当前，商业银行线下网点"瘦身"已趋于常态化。 农商行占比达八成 据金监总局官网"金融许可证信息"栏目，截至12月8日，共计6747家商业银行线下网点正式 退出，与去年退出的2533家相比大幅增加。 其中，当前最新退出的机构是广东清新农村商业银行股份有限公司浸潭中心分理处，批准日 期为2018年7月31日，发证日期为2021年12月22日，发证机关是清远分局，退出日期为今年 12月5日。 与此同时，今年第一家获批退出的是中原银行股份有限公司三门峡文博城支行，批准日期为 2014年12月23日，发证日期在2021年10月8日，发证机关为三门峡分局，退出日期为今年1月 2日。 | 机构类型 | 退出数量 | 退出数量 | 增减率 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 截至2025年12月8日 | 截至2024年12月31日 | (%) | | 农商行 | 5446 | 1302 | 318. 28 | | 国有大行 | 692 | 644 | 7.45 | | 股份行 | 277 | 316 | (12. 34) | | 城商行 | 273 | 221 | 23. 53 | | 外资银行 ...

"我将以更加饱满的热情、更务实的作风投身于金融惠民的征程中" 会议提出的"必须充分挖掘经济潜能，必须坚持政策支持和改革创新并举"等重要认识，以及持续扩大内 需、发展新质生产力、防范化解重点领域风险等重点任务，在银行系统基层工作人员中引发广泛热议。 广大基层金融从业者纷纷表示，将深入学习贯彻会议精神，立足本职岗位，把思想和行动统一到党中央 决策部署上来，以务实举措服务实体经济高质量发展，为实现"十五五"良好开局贡献金融力量。 "学习中央经济工作会议精神，让我对当前经济形势有了更深刻的认识，也进一步明确了后续工作努力 方向。"工商银行北京分行海淀支行员工、北京市劳动模范杨爱军表示，将以会议精神为指引，更好地 发挥专业能力，持续推动金融科技成果转化，提高服务小微、科技企业的效率。 围绕会议部署的八大重点任务，银行基层工作人员也结合岗位实际，在服务实体经济、科技创新、绿色 发展等关键领域找准发力点，将会议精神转化为具体工作举措。 本次中央经济工作会议将"坚持内需主导，建设强大国内市场"排在各项重点工作首位，扩大内需被赋予 了越发重要的角色，这为银行业"以旧换新"相关金融产品的拓展提供了更为广阔的市场空间，也为银行 业 ...

Core Viewpoint - The event "Wilderness of Wealth: Witnessing the Future" organized by Bank of Communications aims to explore new trends in wealth management and marks the beginning of a new journey for the Ward Wealth brand [1][2]. Group 1: Event Overview - The event took place in Shenzhen and gathered over 300 participants, including leaders from the Bank of Communications, industry experts, and invited clients [1]. - The purpose of the roadshow is to create a professional and open platform for wealth management discussions, seeking new paths for wealth growth [1]. Group 2: Key Presentations - The event featured a speech by Dr. Li Chao, Chief Economist at Zheshang Securities, who provided insights on the global economic landscape and investment outlook for 2026, offering valuable decision-making references for attendees [2]. - Qiu Chuanle, Head of the Family Office at the Private Banking Center of Bank of Communications Hong Kong Branch, discussed the protection and inheritance of cross-border assets, addressing the growing demand for cross-border wealth management in the context of the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area [2]. Group 3: Brand and Service Philosophy - The brand core of Ward Wealth is centered on "sharing abundance and carrying wealth with virtue," providing comprehensive and personalized one-stop wealth management solutions [2]. - The event highlighted the comprehensive strength and service philosophy of the Ward Wealth brand, reinforcing the importance of deepening mutual trust and collaborative development between the bank and its clients [2]. Group 4: Future Development Strategy - Moving into the new development stage of the 14th Five-Year Plan, Bank of Communications aims to uphold its mission as a state-owned bank, continuously enhancing its professional advantages and innovating service models and product systems to safeguard clients' asset growth [3]. - The bank seeks to build a more open, cooperative, and win-win wealth management ecosystem, promoting common prosperity and demonstrating its commitment to serving the public [3].

12月12日，由上海证券报与交通银行上海市分行联合主办、基煜基金全程协办的"上证·大虹桥金融高质 量发展大会"在上海长宁举办。本次大会是上海证券报年度重磅活动之一，围绕"时代新叙事，财富新未 来"主题，大会重点探讨中国财富管理行业如何穿越经济周期、提升财富管理竞争力、支持实体经济发 展等议题。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The launch of the "Wode Wealth Journey" marks a significant step for Bank of Communications in enhancing its wealth management strategy and aligning with national goals for common prosperity [2][3] Group 1: Strategic Upgrade - Bank of Communications has established a Wealth Management Department at the headquarters level to better serve customer needs and support national strategies [2][3] - The "Wode Wealth Journey" is the first market promotion project following the organizational restructuring, aiming to expand wealth management services from key regions to nationwide [4] Group 2: Collaborative Advantage - The launch event in Shanghai showcased the collaborative strengths of the Bank of Communications and its asset management subsidiaries, emphasizing a unified approach to wealth management [5] - Various subsidiaries participated in discussions on creating a culturally rich and customer-centric wealth management brand [5] Group 3: Industry Trends and Insights - The "Wode Wealth Journey" aims to deepen cooperation with other financial institutions and explore new trends and opportunities in wealth management [6][7] - Experts predict a more proactive macro policy stance in the coming year, with potential expansions in fiscal policy and a more accommodative monetary policy environment [6][7] Group 4: Future Activities - Over the next six months, the "Wode Wealth Journey" will conduct more than 50 events nationwide, including product strategy meetings and investment report sessions, to foster interaction between wealth accumulation and economic development [9]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the banking sector, indicating an expected performance that will exceed the market by more than 10% over the next 12 months [41]. Core Insights - The report discusses the concept of "asset scarcity," which is explained through two perspectives: the mismatch between supply and demand for funds, and the insufficient supply of quality assets that meet investors' risk and return preferences. It argues that the traditional supply-demand imbalance does not adequately explain the phenomenon of asset scarcity [5][13]. - The report identifies three dimensions of asset scarcity: macro, meso, and micro. It emphasizes that the bond market is primarily concerned with the micro-level aspects of asset scarcity [5][16]. - To alleviate macro-level asset scarcity, the report suggests increasing credit issuance and fiscal efforts, enhancing liquidity management by the central bank, and guiding non-bank funds back to banks to lower residents' yield expectations on non-bank assets [20][23]. - At the meso level, the report highlights the importance of fiscal and monetary growth rates, suggesting that credit and fiscal efforts should be strengthened while avoiding capital idling [23][24]. - The micro-level analysis focuses on the expectations of institutions regarding asset-liability expansion and actual expansion, noting that there is often a mismatch between liabilities and suitable assets [25][29]. Summary by Sections Section 1: Asset Scarcity Exploration - The report explores why the market has shifted its focus away from "asset scarcity," attributing this to a lack of significant asset-liability gaps in the real economy and the nature of interest rates as contractual [5][13]. - It discusses the macroeconomic factors influencing asset scarcity, including the expected decline in bond market yields and economic forecasts [16][18]. Section 2: Financial Institutions' Asset-Liability Management - The report provides a detailed analysis of financial institutions' liabilities, emphasizing the need for a balance between asset expansion and government debt supply [25][29]. - It projects that by 2026, the demand for government bonds will increase by 1.5 trillion yuan compared to 2025, indicating a growing need for asset allocation in the banking sector [25][29]. Section 3: Insurance Sector Analysis - The report estimates that the insurance sector will face a net increase in asset-liability mismatch of 1.28 trillion yuan by 2026, driven by the expiration of high-yield non-standard investments and continuous growth in premium income [30][29]. Section 4: Expected Returns and Market Dynamics - The report highlights the compression of asset-liability yield spreads due to rigid liabilities and flexible asset yields, which contributes to the practical aspect of asset scarcity for enterprises and theoretical scarcity for residents [35][29]. - It suggests that banks should lower the rigid costs of liabilities and guide non-bank entities to adjust their yield expectations [35][29].

Core Viewpoint - The banking sector is expected to present new investment opportunities as market styles shift, with a high probability of a resurgence in bank stocks in Q4 2025, particularly favoring quality regional banks and high-dividend large banks [1][2][5] Market Style Shift - The current market exhibits a "technology strong, weight weak" seesaw effect, with the technology sector showing significant volatility and growth, while the banking sector has lagged behind, indicating a potential for recovery [8][10] - The banking sector's price-to-book (PB) ratio remains at historical lows of 0.6-0.8, contrasting with the high valuations of the technology sector [1][8] Policy Environment - The banking sector benefits from favorable policies, including a significant reduction in deposit rates, which lowers banks' funding costs and supports their interest margins [2][24] - As of September 30, 2025, the dividend yield for bank stocks reached 4.40%, significantly higher than the 2.79% yield of the CSI 300 index, indicating a strong income advantage for investors [2][24] Funding Environment - There is a structural shift in funding flows, with increased allocation of risk-averse and long-term funds towards bank stocks, enhancing their funding advantages [2][26] - The asset quality of banks is steadily improving, with non-performing loan ratios decreasing from 1.59% to 1.49% between Q1 2024 and Q2 2025, and the provision coverage ratio increasing from 204.54% to 211.97% [2][29] Performance Analysis - The banking sector has shown strong performance from the end of 2024 to mid-2025, with the Shenwan Banking Index rising by 13.10% in the first half of 2025, outperforming the broader market [16][19] - Quality regional banks like Jiangsu Bank have demonstrated significant profit growth, with a 8.84% increase in net profit year-on-year in Q3 2025, highlighting their operational resilience [5][59] Investment Strategy - The fourth quarter is expected to see a "performance differentiation and valuation rebalancing" pattern, with banks positioned as core investment targets due to their low valuations, improving fundamentals, and attractive dividend yields [74] - Large state-owned banks such as ICBC and CCB are recommended for conservative investors due to their stable high dividends and strong financial positions [63][74] - Regional banks like Chengdu Bank and Suzhou Bank are also highlighted for their growth potential and solid asset quality, benefiting from regional economic advantages [70][74]

Group 1 - Six major state-owned banks in China have initiated the distribution of mid-term dividends for 2025, with total dividends exceeding 200 billion yuan [1] - The dividend distribution dates for A-shares and H-shares have been announced, with specific dates set for each bank [1][2] - The dividend payout ratios for all six banks are maintained at 30% or above of their net profit attributable to shareholders [2] Group 2 - Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (ICBC) will distribute a cash dividend of 0.1414 yuan per share, totaling approximately 503.96 billion yuan [2] - Agricultural Bank of China (ABC) will distribute a cash dividend of 0.1195 yuan per share, totaling approximately 418.23 billion yuan [2] - Bank of China (BOC) will distribute a cash dividend of 0.1094 yuan per share, totaling approximately 352.50 billion yuan [2] - China Construction Bank (CCB) will distribute a cash dividend of 0.1858 yuan per share, totaling approximately 486.05 billion yuan [2] - Bank of Communications (BoCom) will distribute a cash dividend of 0.1563 yuan per share, totaling approximately 138.11 billion yuan [3] - Postal Savings Bank of China (PSBC) will distribute a cash dividend of 0.1230 yuan per share, totaling approximately 147.72 billion yuan [3] Group 3 - The encouragement from financial regulatory authorities has led to an increase in mid-term dividends among listed banks, reflecting a policy direction aimed at enhancing cash dividends [3] - Experts believe that mid-term dividends can boost investor confidence in bank stocks and foster long-term value investment concepts [3]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights that as of December 13, 26 A-share listed banks have disclosed their mid-term or quarterly dividend plans for 2025, surpassing the 24 banks that did so in the same period of 2024, with total dividends expected to exceed 260 billion yuan [1][3] - The banks disclosing dividend plans include 6 large state-owned banks, 6 joint-stock banks, and 14 small and medium-sized banks, with the six major state-owned banks expected to contribute over 200 billion yuan in cash dividends [3] - Industrial and Commercial Bank of China leads with an estimated dividend of approximately 50.4 billion yuan, followed by China Construction Bank, Agricultural Bank of China, Bank of China, Postal Savings Bank of China, and Bank of Communications [3] Group 2 - Joint-stock banks such as Industrial Bank and CITIC Bank are expected to have mid-term dividends exceeding 10 billion yuan, while China Everbright Bank and Minsheng Bank are projected to exceed 5 billion yuan [3] - Some small and medium-sized banks, like Shanghai Bank and Nanjing Bank, also show significant dividend amounts, with several banks like Industrial Bank and Ningbo Bank introducing mid-term dividend plans for the first time [3] - The increase in dividend frequency among commercial banks is a response to the new "National Nine Articles" aimed at promoting multiple dividends per year for listed companies, enhancing the connection between company profits and investor returns [3] Group 3 - More frequent dividends can directly enhance shareholder satisfaction, allowing investors to share in the banks' operational success in a timely manner [4] - Stable cash returns align well with the investment needs of long-term funds such as social security funds, pension funds, and insurance capital, helping to attract these funds for long-term holding [4] - The positioning of banks as dividend-oriented can create a virtuous cycle of attracting long-term capital, enhancing stock price stability, and reducing abnormal price fluctuations caused by short-term speculation [4]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Overweight" rating to the banking sector [6] Core Insights - The growth rate of social financing is stabilizing, with a year-on-year increase of 8.5% in November 2025, remaining unchanged from the previous month. Excluding government bonds, the growth rate is 6.0%, which is an increase of 0.1 percentage points from the previous month [6] - New social financing in November amounted to 2.49 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 159.7 billion yuan, primarily supported by corporate bond issuance, while credit and government bonds showed negative growth [6] - The report highlights a trend of short-term borrowing among enterprises, with corporate loans increasing by 610 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 360 billion yuan [6][4] Summary by Sections 1. Social Financing Data - In November, the total social financing growth rate was 8.5%, with a new social financing addition of 2.49 trillion yuan, up 159.7 billion yuan year-on-year. The growth rate excluding government bonds was 6.0% [6][2] - Corporate bond financing net increased by 416.9 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 178.8 billion yuan, primarily driven by state-owned enterprises [6][4] 2. Credit and Loan Trends - The report indicates a weak increase in credit, with November's RMB loan growth rate at 6.4%, down 0.1 percentage points from the previous month. New loans for the month totaled 390 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 190 billion yuan [6] - Personal loans decreased by 206.3 billion yuan, with short-term loans down by 215.8 billion yuan year-on-year, indicating pressure on both short-term and medium-to-long-term loans [4][6] 3. Deposit Trends - RMB deposit growth rate in November was 7.7%, down 0.3 percentage points from the previous month, with new deposits amounting to 1.41 trillion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 760 billion yuan [6] - The report notes a slowdown in deposit migration, with corporate deposits increasing by 645.3 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 94.7 billion yuan [6][4] 4. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on three investment themes: identifying banks with potential for performance growth, emphasizing banks with convertible bond expectations, and continuing dividend strategies [6]