Investment Rating - Buy (Maintain Rating) [1] Core Viewpoints - The recent military conflict between India and Pakistan has highlighted the effectiveness of Chinese military equipment, particularly in the context of military exports [2][5] - The global arms trade is expected to enter a new cycle of prosperity due to increased demand driven by geopolitical tensions, with China's military exports likely to gain market share [3][4][26] Summary by Sections 1. Overview of the India-Pakistan Conflict - The conflict began with a terrorist attack in India, leading to India's "Operation Zhusha" and Pakistan's counteraction, showcasing the effectiveness of Chinese military equipment used by Pakistan [13][20] 2. Impact on the Military Industry - Global demand for military equipment is increasing, with military spending projected to reach $2.72 trillion in 2024, a 9.4% increase [23][26] - The arms trade saw a significant increase of 29% in 2022, with a projected export value of $28.938 billion TIV in 2024 [3][26] 3. China's Military Export Potential - China's military exports have surged from $1.358 billion TIV in 2021 to $2.982 billion TIV in 2023, with 45% of exports going to Pakistan [4][33] - The report emphasizes the transition of Chinese military equipment into a "DEEPSEEK" era, indicating advancements in technology and capabilities [42] 4. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on seven key areas for military trade-related investments: aviation equipment, missile systems, radar systems, drones, low-cost munitions, ground equipment, and communication data links [5][67]

2025.05. 13 本文字数：751，阅读时长大约2分钟 作者 | 一财资讯 5月13日，三大股指收盘涨跌不一，沪指报收3374.87点，涨0.17%；深成指报收10288.08点，跌 0.13%；创业板指报收2062.26点，跌0.12%。 盘面上，港口航运板块走强，银行、光伏、化工板块涨幅居前；军工股全线调整，半导体、算力、机 器人、AI应用题材走弱。 具体来看，港口航运板块领涨，国航远洋涨超23%，宁波海运、宁波远洋、连云港等多股涨停。 银行板块全线飘红，重庆银行涨超4%，上海银行、厦门银行、浦发银行涨超3%。 军工股全线调整，奥普光电跌停，通易航天跌超10%，晨曦航空跌超8%，国科军工、中航成飞、中 无人机等纷纷下挫。 【资金流向】 主力资金全天净流入银行、医药生物、建筑装饰等板块，净流出电子、国防军工、计算机等板块。 具体到个股来看，航天电子、通威股份、青岛金王获净流入5.3亿元、5.22亿元、4.48亿元。 净流出方面，中航成飞、立讯精密、东方财富遭抛售18.19亿元、8.38亿元、7.38亿元。 【机构观点】 微信编辑 | 生产队的驴（下工版） 推荐阅读 "降低30%至80%"，特朗普突然宣 ...

Core Viewpoint - The military industry sector in A-shares has seen a significant increase in attention and investment, with a notable rise in stock prices driven by market sentiment and geopolitical factors, despite underlying performance challenges in the first quarter of 2024 [1][2][4]. Group 1: Market Performance - The military ETF recorded a cumulative increase of 4.91% last week, with a further rise of 4.68% on May 12, 2024, indicating strong market interest [1]. - The defense and military index has seen a cumulative increase of 13.42% since May, ranking among the top three sectors in terms of growth [4]. - Key stocks such as AVIC Chengfei (中航成飞) and Morningstar Aviation (晨曦航空) experienced significant price surges, with some stocks hitting the daily limit up [1][4]. Group 2: Financial Performance - In Q1 2024, the military sector's total revenue was 1,067.53 billion yuan, a decrease of 3.15% year-on-year, while net profit fell by 4.40% to 56.14 billion yuan [4][5]. - The overall profitability of the military sector remains at a low point compared to previous cycles, with many companies experiencing a decline in net profit despite some revenue recovery [2][4]. - Among 40 leading companies, the average revenue growth rate in Q1 was 15.14%, a recovery from the previous year's decline [5]. Group 3: Future Outlook - Companies in the military sector have set optimistic revenue targets for 2025, with expected growth rates for key players such as AVIC Xi'an (中航西飞) and AVIC High-Tech (中航高科) ranging from 2% to 14% [8]. - The contract liabilities of major manufacturers have increased, indicating a potential for revenue realization in the coming quarters [8]. - Despite a reduction in public fund allocations to the military sector over the past ten quarters, there is a belief that the sector's fundamentals will improve, leading to a potential recovery in valuations [9][10].

Group 1 - The military industry is currently in a short-term performance bottoming phase, with leading companies, especially main engine manufacturers, showing a significant recovery in revenue year-on-year in Q1, although net profits remain under pressure [1][2] - The capital market's interest in the military industry has increased significantly, with military ETFs showing a cumulative increase of 4.91% last week, driven by heightened market sentiment due to geopolitical tensions [1][3] - In Q1, the military sector's total revenue was 1,067.53 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 3.15%, while net profit was 56.14 billion, down 4.40% [3][4] Group 2 - Among 40 leading companies in the military sector, all achieved positive revenue growth in Q1, with 14 companies experiencing double-digit growth, contrasting with 22 companies that saw revenue declines in the same period last year [4][5] - The average net profit growth rate for these 40 companies was -35.57%, indicating a significant decline in profitability compared to the previous year [4][5] - Some companies, such as Aviation Power and Aerospace Rainbow, reported net profit declines exceeding 70%, highlighting the challenges faced by the industry [5][6] Group 3 - Long-term profitability in the military sector is currently below the previous cycle's starting point in 2019, and the potential for a performance turnaround is crucial for further valuation increases [6][8] - Several companies have disclosed ambitious revenue targets for 2025, indicating positive growth expectations within the aerospace and shipbuilding sectors [6][8] - Public funds have been reducing their allocation to the military sector for ten consecutive quarters, with military-themed fund sizes decreasing significantly since their peak in Q1 2021 [7][8] Group 4 - The military industry is expected to undergo a valuation restructuring, benefiting from improved asset quality and market conditions, with a more favorable outlook for the second half of the year compared to the first half [8]

Investment Rating - The report rates the defense and military industry as "better than the market" [4]. Core Insights - The recent conflict between India and Pakistan, where Pakistan used Chinese weapons to shoot down multiple Indian aircraft, has created new opportunities for China's military trade [2][34]. - Pakistan has imported over 80% of its military equipment from China in the past five years, highlighting its role as a key partner in China's Belt and Road Initiative [2][35]. - The demand for advanced military equipment, such as air defense systems and drones, is increasing due to the ongoing tensions in the region [2][35]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The defense and military index rose by 6.33% last week, outperforming other major indices [13]. - The current PE (TTM) for the defense and military sector is 76.08, with aerospace equipment at 136.47 and ground weaponry at 144.71 [21]. Key Recommendations - Recommended companies include: Hongdu Aviation, AVIC Shenyang Aircraft, AVIC Xi'an Aircraft, and Zhongji Aviation for downstream manufacturers; and companies like Lianchuang Optoelectronics and Guangqi Technology for military technology [3][36]. Industry Dynamics - The military industry is expected to see long-term growth, with demand recovering and production capacity improving [3]. - The global military trade market has shown steady growth, with military spending correlating with trade volume [36][42]. Military Trade Insights - The top five military exporters from 2019 to 2023 were the USA (41.7%), France (10.9%), Russia (10.5%), China (5.8%), and Germany (5.6%) [39]. - China's military exports have been rapidly increasing, with a market share of 8.35% in 2023, driven by competitive weaponry and a decline in Russian exports [42][44].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the significant rise of the Huabao General Aviation ETF (159231), which has surged over 12% since its launch on April 29, 2025, with a current price increase of 4.55% [1][3] - The underlying index of the ETF, the National General Aviation Industry Index, has shown varied performance over the past five years, with a notable increase of 53.02% in 2020 and a 21.18% rise in 2024 [3] - The ETF's component stocks have performed well, with Lijun Co. achieving four consecutive trading limits, Guorui Technology hitting the daily limit, and Chenxi Aviation rising over 13% [1][3] Group 2 - The low-altitude economy is identified as a key area for new infrastructure in China, focusing on three segments: aircraft manufacturing, infrastructure and support, and operational services [3][4] - The military and defense sectors are experiencing a significant improvement in fundamentals since February 2025, particularly in aerospace and missile segments, with increased order volumes indicating a high demand phase [3][4] - The low-altitude economy and commercial space sectors are rapidly advancing, driven by policy support and technological breakthroughs, creating a golden development period for industries like eVTOL and satellite internet [4]

Market Overview - A-shares experienced a collective rise on May 12, with the ChiNext Index increasing by over 1.7% [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.37% to 3354.53 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 1.06% to 10234.09 points [1] Financing Activities - Zivariable Robotics (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd. announced the completion of "Pre-A+++" and "A round" financing, raising several hundred million yuan [3] Sector Performance - Aerospace, shipbuilding, and aircraft carrier concepts saw significant gains, while precious metals, monoclonal antibodies, and sugar substitute concepts lagged behind [4] - The military trade concept sector led the market with an average increase of 6.84%, followed by military information technology at 4.01% [5] Company Insights - Aerospace Nanhu is actively expanding its international market presence, signing contracts for export defense early warning radar with multiple overseas clients [8] - AVIC Chengfei is focused on becoming a world-class innovative aviation industry group, coordinating development in both domestic and international markets [9] - Zhong UAV is a leading enterprise in China's drone system market, with a comprehensive product layout across various scenarios [10] - Guorui Technology is enhancing its market position as a leader in radar technology, focusing on emerging industries such as low-altitude economy and commercial aerospace [11]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the significant performance of the STAR Market Index and its constituent stocks, with notable increases in stock prices for companies like Aerospace South Lake and China Post Technology [2][3] - The STAR Market Index ETF, Huaxia, has seen a recent increase of 0.85%, with a latest price of 0.95 yuan, and a trading volume of 49.9287 million yuan [2] - The ETF has achieved a scale of 2.898 billion yuan, ranking 2nd among comparable funds, and has experienced a substantial increase in shares by 2.168 billion, leading in growth among similar funds [3] Group 2 - Huawei's launch of the "Hongmeng Computer" marks a significant breakthrough for domestic operating systems in the PC sector, reflecting China's push for technological self-reliance [2] - The article published by Renmin Daily emphasizes the importance of maintaining control over the development of AI large models, aligning with the current trend of promoting domestic technology [2] - Guotai Junan Securities notes that the support for domestic software and AI is expected to increase, aiding China's technological advancement on a global scale [2]

军贸概念12日盘中大幅拉升，截至发稿，中航成飞、航天南湖、华如科技20%涨停，中无人机涨超 15%，华伍股份涨近13%，国睿科技亦涨停。值得注意的是，航天南湖近4个交易日已累计大涨近75%。 中航证券指出，本次印巴政治冲突，对于军工行业的直接影响集中在军贸领域，在中长期维度上，将进 一步加强全球军贸逻辑,带来国防军工市场上限突破。对于我国而言，随着我国自身产品竞争优势与生 产能力的不断提升，之前国内产能倾向于解决内需的情况有望逐步改变，叠加部分国家的军贸出口萎缩 导致其下游客户需求存在缺口、全球战争形态的演变、我国政策出台引导军贸出口合规发展等因素，我 国军贸短期内有望持续增长，并在"十四五"末期由恢复式增长向供需共振驱动增长转变。 2025年以来，中航工业、航天科工、兵器装备、中国电科、中航技、中国船舶工业贸易、中国北方工业 等军工集团和军贸公司纷纷将军贸作为其主责主业或核心使命，陆续围绕军贸业务开展交流与合作,高 质量推进军贸工作。而伴随我国军贸市场的复苏，多家军工上市公司，包括央国企及民参军上市公司已 经布局或准备积极拓展国际市场。 （文章来源：证券时报网） 据央视新闻报道，当地时间10日，巴基斯坦和印 ...

Group 1 - The major indices opened higher on May 12, with military stocks showing strong performance, particularly in aircraft carrier and marine engineering equipment concepts [1] - The National Aerospace Index saw a significant increase, rising by 5.37% at the time of reporting, with individual stocks like Zhong Unmanned Aerial Vehicle and Guorui Technology experiencing gains of over 13% and reaching the daily limit, respectively [1] - The Tianhong Aerospace ETF (subscription code: 159241) is currently being issued, with a fundraising cap of 5 billion yuan, tracking the National Aerospace Industry Index [1] Group 2 - According to the Securities Times, the allocation of active funds to the military industry peaked in Q3 2022 but has been on a continuous decline, with the current price-to-book ratio of the military sector at approximately 3.12 times, indicating it is at a relative bottom compared to the past five years [2] - Huafu Securities noted an improvement in the funding landscape, with an increase in passive fund sizes and leverage, alongside a strong recovery expectation for the military industry by 2025, suggesting a positive outlook for future funding [2] - As of May 9, the TTM price-to-earnings ratio of the Shenwan Military Index is 65.06 times, placing it in the 88.63 percentile over five years, indicating a high allocation value for the military sector at this time [2]