rising financial pressure [4] Market Conditions - The average selling price of Shaanxi Black Cat's main products, particularly coke, has significantly declined, with the average price dropping by 28.15% year-on-year in Q1 2025 [6] - The price of coke rebounded in the second half of 2025, but this was primarily driven by rising raw material costs rather than increased demand from the steel industry [6][7] Strategic Response - To address the current challenges, the company plans to extend its operations upstream into the coal sector and enhance its chemical product chain, focusing on high-value products [7] - Shaanxi Black Cat is investing heavily in projects such as the Inner Mongolia Black Cat project and Xinjiang coal projects to reduce costs and improve revenue [7] Industry Dynamics - The pricing of coke is heavily influenced by the cost of coking coal and the purchasing demand from steel mills, which hold significant pricing power in the supply chain [9] - Analysts predict that the coke market will remain oversupplied in 2026, with prices continuing to fluctuate based on coking coal costs and steel mill profitability [9]

Core Viewpoint - Shaanxi Black Cat is expected to continue incurring losses in 2025, with a projected net profit attributable to shareholders ranging from -1.19 billion to -1.09 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 2.73% to 5.90% [1][7]. Company Performance - In the first half of 2025, Shaanxi Black Cat reported total operating revenue of 5.234 billion yuan, a decrease of 32.46% year-on-year, and a net loss of 462 million yuan [5]. - By the third quarter, the company faced continued operational pressure, with quarterly revenue of 2.619 billion yuan, down 28.67% year-on-year, leading to a cumulative revenue of 7.852 billion yuan for the first three quarters, a decline of 31.24% [5]. - The third quarter alone saw a loss of 284 million yuan, an increase of 44.32% year-on-year, resulting in a total loss of 746 million yuan for the first three quarters [5]. Industry Context - The coking coal industry is under pressure due to rising upstream raw material prices and a sluggish downstream market, which is expected to persist into 2025 [3]. - Shaanxi Black Cat's performance is heavily influenced by the volatility of coking coal prices, which have declined, leading to reduced gross margins and losses in its main business [2][5]. Financial Management - Despite declining performance, the company has shown positive signals in cash flow management, with a net cash flow from operating activities turning positive at 53 million yuan in the first half of 2025, and a cumulative improvement of 174.58% year-on-year for the first three quarters [6]. - The improvement in cash flow is attributed to a reduction in expenses related to raw material purchases, although this has been accompanied by increased borrowing to maintain operations [6][8]. Strategic Adjustments - To address funding needs amid industry fluctuations, Shaanxi Black Cat has engaged in asset disposals, including a 600 million yuan capital increase to Xinjiang Black Cat Coal Industry and the transfer of production capacity to its subsidiary [9][10]. - The company plans to sell its 100% stake in Hongneng Coal Industry and related debts for a total of 1.137 billion yuan, which is expected to enhance cash flow and alleviate debt burdens [11][13]. - The asset sales are part of a strategic shift to focus resources on key production bases in Shaanxi, Inner Mongolia, and Xinjiang, despite concerns about the long-term viability of its core business amid ongoing losses [12][13].

Core Viewpoint - The Ministry of Finance and the State Taxation Administration announced an adjustment to the export tax rebate policy for photovoltaic and other products, effective from April 1, 2026, which will cancel the VAT export rebate for 249 products, including those in the photovoltaic, chemical, and building materials sectors [1]. Group 1: Policy Changes - From April 1, 2026, the VAT export rebate for 249 products will be canceled, affecting over 80 chemical products including methanol, lithium hexafluorophosphate, 1,2-ethanediol, BDO, and PVC [1]. - The export tax rebate rate for battery products will be reduced from 9% to 6% from April 1, 2026, until December 31, 2026, and will be completely canceled starting January 1, 2027 [4]. Group 2: Affected Products - The list of affected chemical products includes lithium hexafluorophosphate (code 28269020), methanol (code 29051100), and 1,2-ethanediol (code 29053100) among others [2]. - The announcement specifies various chemical products that will be impacted by the policy change, indicating a broad range of sectors including agriculture and manufacturing [3][4].

Summary of Junzheng Group Conference Call Company Overview - Junzheng Group operates primarily in the energy chemical and chemical logistics sectors, being a leading player in the domestic calcium carbide and chlor-alkali industries with capacities of 2.4 million tons for calcium carbide, 800,000 tons for PVC, and 550,000 tons for caustic soda [4][5] - The company has also established a new industrial chain including 3 million tons of coking capacity, 550,000 tons of methanol, 300,000 tons of BDO, and 120,000 tons of PTMEG [4] Financial Performance - For the first half of 2026, Junzheng Group reported revenues of 12.6 billion yuan, with the energy chemical segment contributing 9.3 billion yuan and the chemical logistics segment contributing 3.4 billion yuan [2][5] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.92 billion yuan, with 1.5 billion yuan from the energy chemical segment and slightly over 400 million yuan from the logistics segment [2][5] - The company has a strong dividend policy, having distributed a total of 14.5 billion yuan in dividends over 14 years, representing 45.7% of net profit [3][16] Cost Advantages - Junzheng Group benefits from significant cost advantages due to self-generated electricity, with 1,185 MW from thermal power and 450 MW from solar power, generating 9.1 billion kWh annually [2][6] - The depreciation costs for major production facilities have been completed, providing a cost advantage of over 100 yuan per ton of product [2][6] Industry Dynamics - New capacity for calcium carbide, PVC, and caustic soda is limited due to policy restrictions, with expected annual growth in PVC demand driven by strong export growth, particularly from India [2][8] - The chlor-alkali supply-demand situation is expected to improve, aided by a potential increase in real estate demand in the U.S. due to interest rate cuts [2][8] Environmental Policies - The dual carbon goals are impacting high-energy-consuming products like calcium carbide, with signs of production cuts in the BDO industry [9][10] - The trend towards mercury-free production in PVC is gaining traction, with Junzheng Group testing mercury-free catalysts since 2022, although this requires capital investment and may increase production costs [12][14] Future Investments - Junzheng Group signed a framework agreement for wind-solar hydrogen production with an initial investment of approximately 2.5 billion yuan [2][16] - The logistics segment plans to invest no more than 6.4 billion yuan to build 20 chemical tankers, expected to be completed between 2026 and 2027 [2][16] Market Outlook - The profitability of the industry is currently under pressure, with many PVC companies reporting losses as of November, although there are signs of price recovery in the commodity market [17]

证券代码：601015 证券简称：陕西黑猫 公告编号：2026-001 陕西黑猫焦化股份有限公司 2025 年第四季度主要经营数据公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担个别及连带责任。 根据上海证券交易所《上市公司行业信息披露指引第十三号—化工》的规定， 现将公司 2025 年第四季度主要经营数据披露如下： | 主要产品 | 产量（万吨） | 销量（万吨） | 销售收入（万元） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 焦炭 | 129.88 | 123.14 | 166,676.65 | | 焦油 | 4.92 | 4.89 | 13,640.64 | | 粗苯 | 1.58 | 1.62 | 6,226.62 | | 甲醇 | 6.25 | 5.91 | 10,080.76 | | 合成氨 | 4.39 | 3.99 | 7,075.45 | | LNG | 3.13 | 2.85 | 9,992.98 | | BDO | 0.96 | 1.06 | 6,194.88 | | 精煤 | 7.36 | ...