Group 1: Key Points on Jiachi Technology - Jiachi Technology is positioned as a core supplier of stealth materials for aerospace, with expected continuous growth in performance driven by the accelerated demand for stealth materials due to the ramp-up of aerospace equipment [1][2] - The projected net profit for Jiachi Technology from 2025 to 2027 is estimated at 5.35 billion, 7.73 billion, and 9.94 billion yuan, with corresponding EPS of 1.34, 1.93, and 2.48 yuan [1][2] - A target price of 83.68 yuan has been set for Jiachi Technology, with a recommendation to "increase holdings" [1][2] Group 2: Key Points on Public Utilities - Recent policies in Jiangsu and Guangdong provinces aim to reduce vicious competition in electricity trading, which is expected to enhance market valuation [5][31] - The electricity market is gradually improving, with encouragement for private enterprises to enter the nuclear power sector, indicating a trend towards marketization [5][31] - The guidance on promoting renewable energy consumption includes a commitment to add at least 200 million kilowatts of new renewable energy installations annually to meet increasing electricity demand [31][32] Group 3: Key Points on Transportation - Anhui Expressway's acquisition of group road assets is expected to significantly enhance performance, with the completion of expansion projects driving accelerated profit growth [9][10] - The projected net profit for Anhui Expressway in 2025 has been revised upwards to 20 billion yuan, with a target price adjustment to 19.66 yuan [9][10] - The company is expected to benefit from a proposed acquisition of a 7% stake in Shandong Expressway, which could add approximately 200 million yuan to annual investment income [10][11]

Company and Industry Summary Company Overview - The company, Tunnel Corporation, has faced poor performance in the first three quarters due to the negative impact from Huada Jiutian, but expects a strong performance in Q4 to achieve its annual profit growth target [2][3] - The company is actively expanding its domestic and international business, focusing on regions such as Hong Kong, Macau, Southeast Asia (with Singapore as the core), and the Middle East (e.g., Dubai) [2][4] Key Points and Arguments Financial Performance - The company anticipates a strong Q4 performance, which is typically robust, to support the overall annual profit growth target despite the challenges faced in the first three quarters [3] - The company aims to improve project profit margins through cost reduction and efficiency enhancement, with preliminary results already visible in the Q3 report [2][6] Business Strategy - The company plans to reduce the proportion of investment income by 2025, focusing more on the profitability of its core business rather than relying heavily on investment income as seen in 2024 [2][7] - The operational business currently contributes about 8% to 10% of revenue, with plans to increase this contribution to over 20% by expanding existing services and entering new markets [8] Market Position and Valuation - The company believes its current price-to-book (PB) ratio of 0.68 indicates undervaluation, suggesting potential for improvement in market perception and valuation through operational optimization [4][10] - The company’s asset quality is considered strong, with a focus on converting construction data into data asset products to unlock further value [4][12] Investment and Cash Flow - Future cash flow is expected to remain stable, with a commitment to maintaining a dividend payout ratio of no less than 30% [9] - The company’s equity investments are performing steadily, contributing positively to profits despite current market conditions [11] International Expansion - The company’s overseas strategy includes consulting, construction, investment, and operations, with a focus on markets like the Middle East and Southeast Asia, where demand for high-end digital and intelligent services is growing [16][18] - The company has established a strong presence in Singapore and is leveraging its experience to expand into other regions [17][18] Debt Management - The company has made significant progress in debt resolution over the past three years, benefiting from government support and new project opportunities [19] Additional Important Insights - The company is exploring new business growth points, including indoor services and static traffic management, to diversify its revenue streams [2][4] - The company is committed to high-quality development to enhance net profit margins rather than merely pursuing revenue growth [2][6]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" indicating a positive outlook for the sector [2][28]. Core Insights - Fixed asset investment growth has further declined, with a cumulative year-on-year decrease of 1.7% for January to October 2025, a drop of 1.2 percentage points compared to the previous period [4][5]. - Traditional infrastructure investment growth has turned negative, with infrastructure investment (excluding electricity) showing a year-on-year decrease of 0.1% [5]. - Real estate investment remains low, with a year-on-year decline of 14.7% for January to October 2025, indicating a weak recovery trajectory [11]. Summary by Sections Fixed Asset Investment - The cumulative year-on-year growth rate for fixed asset investment is -1.7%, with manufacturing investment at +2.7% [4]. - Infrastructure investment (all-inclusive) shows a year-on-year increase of 1.5%, but infrastructure investment excluding electricity is down by 0.1% [5]. Infrastructure Investment - Transportation, water conservancy, and public utility investments are under pressure, with transportation and postal services showing a slight increase of 0.1% year-on-year, while water and environmental management investments are down by 4.1% [5]. - Regional investment varies, with the eastern region down by 5.4% and the northeastern region down by 11.7% [5]. Real Estate Investment - Real estate investment has decreased by 14.7% year-on-year, with construction starts down by 19.8% and completions down by 16.9% [11]. - The report anticipates a slow recovery in real estate investment due to challenges in supply and inventory replenishment [11]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that in 2026, industry investment will stabilize, with emerging sectors expected to benefit from national strategic implementations [18]. - Specific companies to watch include Sichuan Road and Bridge, China Chemical, and others in the new infrastructure and overseas markets [18].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [9] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 34.395 billion yuan for the first three quarters, a year-on-year decrease of 19.83%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.210 billion yuan, down 19.35% year-on-year, while the net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was 983 million yuan, a decrease of 24.26% year-on-year [2][6] - The gross profit margin significantly improved, but investment income negatively impacted net profit performance. The overall gross margin for the first three quarters was 15.90%, an increase of 11.34 percentage points year-on-year. In Q3 alone, the gross margin was 16.80%, also up 11.34 percentage points year-on-year [12] - The company experienced a slight decline in operating cash flow year-on-year, with a net inflow of 357 million yuan for the first three quarters, down 20.30 million yuan. The cash collection ratio was 118.65%, an increase of 13.60 percentage points year-on-year [12] Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - The company achieved a total revenue of 34.395 billion yuan in the first three quarters, a decrease of 19.83% year-on-year. In Q3, the revenue was 12.374 billion yuan, down 16.73% year-on-year [6][12] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the first three quarters was 1.210 billion yuan, a decrease of 19.35% year-on-year. In Q3, the net profit was 483 million yuan, down 32.47% year-on-year [6][12] Margin and Expenses - The comprehensive gross margin for the first three quarters was 15.90%, an increase of 11.34 percentage points year-on-year. The Q3 gross margin was 16.80%, also up 11.34 percentage points year-on-year [12] - The operating expense ratio for the first three quarters was 12.72%, an increase of 2.37 percentage points year-on-year. In Q3, the operating expense ratio was 14.55%, up 4.38 percentage points year-on-year [12] Orders and Cash Flow - New contracts signed in Q3 amounted to 23.123 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.56%. The company’s cash flow from operating activities for the first three quarters was a net inflow of 357 million yuan, down 20.30 million yuan year-on-year [12] - The company’s asset-liability ratio decreased by 1.34 percentage points year-on-year to 75.62% [12]

Core Viewpoint - As of now, the company has no cooperative projects with Yajiang Group [1] Group 1 - The company confirmed on the interactive platform that there are currently no collaboration projects with Yajiang Group [1]

Core Viewpoint - Tunnel Corporation (600820.SH) has stated that there are currently no cooperative projects with Yajiang Group [1] Summary by Categories - Company Status - Tunnel Corporation has confirmed the absence of any ongoing collaboration with Yajiang Group as of now [1]

Core Viewpoint - The report from Guosheng Securities indicates that the investment income of Tunnel Corporation has impacted Q3 short-term performance, but a significant rebound in Q4 performance is expected due to a reduction in investment income drag compared to last year [1] Group 1: Performance Expectations - Last year's Q4 investment income was -148 million yuan, but this year's Q4 is anticipated to show a marked improvement [1] - Historically, Q4 performance accounts for approximately 50% of the annual net profit attributable to the parent company, suggesting a potential significant improvement in annual performance growth compared to the first three quarters [1] - The company is projected to achieve an annual performance growth of +1.3% and a Q4 performance growth of +24% [1] Group 2: Order Growth - Q3 saw a rapid increase in orders, particularly in road, real estate, and operational projects [1] - For the period from Q1 to Q3 of 2025, the company signed new contracts worth 69 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of +5.1% [1] - The new contracts signed in Q3 alone amounted to 22.8 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of +17% [1] Group 3: Profit Projections - Based on current and new orders, the projected net profit attributable to the parent company for 2025-2027 is expected to be 2.88 billion yuan, 3.06 billion yuan, and 3.23 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of +1.3%, +6.4%, and +5.4% respectively [1] - Corresponding earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 0.92 yuan, 0.97 yuan, and 1.03 yuan per share for the same years [1] - The current price-to-earnings (PE) ratios are estimated to be 7.3, 6.9, and 6.5 times for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, maintaining a "buy" rating [1]

Group 1 - Infrastructure investment growth has narrowed year-on-year, with the construction sector underperforming the broader market. Fixed asset investment from January to September 2025 decreased by 0.5% year-on-year, while infrastructure investment increased by 3.34%, a decline of 2.08 percentage points compared to the previous period. The construction industry's new contract value was 21.30 trillion yuan, down 4.6% year-on-year, with a significant slowdown in new orders due to local fiscal pressures [3][19][23] - The eight major state-owned enterprises (SOEs) maintained stable new contract signings, but there was an increase in corporate differentiation. The overall revenue growth of these SOEs decreased by 4.4% year-on-year, and net profit attributable to shareholders fell by 7.5% due to various pressures including slowing infrastructure investment and prolonged repayment cycles [4][49] - Recommended investment themes include overseas construction, urban renewal, digital construction, power engineering, and debt resolution. The overseas contracting business completed a total of 122.33 billion USD from January to September 2025, an increase of 11.4% year-on-year, with "Belt and Road" countries being the primary target [5][76][82] Group 2 - The construction sector's overall performance was weaker than the market, with the construction decoration index rising by 9.4% from early 2025 to October 29, underperforming the broader indices such as the Wind All A Index (+28.4%) and the CSI 300 Index (+20.7%) [23][27] - The construction sector's allocation ratio was 0.62% in Q3 2025, which is 0.94 percentage points lower than the industry standard allocation ratio. The total market value of public fund holdings in the construction sector decreased by 4.2% [35][39] - The eight major SOEs saw a decrease in their allocation ratios, with the top five holdings accounting for only 10.0% of the construction sector, indicating a lower concentration of holdings [39][41]

Core Insights - The company experienced a decline in revenue and profit in Q1-Q3 2025, with total revenue of 34.395 billion yuan, down 19.80% year-on-year, and net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.210 billion yuan, down 19.33% year-on-year [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company reported revenue of 12.374 billion yuan, a decrease of 16.70% year-on-year, with net profit attributable to shareholders at 483 million yuan, down 32.36% year-on-year [1] - The decline in net profit was primarily due to reduced investment income from joint ventures and associates, while the significant drop in non-recurring net profit was attributed to an increase in non-recurring gains and losses [1] - The comprehensive gross margin for Q1-Q3 2025 was 15.90%, an increase of 4.25 percentage points year-on-year, while the Q3 gross margin was 16.80%, up 11.37 percentage points year-on-year [3] - The net profit margin for Q1-Q3 2025 was 3.58%, a decrease of 0.19 percentage points year-on-year, and for Q3 it was 4.08%, down 1.11 percentage points year-on-year [3] Group 2: Order and Business Performance - The company secured new orders worth 69.029 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 5.06%, with Q3 new orders reaching 22.822 billion yuan, up 16.56% year-on-year [2] - The construction, design, operation, and digital business segments saw new contract values of 58.590 billion, 3.437 billion, 6.549 billion, and 0.452 billion yuan respectively in Q1-Q3 2025, with notable growth in the operation and digital segments [2] - The company’s new orders from outside Shanghai and overseas reached 26.963 billion and 3.901 billion yuan respectively, showing increases of 7.08% and 35.44% year-on-year, indicating a strong expansion in external and international markets [2] Group 3: Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company forecasts net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 to be 2.996 billion, 3.162 billion, and 3.364 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 5.46%, 5.52%, and 6.42% respectively [4] - The current stock price corresponds to price-to-earnings ratios of 6.93, 6.56, and 6.17 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 [4] - The company maintains a strong market position and is accelerating overseas business expansion while sustaining high dividend levels, leading to a resilient operational outlook and valuation advantage [4]

Core Theme - The 2025 Shanghai International Urban and Architecture Expo focuses on "Smart Empowerment of Urban and Rural Construction, Green Leadership in Low-Carbon Development" [1] Exhibition Overview - The expo covers an exhibition area of nearly 40,000 square meters, utilizing a "6+4+N" display model, which includes 6 major thematic display areas, 4 industry development areas, and multiple supporting activities [3] - The World Cities Day thematic exhibition area highlights the development history and major activities over the past 11 years, promoting international public products such as the Global Sustainable City Award (Shanghai Award) and the "Shanghai Index" [3] Local Achievements - The district-level construction achievements display area showcases practical cases from all 16 districts of Shanghai and the Lingang New Area, with a focus on the Pudong New Area's achievements in science and technology innovation [3] - The Xuhui District presents an urban "Hui Living Room," demonstrating innovative practices in urban construction and renewal across four dimensions: development, living, ecology, and intelligence [3] Industry Innovations - Leading companies such as Shanghai Urban Investment, China Construction Eighth Engineering Division, and Tunnel Corporation showcase core technologies and benchmark projects, highlighting advancements in the construction industry [6] - Tunnel Corporation's design group presents its "Geopolymer Enhanced Composite Mortar Non-Excavation Repair Technology," which offers a "minimally invasive" solution for urban pipelines, recognized as a high-tech achievement in Shanghai [6] - The "Smart City Cloud" series of products for urban infrastructure management utilizes AI models and integrates satellite remote sensing, drones, and ground sensors for precise health monitoring and early warning of critical infrastructure [6] Event Activities - The expo will host over 30 forums, industry matchmaking, and talent exchange activities, creating a comprehensive platform for exhibition, communication, and collaboration within the industry [6]