Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating for the company [3] Core Insights - The company is projected to experience a slight revenue decline in 2024, with total revenue expected to be 1,160,311 million, a decrease of 8.2% from the previous year. However, a gradual recovery is anticipated, with revenue growth of 1.3% in 2026 and 2.1% in 2027 [8][9] - The company's net profit is forecasted to decrease to 30,758 million in 2024, with a further decline to 29,463 million in 2025, before recovering to 30,607 million in 2026 and 31,522 million in 2027 [8][9] - The gross margin is expected to remain stable at around 9.8% to 9.9% over the forecast period, indicating consistent operational efficiency [8] Financial Projections - The balance sheet shows total assets of 2,256,414 million in 2024, with a projected decrease to 2,117,710 million in 2025, followed by a recovery to 2,202,455 million in 2026 and 2,293,484 million in 2027 [8] - The company’s cash flow from operating activities is expected to improve significantly, rising from 28,051 million in 2024 to 89,684 million in 2027 [8] - The report highlights a projected EBITDA of 73,624 million in 2024, increasing to 80,367 million in 2025, indicating a positive trend in earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization [8] Key Ratios - The report indicates a projected return on equity (ROE) of 7.9% in 2024, declining to 6.8% by 2026, reflecting potential challenges in generating shareholder returns [8] - The debt-to-equity ratio is forecasted to be 342.3% in 2024, indicating a high level of leverage, which may pose risks in terms of financial stability [8] - The current ratio is projected to be 0.99 in 2024, suggesting that the company may face liquidity challenges in meeting short-term obligations [8]

Market Overview - The infrastructure sector declined by 0.73% on November 14, with Aoya Co., Ltd. leading the losses [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3990.49, down 0.97%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13216.03, down 1.93% [1] Top Performers in Infrastructure Sector - Guosheng Technology (603778) closed at 8.50, up 9.96% with a trading volume of 1.8556 million shares and a transaction value of 1.517 billion [1] - Pubang Co., Ltd. (002663) closed at 2.51, up 5.91% with a trading volume of 784,300 shares and a transaction value of 194 million [1] - ST Jiaotou (002200) closed at 8.37, up 5.02% with a trading volume of 169,600 shares and a transaction value of 57.311 million [1] Underperformers in Infrastructure Sector - Aoya Co., Ltd. (300949) closed at 49.18, down 5.79% with a trading volume of 85,700 shares and a transaction value of 442 million [2] - China Nuclear Engineering (601611) closed at 12.48, down 5.53% with a trading volume of 1.1546 million shares and a transaction value of 1.466 billion [2] - Huilv Ecology (001267) closed at 18.17, down 4.72% with a trading volume of 377,900 shares and a transaction value of 693 million [2] Capital Flow Analysis - The infrastructure sector experienced a net outflow of 605 million from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 472 million [2] - The top stocks with significant net inflows from retail investors include: - Aoya Co., Ltd. (300949) with a net outflow of 48.0547 million from institutional investors [3] - Pubang Co., Ltd. (002663) with a net inflow of 1.9714 million from institutional investors [3] - Macro Construction (002062) with a net inflow of 2.2454 million from institutional investors [3]

Core Viewpoint - On November 13, 2023, brokerage firms provided target prices for listed companies, with notable increases in target prices for Shenghong Technology, China Railway, and Jiantou Energy, indicating strong market interest in these sectors [1] Group 1: Target Price Increases - Shenghong Technology has a target price increase of 35.50%, indicating significant growth potential in the components sector [1] - China Railway's target price increased by 31.12%, reflecting optimism in the infrastructure industry [1] - Jiantou Energy's target price rose by 26.00%, showcasing positive sentiment in the power sector [1] Group 2: Brokerage Recommendations - A total of 57 listed companies received brokerage recommendations on November 13, highlighting active market engagement [1] - Notable companies such as Foton Motor, China General Nuclear Power, and Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway each received one brokerage recommendation [1] - Shanxi Securities upgraded the rating of Yiyuan Communication from "Hold" to "Buy," indicating increased confidence in the company's prospects [1]

Core Viewpoint - The successful completion of the steel box girder rotation for the upgrade of the Shenhai Expressway marks a significant technical achievement, laying a solid foundation for the project's full connectivity [1][5]. Group 1: Project Overview - The Shenhai Expressway spans 359.079 kilometers within Shandong Province and is being upgraded to a dual eight-lane highway with a design speed of 120 km/h [3]. - The bridge, constructed by China Railway 10th Bureau, is located near the northern outer ring of Jiaozhou City and measures 275 meters in length [3]. - The steel box girder used in the bridge weighs 5,286 tons, making it the largest unequal span railway crossing steel box girder project in Shandong Province [3]. Group 2: Material and Structural Innovations - The entire bridge is made of weathering steel, which eliminates the need for traditional rust-proof coatings, thus saving construction time and extending the bridge's lifespan while reducing future maintenance costs [3][4]. - The bridge employs a fully welded structure, moving away from traditional bolt connections to mitigate risks associated with bolt loosening and replacement difficulties [3][4]. Group 3: Construction Challenges and Solutions - The bridge crosses two major railway lines, with over a hundred passenger and freight trains passing through the construction area daily, necessitating precise operations within limited time windows [4]. - Advanced technologies such as hole detection instruments and electronic curtain systems were utilized to ensure safety and precision during the critical rotation process [4]. - The project team implemented intelligent construction techniques to accurately calculate traction and safety factors, establishing a dynamic correction model to support the precise rotation [4][5]. Group 4: Strategic Importance - The Shenhai Expressway upgrade is a key project under Shandong Province's "14th Five-Year Plan" for comprehensive transportation, connecting several strategic development zones and important transportation hubs [5]. - Upon completion, the project is expected to enhance regional transportation service levels, optimize network structure, and promote economic integration in the Jiaodong Economic Circle [5].

智通财经APP讯，中国中铁(00390)发布公告，于2025年11月12日斥资1999.975万元回购350.29万股A 股。 ...

FF305 翌日披露報表 (股份發行人 ── 已發行股份或庫存股份變動、股份購回及/或在場内出售庫存股份) 表格類別： 股票 狀態： 新提交 公司名稱： 中國中鐵股份有限公司 第 2 頁 共 7 頁 v 1.3.0 FF305 變動日期 2025年11月12日 呈交日期： 2025年11月13日 如上市發行人的已發行股份或庫存股份出現變動而須根據《香港聯合交易所有限公司（「香港聯交所」）證券上市規則》(「《主板上市規則》」)第13.25A條 / 《香港聯合交易所有限公司GEM證券 上市規則》(「《GEM上市規則》」)第17.27A條作出披露，必須填妥第一章節 。 | 第一章節 | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 A | | | 於香港聯交所上市 | 否 | | | | 證券代號 (如上市) | | 說明 | | | | | | | | A. 已發行股份或庫存股份變動 | | | | | | | | | | | | 已發行股份（不包括庫存股份）變動 | | ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the construction and engineering sector [9] Core Views - The construction sector exhibits characteristics such as low valuation, low institutional holdings, large market capitalization, and stable outlook for quality targets. The report identifies four key investment directions within the construction industry: 1) Companies with strong Q3 performance and short-term earnings certainty 2) High dividend yield stocks providing a safety cushion 3) Strong long-term growth potential 4) Large-cap stocks with low absolute valuations [5][6][7] Summary by Sections Valuation Metrics - As of the latest closing, the Jiangsu Construction Index has a PE ratio of 12.83, ranking 28th across all industries, with a 10-year percentile of 68.5%. The PB ratio stands at 0.84, ranking 31st, with a 10-year percentile of 16.22%. Notably, the construction sector and the banking sector are the only indices within the Jiangsu framework that are trading below book value [5][6] Institutional Holdings - The construction sector has historically low institutional holdings, which may reflect a weak outlook for the industry and a lack of attention from investors. This could lead to undervaluation of high-quality construction stocks [6] Market Capitalization - The construction sector has a limited number of listed companies, with eight major state-owned enterprises collectively valued at 941.19 billion, accounting for 47% of the Jiangsu Construction Index's market capitalization. These enterprises play a crucial role in stabilizing economic growth and are likely to be favored in a market shift towards undervalued sectors [6][7] Investment Directions - **Direction One**: Focus on companies with strong Q3 earnings, such as Sichuan Road and Bridge, China Chemical, and others, which show robust growth and sufficient order backlogs [7] - **Direction Two**: Invest in high dividend yield stocks like Jianghe Group (6.2%), Sichuan Road and Bridge (5.6%), and others, which provide a strong holding safety net [7] - **Direction Three**: Target companies with strong long-term growth potential, such as Honglu Steel Structure and others benefiting from semiconductor capital expenditure [7] - **Direction Four**: Invest in large-cap stocks with low absolute valuations, including eight major state-owned enterprises that are all trading below book value [7]

Core Insights - The Guoqi Gongying ETF (159719) has shown a 0.61% increase as of November 10, 2025, marking its third consecutive rise, with a latest price of 1.65 yuan [1] - Over the past week, the ETF has accumulated a 2.57% increase, and its net value has risen by 61.24% over the last three years, ranking 227 out of 1906 in the index equity fund category, placing it in the top 11.91% [1] Performance Metrics - The ETF has achieved a maximum monthly return of 14.61% since its inception, with the longest streak of consecutive monthly gains being 7 months and a maximum cumulative increase of 24.70% [1] - The average return for the months in which the ETF increased is 4.12%, with a total annual profit percentage of 100.00% and a historical three-year holding profit probability of 100.00% [1] - Over the past six months, the ETF has outperformed its benchmark with an annualized excess return of 7.69% [1] Risk and Fee Structure - The Sharpe ratio for the ETF over the past three years is 1.10, indicating a favorable risk-adjusted return [2] - The maximum drawdown over the past six months is 5.61%, which is the lowest among comparable funds, with a recovery time of 37 days [2] - The management fee is 0.25% and the custody fee is 0.05%, both of which are the lowest in its category [2] Tracking Precision - The tracking error for the ETF over the past month is 0.035%, the highest tracking precision among comparable funds [3] - The ETF closely tracks the FTSE China State-Owned Enterprises Open Win Index, which reflects the performance of Chinese state-owned enterprises listed in mainland China and Hong Kong, focusing on globalization and sustainable development [3] Top Holdings - The top holdings in the ETF include China Petroleum (14.08% weight, +1.44%), China Construction (9.84% weight, +0.18%), and China Mobile (8.10% weight, -0.01%) [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the construction and engineering industry [11]. Core Insights - In September, central enterprise orders improved, and the decline in investment narrowed. The manufacturing PMI fell significantly in October, indicating a marginal weakening in industry prosperity, while the construction PMI slightly decreased, aligning with seasonal trends [6][20]. - Fixed asset investment in September was 4.5 trillion yuan, down 7.1% year-on-year, with a cumulative fixed asset investment of 37.2 trillion yuan for the year, a decrease of 0.5% year-on-year. Narrowly defined infrastructure investment showed a smaller decline compared to previous months [7][25]. - The physical workload showed improvement in October, with cement output declining at a slower rate, and cement dispatch volumes increased marginally [8][50]. - Project funding is being prioritized, with a funding rate of 59.7% for construction sites as of October 28, showing a slight week-on-week increase [9][57]. Summary by Sections Investment & Orders - Central enterprise orders improved in September, with most central enterprises showing positive growth in domestic orders. Notably, China Chemical and China Railway Construction saw significant growth rates of 18.11% and 9.38%, respectively [7][42][44]. - The overall order growth for major construction central enterprises in Q3 was 5.02% year-on-year, indicating a positive trend in both domestic and overseas markets [42][44]. Physical Workload - Cement production saw a year-on-year decline of 5.2% from January to September, with a more pronounced drop of 8.6% in September alone. However, cement dispatch volumes showed a week-on-week increase of 8.0% in late October [8][50]. Project Funding - The funding rate for construction projects was reported at 59.7%, with non-residential projects at 61.15% and residential projects at 52.81% as of late October. The issuance of special bonds reached 39.646 billion yuan year-to-date, with a 90% completion rate [9][59].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" indicating that the industry is expected to outperform the overall market performance [26]. Core Insights - The construction and decoration sector showed a weekly increase of 1.85%, outperforming major indices such as the Shanghai Composite Index and Shenzhen Component Index [4][6]. - The approval of the "Chengdu-Chongqing Economic Circle Land Space Planning (2021-2035)" by the State Council aims to enhance regional competitiveness and support the construction of new transportation channels [11][12]. - Key companies in the sector have secured significant contracts, with Chongqing Construction winning projects totaling 18.39 billion yuan, representing 6.7% of its 2024 revenue [15][16]. Summary by Sections 1. Market Performance - The construction sector's weekly increase of 1.85% outperformed the Shanghai Composite Index, which rose by 1.08% [4]. - The best-performing sub-sectors included decorative curtain walls (+5.31%), professional engineering (+4.28%), and infrastructure private enterprises (+2.59%) [6][9]. 2. Major Changes in the Industry - The State Council's approval of the Chengdu-Chongqing Economic Circle plan aims to deepen regional collaboration and enhance overall competitiveness [11]. - The Ministry of Transport reported significant infrastructure investments in various provinces, including 203.81 billion yuan in Sichuan, achieving 76% of the annual target [12]. 3. Key Company Developments - Zhongyan Dadi won a contract for a sports land project in Beijing worth 74 million yuan, accounting for 9.4% of its 2024 revenue [13]. - Chongqing Construction also secured contracts for the Huangjueping Yangtze River Bridge project, totaling 18.39 billion yuan, and the Jiangwan project worth 781 million yuan [15][16]. 4. Investment Analysis - The current industry outlook is considered weak, but regional investments are expected to gain momentum as national strategies are implemented. Recommended companies include China Chemical, China Railway, and China Railway Construction [3][11].