剔除对外授权和公允价值收益对利润的贡献，该行预计荣昌生物去年第四季主业已实现或接近盈亏平 衡，早于该行此前的预期。随着泰它西普和RC148出海后、更多研发费用由海外合作伙伴承担，该行看 好今年主业利润率进一步改善的空间。 智通财经APP获悉，交银国际发布研报称，维持对荣昌生物(09995)的"买入"评级及目标价136港元，今 年看好公司泰它西普MG III期入组和SS III期启动、维迪西妥首个海外BLA申报和1L UC III期数据读出; 内地泰它西普MG适应症纳入医保后的销售放量，以及SS、IgAN等大适应症的获批; 早期品种(RC148、 RC118、新型ADCRC278等)更多适应症的推进，相关数据读出有望持续催化股价。 荣昌生物发盈喜，预期去年营业收入约32.5亿元人民币(下同)，同比增长约89%，净利润约7.16亿元，扣 非净利润约7,850万元，均同比扭亏为盈。该行认为是次业绩表现显著超出该行及市场此前预期，且盈 利拐点出现时点亦较此前判断明显前移。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The pharmaceutical sector is experiencing a mixed performance in 2025, with a significant number of companies forecasting profit increases, while others are facing substantial losses. Group 1: Profit Forecasts - A total of 283 pharmaceutical stocks have disclosed their 2025 earnings forecasts, with 160 companies expecting year-on-year profit growth. Among these, Sino Medical has the highest projected increase, with an expected profit growth of over 32 times [1][4]. - WuXi AppTec is anticipated to achieve a record net profit of 19.15 billion yuan, marking the highest since its listing. This includes nearly 5.6 billion yuan in non-recurring gains from the sale of equity interests [6]. - Sino Medical's projected net profit for 2025 is between 43 million and 50 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 2,767% to 3,233%. The growth is attributed to stable revenue from its neuro-interventional business and a 22% increase in its coronary intervention business due to the implementation of a national procurement policy [4][5]. Group 2: Loss Forecasts - Over 120 companies are forecasting profit declines for 2025, with 39 facing their first losses since going public, including companies like Zhifei Biological and Zhenbao Island. Zhifei is expected to report a loss of between 10.698 billion and 13.726 billion yuan, a decline of 630% to 780% compared to the previous year [2][8]. - Zhenbao Island anticipates a net loss of between 1.012 billion and 1.173 billion yuan, attributed to delays in the procurement process and increased cost control measures [8]. - Huiyu Pharmaceutical's losses are primarily due to non-core investment losses, with a fair value loss of 173 million yuan from its investment in Zhejiang Tongyuan Kang Pharmaceutical [9]. Group 3: Innovative Drug Companies - The innovative drug sector is showing signs of recovery, with companies like Nocera and Rongchang Biopharma expected to turn losses into profits. Nocera forecasts a net profit of approximately 633 million yuan, a significant increase from the previous year [3][11]. - Rongchang Biopharma is also expected to achieve profitability with projected revenues of around 3.25 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of about 89% [11]. - Companies like Junshi Biosciences are reducing their losses significantly, with an expected net loss of around 873 million yuan, a reduction of 408 million yuan compared to the previous year [11][12].

交银国际发布研报称，维持荣昌生物(09995)136港元目标价，维持买入评级。剔除BD和公允价值收益 对利润的贡献，预计4Q25公司主营业务已实现或接近盈亏平衡，早于该行此前的预期。随着泰它西普 和RC148出海后、更多研发费用由海外合作伙伴承担，该行看好2026年主业利润率进一步改善的空间。 随着关键产品相继BD出海，2026年该行看好 1)泰它西普和维迪西妥在海外注册研究上的进展，包括泰它西普MGIII期入组(预计1H26完成入组、 1H27读出)和SSIII期启动(1H26)、维迪西妥实现首个海外BLA申报(1H26，2LUC)和1LUCIII期数据的读 出；2)中国内地泰它西普MG适应症纳入医保后的销售放量，以及SS、IgAN等更多大适应症的获批；3) 早期品种(包括RC148、RC118、新型ADCRC278等)在更多适应症上的推进，相关数据读出有望持续催 化股价。 2026年1月30日，公司发布2025年年度业绩预告，预计全年实现营业收入约32.5亿元(人民币，下同)，同 比增长约89%；预计实现净利润约7.16亿元，扣非净利润约7,850万元，均实现同比扭亏为盈。本次业绩 表现显著超出该行及市场 ...

智通财经APP获悉，交银国际发布研报称，维持荣昌生物(09995)136港元目标价，维持买入评级。剔除 BD和公允价值收益对利润的贡献，预计4Q25公司主营业务已实现或接近盈亏平衡，早于该行此前的预 期。随着泰它西普和RC148出海后、更多研发费用由海外合作伙伴承担，该行看好2026年主业利润率进 一步改善的空间。 交银国际主要观点如下： 核心产品放量叠加BD兑现，驱动2025年扭亏为盈 2026年1月30日，公司发布2025年年度业绩预告，预计全年实现营业收入约32.5亿元（人民币，下 同），同比增长约89%；预计实现净利润约7.16亿元，扣非净利润约7,850万元，均实现同比扭亏为盈。 本次业绩表现显著超出该行及市场此前预期，且盈利拐点出现时点亦较此前判断明显前移。 根据公告，公司业绩高增长的主要由三方面驱动 1）核心产品商业化持续放量：泰它西普和维迪西妥单抗在中国内地市场的销售快速放量，持续贡献业 绩核心增量；2）BD收入确认显著增厚利润端：2025年公司分别与Vor Biopharma就泰它西普海外权益 达成授权、与参天制药就眼科创新药RC-28E注射液达成大中华及亚洲地区授权，获得的首付款及潜在 股 ...

交银国际发表报告指，荣昌生物发盈喜，预期去年营业收入约32.5亿元，按年增长约89%，净利润约 7.16亿元，扣非净利润约7850万元，均按年扭亏为盈。该行认为是次业绩表现显著超出该行及市场此前 预期，且盈利拐点出现时点亦较此前判断明显前移。随着泰它西普和RC148出海后、更多研发费用由海 外合作伙伴承担，该行看好今年主业利润率进一步改善的空间。 该行维持对荣昌生物的"买入"评级及目标价136港元，今年看好公司泰它西普MG III期入组和SS III期启 动、维迪西妥首个海外BLA申报和1L UC III期数据读出；内地泰它西普MG适应症纳入医保后的销售放 量，以及SS、IgAN等大适应症的获批；早期品种(RC148、RC118、新型ADCRC278等)更多适应症的推 进，相关数据读出有望持续催化股价。 ...

Performance Highlights - New Yi Sheng (300502.SZ) expects net profit between 9.4 billion and 9.9 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 231.24% to 248.86% due to rising demand for high-speed optical modules driven by global computing power investments[4] - Han's Chip (688256.SH) anticipates net profit between 1.85 billion and 2.15 billion CNY, turning from a loss of 450 million CNY last year, benefiting from the growing demand for AI computing power[5] - Zhongji Xuchuang (300308.SZ) projects net profit between 9.8 billion and 11.8 billion CNY, a year-on-year growth of 89.50% to 128.17%, driven by strong customer investment in computing infrastructure[6] - Runze Technology (300442.SZ) expects net profit between 5 billion and 5.3 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 179.28% to 196.03%, largely due to non-recurring gains from public REITs issuance[10] Underperformance Highlights - Great Wall Motors (601633.SH) forecasts net profit of 9.912 billion CNY, a year-on-year decline of 21.71% due to increased marketing expenses and competitive pressures[36] - GAC Group (601238.SH) expects a net loss between 8 billion and 9 billion CNY, turning from a profit of 824 million CNY last year, impacted by fierce competition and increased asset impairment provisions[39] - Xiexin Integrated (002506.SZ) anticipates a net loss between 890 million and 1.29 billion CNY, shifting from a profit of 68 million CNY last year due to structural supply-demand issues in the photovoltaic industry[41] - Baile Tianheng (688506.SH) projects a net loss of around 1.1 billion CNY, down from a profit of 3.708 billion CNY last year, primarily due to increased R&D expenses[42] Industry Trends - Technology-driven sectors like AI and innovative pharmaceuticals are leading growth, with companies like New Yi Sheng and Han's Chip benefiting from strong demand and technological advancements[69] - Cost control is becoming a critical competitive advantage, particularly in the energy and manufacturing sectors, as seen with companies like Datang Power (601991.SH) benefiting from lower coal prices[70] - Traditional cyclical industries such as real estate and agriculture are facing significant downward pressure, with companies like Vanke (000002.SZ) and Tianbang Foods (002124.SZ) experiencing substantial losses due to market adjustments[72]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the performance forecast of various A-share listed companies, indicating a significant divergence in earnings growth across different sectors, driven by technological advancements, cost control, and industry cycles [4][62]. Group 1: Companies with Strong Earnings Growth - **New Yisheng (300502.SZ)**: Expected net profit of 9.4 billion to 9.9 billion, a year-on-year increase of 231.24% to 248.86%, driven by rising demand for high-speed optical modules due to global computing power investments [6]. - **Han's Laser (688256.SH)**: Expected net profit of 1.85 billion to 2.15 billion, turning from a loss of 0.452 billion in the previous year, benefiting from the increasing demand for AI computing power [8]. - **Zhongji Xuchuang (300308.SZ)**: Expected net profit of 9.8 billion to 11.8 billion, a year-on-year increase of 89.50% to 128.17%, supported by strong investment in computing infrastructure [10]. - **Runze Technology (300442.SZ)**: Expected net profit of 5 billion to 5.3 billion, a year-on-year increase of 179.28% to 196.03%, primarily due to non-recurring gains from public REITs issuance [12]. - **CITIC Securities (601995.SH)**: Expected net profit of 8.542 billion to 10.535 billion, a year-on-year increase of 50% to 85%, driven by steady growth in core business segments [15]. Group 2: Companies with Earnings Below Expectations - **Great Wall Motors (601633.SH)**: Expected net profit of 9.912 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 21.71%, impacted by increased marketing expenses and intense competition [34]. - **GAC Group (601238.SH)**: Expected net profit of -8 billion to -9 billion, turning from a profit of 0.824 billion in the previous year, due to fierce competition and adjustments in product structure [36]. - **GCL-Poly Energy (002506.SZ)**: Expected net profit of -0.89 billion to -1.29 billion, turning from a profit of 0.068 billion, affected by structural supply-demand issues in the photovoltaic industry [38]. - **Boli Tianheng (688506.SH)**: Expected net profit of -1.1 billion, turning from a profit of 3.708 billion, due to increased R&D expenses [39]. - **Daiyue City (000031.SZ)**: Expected net profit of -2.7 billion to -2.1 billion, continuing losses from the previous year, influenced by asset impairment provisions [42]. Group 3: Industry Trends - **Technological Breakthroughs**: Industries driven by technology, such as AI and innovative pharmaceuticals, are showing strong growth, with companies like New Yisheng and Rongchang Bio leading the way [62][63]. - **Cost Control**: The energy and manufacturing sectors are experiencing a clear divide, with companies like Datang Power benefiting from lower coal prices and effective cost management [64]. - **Downward Pressure from Industry Cycles**: The real estate, agriculture, and photovoltaic sectors are under significant pressure, with companies like Vanke and Tianbang Food facing substantial earnings declines [65][66].

公告称，2025年度公司核心产品泰它西普、维迪西妥单抗国内销售收入实现快速增长，成为业绩核心增 长引擎；同时，公司成功达成重磅合作，授予Vor Biopharma Inc泰它西普除大中华区以外全球范围内的 独家开发与商业化权利，技术授权收入大幅增加，部分海外研发投入由授权方承担。此外，公司通过优 化管理、迭代生产工艺等举措，降低了产品单位生产成本，提升了产品毛利率，另外，销售费用率明显 下降。综合多方面积极因素，公司盈利效率大幅改善，预计2025年度净利润将实现扭亏为盈。 消息面上，1月30日，荣昌生物发布公告，经公司财务部门初步测算，预计2025年度营业收入约人民币 32.5亿元，与上年同期相比，将增加收入约人民币15.33亿元，同比增加约89%。公司预计2025年度实现 归属于母公司所有者的净利润约人民币7.16亿元，与上年同期相比，实现扭亏为盈。公司预计2025年度 归属于母公司所有者扣除非经常性损益后的净利润约人民币7850万元，与上年同期相比，实现扭亏为 盈。 荣昌生物(09995)盈喜后涨近4%，截至发稿，涨3.68%，报87.3港元，成交606.74万港元。 ...

维持"买入"。 国内销售亮眼，BD驱动2025年扭亏为盈 2025年公司营收大幅提升，来自国内产品的销售快速爬坡和海外BD的进展：1）我们预计两大产品2025年收入超 过23亿，且随着两者在2025年底国谈中以较低降幅续约、泰它西普多个潜力适应症有望26年获批和RC28的潜在获 批，公司国内业务有望继续保持显著增长；2）公司在2025年完成多项BD交易，我们预计全年BD收益主要来自泰 它西普授权给VOR交易的4500万美元首付款和8000万美元的认股权证。 荣昌生物：BD驱动扭亏为盈 1月30日，公司发布2025年预告：实现营收32.5亿（+89%yoy），归母/扣非净利润7.16/7.85亿，均实现扭亏为盈。 我们认为荣昌生物处于海外潜力、国内业务、报表质量均在持续向好的阶段：1）RC148出海落地，年内有望启动 多个全球III期临床；2)管线全球价值逐步显现，维迪西妥单抗1LIII期入组加速，2L适应症报产在即，泰它西普的 SS全球III期有望启动；3）国内 荣昌生物：BD驱动扭亏为盈 1月30日，公司发布2025年预告：实现营收32.5亿（+89%yoy），归母/扣非净利润7.16/7.85亿，均实现扭 ...

每经AI快讯，荣昌生物(09995.HK)盈喜后涨近4%，截至发稿涨3.68%，报87.3港元，成交606.74万港 元。 ...