Investment Rating - The report maintains an investment rating of "Leading the Market - A" for the construction industry, indicating an expected return that will outperform the CSI 300 index by 10% or more over the next six months [6]. Core Insights - The 2026 fiscal policy is set to remain proactive, with a focus on increasing fiscal spending and optimizing government bond tools to enhance local financial capabilities. This is expected to support economic growth and improve the construction industry's operational conditions [18][11]. - Infrastructure investment has shown signs of recovery, with November data indicating a month-on-month improvement. The construction sector is anticipated to stabilize as policies aimed at debt reduction and "anti-involution" continue to be implemented [2][11]. - The demand for cleanroom construction is expected to rise due to increased capital expenditures in the semiconductor and cloud service sectors, driven by rapid advancements in AI technology [3][15]. Summary by Sections Industry Dynamics - The national fiscal work conference highlighted the achievements of 2025 and outlined the key tasks for 2026, emphasizing a more active fiscal policy to stimulate consumption and manage risks in key areas [18]. - The construction industry is expected to benefit from a combination of improved fiscal policies and a recovering investment environment, leading to marginal improvements in operational performance [2][11]. Market Performance - The construction industry saw a weekly increase of 2.26%, outperforming the CSI 300 index, with the decoration and renovation sector showing the highest growth at 11.37% [20][21]. - The overall industry valuation metrics indicate a TTM P/E ratio of 12.47 and a P/B ratio of 0.83, with several companies showing low valuations, suggesting potential investment opportunities [24][28]. Key Companies to Watch - Recommended companies include low-valuation state-owned enterprises such as China State Construction, China Communications Construction, and China Railway Construction, which are expected to benefit from improved cash flow and profitability [11][13]. - Cleanroom engineering leaders like Yaxin Integration and Shenghui Integration are highlighted for their potential growth due to increasing demand in the semiconductor sector [3][15].

Core Insights - The total carbon emissions of the top 100 listed companies in China for 2024 are projected to be 5.134 billion tons, a decrease of 2.7 million tons compared to 2023, indicating a potential peak in emissions [1][6][11] - The disclosure rate of carbon emissions among these companies has increased from 43% in 2021 to an expected 80% by 2025, reflecting a growing awareness and commitment to carbon reduction [1][5][23] Group 1: Carbon Emissions Overview - The carbon emissions of the top 100 listed companies in 2024 are 5.134 billion tons, which is a 0.52% decrease from 5.161 billion tons in 2023 [6][11] - The top ten companies account for approximately 38% of the total emissions, highlighting the concentration of emissions among a few major players [2][6] - The threshold for inclusion in the carbon emissions ranking has decreased to 10.3128 million tons in 2024, down from 11.5329 million tons in 2023, indicating a reduction in emissions intensity among leading high-carbon companies [6][11] Group 2: Industry Emission Trends - The power industry remains the largest contributor to carbon emissions, accounting for approximately 2.29 billion tons in 2024, maintaining a significant share of the total emissions [15] - The cement industry follows with emissions of about 770 million tons, continuing a downward trend for four consecutive years [15] - The steel industry has seen a notable decrease in emissions, returning to levels close to those of 2022, with emissions around 580 million tons [15][18] Group 3: Carbon Efficiency Metrics - The average carbon efficiency of the top 100 companies in 2024 is 0.399 million yuan per ton, remaining stable compared to 0.40 million yuan per ton in 2023 [20][21] - The carbon efficiency has improved by 10.83% from 2021 to 2024, indicating a positive trend in decoupling economic output from carbon emissions [20] - Seven industries have shown improvements in carbon efficiency, with the chemical industry achieving the most significant increase, reaching 0.39 million yuan per ton, the highest in three years [20][21] Group 4: Disclosure and Transparency - In 2024, 80 companies disclosed their carbon emissions data, an increase from 65 in 2023, achieving the highest disclosure rate in four years [23] - The disclosure rate for the power industry is 77.42%, while the cement industry leads with 85.71%, consistently above the average [26] - A-share companies have seen a significant rise in disclosure rates, from 16.67% in 2021 to 70.97% in 2024, indicating improved transparency in carbon reporting [26][27]

Core Viewpoint - The housing construction sector experienced a decline of 0.23% on December 26, with Chongqing Construction leading the drop, while the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.1% and the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 0.54% [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The closing price for the Shanghai Composite Index was 3963.68, and for the Shenzhen Component Index, it was 13603.89 [1] - High-tech Development saw a significant increase of 4.81%, closing at 46.89, while Chongqing Construction fell by 2.37%, closing at 3.30 [1] - The trading volume for High-tech Development was 142,900 shares, with a transaction value of 662 million yuan [1] Group 2: Capital Flow - The housing construction sector had a net outflow of 7.3252 million yuan from main funds, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 52.2298 million yuan [1] - High-tech Development had a main fund net inflow of 77.3998 million yuan, but retail funds saw a net outflow of 37.3425 million yuan [2] - Chongqing Construction experienced a net outflow of 8.9380 million yuan from main funds, with a retail net inflow of 9.5688 million yuan [2]

Core Insights - Central enterprises are expected to enhance their roles in serving the national economic development and improving people's livelihoods, contributing significantly to China's modernization efforts [1] Group 1: Strengthening Scale and Capability - Central enterprises have seen their total assets exceed 90 trillion yuan, with significant advancements in various sectors, including the successful operation of the world's first commercial supercritical carbon dioxide power generation unit and the launch of the largest green hydrogen-ammonia integrated project [2] - The cumulative R&D expenditure of central enterprises has surpassed 5 trillion yuan, with an annual investment growth rate in emerging industries exceeding 20% [2] - The number of technology talents in central enterprises has increased by nearly 50%, enhancing their scale, value creation capabilities, and brand influence [2] Group 2: Industrial Upgrading and Innovation - Central enterprises are focusing on technological innovation to drive industrial transformation, with 438 technology breakthroughs achieved this year [3] - The implementation of the "Artificial Intelligence +" initiative has led to over 800 application scenarios and the establishment of 1,854 smart factories [3] - During the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, energy consumption per unit of output and carbon dioxide emissions per unit of output have decreased by 12.8% and 13.9%, respectively [3] Group 3: Strategic Function and Governance - The establishment of 9 new central enterprises has been completed as part of the deepening reform of state-owned enterprises, with a focus on strategic restructuring [4] - The management levels of central enterprises are now controlled within four tiers, improving management efficiency and transparency [5] - The State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission (SASAC) has implemented a more scientific regulatory approach, including a tailored assessment for each enterprise and the establishment of a national property information database [5]

12月25日下午，省委书记林武，省委副书记、省长周乃翔在山东大厦会见了中建集团党组书记、董 事长郑学选，中建集团党组副书记、总经理文兵一行。林武、郑学选分别介绍了山东省、中建集团发展 情况，围绕加强"十五五"时期项目谋划、加快交通等基础设施建设、推进城市更新、推动"好房子"建设 等交换意见，表示将加强交流对接，深化投资合作，加快在建项目进度，共同谋划实施更多精品工程， 共享发展机遇，不断谱写共赢合作新篇章。副省长温暖参加。（记者 于新悦 李子路） ...

Group 1 - The Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development reported that from January to November 2025, 25,800 urban old community renovation projects were initiated, exceeding the annual target of 25,000 by 800 projects, achieving a completion rate of 103% [1] - The ministry emphasized the "Four Goods" construction (good houses, good communities, good neighborhoods, good urban areas) during the national urban renewal promotion meeting in November 2025, linking urban renewal with stabilizing the real estate market and addressing safety hazards to release housing demand [1] - Local governments, including Guangdong, Shanghai, and Chongqing, are actively responding with detailed policies to support urban renewal initiatives [1] Group 2 - The Ministry of Finance has pre-allocated 56.6 billion yuan for urban affordable housing projects for 2026 and encouraged local special bonds for urban renewal [2] - The National Development and Reform Commission included urban renewal facilities in the REITs issuance scope, expanding long-term financing channels by adding asset types such as commercial offices, hotels, and sports venues [2] - Central economic work meetings may promote special bonds and ultra-long-term special treasury bonds to support urban renewal, with potential policy financial tools reaching a leverage ratio of 14 times in 2026 [2] Group 3 - The focus on "high-quality urban renewal" is a key aspect of the 14th Five-Year Plan, with a shift in policy from "large-scale implementation" to "high-quality advancement," emphasizing localized and sustainable operations [3] - Investment in underground pipelines related to urban renewal is expected to exceed 5 trillion yuan by 2026, driving demand in construction and renovation sectors [3] - The current urban renewal landscape is characterized by increased policy support, diversified funding, and leading participation from major state-owned construction enterprises, with a completion rate of approximately 86.8% for 2025 and an acceleration expected in 2026 [3]

Core Viewpoint - The housing construction sector experienced a slight increase of 0.26% on December 25, with Ningbo Construction leading the gains [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3959.62, up by 0.47% [1] - The Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13531.41, up by 0.33% [1] - Key stocks in the housing construction sector showed varied performance, with Ningbo Construction rising by 1.99% to a closing price of 5.13 [1] Group 2: Stock Performance Details - Ningbo Construction (601789) had a trading volume of 204,700 shares and a transaction value of 105 million yuan [1] - Chongqing Construction (600939) increased by 1.81% to a closing price of 3.38, with a trading volume of 685,700 shares and a transaction value of 234 million yuan [1] - Longyuan Construction (600491) rose by 1.49% to a closing price of 2.73, with a trading volume of 164,500 shares and a transaction value of 44.53 million yuan [1] Group 3: Capital Flow Analysis - The housing construction sector saw a net inflow of 38.02 million yuan from main funds, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 37.14 million yuan [1] - Major stocks like Chongqing Construction and China State Construction attracted significant net inflows of 29.05 million yuan and 23.60 million yuan, respectively [2] - Conversely, stocks like Zhejiang Construction and Gaoxin Development faced substantial net outflows of 11.17 million yuan and 13.25 million yuan, respectively [2]

证券研究报告 建筑装饰 行业定期报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 12 月 25 日 证券分析师 王彬鹏 SAC：S1350524090001 wangbinpeng@huayuanstock.com 戴铭余 SAC：S1350524060003 daimingyu@huayuanstock.com 郦悦轩 SAC：S1350524080001 liyuexuan@huayuanstock.com 唐志玮 tangzhiwei@huayuanstock.com 林高凡 lingaofan@huayuanstock.com 重视"春季躁动" ，寻"重大工程"轨迹布局 投资评级： 看好（维持） ——建筑装饰行业周报（20251215-20251221） 投资要点： 本周观点： 联系人 2025 年建筑板块回顾：指数表现分化，我们看好 2026 年建筑板块整体表现。我们从两类不 同视角对建筑板块进行复盘。1）是从年内涨跌幅结构看，截至 2025 年 11 月，SW 建筑装 饰指数累计上涨 8.88%，表现弱于沪深 300 指数，但板块内部结构分化明显。其中，民营建 筑企业受并购重组及新业务拓展推动，相关 ...

Core Viewpoint - The central economic work conference in December 2025 emphasizes the need to "promote investment stabilization" in 2026, leading to an optimistic outlook on fiscal policy for the upcoming year, particularly in infrastructure investment, which is expected to grow by 4.5% in 2026 [1][3][18]. Fiscal Policy Outlook - The fiscal measures for 2026 are anticipated to be more proactive, with a focus on stabilizing investment and stimulating private sector investment [3][4]. - The trend of "central government increasing leverage while local governments reduce leverage" is expected to continue, with the central government taking a more significant role in driving investment due to limited local government borrowing capacity [4][18]. Infrastructure Investment - Infrastructure investment is projected to be a crucial growth stabilizer in 2026, with a forecasted growth rate of 4.5% [18]. - The central government is expected to play a vital role in supporting infrastructure investment, particularly in the western regions, where there is significant potential for growth [18][32]. Construction Sector Insights - The construction state-owned enterprises (SOEs) are expected to benefit from debt reduction initiatives, leading to improved asset quality and valuation recovery [2][22]. - The share of receivables in total assets for major construction SOEs has been rising, indicating a need for financial improvement and valuation recovery as local government funding stabilizes [22][26]. Regional Investment Opportunities - The western provinces, particularly Sichuan, are highlighted as having high potential for infrastructure investment due to favorable central government funding and strategic positioning [32][39]. - The central transfer payment to western provinces is projected to be 4 trillion yuan, accounting for 42.2% of total central transfer payments, indicating strong financial support for infrastructure projects [32][36]. Manufacturing Sector Outlook - Manufacturing investment is expected to stabilize with a growth rate of around 5% in 2026, driven by a recovery in semiconductor capital expenditures [14][46]. - The cleanroom engineering sector is anticipated to benefit significantly from the upturn in semiconductor investments [46]. International Market Growth - The overseas market is projected to become a second growth curve for construction companies, with expectations of continued growth in new contracts and revenue from international projects [2][18].

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes optimism regarding fiscal policy in 2026, particularly in infrastructure investment as a means to stabilize economic growth amid a challenging real estate market [2][4][5]. Fiscal Policy Outlook - The 2026 fiscal policy is expected to be more proactive, with a focus on stabilizing investment and stimulating private sector activity [4][5]. - Central government investment is anticipated to increase, while local governments will continue to reduce leverage due to rising debt risks [5]. Infrastructure Investment - Infrastructure investment is projected to grow at a rate of 4.5% in 2026, driven by ongoing support from central fiscal measures [2][15]. - The central government is expected to play a significant role in funding infrastructure projects, particularly in the western regions of China [27][28]. Regional Investment Opportunities - The western provinces, especially Sichuan, are highlighted as having high potential for infrastructure investment due to favorable central government support and strategic positioning [3][27][34]. - Sichuan's transportation investment is leading nationally, with a compound annual growth rate of 4.9% from 2020 to 2024, indicating strong growth prospects [32]. Manufacturing Sector Insights - Manufacturing investment is expected to stabilize with a growth rate of around 5% in 2026, benefiting from a potential recovery in semiconductor capital expenditures [3][12]. - The cleanroom engineering sector is identified as a key beneficiary of increased capital spending in high-end manufacturing [3]. International Engineering Opportunities - The overseas market is anticipated to become a second growth curve for construction companies, with significant growth in new contracts and revenue from foreign projects since 2025 [3][12]. Debt Management and Corporate Valuation - The ongoing debt management efforts are expected to improve the asset quality and valuation of state-owned construction enterprises, which have seen a decline in price-to-book ratios due to rising receivables [2][16]. - The average funding cost for major construction enterprises is around 4%, with some companies achieving lower rates through bond issuance [22][23]. Construction Sector Dynamics - The construction sector is experiencing a shift towards higher market concentration, with leading companies increasing their market share significantly in recent years [22][23]. - The article notes that the average market share of major construction enterprises has risen to 22.9% in revenue terms and 48.9% in order terms [22][23].