| | | 沪指11月13日上涨0.73%，申万所属行业中，今日上涨的有27个，涨幅居前的行业为电力设备、有色金 属，涨幅分别为4.31%、4.01%。建筑装饰行业今日上涨0.52%。跌幅居前的行业为公用事业、通信，跌 幅分别为0.27%、0.21%。 资金面上看，两市主力资金全天净流入244.71亿元，今日有16个行业主力资金净流入，电力设备行业主 力资金净流入规模居首，该行业今日上涨4.31%，全天净流入资金114.78亿元，其次是有色金属行业， 日涨幅为4.01%，净流入资金为91.99亿元。 主力资金净流出的行业有15个，公用事业行业主力资金净流出规模居首，全天净流出资金15.34亿元， 其次是建筑装饰行业，净流出资金为9.93亿元，净流出资金较多的还有家用电器、医药生物、石油石化 等行业。 建筑装饰行业今日上涨0.52%，全天主力资金净流出9.93亿元，该行业所属的个股共156只，今日上涨的 有104只，涨停的有9只；下跌的有41只。以资金流向数据进行统计，该行业资金净流入的个股有56只， 其中，净流入资金超3000万元的有8只，净流入资金居首的是中国核建，今日净流入资金6275.09万元， 紧随其 ...

Core Insights - The construction decoration industry experienced a net outflow of funds amounting to 999.3 million yuan on November 13, despite a 0.52% increase in the sector's stock prices [1][2] Fund Flow Summary Inflow Highlights - The top three stocks with significant net inflows were: - China Nuclear Engineering with a net inflow of 62.75 million yuan, increasing by 1.23% [1] - Aoya Shares with a net inflow of 48.25 million yuan, surging by 20% [1] - Sanwei Chemical with a net inflow of 40.97 million yuan, rising by 6.81% [1] Outflow Highlights - The stocks with the highest net outflows included: - China Metallurgical Group with a net outflow of 411.34 million yuan, increasing by 0.87% [2] - Guosheng Technology with a net outflow of 152.41 million yuan, rising by 9.96% [2] - China State Construction with a net outflow of 81.46 million yuan, decreasing by 0.18% [2]

Macro Research - The monetary policy framework continues to emphasize "appropriate monetary policy" and "maintaining reasonable growth in financial aggregates," with a shift towards combining counter-cyclical and cross-cyclical adjustments, reflecting the requirements of the 14th Five-Year Plan [1][2][3] - The central bank's focus is transitioning from merely short-term counter-cyclical support to a more forward-looking layout that optimizes efficiency and structural adjustments to better serve long-term economic goals [3][4] Strategy Research - The technology manufacturing sector remains highly prosperous, with rising prices in memory chips and an improved outlook for the lithium battery supply chain due to tight supply and demand [4][5] - Real estate demand is weak, with a significant decline in passenger vehicle sales, while coal demand has improved, leading to a substantial price increase [4][5] Energy Equipment and New Energy Research - The future expansion of the capacity pricing mechanism for energy storage is expected to enhance the economic viability of storage solutions across more provinces, significantly boosting demand in 2026 [8][9] - The introduction of a compensation standard for energy storage in Inner Mongolia at 0.28 yuan/kWh is anticipated to stimulate storage demand [10][25] Agriculture Research - The pet consumption sector showed strong performance during the Double 11 shopping festival, with domestic brands rising in rankings and companies like Zhongchong Co. performing exceptionally well [11][12][14] - The pet industry is experiencing a shift towards higher quality and more emotional consumption behaviors, indicating a trend of pet products becoming more integrated into family life [14][12]

Core Viewpoint - The Central Enterprise ETF (159959) opened with a slight increase of 0.44%, priced at 1.602 yuan, reflecting the performance of its underlying assets and market conditions [1] Group 1: ETF Performance - The Central Enterprise ETF (159959) has a benchmark performance index of the CSI Central Enterprise Structural Adjustment Index [1] - Since its establishment on October 22, 2018, the fund has achieved a return of 59.39% [1] - The fund's return over the past month has been -0.19% [1] Group 2: Major Holdings - Key stocks in the ETF include: - 澜起科技 (Lianqi Technology) down 0.55% - 中芯国际 (SMIC) down 0.53% - 海康威视 (Hikvision) down 0.10% - 国电南瑞 (Guodian NARI) down 0.29% - 招商银行 (China Merchants Bank) up 0.09% - 宝钢股份 (Baosteel) up 0.26% - 中国神华 (China Shenhua) up 0.21% - 长安汽车 (Changan Automobile) up 0.16% - 中国电信 (China Telecom) unchanged - 中国建筑 (China State Construction) unchanged [1]

Core Viewpoint - Southbound funds have significantly increased their holdings in China State Construction International (03311.HK), indicating growing investor confidence in the company [1] Group 1: Shareholding Changes - On November 12, 2025, southbound funds increased their holdings by 3.312 million shares, representing a 0.70% change [2] - Over the past five trading days, there have been five days of net increases, totaling 7.69 million shares [1] - In the last twenty trading days, there were 17 days of net increases, amounting to 16.706 million shares [1] Group 2: Current Holdings - As of now, southbound funds hold a total of 474 million shares of China State Construction International, which accounts for 8.97% of the company's total issued ordinary shares [1]

Core Viewpoint - China State Construction's Q3 net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 24.1% due to the ongoing deep adjustment in the real estate market and a slowdown in infrastructure investment growth [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company's Q3 net profit attributable to shareholders fell by 24.1% [1] - Current dividend yield stands at 5%, indicating a valuation bottom [1] - The dividend payout ratio is 24.3% [1] Group 2: Market Position and Valuation - China State Construction is one of the largest investment and construction groups globally and is included in major indices such as CSI 50, SSE 50, FTSE China A50, and MSCI China A50 Connect Index [1] - The controlling shareholder increased holdings by 620 million yuan, accounting for 0.27% of total share capital [1] - The company maintains a long-term stable dividend policy [1] Group 3: Future Outlook - The company is given a target price of 7.42 yuan based on a 2025 PE of 6.5 times [1] - The current PE of 4.7 times is at the 45th percentile over the past decade, while the PB is 0.47 times, at the 1st percentile over the same period [1] - The company adheres to a market-oriented operational mechanism, gradually enhancing its ability to navigate market rules [1]

Market Overview - The housing construction sector experienced a slight decline of 0.02% on November 12, with Chongqing Construction leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4000.14, down 0.07%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13240.62, down 0.36% [1] Stock Performance - Shanghai Construction (600170) closed at 2.97, up 0.68% with a trading volume of 3.86 million shares and a turnover of 1.14 billion yuan [1] - China State Construction (601668) closed at 5.45, up 0.37% with a trading volume of 2.29 million shares and a turnover of 1.25 billion yuan [1] - Shaanxi Construction (600248) closed at 3.85, down 0.52% with a trading volume of 199,200 shares and a turnover of 76.86 million yuan [1] - Longyuan Construction (600491) closed at 3.34, down 0.60% with a trading volume of 139,300 shares and a turnover of 46.57 million yuan [1] - Ningbo Construction (601789) closed at 5.52, down 0.90% with a trading volume of 292,000 shares and a turnover of 161 million yuan [1] - Zhejiang Construction Investment (002761) closed at 9.46, down 0.94% with a trading volume of 106,300 shares and a turnover of 101 million yuan [1] - High-tech Development (000628) closed at 45.29, down 2.22% with a trading volume of 59,100 shares and a turnover of 268 million yuan [1] - Chongqing Construction (600939) closed at 4.03, down 7.36% with a trading volume of 1.53 million shares and a turnover of 624 million yuan [1] Capital Flow - The housing construction sector saw a net inflow of 84.29 million yuan from main funds, while retail funds experienced a net outflow of 20.67 million yuan [1] - Main funds for China State Construction (601668) had a net inflow of 95.66 million yuan, while retail funds had a net outflow of 48.33 million yuan [2] - Shanghai Construction (600170) had a net inflow of 72.83 million yuan from main funds, with retail funds seeing a net outflow of 40.51 million yuan [2] - Ningbo Construction (601789) had a net inflow of 6.97 million yuan from main funds, while retail funds had a net outflow of 472.74 thousand yuan [2] - Longyuan Construction (600491) experienced a net outflow of 7.63 million yuan from main funds, but retail funds had a net inflow of 607.05 thousand yuan [2] - High-tech Development (000628) faced a significant net outflow of 60.53 million yuan from main funds, while retail funds had a net inflow of 5.12 million yuan [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Buy" for the company [3][8]. Core Insights - The company's net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 24.1% in Q3, impacted by the ongoing adjustment in the real estate market and a slowdown in infrastructure investment growth. The current dividend yield is at 5%, indicating that the company is undervalued as a leading market player in construction [2][4]. Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company's revenue reached 1.56 trillion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 4.2%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 38.18 billion yuan, down 3.8% year-on-year. The gross profit margin stood at 8.72%, with a net profit margin of 2.45% [4][5]. - The company reported a decrease in operating cash flow, with a net outflow of 69.48 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, although this was an improvement compared to the 77.01 billion yuan outflow in the same period of 2024 [5][6]. Earnings Forecast - The earnings per share (EPS) estimates for 2025-2027 have been revised down to 1.15, 1.20, and 1.25 yuan respectively, reflecting a growth of 2.8%, 4.6%, and 4.2% [3][6]. Valuation Metrics - The company is currently valued at a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 6.5 times for 2025, with a target price set at 7.42 yuan. The price-to-book (PB) ratio is at 0.47 times, indicating a significant discount compared to historical averages [3][5][6]. Market Position - As one of the largest investment and construction groups globally, the company is included in major indices such as the CSI 50 and MSCI China A50. The controlling shareholder has increased their stake by 0.27% [5][6].

Core Viewpoint - The housing construction sector experienced a slight decline of 0.1% on November 11, with significant losses led by Gaoxin Development, while the overall market indices also fell, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.39% and the Shenzhen Component Index down 1.03% [1] Summary by Category Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4002.76, down 0.39% - The Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13289.0, down 1.03% [1] Sector Performance - The housing construction sector saw a net outflow of 1.11 billion yuan in main funds, with retail investors contributing a net inflow of 1.16 billion yuan [1] Individual Stock Performance - Notable stock performances included: - Ningbo Construction (601789) closed at 5.57, up 1.27% with a trading volume of 465,900 shares and a turnover of 260 million yuan - Yihai Construction (600170) closed at 2.95, up 0.68% with a trading volume of 3,346,100 shares and a turnover of 98.6 million yuan - Gaoxin Development (000628) closed at 46.32, down 2.03% with a trading volume of 56,000 shares and a turnover of 263 million yuan [1]

Group 1 - The company emphasizes its commitment to high-quality development as a central theme [1] - The company aims to enhance its capabilities to address uncertainties arising from changing circumstances [1] - The company will focus on key annual tasks to achieve its operational goals [1]