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转债市场周报:化估值的持续性取决于权益市场走向-20260201
Guoxin Securities· 2026-02-01 10:05
Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The sustainability of polarized valuations depends on the direction of the equity market. The report presents three scenarios for the equity market and corresponding convertible bond strategies: 1) If the spring rally continues, the Shanghai Composite Index breaks through 4,200, and the market style shifts from small - cap to large - cap, it is recommended to select convertible bonds related to the battery, automotive/robot/intelligent driving, edge - side AI, and innovative drug/CDMO sectors in the growth technology sector; 2) If the broad - based index continues the January oscillation and the small - cap style remains dominant, focus on core targets in popular tracks such as commercial space, AIDC - related gas turbines/liquid cooling, semiconductor equipment and materials, power semiconductors, and chemical industries; 3) If the equity market turns down, it is recommended to reduce positions first and then focus on defensive sectors like banks, power, and pig farming [2][20]. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs Market Focus from January 26 - January 30, 2026 - **Stock Market**: Daily trading volume remained high with rapid sector rotation. The precious metals sector led the gains but had a significant decline on Friday. The A - share oil and gas sector performed well due to the potential conflict risk between the US and Iran. Some previously popular sectors such as commercial space and space photovoltaics had significant pullbacks. Different sectors rose and fell on different days. In terms of industries, most Shenwan primary industries declined, with petroleum and petrochemicals, communications, coal, non - ferrous metals, and agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery leading the gains, while national defense and military industry, power equipment, automotive, and computer sectors performing poorly [8][9]. - **Bond Market**: The central bank's open - market operations were mainly net injections, and the money market shifted from tight to loose. Bond market sentiment was generally strong. The 10 - year Treasury bond yield closed at 1.81% on Friday, down 1.86bp from the previous week [9]. - **Convertible Bond Market**: Most convertible bond issues declined. The CSI Convertible Bond Index fell 2.61% for the week, the median price dropped 2.22%, the arithmetic average parity fell 3.70%, and the overall market conversion premium rate increased 1.12% compared to the previous week. The arithmetic average conversion premium rates of convertible bonds in different parity ranges changed, and they were at high percentile values since 2023 [9]. Viewpoints and Strategies from February 2 - February 6, 2026 - After the convertible bond market adjusted with the equity market last week, the sustainability of polarized valuations depends on the equity market's direction. Three scenarios and corresponding strategies are proposed as mentioned in the core viewpoints [2][20]. Valuation Overview - As of January 30, 2026, the average conversion premium rates of equity - biased convertible bonds in different parity ranges were at high percentile values since 2010 and 2021. The average YTM of debt - biased convertible bonds with a parity below 70 yuan was at a low percentile value. The average implied volatility of all convertible bonds and the difference between the convertible bond implied volatility and the long - term actual volatility of the underlying stocks were at high percentile values [21]. Primary Market Tracking - **Last Week (January 26 - January 30, 2026)**: No convertible bonds were announced for issuance. Lianrui Convertible Bond and Naipu Convertible Bond 02 were listed. Lianrui Convertible Bond has a scale of 695 million yuan, and Naipu Convertible Bond 02 has a scale of 450 million yuan [28][29]. - **Future Outlook**: No convertible bonds are announced for issuance or listing in the next week (February 2 - February 6, 2026). As of now, there are 100 convertible bonds waiting to be issued, with a total scale of 155.9 billion yuan, of which 8 have been approved for registration, with a total scale of 6.16 billion yuan [30][31].
联瑞新材(688300) - 联瑞新材关于“联瑞转债”交易异常波动的公告
2026-01-30 11:17
| 证券代码:688300 | 证券简称:联瑞新材 | 公告编号:2026-012 | | --- | --- | --- | | 转债代码:118064 | 转债简称:联瑞转债 | | 江苏联瑞新材料股份有限公司 关于"联瑞转债"交易异常波动的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏,并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性依法承担法律责任。 重要内容提示: 江苏联瑞新材料股份有限公司(以下简称"公司")可转换公司债券(以 下简称"联瑞转债")连续三个交易日(2026 年 1 月 28 日、2026 年 1 月 29 日、 2026 年 1 月 30 日)内日收盘价格涨幅偏离值累计超过 30%。根据《上海证券交 易所可转换公司债券交易实施细则》的有关规定,属于可转换公司债券交易异常 波动情形。 二、可转换公司债券交易异常波动的具体情况 公司可转换公司债券连续三个交易日(2026 年 1 月 28 日、2026 年 1 月 29 日、2026 年 1 月 30 日)内日收盘价格涨幅偏离值累计超过 30%。根据《上海证 券交易所可转换公司债券交易实施细则》的有关规定,属于 ...
联瑞新材:“联瑞转债”连续三日涨幅偏离值累计超30%
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-30 10:56
Group 1 - The core point of the article is that Lianrui New Materials announced that its convertible bonds, "Lianrui Convertible Bonds," experienced abnormal trading fluctuations, with a cumulative price increase exceeding 30% over three consecutive trading days from January 28 to January 30, 2026 [1] - The company issued 695 million yuan worth of convertible bonds, which began trading on January 28 and will be convertible starting July 14, with an initial conversion price set at 63.55 yuan per share [1] - As of January 30, the closing price of "Lianrui Convertible Bonds" was 226.512 yuan per bond, reflecting a premium of 126.512% and a conversion premium rate of 115.52% [1]
非金属材料板块1月29日跌2.95%,联瑞新材领跌,主力资金净流出2.64亿元
Market Overview - The non-metal materials sector experienced a decline of 2.95% compared to the previous trading day, with Lianrui New Materials leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4157.98, up 0.16%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14300.08, down 0.3% [1] Stock Performance - Key stocks in the non-metal materials sector showed varied performance, with Lianrui New Materials closing at 65.10, down 8.05%, and other notable declines including Tianma New Materials down 3.06% and Longgao Co. down 2.67% [2] - The trading volume and turnover for major stocks included: - Quartz Co. with a closing price of 40.88 and a turnover of 750 million [1] - Strength Diamond with a closing price of 41.79 and a turnover of 1.08 billion [2] Capital Flow - The non-metal materials sector saw a net outflow of 264 million from institutional investors, while retail investors had a net inflow of 137 million [2] - Detailed capital flow for specific stocks indicated that: - Quartz Co. had a net inflow of 12.1 million from retail investors, despite a net outflow of 8.29 million from institutional investors [3] - Lianrui New Materials experienced a significant net outflow of 15.05 million from institutional investors [3]
非金属材料板块1月27日涨0.87%,力量钻石领涨,主力资金净流出6894.78万元
Group 1 - The non-metal materials sector increased by 0.87% on January 27, with LiLi Diamond leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4139.9, up 0.18%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14329.91, up 0.09% [1] - Key stocks in the non-metal materials sector showed varied performance, with LiLi Diamond closing at 42.79, up 6.10%, and other notable stocks like Bingyang Technology and Lianrui New Materials also showing gains [1] Group 2 - The non-metal materials sector experienced a net outflow of 68.94 million yuan from main funds, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 49.87 million yuan [2] - The stock performance of individual companies showed mixed results, with Lianrui New Materials having a main fund net inflow of 18.46 million yuan, while other companies like Tianma New Materials and Longgao Co. faced net outflows [3] - The overall trading volume and transaction amounts varied significantly among the stocks, with Lianrui New Materials achieving a transaction amount of 4.30 billion yuan [1][2]
转债市场周报:强化对个券赎回的预期管理-20260125
Guoxin Securities· 2026-01-25 11:28
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In the week of January 19 - 23, the stock market had large - scale net outflows of funds from important index ETFs, but the main indices were still oscillating strongly. The bond market was affected by regulatory news and the central bank's actions, with the 10 - year Treasury bond rate falling. The convertible bond market generally rose, with the CSI Convertible Bond Index up 2.92% [1][7][8]. - In the context of strong equity market sentiment and tight supply - demand of convertible bonds, the convertible bond market continued to rise last week, with the CSI Convertible Bond Index hitting a new high in nearly 10 years. It is recommended to avoid the risks of individual bonds with high redemption pressure and limited upward driving force of the underlying stocks [2][17]. - Looking forward, although the valuation vulnerability of the convertible bond market has further increased, the upward trend of the equity market is clear, providing support for convertible bond valuation. In the coming week, it is advisable to focus on sectors with high performance certainty and low - valuation leading stocks in under - performing industries [3][18]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Market Focus (January 19 - 23) - **Stock Market**: There were large - scale net outflows of funds from important index ETFs, but the main indices were oscillating strongly with daily trading volume above 2.5 trillion yuan. The "15th Five - Year Plan" for power grid investment boosted the power grid equipment sector, and precious metals rose significantly due to global geopolitical situations. Different sectors showed fragmented performance on different days, and most Shenwan primary industries rose, with building materials, petroleum and petrochemicals, etc. leading the gains, while banks, communication, etc. lagging behind [1][7][8]. - **Bond Market**: The economic data announced last week was in line with expectations. The mid - week capital situation was tight but improved after the central bank's intervention. News of regulatory intention to cool the equity market was favorable for the bond market sentiment. The 10 - year Treasury bond rate closed at 1.8298% on Friday, down 1.26bp from the previous week [1][7][8]. - **Convertible Bond Market**: Most convertible bond individual securities rose. The CSI Convertible Bond Index was up 2.92% for the week, the median price was up 3.01%, and the arithmetic average parity was up 3.66%. The overall conversion premium rate decreased by 0.96% compared with the previous week. The textile and clothing, steel, and petroleum and petrochemical sectors in the convertible bond market led the gains, while social services, media, etc. lagged behind. In terms of individual bonds, Jiamei, Fuxin, etc. had the top gains, while Dongshi, Yinbang, etc. had the top losses. The total trading volume of the convertible bond market last week was 4395.97 billion yuan, with an average daily trading volume of 879.19 billion yuan, a decrease from the previous week [1][8][12]. 3.2 Views and Strategies (January 26 - 30) - **Risk Avoidance**: Strengthen the expected management of individual bond redemptions. Due to the "unexpected redemptions" of some targets at the beginning of the week, the valuation of high - parity convertible bonds was compressed. It is recommended to avoid the risks of individual bonds with high redemption pressure and limited upward driving force of the underlying stocks by considering factors such as remaining term and short - term stock price demands [2][17]. - **Investment Suggestions**: Although the valuation vulnerability of the convertible bond market has increased, the upward trend of the equity market provides support for convertible bond valuation. In the week of January 26 - 30, it is advisable to focus on sectors with high performance certainty such as semiconductor equipment and materials, chemical industry, lithium battery, CXO, etc., and low - valuation leading stocks in under - performing industries for absolute return funds [3][18]. 3.3 Valuation Overview - As of January 23, the average conversion premium rates of equity - biased convertible bonds in different price ranges were at high percentile values since 2010 and 2021. The average YTM of debt - biased convertible bonds with a parity below 70 yuan was - 5.66%, at the 0%/1% percentile since 2010 and 2021. The average implied volatility of all convertible bonds and the difference between the implied volatility and the long - term actual volatility of the underlying stocks were also at high percentile values [19]. 3.4 Primary Market Tracking - **Last Week (January 19 - 23)**: Aiwei and Longjian convertible bonds announced their issuance, and no convertible bonds were listed. Aiwei Convertible Bond has a scale of 19.01 billion yuan, and Longjian Convertible Bond has a scale of 10 billion yuan [26][27]. - **Next Week (January 26 - 30)**: No convertible bonds are announced for issuance, and Lianrui Convertible Bond will be listed, with a scale of 6.95 billion yuan [28][29]. - **Overall Situation**: As of January 23, there were 97 convertible bonds to be issued, with a total scale of 1522.3 billion yuan, including 8 that have been approved for registration, with a total scale of 61.6 billion yuan [30].
联瑞新材(688300) - 联瑞新材向不特定对象发行可转换公司债券上市公告书
2026-01-25 08:00
证券代码:688300 证券简称:联瑞新材 公告编号:2026-011 江苏联瑞新材料股份有限公司 NOVORAY CORPORATION (住所:江苏省连云港市海州区新浦经济开发区) 向不特定对象发行可转换公司债券 上市公告书 保荐人(主承销商) (中国(上海)自由贸易试验区商城路 618 号) 二〇二六年一月 江苏联瑞新材料股份有限公司 上市公告书 第一节 重要声明与提示 江苏联瑞新材料股份有限公司(以下简称"联瑞新材""发行人""公司" 或"本公司")全体董事、高级管理人员保证上市公告书的真实性、准确性、完 整性,承诺上市公告书不存在虚假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏,并对其内容的 真实性、准确性和完整性承担个别和连带的法律责任。 根据《中华人民共和国公司法》(以下简称"《公司法》")、《中华人民 共和国证券法》(以下简称"《证券法》")等有关法律、法规的规定,本公司 董事、高级管理人员已依法履行诚信和勤勉尽责的义务和责任。 中国证券监督管理委员会(以下简称"中国证监会")、上海证券交易所(以 下简称"上交所")、其他政府机关对本公司可转换公司债券上市及有关事项的 意见,均不表明对本公司的任何保证。 本公司 ...
非金属材料板块1月22日涨1.42%,龙高股份领涨,主力资金净流入1.18亿元
Market Performance - The non-metal materials sector increased by 1.42% on January 22, with Longgao Co., Ltd. leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4122.58, up 0.14%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14327.05, up 0.5% [1] Stock Performance - Longgao Co., Ltd. (code: 605086) closed at 44.88, with an increase of 8.14% and a trading volume of 70,300 shares, amounting to a transaction value of 304 million yuan [1] - Kuncai Technology (code: 603826) saw a rise of 6.48%, closing at 17.10 with a trading volume of 116,500 shares [1] - Other notable performers include: - Bingyang Technology (code: 920675) up 4.94% to 11.05 [1] - Ningxin New Materials (code: 920719) up 3.50% to 13.89 [1] - Qilu Huaxin (code: 920832) up 3.16% to 8.16 [1] Capital Flow - The non-metal materials sector experienced a net inflow of 118 million yuan from main funds, while retail investors saw a net outflow of 117 million yuan [2] - The main funds' net inflow for Longgao Co., Ltd. was 30.97 million yuan, representing 10.18% of its trading volume [3] - Kuncai Technology had a net inflow of 18.96 million yuan from main funds, accounting for 9.86% of its trading volume [3]
高速覆铜板CCL:四大核心材料机遇与挑战(附报告)
材料汇· 2026-01-21 15:30
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the AIPCB wave and highlights the investment opportunities arising from the upgrade of M9 materials, focusing on four main lines of development [1]. Group 1: Low Dielectric Electronic Fabrics - The transition from LDK to second-generation fabrics is underway, with M9 paired with Q fabrics evolving towards third-generation products [17]. - The market for low dielectric electronic fabrics is expected to grow rapidly, driven by AI server demand, with a projected compound annual growth rate of 23.8% from 2024 to 2033 [20][23]. Group 2: Electronic Resins - The use of hydrocarbon resins in M9 is expected to increase significantly, with a ratio of hydrocarbon resins to PPO rising to 2:1, enhancing the value of materials [31][34]. - New types of resins are becoming mainstream, with hydrocarbon resins being the preferred choice for next-generation high-frequency CCLs [31][39]. Group 3: Fillers - The proportion of spherical silica micro-powder in M9 is expected to increase significantly, with high-performance spherical silica micro-powder filling ratios expanding to over 40% [36][40]. - Liquid-phase preparation methods for silica are becoming the industry standard, meeting the requirements for M7 and above [40]. Group 4: Other Upstream PCB Materials - Attention is drawn to electronic-grade fluorinated copper powder and PCB-specific electronic chemicals, which are essential for the upgrade trends in high-end PCBs [3][43]. - The supply of high-end materials, including Low Dk electronic fabrics and HVLP copper foil, is facing shortages, with major manufacturers accelerating production to meet demand [7][29]. Group 5: Market Performance - The demand for high-end CCL driven by AI is accelerating the upgrade of upstream materials, with significant performance improvements observed in various AIPCB sub-sectors since mid-2025 [5][8]. - The average increase in AIPCB sub-sector indices from May to August 2025 shows substantial growth, particularly in electronic fabrics and copper foil [6]. Group 6: Investment Recommendations - Companies to watch include: 1. Low dielectric electronic fabrics: Honghe Technology, Feilihua, Zhongcai Technology [4]. 2. HVLP networks: Gangguan Copper Foil, Rongfu Technology, Longyang Electronics [4]. 3. Electronic resins: Dongcai Technology, Shengnong Group, Hongchang Electronics, Tongzi New Materials [4]. 4. Other upstream materials: Jiangnan New Materials for electronic-grade oxidized copper powder, Tiancheng Technology for PCB-specific electronic chemicals [4].
非金属材料板块1月21日涨1.49%,天马新材领涨,主力资金净流入4388.56万元
Group 1 - The non-metal materials sector increased by 1.49% on January 21, with Tianma New Materials leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4116.94, up 0.08%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14255.12, up 0.7% [1] - Key stocks in the non-metal materials sector showed varied performance, with Tianma New Materials closing at 35.30, up 5.75%, and Dongfang Huizhen declining by 0.41% to 12.04 [1] Group 2 - The non-metal materials sector saw a net inflow of 43.89 million yuan from main funds, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 36.99 million yuan [2] - Major stocks like Suotong Development and Lianrui New Materials had significant net inflows from main funds, with 29.09 million yuan and 28.73 million yuan respectively [3] - Retail investors showed a negative trend in stocks like Ningxin New Materials and Qilu Huaxin, with net outflows of 2.09 million yuan and 1.09 million yuan respectively [3]