Core Insights - The latest reports indicate a significant increase in personal housing loans from several listed banks, contrasting with the decline observed in state-owned banks' mortgage lending [1][2][6][7] Group 1: Personal Housing Loan Growth - Nearly ten listed banks, including Minsheng Bank, Ping An Bank, and others, reported a clear increase in personal housing loans by the end of Q3 compared to the beginning of the year [1][2] - Specific banks like Ping An Bank reported a housing loan balance of 3,523.50 billion yuan, growing by 8.1% from the beginning of the year [2] - Minsheng Bank's mortgage loan balance increased by 180.41 billion yuan, marking a growth of 3.24% [2] Group 2: State-Owned Banks' Decline - The six major state-owned banks experienced a reduction of over 1,000 billion yuan in personal housing loans in the first half of the year, continuing a downward trend for three consecutive years [1][6] - By the end of Q3, the total personal housing loan balance for these banks was approximately 25.086 trillion yuan, reflecting a decrease of 1,078 billion yuan since the beginning of the year [6] Group 3: Market Dynamics and Regional Insights - The demand for housing loans remains strong in certain regions, such as Jiangsu, Zhejiang, and Shanghai, prompting banks to increase mortgage lending [4][5] - The new personal housing loans issued in key economic regions accounted for 87.70% of the total new loans issued by Shanghai Pudong Development Bank, indicating a regional focus in lending strategies [3] Group 4: Overall Market Trends - As of the end of Q3 2025, the total personal housing loan balance in the market was 37.44 trillion yuan, showing a year-on-year decline of 0.3% despite the growth from smaller banks [7] - The overall trend suggests that while some smaller banks are increasing their mortgage lending, it is not sufficient to offset the overall decline in the personal housing loan market driven by the larger state-owned banks [7]

Core Insights - The private banking sector in China is experiencing significant growth, with several listed banks reporting an increase in private banking clients exceeding 10% [1][2][3] - Notably, Minsheng Bank, Beijing Bank, and Nanjing Bank have all reported client growth rates above 15% [1][2][3] - As of the end of September, the total number of private banking clients at Minsheng Bank reached 73,409, marking an 18.21% increase from the previous year [3][5] Private Banking Client Growth - Multiple banks have shown robust growth in private banking clients, with Minsheng Bank, Beijing Bank, and Nanjing Bank leading with growth rates over 15% [1][2][3] - As of September 30, 2023, the number of private banking clients at major banks is as follows: - China Merchants Bank: 191,418 clients, up 13.2% - Ping An Bank: 103,300 clients, up 6.7% - Minsheng Bank: 73,409 clients, up 18.21% - Beijing Bank: 20,586 clients, up 17.9% - Nanjing Bank: growth of 15.43% [3][5][6] Wealth Management Market Expansion - The wealth management market in China continues to expand, with listed banks reporting steady growth in wealth clients [8][9] - As of September 30, 2023, Ping An Bank reported 1.4911 million wealth clients, a 2.4% increase from the previous year [9] - Nanjing Bank's wealth clients grew by 16.31%, while Guiyang Bank's wealth clients increased by 7.77% [9] Asset Under Management (AUM) Growth - The total assets under management (AUM) for private banking clients at Minsheng Bank reached 1,014.72 billion yuan, an increase of 148.75 billion yuan, or 17.18% [3][5] - Beijing Bank's private banking AUM was 224 billion yuan, up 14.39% from the beginning of the year [4] Revenue from Wealth Management Services - Several banks reported positive growth in wealth management fee income, with many exceeding 15% growth [10][12] - For instance, China Merchants Bank's wealth management fee income reached 20.67 billion yuan, an 18.76% year-on-year increase [10] - Ping An Bank's wealth management fee income was 3.979 billion yuan, up 16.1% [10] Distribution and Sales Growth - The distribution of financial products has become a significant revenue source for banks, with many reporting substantial increases in sales [11][12] - For example, Ping An Bank's income from personal insurance sales grew by 48.7%, while its income from personal fund sales increased by 6.7% [12] - China Merchants Bank's income from fund sales rose by 38.76%, driven by increased sales and improved product structure [12]

Core Insights - The eighth China International Import Expo (CIIE) showcased various financial services that facilitate global trade and economic connections, including foreign currency self-service exchange and digital RMB payments [1][2] Financial Institutions' Role - Financial institutions acted as crucial supporters of the CIIE, providing comprehensive financial services to enhance the event's effectiveness [2] - China Bank displayed its extensive global network supporting 43 currencies for cross-border transactions, emphasizing its role in facilitating international trade [2] - Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC) created a unique exhibition space to assist exhibitors in attracting customers, showcasing nearly 1,000 products from around 200 exhibitors [2] - Bank of Communications highlighted its "smart travel financial empowerment" theme, focusing on efficient and secure auto financing services [2] - Shanghai Pudong Development Bank presented its digital solutions in cross-border finance, reflecting its commitment to modern financial services [2] Innovative Financial Solutions - Financial institutions introduced upgraded and innovative financial service solutions during the CIIE, enhancing their offerings for global trade [3] - ICBC launched the "Smart ICBC Hui Ju CIIE" comprehensive financial service plan, providing global account opening, cross-border settlement, and financing solutions [3] - China Bank introduced the "Global Payroll" product, offering a full-service system for enterprises and employees from payroll to expenditure [3] - Bank of Communications launched the "Jiaoyin Trade Finance" platform, focusing on key areas such as settlement, financing, and risk management for foreign trade enterprises [3] - Shanghai Pudong Development Bank upgraded its comprehensive financial service plan to version 8.0, integrating various financial resources into a complete solution [4] Additional Services - Shanghai Bank introduced a bilingual version of its cross-border service plan, enhancing services related to settlement convenience and trade financing [5] - China Pacific Insurance provided insurance solutions for the CIIE, covering various stakeholders including organizers, exhibitors, and supply chain service providers [5]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core View of the Report In recent years, the mismatch between the duration of banks' assets and liabilities has intensified, with the duration of the asset side lengthening and that of the liability side shortening. This has put pressure on some liquidity indicators and constrained banks' asset allocation behavior. The increase in long - term bond holdings has also increased the pressure on interest rate risk indicators. The report analyzes the current indicator constraints on banks' bond allocation and the prospects of these indicator pressures [1]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Liability - side Duration Reduction and Asset - side Duration Extension - **Net Interest Margin Pressure**: Since 2022, the net interest margin of commercial banks has continued to decline, from 2.08% at the end of December 2021 to 1.42% at the end of June 2025, compressing banks' profit margins [9]. - **Liability - side Duration Reduction**: - **Deposit**: Since 2023, the duration of new deposits has significantly shortened. High - cost, long - term deposits have been significantly reduced due to the expiration of high - interest fixed deposits in 2025 - 2026 and the suspension of "manual interest compensation" in 2024. Banks tend to guide customers to transfer to short - term deposits, and customers are less attracted to long - term deposits. New deposits are concentrated within 1 year [10]. - **Inter - bank Liabilities**: In 2025, banks mostly reduced the issuance of 9M and 1Y certificates of deposit (CDs) and increased the issuance of 3M and 6M CDs [15]. - **Asset - side Duration Extension**: Since 2019, the loan growth rate of listed banks has continued to decline, and financial investment has become an important alternative asset on the asset side. Bond investment is a major part of financial investment, with government bonds accounting for a relatively high proportion. From 2023 - 2025, the average duration of local government bonds has lengthened from 12.39 years to 15.62 years, and it is expected that the duration of the asset side of national and joint - stock banks will lengthen [17]. 3.2 What Indicator Constraints Do Banks Face in Bond Allocation? 3.2.1 Liquidity Risk: Low NSFR Index for Joint - stock Banks - **Liquidity Regulatory Indicators**: Chinese banks need to meet five liquidity regulatory indicators, including LMR, LR, NSFR, LCR, and HQLAAR. The report mainly analyzes LR, NSFR, and LCR. In mid - 2025, the LR and LCR of listed banks generally had sufficient safety margins, while the NSFR safety cushions of joint - stock banks (except China Merchants Bank) and some city commercial banks were relatively thin [3][22]. - **Reasons for Low NSFR in Joint - stock Banks**: The core reason lies in the liability side. Retail deposits are not advantageous, the proportion of inter - bank liabilities is high, and deposits tend to be short - term. This leads to a low Available Stable Funds (ASF) [41]. - **Measures to Deal with NSFR Pressure**: - **Increase the Numerator**: In October, joint - stock banks significantly increased the issuance of 1Y CDs. The net financing of joint - stock bank CDs in October reached 62.44 billion yuan, and the issuance scale of 1Y CDs was significantly increased [45]. - **Reduce the Denominator**: From January to September this year, joint - stock banks basically maintained a monthly net reduction of CDs and increased the allocation of interest - rate bonds, which is conducive to reducing the Required Stable Funds (RSF) and improving the NSFR [48]. 3.2.2 Interest Rate Risk: The ΔEVE/First - tier Capital of Some State - owned Banks Approaches the Upper Limit - **Regulatory Requirements**: According to the "Administrative Measures for the Interest Rate Risk of Commercial Banks' Banking Books (Revised)", when the economic value change of state - owned large commercial banks exceeds 15% of their first - tier capital, the banking regulatory authority should pay attention and conduct follow - up evaluations [53]. - **Interest Rate Risk of Banking Books**: In 2024, under six standardized interest rate shock scenarios, the maximum economic value change losses of Agricultural Bank of China (- 14.31%), Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (- 14.71%), and China Construction Bank (- 14.73%) as a percentage of their first - tier capital were close to - 15%. This has objectively constrained bond - allocation behavior and will affect the volume and duration of state - owned banks' bond investments [55].

Core Viewpoint - Recent announcements from multiple banks indicate a trend of redeeming preferred shares, driven by cost optimization and capital structure adjustments in response to regulatory requirements [4][6]. Group 1: Redemption of Preferred Shares - Ningbo Bank plans to fully redeem 100 million preferred shares issued on November 7, 2018, with a total scale of 10 billion RMB, at a redemption price of 104.5 RMB per share, scheduled for November 7, 2025 [1]. - Hangzhou Bank, Shanghai Bank, and Changsha Bank also announced plans to redeem their preferred shares in December 2025, with similar redemption structures [2]. - The total amount of preferred shares redeemed by banks this year is significant, with a focus on optimizing costs and reducing liabilities [1][2]. Group 2: Issuance of Perpetual Bonds - In conjunction with the redemption of high-cost preferred shares, banks are increasingly issuing perpetual bonds as a replacement, with 51 perpetual bonds issued this year totaling 675.4 billion RMB, surpassing last year's figures [1][6]. - Perpetual bonds are seen as a more flexible and lower-cost capital tool compared to preferred shares, which typically have higher dividend rates [4][6]. Group 3: Market Trends and Regulatory Environment - The trend of redeeming preferred shares and issuing perpetual bonds reflects a broader market shift, where banks are adapting to lower interest rates and tighter regulatory requirements [4][7]. - The issuance of perpetual bonds is particularly crucial for smaller banks facing capital adequacy pressures, as they seek to enhance their capital structure and meet regulatory demands [7].

Core Viewpoint - The Shanghai Banking Regulatory Bureau has approved Huang Cheng's qualification as the Deputy General Manager of the Credit Card Center at Shanghai Bank [1] Group 1 - The approval was issued on November 6 by the National Financial Supervision and Administration Bureau [1] - Huang Cheng is appointed to a significant role within the credit card division of Shanghai Bank, indicating a potential focus on expanding credit card services [1]

Core Viewpoint - The city commercial bank sector experienced a slight decline of 0.11% on November 6, with Xiamen Bank leading the drop, while the overall market indices showed positive movements with the Shanghai Composite Index up by 0.97% and the Shenzhen Component Index up by 1.73% [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - The closing price of Xiamen Bank was 7.16, reflecting a decrease of 2.59% with a trading volume of 539,700 shares and a transaction value of 387 million yuan [2]. - Other notable banks included Changsha Bank, which closed at 9.98 with a rise of 0.91%, and Qilu Bank, which closed at 6.17 with an increase of 0.82% [1]. - The city commercial bank sector saw a net outflow of 608 million yuan from major funds, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 473 million yuan [2][3]. Group 2: Individual Bank Performance - Beijing Bank had a net inflow from major funds of 20.80 million yuan, while it experienced a net outflow from retail investors of 30.79 million yuan [3]. - Chongqing Bank recorded a net inflow of 11.91 million yuan from major funds but faced a net outflow of 12.20 million yuan from retail investors [3]. - Jiangsu Bank had a net inflow of 202.55 million yuan from major funds, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 3.33 million yuan [3].

Core Insights - Shanghai Bank celebrates its 30th anniversary in 2025, coinciding with the 8th China International Import Expo, emphasizing its commitment to enhancing global trade cooperation [1] Group 1: Cross-Border Service Upgrades - Shanghai Bank will launch a bilingual "8th Import Expo Special Cross-Border Service Plan," focusing on five key areas: settlement convenience, exchange rate hedging, trade financing, innovative payments, and internal-external connectivity [2] - A new "Order Foreign Exchange" service will be introduced to better serve import enterprises participating in the expo, enhancing transaction efficiency [2] Group 2: Product Launch and Collaboration - During the expo, Shanghai Bank will host a cross-border financial product launch event, showcasing innovative solutions and products to deepen cooperation with domestic and foreign enterprises [2] - The collaboration aims to help enterprises seize opportunities in cross-border trade and investment, marking a new chapter in cross-border financial cooperation [2] Group 3: Building Cooperation Bridges - Shanghai Bank actively participates in expo-related activities, including signing a business cooperation memorandum with Thailand's Krung Thai Bank (China) to facilitate connections between domestic and foreign clients [3] - This initiative supports enterprises in integrating into the global economy, promoting mutual growth [3] Group 4: Payment Experience Optimization - Shanghai Bank is enhancing its online and offline payment services, including improvements to the "Tourcard" for cross-border payments and specialized training for over 200 branches in Shanghai [4] - The bank is providing bilingual service guides for foreign guests to ensure seamless business consultations and transactions, aiming to deliver a warm service experience [4]

Core Insights - Green finance has transitioned from an optional choice to a mandatory requirement for the banking industry, serving as a new engine for strategic transformation and a blue ocean market for future growth [1] - The balance of green financing at Industrial Bank has reached nearly 2.5 trillion yuan, with green loans exceeding 1 trillion yuan and a non-performing loan rate of only 0.57% [1] - The People's Bank of China and other departments have issued a unified policy framework for green finance, effective from October 1, 2025, to standardize various financial products [2] Group 1: Green Credit Growth - As of the end of 2024, the total balance of green credit among 42 A-share listed banks exceeded 27 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of approximately 20% [3] - State-owned banks dominate the green credit market, with the six major state-owned banks accounting for over 21 trillion yuan, representing 77.6% of the total [3] - Industrial Bank's green loan balance has risen to 1.08 trillion yuan, joining the "trillion club" [3] Group 2: Performance and Sector Focus - The average growth rate of green credit for A-share listed banks in 2024 was 20.6%, a slowdown from approximately 28% in 2023, yet leading institutions maintained strong growth [4] - The focus of green credit issuance is concentrated in four key areas: clean energy, green transportation, energy conservation and environmental protection, and green buildings [4] - The Yangtze River Delta, Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macau Greater Bay Area, and Chengdu-Chongqing Economic Circle are identified as core regions for green credit [4] Group 3: Product Innovation - A-share listed banks are deepening innovation in green financial products, creating a multi-dimensional product system that includes loans, bonds, asset securitization, insurance, and carbon finance [5] - Sustainable Development Linked Loans (SLL), carbon emission rights pledge financing, and environmental rights collateral loans are gaining traction [5] - Industrial Bank has launched the first green loan with biodiversity protection insurance, while Bohai Bank introduced a green loan linked to data center energy efficiency [6] Group 4: Broader Financial Tools - The issuance of green bonds has expanded, with the cumulative issuance of labeled green bonds in 2024 surpassing 4 trillion yuan [6] - Banks are actively participating in green wealth management and fund products, enhancing investor engagement through innovative offerings [6] - Carbon finance tools are transitioning from pilot programs to broader applications, with various banks introducing carbon emission rights pledge financing products [6] Group 5: Future Directions - The banking industry is expected to continue innovating green financial products to support sustainable economic development, moving beyond traditional green credit [7] - The development of ESG-linked loans and financing models using carbon emission rights as collateral will be explored [7] - These innovations will not only assist in achieving national carbon reduction goals but also cultivate new growth momentum for banks [7]

Core Viewpoint - The scope of institutions participating in stock repurchase and increase loan business is expected to expand to city commercial banks, which were previously limited to 21 national financial institutions [1] Group 1: Institutional Participation - Beijing Bank and Shanghai Bank have signed loan commitment letters with several listed companies regarding stock repurchase and increase loans [1] - Other banks such as Ningbo Bank, Jiangsu Bank, and Nanjing Bank are also expected to qualify for this loan business [1]