Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - After continuous gains, high - flying sectors like AI have shown divergence recently, while sectors such as nuclear fusion, chips, and non - ferrous metals have emerged. Although short - term index fluctuations have increased, the long - term strategy is to go long on dips due to policy support for the capital market [4]. - In the fourth quarter, the supply - demand pattern of the bond market may improve. The market is likely to remain volatile under the intertwined bull - bear background of weak domestic demand recovery and improved inflation expectations. Pay attention to the stock - bond seesaw effect [7]. - With the weakening of the US dollar credit and the expectation of the Fed's interest rate cut, maintain a medium - term bullish view on precious metals. However, there is a significant risk of price correction in the short term [9]. - For most metals, factors such as supply - demand changes, cost fluctuations, and market sentiment affect their prices. For example, copper is supported by supply tightening and Fed rate - cut expectations; aluminum is expected to be volatile and strong; zinc is expected to be strong in the short term; and nickel may have a short - term downward exploration but is supported in the long term [12][14][16][18]. - For black building materials, although the current real - world demand for steel is weak, the market's expectation of demand recovery is rising. The price of iron ore may adjust if the downstream situation weakens. Glass is recommended to be treated bullishly in the short term, and soda ash is expected to be range - bound [31][33][35]. - For energy and chemical products, rubber is recommended to go long on dips; for crude oil, wait and see in the short term; methanol and urea can be considered for short - term long positions after a decline; and for some chemical products like PVC and ethylene glycol, the supply - demand situation is weak, and short - term waiting and seeing is recommended [53][55][56][58]. - For agricultural products, the prices of live pigs and eggs are expected to be weak in the short term; soybean meal is expected to be weak and volatile; oils are expected to be strong; sugar is recommended to be shorted on rallies; and cotton is likely to be weak in the short term [77][79][82][84][87][89]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Macro - financial Category Stock Index - **Market News**: The Ministry of Commerce and the General Administration of Customs have imposed export controls on certain items; some foreign entities have been included in the unreliable entity list; some securities firms have adjusted the margin conversion ratios of certain stocks; and the price of spot gold remains high, with some banks adjusting their related businesses [2]. - **Basis Ratio of Stock Index Futures**: The basis ratios of IF, IC, IM, and IH in different contract periods are provided [3]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: After the previous continuous rise, the high - flying sectors have shown divergence, and the short - term index fluctuations have increased. However, the long - term strategy is to go long on dips [4]. Treasury Bonds - **Market News**: The prices of TL, T, TF, and TS main contracts have changed; the daily average sales revenue of the national consumption - related industries during the National Day and Mid - Autumn Festival holidays has increased year - on - year; and export controls have been imposed on some medium - heavy rare earth - related items [5]. - **Liquidity**: The central bank conducted 6120 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations, with a net withdrawal of 14513 billion yuan on the day [6]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The manufacturing PMI has rebounded, but the follow - up social financing and money growth may be under pressure. The bond market is expected to be volatile, and pay attention to the stock - bond seesaw effect [7]. Precious Metals - **Market News**: The prices of Shanghai gold and silver have declined, while the prices of COMEX gold and silver have increased. The US government shutdown has affected the release of economic data, and the Fed's meeting minutes show differences in the outlook for interest rates [8][9]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: Maintain a medium - term bullish view on precious metals, but pay attention to short - term price corrections [9]. Non - ferrous Metals Category Copper - **Market News**: After the National Day, the copper price continued to be strong. The LME copper inventory increased, and the domestic electrolytic copper social inventory also increased. The spot import loss expanded, and the scrap copper substitution advantage increased [11]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: Supply tightening and Fed rate - cut expectations support the copper price, but the short - term upward pace may slow down [12]. Aluminum - **Market News**: On the first day after the National Day, non - ferrous metals generally strengthened. The LME aluminum price rose, and the domestic aluminum inventory increased. The market atmosphere was warm, but the trade situation was still volatile [13]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The aluminum price is expected to be volatile and strong [14]. Zinc - **Market News**: The Shanghai zinc index rose, and the LME zinc price fell. The domestic social inventory increased slightly, and the zinc export window opened [15]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The Shanghai zinc is expected to be strong in the short term [16]. Lead - **Market News**: The Shanghai lead index rose, and the LME lead price also rose. The domestic social inventory decreased slightly [17]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The Shanghai lead is expected to be in a wide - range low - level shock in the short term [17]. Nickel - **Market News**: The nickel price rose significantly. The nickel ore price was stable, the nickel iron price was stable, and the MHP coefficient price increased slightly [18]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The short - term nickel price may decline, but it is supported in the long term. It is recommended to wait and see in the short term and go long on dips [18]. Tin - **Market News**: The tin price was strong. The supply was expected to increase slightly, and the demand in the traditional consumer electronics and home appliance sectors was still weak [21]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The tin price is expected to be high - level volatile in the short term. It is recommended to wait and see [21]. Carbonate Lithium - **Market News**: The carbonate lithium price was stable. The social inventory decreased, and a company obtained mining rights [22]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The supply - demand mismatch has led to a decrease in inventory. Pay attention to the supply and demand situation and the market atmosphere [22]. Alumina - **Market News**: The alumina index rose. The domestic and overseas prices changed, and the import window opened [23]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The alumina market is expected to be volatile. Wait and see for the macro - mood resonance [24]. Stainless Steel - **Market News**: The stainless steel price rose. The raw material prices were stable, and the social inventory decreased slightly [25]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The stainless steel price is expected to be range - bound. Pay attention to the RKAB approval progress [26]. Cast Aluminum Alloy - **Market News**: The cast aluminum alloy price rose. The trading volume increased, and the inventory increased slightly [27]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The downstream consumption is in the peak season, but the delivery pressure of the near - term contract is large, and the upside space is limited [28]. Black Building Materials Category Steel - **Market News**: The prices of rebar and hot - rolled coil rose. The inventory of rebar decreased, and the inventory of hot - rolled coil remained unchanged [30]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The current real - world demand for steel is weak, but the market's expectation of demand recovery is rising. Pay attention to policy signals [31]. Iron Ore - **Market News**: The iron ore price rose. The overseas shipment decreased, and the domestic arrival increased. The steel mill's profit rate continued to decline [32]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The iron ore price may adjust if the downstream situation weakens. Pay attention to the "Silver October" performance after restocking [33]. Glass and Soda Ash - **Market News**: The glass price rose, and the inventory increased. The soda ash price fell, and the inventory decreased [34][36]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: Glass is recommended to be treated bullishly in the short term, and soda ash is expected to be range - bound [35][37]. Manganese Silicon and Ferrosilicon - **Market News**: The manganese silicon price rose slightly, and the ferrosilicon price fell slightly. The prices are in a shock range [38]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The black sector may first decline and then rise. Manganese silicon and ferrosilicon are likely to follow the black sector's trend [39][40][41]. Industrial Silicon and Polysilicon - **Market News**: The industrial silicon price was stable, and the polysilicon price fell. The supply and demand of industrial silicon changed little, and the polysilicon inventory was limited [42][44]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: Industrial silicon is expected to be range - bound in the short term, and polysilicon may improve if the leading enterprises conduct maintenance [43][46]. Energy and Chemical Category Rubber - **Market News**: The rubber price stabilized. The tire production rate decreased, and the inventory decreased slightly. The spot price changed [48][50][52]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: Go long on dips and partially build a hedging position [53]. Crude Oil - **Market News**: The crude oil price fell, and the inventories of related products changed. The US EIA data showed inventory changes [54]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: Wait and see in the short term and verify the OPEC's export - price - support intention [55]. Methanol - **Market News**: The methanol price fell, and the inventory increased. The supply was high, and the demand was weak [56]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: Consider short - term long positions after a decline [56]. Urea - **Market News**: The urea price fell, and the inventory increased. The supply was high, and the demand was weak [57]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: Consider long positions at a low price [58]. Pure Benzene and Styrene - **Market News**: The pure benzene price was stable, and the styrene price fell. The supply and demand changed, and the inventory increased [59]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The styrene price may stop falling due to the seasonal peak season [60]. PVC - **Market News**: The PVC price fell, and the inventory increased. The supply was strong, and the demand was weak [61]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The PVC market is bearish in the medium term. Consider short positions [63]. Ethylene Glycol - **Market News**: The ethylene glycol price fell, and the inventory increased. The supply was high, and the demand was weak [64]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: Wait and see in the short term [65]. PTA - **Market News**: The PTA price fell, and the inventory increased. The supply was affected by maintenance, and the demand was stable [66]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: Wait and see in the short term [67]. Para - Xylene - **Market News**: The para - xylene price rose, and the inventory increased. The supply was high, and the demand was affected by PTA maintenance [68]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: Wait and see in the short term and pay attention to the terminal and PTA valuation [69]. Polyethylene (PE) - **Market News**: The PE price fell, and the inventory decreased. The supply was limited, and the demand was expected to increase [70]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The PE price may rise in the long term [71]. Polypropylene (PP) - **Market News**: The PP price fell, and the inventory was high. The supply was large, and the demand was weak [72]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The PP market is in a weak supply - demand situation, and the inventory pressure is high [74]. Agricultural Products Category Live Pigs - **Market News**: The live pig price continued to fall. The slaughtering and sales situation was not good [76]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The live pig price is expected to be weak in the short term. Short the near - term contract and conduct reverse hedging [77]. Eggs - **Market News**: The egg price generally fell. The supply was greater than the demand, and the market confidence was low [78]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The egg price is expected to be weak in the short term. Wait for the bottom - building [79]. Soybean and Rapeseed Meal - **Market News**: The CBOT soybean price fell slightly. The domestic soybean meal price was stable, and the import cost was affected by multiple factors [80][81]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The domestic soybean meal supply pressure is large. It is expected to be weak and volatile in the short term [82]. Oils - **Market News**: Indonesia is promoting the B50 biodiesel plan. The domestic oil price rose, and the inventory may decrease [83]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The oil price is expected to be strong. Go long on dips [84]. Sugar - **Market News**: The sugar price rebounded slightly. The Brazilian sugar production data was released, and the port waiting quantity increased [85][86]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The sugar price is expected to be bearish in the long term. Short on rallies in the fourth quarter [87]. Cotton - **Market News**: The cotton price rebounded slightly. The spot price fell, and the acquisition price was lower than last year [88]. - **Strategy Viewpoint**: The cotton price is likely to be weak in the short term. There is cost support at the bottom [89].

Core Viewpoint - A total of 9 A-share stocks have had their financing and securities lending collateral ratios adjusted to zero due to high static price-to-earnings (PE) ratios, indicating a significant tightening in leverage for these stocks [1][5]. Financing and Securities Lending Adjustments - The financing and securities lending collateral ratio for Zhongxin International (688981.SH) was adjusted from 0.7 to 0, and for Baiwei Storage (688525.SH) from 0.5 to 0 [1]. - Other stocks affected include Ruisheng Intelligent (688215.SH), Manster (301325.SZ), Yongding Co. (600105.SH), and others, with their collateral ratios also set to zero by multiple brokerages [1][4]. Static PE Ratios - The static PE ratios for the affected stocks are notably high, with several exceeding 300, which is the threshold for collateral ratio adjustments to zero [4][5]. - For instance, Yongding Co. had a static PE ratio of 302.5663, while Zhongxin International had a ratio of 303.0659 [4]. Market Impact - The adjustment of collateral ratios to zero means that these stocks can no longer be used as collateral for margin trading, potentially impacting trading strategies for investors [6]. - Despite the adjustments, existing positions for investors are not immediately affected, but new positions cannot be opened until the collateral ratios are revised [6]. Market Activity - The margin trading market remains active, with a balance consistently above 2.2 trillion yuan since September, indicating strong investor interest [6][7]. - Recent trading activity has shown a preference for sectors such as non-ferrous metals and home appliances, while sectors like electronics and pharmaceuticals have seen net selling [7].

Core Viewpoint - The adjustment of margin financing and securities lending collateral ratios for stocks such as SMIC and BAWI Storage to zero is a routine operation based on exchange regulations due to abnormal static price-earnings ratios [2][5][7]. Group 1: Margin Financing and Securities Lending Adjustments - SMIC's collateral ratio was adjusted from 70% to 0%, while BAWI Storage's was adjusted from 50% to 0% [1][3]. - A total of nine stocks had their collateral ratios adjusted to zero on October 9, including SMIC and BAWI Storage, due to static price-earnings ratios exceeding 300 or being negative [2][5]. - The adjustment is a standard procedure and is expected to revert once the static price-earnings ratios normalize [7]. Group 2: Static Price-Earnings Ratio Regulations - The exchange stipulates that stocks with static price-earnings ratios above 300 or negative will have a collateral ratio of 0% [9][11]. - As of October 9, SMIC's static price-earnings ratio was reported at 300.44%, down from 303.08% on September 30 [7]. - The collateral ratio classifications include various levels, with the highest being 95% for cash management products and the lowest being 0% for stocks with high static price-earnings ratios [9][11].

Economic Information - The margin trading ratio for SMIC (688981) has been adjusted from 0.70 to 0.00, and for BAWI Storage (688525) from 0.50 to 0.00 due to their static P/E ratios exceeding 300 [2] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Finance, and the State Taxation Administration have announced adjustments to the technical requirements for new energy vehicles eligible for vehicle purchase tax exemptions for 2026-2027, increasing the minimum electric range for plug-in hybrid vehicles from 43 km to 100 km [2] Company Alerts - Dongfang Fortune's initial pricing for its inquiry transfer is set at 24.40 CNY per share, representing an 8.8% discount from the previous closing price [4] - New Yisheng's initial pricing for its inquiry transfer is set at 328 CNY per share, representing a 6.6% discount from the previous closing price [7] Overseas Alerts - The three major U.S. stock indices closed lower, with the Dow Jones down 0.52%, Nasdaq down 0.08%, and S&P 500 down 0.28%. Popular tech stocks showed mixed performance, with Oracle up over 3% and Meta up over 2%, while Apple and Google fell over 1% [5] - COMEX gold futures fell by 1.95% to 3991.1 USD per ounce, and COMEX silver futures fell by 2.73% to 47.655 USD per ounce [7]

两融折算率一下子调整为0，今天一些个股的变化很是吸引了市场关注。 10月9日，有投资者反馈，接东方财富证券短信告知，自当日起，信用账户持有的中芯国际(688981.SH)的两融折算率由0.7调整为0.00，佰维存储(688525.SH) 的两融折算率由0.5调整为0.00。 智通财经记者就此致电东方财富证券客服，对方确认了上述调整信息，并解释称，依据两交易所规定，当个股静态市盈率超过300倍或为负数时，其融资融 券折算率需调为0，而中芯国际、佰维存储当前静态市盈率均超过300倍，这正是依规进行的正常调整。该规定自2016年起实施，并沿用至今。2025年7月虽 有部分股票调整，但核心规则未变，旨在加强风险控制，确保融资融券业务的平稳运行。 股票折算率调为0的情况并非单家券商行为，而是行业统一动作。同时，这一调整是券商依据交易所规则开展的常态化操作，当前市场中折算率为0的股票数 量已超千只。此外，中芯国际等半导体板块午后集体调整，是多方面因素共同作用的结果。从板块整体表现来看，半导体板块年内已累计大涨57.19%，区 间振幅达72.04%。 国信、国泰海通等多家券商同步调整 东方财富证券并非首家对上述两只股票进行 ...

Core Viewpoint - The adjustment of margin financing and securities lending (two融) collateral ratios to 0 for certain stocks, including SMIC and Bawen Storage, is a routine operation by brokerages based on exchange rules, not targeting specific industries or sectors [1][2][3] Group 1: Regulatory Background - The adjustment of collateral ratios for stocks with a static price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio exceeding 300 times has been in place since December 2016, as per the revised rules by the Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges [1] - The recent revision of the financing and securities lending rules by the exchanges in 2023 also stipulates that stocks with a static P/E ratio above 300 or negative P/E will have their collateral ratio set to 0% [1] Group 2: Market Impact - On October 9, the collateral ratios for SMIC and Bawen Storage were adjusted to 0 due to their static P/E ratios of 303.06 and 301.91, respectively [2] - Other stocks, such as Luqiao Information and Ruisheng Intelligent, also had their collateral ratios adjusted to 0, with Luqiao Information's static P/E ratio reaching 947.11 [2] - Following the adjustment, SMIC's stock price and the semiconductor sector experienced a decline, leading some market participants to link the two events [2] Group 3: Current Market Statistics - As of October 9, there are over 200 stocks in the A-share market with static P/E ratios exceeding 300, indicating a broader trend affecting multiple companies [3] - Specifically, SMIC's static P/E ratio was recorded at 300.44, while Bawen Storage's was at 308.97 [3]

Core Viewpoint - Starting from October 9, the margin trading rates for certain stocks have been adjusted to zero, indicating a significant change in the trading conditions for investors holding these stocks [1] Group 1: Company Specifics - The margin trading rate for SMIC (中芯国际) has been adjusted from 0.7 to 0 [1] - The margin trading rate for BAW Storage (佰维存储) has been adjusted from 0.5 to 0 [1]

Core Viewpoint - The adjustment of margin financing and securities lending (two融) collateral rates to zero for stocks like SMIC and BAWI Storage due to their static price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios exceeding 300 times has raised market attention [2][3]. Group 1: Regulatory Background - The adjustment of collateral rates to zero is a routine operation by brokerages based on exchange rules, which have been in place since 2016 [3]. - The Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges revised the margin trading rules in December 2016, stipulating that stocks with a static P/E ratio above 300 or negative P/E would have their collateral rates set to 0% [3]. - The recent revision of the margin trading rules by the exchanges in 2023 continues to enforce this standard across the A-share market [3]. Group 2: Market Impact - On October 9, the stock prices of SMIC and the semiconductor sector experienced a decline, which some market participants linked to the collateral rate adjustments [5]. - As of October 9, there were 203 stocks in the margin trading list with static P/E ratios exceeding 300, including SMIC at 300.44 and BAWI Storage at 308.97 [5]. - The collateral rates for SMIC and BAWI Storage were adjusted from 0.70 and 0.65 to 0, respectively, along with several other stocks [4].

Core Viewpoint - The adjustment of margin financing and securities lending (two融) collateral ratios to 0 for stocks like SMIC (中芯国际) and BAWI Storage (佰维存储) due to their static price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios exceeding 300 times is a routine operation by brokerages based on exchange rules, not specific to any industry or sector [3][5][6]. Group 1: Margin Financing Adjustments - On October 9, the margin financing collateral ratios for SMIC and BAWI Storage were reduced to 0 because their static P/E ratios exceeded 300 times [3][5]. - The adjustment is part of a broader rule established in 2016, which states that stocks with a static P/E ratio above 300 or negative P/E will have their collateral ratios set to 0% [3][5]. - As of October 9, there are over 200 stocks in the A-share market with static P/E ratios exceeding 300, indicating a widespread impact across various stocks [6]. Group 2: Specific Stock Data - On September 29-30, SMIC and BAWI Storage had static P/E ratios of 303.06 and 301.91, respectively, leading to the adjustment of their collateral ratios [5]. - Other stocks affected include Road Bridge Information (路桥信息) with a static P/E ratio of 947.11 and Ruisheng Intelligent (瑞晟智能) at 321.78 [5]. - The adjustment by multiple brokerages, including Guotai Junan Securities and GF Securities, reflects a consistent application of the exchange's rules [4][5].

2016年12月2日，沪深交易所发布联合公告，经证监会批准，两家交易所对《融资融券交易实施细则》 进行了修订，调整可充抵保证金证券折算率要求，将静态市盈率在300倍以上或者为负数的股票折算率 下调为0%。 而沪深北交易所于2023年修订的《融资融券交易实施细则》，可充抵保证金的证券，在计算保证金金额 时，应当以证券市值或净值按一定折算率进行折算。其中，被实施风险警示、进入退市整理期的证券， 静态市盈率在300倍以上或者为负数的A股股票，以及权证的折算率为0%。 记者同时关注到，多家券商在官网公告了两融折算率的调整情况。 10月9日，有投资者信用账户持有的中芯国际（688981.SH）、佰维存储（688525.SH）等股票两融折算 率降为0，引发市场关注。 广发证券9月30日披露，调整部分融资融券可充抵保证金证券折算率，涉及中芯国际、佰维存储、曙光 数创（920808.BJ）等11股，自10月9日起生效。其中，9股的最新担保折算率调整为0，涉及瑞晟智能 （688215.SH）、天马科技（603668.SH）、路桥信息（920748.BJ）等；中芯国际的担保折算率由0.70 调整为0；佰维存储由0.65调整为0； ...