Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [8]. Core Views - The recent performance of the company has been weak, with valuations dropping to the bottom range. At this point, the company is considered to have a sufficient margin of safety and highlighted dividend value, leading to a continued strong recommendation for investment in the company [5][7]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters, the company achieved a revenue of 1,558.22 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 4.20%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 38.182 billion yuan, down 3.83% year-on-year. It is expected that the company will continue to face slight pressure throughout the year [7]. - The total new contracts signed for 2025 are projected to be 4,545.8 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 1.0%. The new contracts in the construction industry are expected to reach 4,151.0 billion yuan, up 1.7% year-on-year [7]. - The company is a pilot unit for the State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission's market value management assessment, consistently leading in dividend payout rates among central state-owned enterprises. Despite a projected decline in net profit for 2024, the company plans to increase its dividend payout ratio from 21% to 24%, maintaining a stable dividend per share of 0.27 yuan, which corresponds to a current dividend yield of 5.4% [7]. Market Position - The company is the largest construction enterprise in China by scale and market capitalization, and it is a component of major indices such as the SSE 50, CSI 300, and CSI Dividend [12]. - The company's valuation has dropped to historical lows, with a price-to-book (PB) ratio of 0.43 and a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 4.7, both below the historical 25th percentile, indicating a strong margin of safety [12]. - The company’s subsidiaries, including China Overseas Property, have a combined sales volume that exceeds that of the leading competitor, Poly Developments, positioning the company to benefit from real estate policy changes [12]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from increased fiscal spending and policy support in 2026, which is seen as a pivotal year for the "14th Five-Year Plan." The central economic work conference has emphasized stabilizing investment as a key task for 2026, with expectations for infrastructure demand to rise due to increased fiscal spending on major projects [12].

Group 1: Profit Forecasts - Dongcai Technology expects a net profit of approximately 300 million yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of about 65.73% [1] - Aerospace Electronics anticipates a net profit of 192 million to 247 million yuan for 2025, a decrease of 55% to 65% year-on-year [2] - Oulai New Materials forecasts a loss of 33 million to 48 million yuan for 2025, compared to a profit of 28.17 million yuan in the previous year [3] - Jiu Ding New Materials projects a net profit of 85 million to 98 million yuan for 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 187.68% to 231.68% [5] - Chuan Yi Technology expects a net profit of 78 million to 103 million yuan for 2025, reversing a loss of 73.47 million yuan from the previous year [6] - Ju Yi Technology anticipates a net profit of 70 million to 105 million yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 228.36% to 392.54% [7] - ST Xifa forecasts a net profit of 110 million to 160 million yuan for 2025, a year-on-year increase of 319.91% to 510.77% [19] - Light Media expects a net profit of approximately 1.5 billion to 1.9 billion yuan for 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 413.67% to 550.65% [34] - Tianqi Lithium anticipates a profit of 369 million to 553 million yuan for 2025, compared to a loss of 7.905 billion yuan in the previous year [31] Group 2: Loss Forecasts - Star Ring Technology expects a loss of 220 million to 250 million yuan for 2025, with a projected revenue of 420 million to 450 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13.06% to 21.13% [9] - Filinger anticipates a loss of 65 million to 85 million yuan for 2025, compared to a loss of 37.31 million yuan in the previous year [10] - Jiahe Meikang forecasts a loss of 240 million to 280 million yuan for 2025, compared to a loss of 256 million yuan in the previous year [11] - Light Textile City expects a loss of 15 million to 22.5 million yuan for 2025 [23] - Ailon Technology anticipates a profit of 14.96 million to 22.44 million yuan for 2025, reversing a loss of 21.70 million yuan from the previous year [24] - ST Yun Chuang forecasts a loss of 139 million to 149 million yuan for 2025, with projected revenue of 53.5 million to 57.5 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.15% to 14.09% [42] - Meike Home expects a loss of 1.2 billion to 1.8 billion yuan for 2025, compared to a loss of 864 million yuan in the previous year [36] Group 3: Shareholder Actions - Huafeng Chemical announced that shareholders plan to reduce their holdings by no more than 0.73% of the company's shares [8] - Naxinwei disclosed that shareholders plan to reduce their holdings by no more than 1.75% of the company's shares [12] - Shikong Technology announced that a shareholder plans to reduce their holdings by no more than 3% of the company's shares [13] - Yandong Micro disclosed that a shareholder plans to reduce their holdings by no more than 1% of the company's shares [37] - Daily Interaction announced that shareholders plan to reduce their holdings by no more than 0.135% of the company's shares [41]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Buy" [4] Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes that the construction industry is at a valuation bottom, combined with a seasonal uptick in spring, recommending "undervalued & well-positioned" large state-owned enterprises [4] - The report highlights a positive trend in new orders for major construction state-owned enterprises, with a notable increase in overseas orders outpacing domestic orders [4] - The cash flow situation is improving due to local government debt management and enhanced cash flow control at the enterprise level [4] - The report suggests that market capitalization management is becoming mainstream, with an emphasis on increasing dividend rates and stabilizing dividend amounts [4] - Investment recommendations include major state-owned enterprises such as China State Construction, China Railway Construction, and others based on business performance, valuation, cash flow, and market capitalization management [4] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The construction sector is experiencing a recovery with improved order volumes and a focus on core engineering business [4] - The report notes that major state-owned enterprises have shown positive growth in new orders, with overseas orders increasing significantly [4] Valuation Analysis - The report indicates that the price-to-book (PB) ratios for leading construction state-owned enterprises have returned to historical lows, suggesting potential for valuation recovery [4] Cash Flow Management - The report states that the net cash flow from operating activities in the construction industry has improved, indicating better cash flow management practices [4] Market Capitalization Management - The report discusses the trend of increasing dividend payouts among major state-owned enterprises, reflecting a commitment to shareholder returns [4] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends investing in companies such as China State Construction, China Railway Construction, and others based on their strong fundamentals and attractive valuations [4]

Group 1 - China State Construction recently secured major projects totaling 37.24 billion yuan, representing 1.7% of the audited revenue for 2024. The projects include four housing construction projects worth 18.37 billion yuan and four infrastructure projects worth 18.87 billion yuan, covering areas such as hospitals and highways [1] - The Shanghai land auction concluded with three residential plots sold at a base price of 4.02 billion yuan, with a total area of 239.3 acres and a total construction area of 205,000 square meters. The overall premium rate was 0%, reflecting a rational pricing approach during the industry adjustment period [2] - Guangzhou R&F Properties announced the suspension of six bonds starting January 30, 2026, as part of its debt restructuring process. This move indicates the company's proactive stance in addressing its debt issues amid a complex industry landscape [3] - South China City disclosed a preliminary plan for overseas debt restructuring, aiming to maintain existing credit support for creditors and allow them to benefit from potential equity appreciation. The success of this plan depends on creditor support and regulatory approvals [4] - Dalian Xindameng and Zhuhai Wanda Commercial Management announced board changes, appointing Zhao Zesheng as vice chairman and Li Zhen as Chief Human Resources Officer. This reflects a key step in optimizing governance structure under the leadership of the Taima Group [5]

| 序号 | 项目获得单位 | 项目名称 | 项目金额 （亿元） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 一 | 房屋建筑 | | | | 1 | 中建南洋公司 | 新加坡亚历山大医院 IP 标段 | 102.0 | | 2 | 中建丝路、中建六 | 新疆乌鲁木齐新途零碳智算中心项目工程总承 | 28.0 | | | 局 | 包 | | | | 中建三局 | 广东广州 TCL 华星第 8.6 代印刷 OLED 生产线一 | 27.0 | | 3 | | 期项目施工总承包 标段 A | | | 4 | 中建三局 | 湖北武汉高科技电子材料生产基地项目工程总 | 26.7 | | | | 承包（EPC） | | | 二 | 基础设施 | | | | | 中建股份、中建基 | G0611 张掖至汶川国家高速公路赛尔龙（甘青界） | | | 1 | 础、中建一局、中 建三局、中建四局、 | 至郎木寺（甘川界）段与 碌曲至久治（青海） S45 | 89.2 | | | 中建七局 | 高速公路尕秀至玛曲段捆绑项目 | | | | 中建八局 | 福银高速公路襄阳段改扩建工程施工 FYXYTJ-1 | | ...

Core Viewpoint - China State Construction Engineering Corporation has recently secured multiple significant projects in both the housing construction and infrastructure sectors, indicating a strong pipeline for future revenue growth [1] Group 1: Housing Construction Projects - The housing construction projects include the Singapore Alexandra Hospital IP segment awarded to China State Construction Nanyang [1] Group 2: Infrastructure Projects - Infrastructure projects include the G0611 Zhangye to Wenchuan National Expressway related bundled projects won by China State Construction and others [1] Group 3: Financial Impact - The total project value amounts to 37.24 billion yuan, which represents 1.7% of the audited operating revenue for the fiscal year 2024 [1]

Core Viewpoint - The housing construction sector experienced a 0.94% increase on January 29, with Longyuan Construction leading the gains, while the overall market showed mixed results with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.16% and the Shenzhen Component Index falling by 0.3% [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4157.98, up 0.16% [1] - The Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14300.08, down 0.3% [1] - Longyuan Construction saw a closing price of 3.08, with a gain of 5.48% [1] Group 2: Individual Stock Performance - China State Construction closed at 5.04, up 1.61%, with a trading volume of 8.3036 million shares and a transaction value of 4.109 billion [1] - Zhejiang Construction Investment closed at 8.70, up 1.40%, with a trading volume of 160,700 shares and a transaction value of 2.66 million [1] - Chongqing Construction closed at 3.22, up 0.94%, with a trading volume of 184,800 shares and a transaction value of 5.93884 million [1] Group 3: Capital Flow - The housing construction sector saw a net outflow of 739 million from main funds, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 264 million [1] - Longyuan Construction had a main fund net inflow of 36.1255 million, while retail investors had a net outflow of 14.3168 million [2] - China State Construction experienced a main fund net outflow of 373 million, but a net inflow of 454.49 million from retail investors [2]

Group 1: Fund Analysis - The public FOF fund scale increased in Q4 2025, with a new issuance scale of 458.54 billion yuan, primarily in bond-type funds [6][7] - The proportion of positive returns for FOF was 49%, with the top performer being CITIC Securities' selected fund [6][8] - Fund managers are optimistic about the market outlook, focusing on structural opportunities with technology and cyclical sectors as the main themes [6][11] Group 2: Electric Vehicle Market - The European electric vehicle market is entering a new phase, with a projected penetration rate of 29% in 2025 and 35% in 2026 due to supply-side drivers and supportive policies [14][15] - The introduction of affordable electric models by European automakers is expected to stimulate consumer demand significantly [15] - Chinese lithium battery companies are positioned to capitalize on the growth of the European market, enhancing their competitive landscape [14][16] Group 3: Construction and Decoration Industry - The construction state-owned enterprises are expected to benefit from strategic and professional restructuring policies initiated by the state [18][19] - The market share of major construction state-owned enterprises remains relatively low, with significant competition and operational pressure evident [19][20] - Recommendations include companies like China Communications Construction, China Railway, and China Chemical, which are likely to enhance their competitiveness through restructuring [21] Group 4: Beauty and Personal Care - The beauty industry in China is transitioning from incremental expansion to competitive positioning, with domestic brands gaining market share [23][24] - The company aims to achieve 30 billion yuan in sales by 2030, driven by research and development, brand expansion, and global operations [25] - The application of AI in production and marketing is expected to enhance operational efficiency and support long-term growth [25] Group 5: Basic Chemicals - The price of hafnium has surged by 21.64% since the beginning of 2026, driven by high demand in sectors like semiconductors and aerospace [27][28] - The company is advancing its zirconium-hafnium separation project, which is expected to significantly contribute to future earnings [29] - Hafnium's unique properties make it essential in high-tech applications, indicating strong future demand [28] Group 6: Electronics - The company is set to benefit from the high demand for PCB and packaging substrates, with projected net profits for 2025 expected to increase by 68% to 78% [31][32] - The expansion of production capacity is ongoing, with new facilities in Thailand and South China expected to enhance growth potential [33] - The company is recognized as a leading provider of electronic circuit technology, with a positive outlook for future performance [33]

Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights that southbound funds have reduced their holdings in China State Construction International (03311.HK) by 2.418 million shares on January 28, with a total net reduction of 3.268 million shares over the last five trading days [1] - Over the past 20 trading days, there have been 8 days of net reductions in holdings by southbound funds, totaling 1.3905 million shares [1] - As of now, southbound funds hold 511 million shares of China State Construction International, representing 9.66% of the company's total issued ordinary shares [1] Group 2 - China State Construction International Group Limited primarily engages in construction business and investment holding [1] - The company is involved in various activities including construction, infrastructure project investment, toll road operations, project supervision services, and exterior wall engineering [1] - Additionally, the company is engaged in the renovation of industrial plants, provision of project supervision services, sale of construction materials, and leasing of machinery and investment properties [1]

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