Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the banking sector, highlighting it as a low-volatility dividend play in a counter-cyclical environment and a strong performer in absolute returns during a pro-cyclical phase [6]. Core Insights - The first quarter of 2025 saw a decline in both revenue and net profit for listed banks, with revenue and net profit down 1.7% and 1.2% year-on-year, respectively. The main reasons for this decline were the expected decrease in interest margins and pressure from non-interest income [3][12]. - Loan growth has remained stable, with a year-on-year increase of 7.9% in the first quarter. Notably, banks in Jiangsu and Zhejiang, as well as Chengdu, continue to show strong economic performance, while Chongqing has emerged as a new growth area with loan growth exceeding 16% [3][4]. - The average net interest margin for listed banks was 1.54% in the first quarter, reflecting a slight quarter-on-quarter increase of 2 basis points, supported by a decrease in the cost of interest-bearing liabilities [4][12]. - The non-performing loan (NPL) ratio for listed banks decreased to 1.23%, with an estimated annualized NPL generation rate of approximately 0.63% [5][19]. - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on high-dividend yield banks, particularly those with solid provisions and growth opportunities in favorable policy environments [6][19]. Summary by Sections Performance Overview - The first quarter of 2025 saw a significant impact from the decline in interest margins and non-interest income, leading to a negative growth in both revenue and profit for listed banks [10][12]. - The report indicates that the performance of state-owned banks was below expectations, while city and rural commercial banks generally met expectations [3][19]. Loan and Credit Analysis - Loan growth has been stable, with a year-on-year increase of 7.9% in the first quarter. The report highlights that the demand for loans from small and medium-sized enterprises has weakened, affecting the growth rates of rural commercial banks [3][4]. Interest Margin and Cost Analysis - The report notes that the average net interest margin for listed banks improved slightly, with a quarter-on-quarter increase attributed to a reduction in the cost of interest-bearing liabilities [4][12]. Asset Quality and Risk Management - The NPL ratio for listed banks decreased to 1.23%, with proactive measures taken to manage and dispose of non-performing assets [5][19]. - The report indicates that the retail sector is experiencing some risk exposure, but overall asset quality remains stable [5][19]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on banks with high dividend yields and solid fundamentals, particularly those that are well-positioned to benefit from favorable policy changes [6][19].

Core Insights - The competitive landscape among listed city commercial banks has significantly changed in Q1 2025, with Beijing Bank maintaining its leading position in asset size, while Jiangsu Bank leads in revenue and net profit [1][2] - The total number of listed city commercial banks with assets exceeding 2 trillion yuan has increased to six, including Beijing Bank, Jiangsu Bank, Ningbo Bank, Shanghai Bank, Nanjing Bank, and Hangzhou Bank [1] - Strong credit growth has driven asset expansion and supported revenue growth for major city commercial banks [1][3] Group 1: Asset Size and Rankings - As of Q1 2025, Jiangsu Bank's asset size reached 4.46 trillion yuan, closely trailing Beijing Bank by 98 billion yuan [1] - Ningbo Bank's asset size increased to 3.40 trillion yuan, surpassing Shanghai Bank's 3.27 trillion yuan [1] - Nanjing Bank approached 2.8 trillion yuan, while Hangzhou Bank exceeded 2 trillion yuan [1] Group 2: Revenue and Profitability - In Q1 2025, the revenues of Jiangsu Bank, Ningbo Bank, Beijing Bank, Nanjing Bank, and Shanghai Bank were 223.04 billion yuan, 184.95 billion yuan, 171.27 billion yuan, 141.90 billion yuan, and 135.97 billion yuan, with growth rates of 6.21%, 5.63%, -3.18%, 6.53%, and 3.85% respectively [2] - Jiangsu Bank's net profit reached 97.8 billion yuan, followed by Beijing Bank at 76.72 billion yuan and Ningbo Bank at 74.17 billion yuan [2] Group 3: Credit Growth and Interest Income - The significant increase in credit issuance has led to a rise in net interest income for several city commercial banks, with Jiangsu Bank, Nanjing Bank, and Ningbo Bank reporting net interest incomes of 165.92 billion yuan, 77.52 billion yuan, and 128.35 billion yuan, respectively [3] - The year-on-year growth rates for net interest income were 21.94% for Jiangsu Bank, 17.80% for Nanjing Bank, and 11.59% for Ningbo Bank [3] - The strong performance in public loans was noted, with Ningbo Bank, Jiangsu Bank, Hangzhou Bank, and Nanjing Bank showing increases of 17.08%, 13.49%, 9.75%, and 8.75% respectively [2]

Core Viewpoint - The overall credit growth in China's banking sector has slowed from double digits to single digits, primarily due to insufficient demand, especially from the household sector. However, some regional banks in the Yangtze River Delta continue to show robust credit growth due to local economic vitality [1]. Group 1: Credit Demand and Growth - Insufficient credit demand, particularly from the residential sector, has led to a slowdown in overall credit growth in China's banking industry [1]. - Regional banks in the Yangtze River Delta, such as city commercial banks, have maintained stable credit growth due to strong local economic activity [1][2]. Group 2: Asset Scale Changes - The asset scale rankings among city commercial banks in the Yangtze River Delta have shifted, with Jiangsu Bank reaching a scale of 4 trillion yuan, surpassing Beijing Bank to become the second-largest city commercial bank in China [3]. - Ningbo Bank has overtaken Shanghai Bank, with asset totals of 3.4 trillion yuan and 3.27 trillion yuan, respectively, as of the end of Q1 [3][6]. Group 3: Q1 Performance Highlights - Q1 is typically a peak period for commercial bank lending, contributing significantly to overall credit growth. Despite a general slowdown, banks in the Yangtze River Delta achieved an average asset growth rate of 7% in Q1 [4]. - Jiangsu Bank, Ningbo Bank, Shanghai Bank, Nanjing Bank, and Hangzhou Bank reported significant asset growth, with Jiangsu Bank leading with a 12.84% increase [6]. Group 4: Interest Income and Revenue Growth - Net interest income for banks in the Yangtze River Delta has seen substantial growth, with Jiangsu Bank, Ningbo Bank, Shanghai Bank, Nanjing Bank, and Hangzhou Bank all reporting double-digit increases [8]. - The average revenue growth for city commercial banks in the Yangtze River Delta was approximately 5% in Q1, outperforming the average growth of 1.59% for listed city commercial banks [11]. Group 5: Non-Interest Income and Investment Gains - Non-interest income, particularly from investment gains, has also shown strong performance, with Jiangsu Bank, Ningbo Bank, and Nanjing Bank reporting investment income growth around 30% [12]. - Investment income has become a significant contributor to overall revenue, with some banks achieving over 100% growth in this area [13].

Core Insights - Financial investment business is evolving from traditional tools to a new revenue engine for listed banks amid narrowing net interest margins and sluggish profit growth [2][3] - Bond investments are showing strong yield elasticity during the market interest rate decline in 2024, effectively cushioning the impact of declining net interest income on financial statements [2][3] Group 1: Financial Performance - In 2024, 42 listed A-share banks reported a total net profit of 2.14 trillion yuan, averaging daily earnings of approximately 58.58 billion yuan [3] - The total financial investment amount reached 91.41 trillion yuan, generating 512.8 billion yuan in investment income, with over 90% of banks achieving year-on-year positive growth in investment income [3][4] - Among these banks, 37 reported positive growth in investment income, with five small and medium-sized banks achieving over 100% year-on-year growth [3][4] Group 2: Investment Trends - The average proportion of investment income to total revenue for the 42 listed banks increased to 15.61% in 2024, up from 12.33% in 2023 [4] - Nine banks had investment income accounting for over 20% of their revenue, all of which were small and medium-sized banks [4] - Jiangsu Bank, Ningbo Bank, Nanjing Bank, and Beijing Bank reported investment income exceeding 10 billion yuan in 2024 [5] Group 3: Market Dynamics - The preference for bond investments among small and medium-sized banks is attributed to narrowing net interest margins and increased competition [6][7] - The bond market has become a significant source of income for banks, especially for rural commercial banks, which have become active participants in the bond market [6][7] - The overall bond yield trend in 2024 was downward, with the 10-year government bond yield decreasing to 1.68% by December 31, creating favorable conditions for bond investment income growth [7][8] Group 4: Future Outlook - Many banks maintain an optimistic outlook on bond investments for 2025, anticipating continued opportunities in the bond market due to expected fluctuations in bond rates [8]

上海银行股份有限公司 2024 年度股东大会 会 议 材 料 二○二五年五月十六日 上海银行股份有限公司2024年度股东大会会议文件 上海银行股份有限公司 2024 年度股东大会会议须知 为了维护全体股东的合法权益，确保股东大会的正常秩序和议事效 率，根据《中华人民共和国公司法》《银行保险机构公司治理准则》等法 律、法规的有关规定，特制定本须知。 一、本行根据《中华人民共和国公司法》《银行保险机构公司治理准 则》等法律、法规以及《上海银行股份有限公司章程》《上海银行股份有 限公司股东大会议事规则》的规定，认真做好召开股东大会的各项工作。 二、本行设立股东大会秘书处，具体负责会议组织和记录等事宜。 三、本行董事会以维护股东的合法权益、确保大会的正常秩序和议事 效率为原则，认真履行有关职责。 四、股东参加股东大会依法享有知情权、发言权、质询权、表决权等 各项股东权利。根据本行章程规定，于股权登记日在本行授信逾期的股东， 或股东质押本行股权数量达到或超过其持有本行股权的百分之五十时，其 在股东大会上暂停行使表决权。 五、股东参加股东大会，应当认真履行其法定义务，不得侵犯其他股 东的权益，不得扰乱大会的正常秩序。 六 ...

从净利润来看，去年净利润水平最高的是江苏银行，也是四家银行中唯一一家净利润在300亿元以上 的，为333.06亿元，同比增长10.97%。其次是，宁波银行272.21亿元，同比增长6.29%；上海银行235.60 亿元，同比增长4.38%；南京银行203.65亿元，同比增长9.31%。 今年一季度，江苏银行单季净利润突破100亿元，达到了100.92亿元，其后依次是宁波银行、上海银 行、南京银行，分别为74.56亿元、61.39亿元、62.92亿元。 三大业务板块动能切换 利息净收入、手续费及佣金净收入、投资净收入是银行的三大主要营收来源，也可以基本反映出对公、 零售、金市三大业务板块的发展情况。 近期，长三角头部的四家城商行——江苏银行、上海银行、宁波银行、南京银行的2024年及今年一季度 财报均已披露完毕。综合比较四家银行财报数据，江苏银行依旧稳稳占据"老大哥"地位，但后三位小弟 也在去年各有亮点。 资产是银行发展的底盘，从总资产来看，截至一季度末，最高的是江苏银行，为4.46万亿元；其次是宁 波银行，为3.40万亿元，首次超过上海银行，上海银行则是为3.27万亿元。南京银行目前最低，为2.77 万亿元。 ...

同时，上海银行还发布了2025年一季报。2025年一季度，上海银行实现营业收入135.97亿元，同比增长3.85%；实现归母净利润62.92亿元，同比增长2.3%。 2024年，上海银行利息净收入为324.86亿元，同比下降7.62%；手续费及佣金净收入为39.59亿元，同比减少9.56亿元，降幅为19.46%。该行表示，主要受各 项费率下调、减费让利等因素综合影响，代理手续费、顾问和咨询费、银行卡手续费、电子银行手续费等收入同比减少所致。 2024年，上海银行实现其他非利息净收入165.41亿元，同比增长60.55亿元，增幅为57.75%。其中，该行投资收益为131.66亿元，同比增长94.42%。该行表 示，主要是把握市场利率波段，加快金融资产流转，带动投资收益同比增长较快。 4月24日，上海银行发布2024年报，2024年，该行营业收入为529.86亿元，同比上升4.79%；归母净利润为235.60亿元，同比上升4.5%。该行拟向全体普通股 股东每10股派发末期现金股利2.2元（含税）。 | | | | | 单位:人民币千元 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 经营业 ...

上海银行1Q25 营收同比+3.9%（vs 2024 全年同比+4.8%），1Q25 净利润同比+2.3%（vs 2024 全年同比 +4.5%）。2024 年全年业绩实现稳步向好，进入1Q25，业绩继续实现稳定增长，负债端成本下降支撑 息差环比改善，手续费降幅收窄，1Q25 债市波动下其他非息仍实现6%正增长。 1Q25 单季净利息收入环比+11%，单季年化净息差环比提升11bp 至1.15%，同比仅下降2bp，息差较为 坚挺：单季年化资产收益率环比下降5bp 至2.91%，计息负债付息率环比下降16bp 至1.76%。年初负债 端支撑力度加强。 资产端：2024 年批零行业、信息传输计算机行业投放占比相较2023 年显著提升。（1）1Q25 生息资产 同比+3.3%（2024 同比+3.9%），贷款同比+0.5%（2024 同比+2.1%）。 （2）从2024 年度信贷结构来看：新增占比方面，对公新增占91.7%，票据新增占52.8%，零售 占-44.5%。行业情况来看，泛政信类（61%）、批发零售类（36.2%）、制造业类（32.2%）、信息传输 计算机软件（13.4%）分占前四。政信类、批零、信息计算 ...

事件: 对公及个人存款在付息率大幅下降的同时保持较高增速，或与公司精进交易银行、巩固养老金融优势等 有关。2025Q1 人民币公司存款同比增长5.0%，付息率为1.51%，同比下降31bps；人民币个人存款同比 增长5.5%，付息率1.90%，同比下降32 bps。公司助力国资国企司库管理体系建设，服务司库客户6507 户，较2024 年末增长5.24%。2025Q1 公司养老金代发获客量同比增长10.30%，截至2025 年一季度末总 规模保持上海地区养老金客户份额第一。 关注类贷款占比下降，拨备覆盖率、拨贷比双增。2025Q1 不良率较上年末持平，仍为1.18%；关注类 贷款占比较上年末下降1bp 至2.05%。拨备覆盖率较上年末提升1.43pct 至271.24%，拨贷比较上年末环 比提升2bps 至3.20%。 盈利预测和投资评级：上海银行负债端成本大幅下行，净息差同比平稳，反映公司交易银行与养老金融 的综合实力。首次覆盖，给予"买入"评级。我们预测2025-2027 年营收为541、555、570 亿元，同比增 速为2.02%、2.74%、2.63%；归母净利润为244、249、256亿元，同比增速 ...

Core Viewpoint - Investment income has become a significant driver of revenue growth for many listed banks in the first quarter of 2025, particularly among city commercial banks and rural commercial banks [1][2]. Group 1: Investment Income Growth - In the first quarter of 2025, 15 out of 17 listed banks reported a year-on-year increase in investment income, with 4 banks showing growth exceeding 100% [2][3]. - Everbright Bank reported the highest increase in investment income at 302.96%, with an investment income of 7.213 billion yuan compared to 1.790 billion yuan in the same period last year [2]. - Shanghai Bank's investment income reached 6.546 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 118.74%, contributing nearly 50% to its total revenue [2][3]. - Jiangyin Bank's investment income surged by 143.55% to 415 million yuan, supporting a revenue growth of 6% despite declines in net interest income and fee income [2]. Group 2: Factors Contributing to Investment Income - The increase in investment income is primarily attributed to favorable conditions in the bond market, which has provided a beneficial investment environment for banks [3][4]. - Many banks have intensified financial asset trading to compensate for traditional income shortfalls due to narrowing net interest margins and sluggish growth in intermediary business income [3][4]. - Some banks have optimized their asset allocation and enhanced their investment management capabilities, leading to significant improvements in investment returns [3][4]. Group 3: Strategic Adjustments and Future Outlook - Despite market fluctuations, many banks have successfully realized substantial investment income by adjusting their holding strategies and cashing in on previous gains [4][5]. - Chongqing Bank emphasized a steady development strategy in its financial market operations, focusing on bond trading capabilities and research to enhance revenue contributions [5]. - The sustainability of the growth trend in investment income will depend on the evolving market environment and the banks' strategic adaptability [5].