| 投资要点 | | --- | 事件： 公司发布2025年一季报。2025年一季度公司实现营业收入30.95亿元，同比增长28.28%，环比 下降23.16%；实现归母净利润3.22亿元，同比增长32.68%，环比下降25.28%。公司2025一季度 业绩整体符合我们的预期。 盈利预测与投资评级： 我们维持公司2025-2027年归母净利润分别为17.61亿元、21.89亿元、26.83亿元的预测，对应的 EPS分别为6.16元、7.66元、9.39元，2025-2027年市盈率分别为21.52倍、17.31倍、14.12倍，维 持"买入"评级。 风险提示： 乘用车行业销量不及预期；车灯产品升级速度不及预期；新客户开拓不及预期。 | 资产负债表(百万元) | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | 利润表(百万元) | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 流动资产 | 11.957 | 14.270 | 16.816 | 20.1 ...

证券研究报告·公司点评报告·汽车零部件 星宇股份（601799） 2025 年一季报点评：2025Q1 业绩符合预期， 车灯龙头持续成长 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 10,248 | 13,253 | 16,305 | 19,715 | 23,530 | | 同比（%） | 24.25 | 29.32 | 23.03 | 20.91 | 19.35 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 1,102 | 1,408 | 1,761 | 2,189 | 2,683 | | 同比（%） | 17.07 | 27.78 | 25.02 | 24.31 | 22.60 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 3.86 | 4.93 | 6.16 | 7.66 | 9.39 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 34.37 | 26.90 | 21.52 | 17.31 | 14.12 | [Table_Ta ...

QYResearch的观点和数据因被众多国内外知名企业、证券公司及媒体频繁引用与转载，而享有高度的 品牌知名度。其权威认证确保了所提供的行业分析及定制报告的可信度与专业度，是业界信赖的优选。 0 1 恒州博智的LED照明报告被深圳民爆光电公司中的年报引用 民爆光电（301362）2024年度管理层讨论与分析 据恒州博智发布的《2023年中国LED照明行业全景图谱》显示，2023年，全球LED防爆照明市场销售额达到 了49亿元，并预测在2028年将达到79亿元，期间的复合年增长率（CAGR）约为7.8%。这一增长可归因于 LED防爆灯在石油和采矿、军事基地、机场以及其他商业和工业领域的广泛应用，这些领域对于安全照明有着 极高的要求。 来源：证券之星 更多：https://stock.stockstar.com/RB2025040100020605.shtml 最新报告推荐：2025年全球及中国极端温度LED照明企业出海开展业务规划及策略研究报告 0 2 深圳思创策划咨询有限公司引用了恒州博智出版的外墙翻新服务市场分析报告 深圳建筑外立面改造项目可行性研究报告——市场分析 根据 QYR（恒州博智）的统计及预测，2 ...

Summary of the Conference Call for Xingyu Co., Ltd. Company Overview - **Company**: Xingyu Co., Ltd. - **Date of Call**: April 29, 2025 Key Points Industry and Market Dynamics - The transition to the Seres M9 model and the slow ramp-up of the M8 model have led to a decrease in revenue contribution for Xingyu Co., Ltd. However, the M8 has secured over 60,000 large orders, and the new M9 model is expected to be a significant growth driver in the coming months [2][4] - The company anticipates that overseas revenue will account for approximately 5% of total revenue in 2025, with Q1 overseas revenue nearing 200 million yuan [2][7] - The European market has underperformed due to factory shutdowns, while the North American market is on hold due to trade tariffs, with future strategies under observation [2][7][8] Financial Performance - In Q1, operating profit margin decreased sequentially, but gross margin, net margin, and operating profit margin increased year-over-year. The company expects to maintain and slightly improve gross margins in the remaining quarters of the year [2][10] - The company is actively expanding its domestic supply chain and accelerating the localization of raw materials, with plans to consider switching to domestic light sources by the second half of 2026 [2][10][11] Customer and Product Insights - Major customers in Q1 2025 included Chery (25% share), FAW-Volkswagen (17-18%), and Seres (approximately 11%) [3] - The average selling price (ASP) of products is expected to continue rising in 2025, particularly for self-developed and domestically sourced ADAS products [5][12] - The collaboration with Huawei is significant, as all Huawei series vehicles are equipped with Xingyu products, potentially increasing profit margins by reducing reliance on Huawei for DLP modules [6] Strategic Partnerships and Future Outlook - The number of projects with Geely has increased, with significant revenue contributions expected in the second half of the year [5][19] - A partnership with Xiaomi has been established for a specific model, with expectations for more projects in the future [20] - The company is optimistic about the long-term potential of the North American market but remains cautious due to tariff impacts [8] Product Development and Innovation - The company is focusing on high-value products, with ADB, HD, and DLP smart headlights making up a significant portion of revenue [21][26] - The introduction of new HD solutions is expected to reduce costs by 20% compared to the first-generation solutions, enhancing competitiveness and profitability [11] Challenges and Competitive Landscape - The competitive landscape remains intense, with pressures on development fees and R&D costs from both joint ventures and domestic manufacturers [27] - The company is navigating challenges in the European market while maintaining a long-term positive outlook for North America [8][30] Conclusion - Overall, Xingyu Co., Ltd. is positioned to leverage its strategic partnerships, product innovations, and market insights to navigate current challenges and capitalize on growth opportunities in the automotive lighting industry. The focus on high-value products and expanding domestic supply chains will be crucial for maintaining profitability and competitive advantage in the coming years [2][5][10][30]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [8] Core Views - The company reported Q1 2025 revenue of 3.095 billion RMB, representing a year-over-year increase of 28.28% and a quarter-over-quarter decrease of 23.16%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 322 million RMB, up 32.68% year-over-year but down 25.28% quarter-over-quarter [1][2] - The company is expected to continue its growth trajectory, driven by new projects and increased market share among domestic brands. Several new models are anticipated to become bestsellers, and the company is actively expanding its overseas presence [1][4] - The gross margin for Q1 2025 was stable at 18.83%, with a slight increase in R&D expense ratio, indicating a robust pipeline of projects [3] - The company is well-positioned in the smart vehicle market and is accelerating its global expansion, with production capacity in Serbia and new entities established in Mexico and the USA [4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Q1 2025 revenue was 3.095 billion RMB, with a year-over-year growth of 28.28% and a quarter-over-quarter decline of 23.16%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 322 million RMB, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 32.68% [1][2] - The company expects revenue growth to continue, with projected revenues of 17.656 billion RMB, 22.823 billion RMB, and 29.330 billion RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [7] Profitability and Costs - The gross margin for Q1 2025 was 18.83%, showing stability compared to previous periods. The R&D expense ratio increased to 6.0%, indicating a strong focus on ongoing projects [3] - The report forecasts net profits of 1.946 billion RMB, 2.512 billion RMB, and 3.180 billion RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [7] Market Position and Growth Potential - The company has gained significant market share among domestic brands and is expected to benefit from the launch of several new models in 2025, which are likely to be popular [2][4] - The company is expanding its global footprint, with production capabilities in Europe and plans for further opportunities in North America [4] Valuation - The target price is set at 176.20 RMB, with a projected PE ratio of 26 times for 2025, reflecting a 30% premium over comparable companies [5][9]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform the Market" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The company achieved a net profit of 320 million yuan in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 33% [1][7] - Revenue for Q1 2025 reached 3.095 billion yuan, an increase of 28.28% year-on-year, despite a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 23.16% [1][7] - The company has successfully transitioned its customer structure from primarily joint ventures with German and Japanese brands to focusing on domestic and new energy vehicle clients, entering a new growth cycle [1][7] - The average price of the company's automotive lighting products increased by 25% in 2024, with a projected market share of 16% for front lights in China [2] - The company is expanding its global footprint with new orders, production capacity, and product innovations, including strategic partnerships for developing advanced lighting technologies [3][53] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company's gross margin was 18.83%, up 0.27 percentage points year-on-year, and the net margin was 10.41%, up 0.35 percentage points year-on-year [12][22] - The company forecasts revenues of 16.32 billion yuan, 20.32 billion yuan, and 25.54 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits expected to be 1.7 billion yuan, 2.22 billion yuan, and 2.98 billion yuan for the same years [4] Product Development and Market Trends - The automotive lighting industry is experiencing a shift towards electronic and intelligent technologies, with advancements in ADB and DLP lighting systems enhancing safety and user experience [28] - The company is actively developing new technologies, including MicroLED and MiniLED-based products, and has established partnerships with key players in the automotive electronics sector [36][37] Customer and Order Growth - The company secured 69 new model development projects in the first half of 2024, achieving mass production for 40 models, indicating strong future growth potential [53] - The company has been recognized by major automotive manufacturers, receiving awards for quality and service excellence, which enhances its competitive position in the market [55][56] Global Expansion - The company is progressively releasing production capacity in Serbia and has established operations in Mexico and the United States to support its global strategy [61] - The digital transformation initiatives have been recognized, with the company receiving multiple accolades for its advancements in integrating technology across its operations [66]

01 事件概述 公司发布 2025 年一季度报告，2025Q1 实现营收 30.95 亿元，同比+28.28%；归母净利润 3.22 亿元，同比+32.68%；扣非归母净利润 3.13 亿元，同比+34.83%。 02 分析判断 ► 业绩高速增长 会计准则变更影响毛利率与费用率同环比表现 收入端 ： 2025Q1 营收 30.95 亿元，同比+28.28%，环比-23.16%。2024 年，公司承接了 69 个车型的新品研发项目，实现了 40 个车型项目批产。2025Q1，公司配套车型问界 M9 销量同比+117.43%，驱动公司收入快速增长； 利润端： 2025Q1归母净利润 3.22 亿元，同比+32.68%，环比-25.26%；扣非归母净利润 3.13 亿元，同比+34.83%，环比-27.60%。2025Q1 毛利率为 18.83%，同比+0.27pct，环比 +1.22pct。毛利率环比提升明显，主要系 2024 年报会计准则调整所致，部分项目由销售费用调整至营业成本； 费用端： 2025Q1 销售/管理/研发/财务费用率分别为 0.37%/2.25%/6.01%/0.11%，同比分别-0.03/- ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 140.99 CNY [5][2] Core Views - The company has achieved significant growth in Q1, with revenue reaching 3.095 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 28.3%, and net profit attributable to the parent company at 322 million CNY, up 32.7% year-on-year [9] - The company is actively expanding its customer base in the new energy vehicle sector and has opened up overseas markets, which is expected to drive future growth [9][8] - The company is a preferred partner for Huawei's smart automotive solutions, enhancing its product offerings and market position [9] Financial Forecast and Investment Suggestions - EPS is projected to be 6.13 CNY in 2025, 7.56 CNY in 2026, and 9.11 CNY in 2027, with an average PE valuation of 23 times for comparable companies in 2025 [2] - Revenue is expected to grow from 10.248 billion CNY in 2023 to 21.386 billion CNY in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 14.7% [4][10] - Operating profit is forecasted to increase from 1.199 billion CNY in 2023 to 3.064 billion CNY in 2027, reflecting a strong growth trajectory [4][10] Key Financial Information - The company's revenue for 2023 is projected at 10.248 billion CNY, with a year-on-year growth of 24.3% [4] - The gross margin is expected to improve from 20.6% in 2023 to 22.4% in 2027, indicating better cost management and pricing power [4] - The net profit margin is projected to increase from 10.8% in 2023 to 12.2% in 2027, showcasing enhanced profitability [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-A" rating for the company [6] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 3.095 billion yuan in Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 28.28%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 322 million yuan, up 32.68% year-on-year [2][3] - Future growth is driven by three main factors: customer autonomy, product high-endization, and global business expansion [3] Summary by Relevant Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company maintained high revenue growth, primarily due to increased sales from core customers such as Chery and Wuling, with Chery's sales reaching 593,700 units, a 16.75% increase year-on-year [2] - The comprehensive gross margin for Q1 2025 was 18.83%, up 0.27 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to product structure optimization [2] - The company's net profit for Q1 2025 was 322 million yuan, reflecting a 32.68% year-on-year increase [2] Growth Drivers - Customer autonomy: The company has deepened cooperation with traditional domestic brands like Chery and Geely, while successfully expanding to new clients such as Wuling and NIO [3] - Product high-endization: The company focuses on mid-to-high-end new energy vehicle manufacturers, with an average selling price (ASP) for headlights projected to be 203.13 yuan in 2024, a 25.31% increase year-on-year [3] - Global business expansion: The company's factory in Serbia began production at the end of 2022, and new entities in Mexico and the U.S. were established in 2023, indicating a new phase of development [3] Financial Projections - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 1.85 billion yuan, 2.29 billion yuan, and 2.79 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [3] - The report estimates a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 25 for 2025, with a target price of 162 yuan per share over the next six months [3]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong financial performance for Q1 2025, with significant year-on-year growth in revenue and net profit, driven by new model launches and increased sales in both domestic and overseas markets [1][2][4]. Revenue Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 3.095 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 28.28% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 23.16% [2]. - The company launched 69 new model development projects in 2024, with 40 models entering mass production [2]. - The sales of the Wanjie M9 model increased by 117.43% year-on-year, significantly contributing to revenue growth [2]. Profitability Metrics - The net profit attributable to shareholders for Q1 2025 was 322 million yuan, up 32.68% year-on-year, but down 25.26% quarter-on-quarter [2]. - The non-recurring net profit was 313 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 34.83% [2]. - The gross margin for Q1 2025 was 18.83%, showing a year-on-year increase of 0.27 percentage points and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 1.22 percentage points, primarily due to accounting standard adjustments [2]. Expense Management - The expense ratios for sales, management, R&D, and financial costs in Q1 2025 were 0.37%, 2.25%, 6.01%, and 0.11%, respectively, with year-on-year changes of -0.03, -0.39, +0.19, and -0.19 percentage points [2]. - The overall expense ratio remained stable, with a notable increase in the sales expense ratio attributed to accounting changes [2]. Product Development and Market Position - The Wanjie M9, positioned as a flagship SUV under the Hongmeng Zhixing brand, is exclusively supplied with front and rear lamp assemblies by the company, enhancing driver safety through advanced lighting technology [3]. - The Wanjie M9 has become the best-selling luxury car in China with over 40,000 units ordered within 27 days of its launch [3]. - The Wanjie M8 model was launched in April 2025, achieving 50,000 orders in just four days, setting a record for rapid sales in the 400,000 yuan segment [3]. International Expansion - The company generated 499 million yuan in revenue from overseas markets in 2024, marking a year-on-year increase of 49.09% [4]. - The Serbian factory, operational since 2022, contributed 316 million yuan in revenue in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 186.46% [4]. - The factory is expected to reach an annual production capacity of 6 million various types of lamps, with further expansion into North America through new subsidiaries in Mexico and the USA [4]. Investment Outlook - The company is positioned in a high-quality segment of the automotive lighting market, benefiting from trends in electrification and intelligent technology, with projected revenues of 16.423 billion, 19.906 billion, and 23.576 billion yuan for 2025-2027 [4]. - Expected net profits for the same period are 1.773 billion, 2.205 billion, and 2.788 billion yuan, with corresponding EPS of 6.21, 7.72, and 9.76 yuan [4].