Group 1 - The core point of the news is that Changjiang Securities experienced a decline in stock price and trading volume, with a current price of 7.80 CNY per share and a market capitalization of 43.135 billion CNY [1] - As of June 30, 2025, Changjiang Securities reported a net profit of 1.737 billion CNY, representing a year-on-year growth of 120.76% [1] - The company has a history of dividend distribution, with a total of 13.677 billion CNY paid out since its A-share listing, and 2.157 billion CNY in the last three years [2] Group 2 - The stock has seen a year-to-date increase of 16.94%, but has declined by 5.22% in the last five trading days and 8.56% in the last twenty days [1] - The number of shareholders decreased by 7.33% to 163,200 as of June 30, 2025, while the average circulating shares per person increased by 7.92% to 33,888 shares [1] - The major shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, which increased its holdings by 32.8918 million shares to 130 million shares [2]

Report Industry Investment Rating - The investment rating for the cotton textile industry is "Oscillating Weakly" [3] Core Viewpoints - Short - and medium - term outlook for cotton: This year, new cotton is on the market. With current prices in the low - value range, cotton purchases are likely to be stable. Around the National Day, firm spot prices support seed cotton prices, preventing deep drops in futures. After mid - to late October, as new cotton supply increases and hedging pressure rises, futures may first open low, then rebound, and finally decline. The short - term fluctuation range of CF2601 futures price is 13,200 - 14,200. Whether it can exceed 14,200 in October depends on the post - National Day spot tightness. Long - term outlook: Due to potentially tight domestic supply - demand next year, balanced global supply - demand, the Fed's shift to a rate - cut cycle, and possible continuous domestic favorable policies, the market is expected to improve macroscopically, showing an upward oscillating trend in the long run [5]. - For cotton yarn, this week, Zhengzhou cotton and cotton yarn markets mainly oscillated downward. The pure - cotton yarn market had average trading, worse than previous years. Low - count yarns performed better, with downstream purchasing for rigid demand. Inland spinning enterprises are still in cash - flow losses and lack confidence in the future. The market is highly concerned about subsequent orders in September [7]. Summary by Directory 01 - Weekly Viewpoint - Cotton - Short - and medium - term: New cotton purchase likely stable, futures supported by spot before National Day, may decline after mid - to late October. CF2601 short - term range 13,200 - 14,200. Long - term: Tight domestic supply - demand next year, global balance, possible favorable policies, long - term upward oscillation [5]. 02 - Weekly Viewpoint - Cotton Yarn - This week, Zhengzhou cotton and cotton yarn oscillated downward. Pure - cotton yarn market trading was average, low - count yarns better, inland enterprises in losses, market concerned about September orders [7]. 03 - Market Review - Cotton market: Zhengzhou cotton broke through support and trended down. Market focused on new cotton listing, with increased Xinjiang cotton production and yarn capacity, and tight spot market causing divergence. Cotton yarn market: Pure - cotton yarn trading was average, worse than previous years, low - count yarns better, inland enterprises in losses [11]. 04 - International Macroeconomics - In the US, various economic indicators such as ISM manufacturing PMI, employment data, trade balance, inflation, and interest rates had different changes in September 2025. In the Eurozone, unemployment, CPI, PPI, GDP, and interest rates also showed specific trends [12]. 05 - Domestic Macroeconomics - In China, in September 2025, foreign exchange reserves increased, CPI and PPI had specific changes, M2 money supply remained stable, social financing scale and new RMB loans had significant differences from previous values, and indicators like fixed - asset investment, retail sales, and unemployment also changed [14]. 06 - Global Supply - Demand Balance Sheet - In the 2025/26 season, global cotton production, consumption, imports, and exports all increased slightly compared to the previous month, while the ending inventory decreased. Total supply increased slightly, and the inventory - to - consumption ratio changed [16][17]. 08 - US Cotton Exports - From September 5 - 11, 2025, US net signing of 2025/26 upland cotton increased, while shipments decreased. Net signing of Pima cotton increased, but shipments decreased. China's net signing of 2025/26 upland cotton was 998 tons, with no shipments [22]. 09 - Industrial and Commercial Inventories - At the end of August, China's commercial cotton inventory decreased significantly compared to the previous month and last year. Industrial cotton inventory in textile enterprises decreased slightly. Total industrial and commercial inventories decreased year - on - year [23]. 10 - Cotton and Cotton Yarn Imports in July - In August 2025, China's cotton imports increased from the previous month but decreased year - on - year. Cotton yarn imports increased both month - on - month and year - on - year. Cumulative imports from January - August and the 2024/25 season decreased compared to the previous year [28]. 11 - Cotton Yarn Production and Sales in August - In August, the pure - cotton yarn market improved, especially in the second half. Spinning enterprises' profit margins improved, with reduced losses. August production increased year - on - year but decreased month - on - month, and cumulative production from January - August increased year - on - year [32]. 12 - US Cotton Growth - As of September 14, US cotton boll opening and harvesting rates were close to the average of recent years, and the good - to - excellent rate was high. Yield is expected to increase steadily [35]. 13 - US Cotton Weather - As of September 16, the drought index in the US cotton - growing areas increased, approaching the 5 - year average. Early - stage drought had limited impact, and the weekly good - to - excellent rate was good [39]. 14 - Xinjiang Cotton Growth - As of September 15, 2025, Xinjiang cotton was in the late boll - opening stage, with a high boll - opening rate. The second round of defoliant spraying was in progress, and some early - maturing varieties in northern Xinjiang had started picking [41]. 15 - Textile Industry Inventories - In July, textile industry inventories increased slightly month - on - month and year - on - year. Textile and garment inventories showed different trends in month - on - month and year - on - year comparisons [42]. 16 - Domestic Demand - In August 2025, China's social consumer goods retail总额 increased year - on - year and month - on - month. Retail sales of clothing, footwear, and textiles also increased [47]. 17 - External Demand - Exports - In July 2025, China's textile and garment exports decreased slightly year - on - year and month - on - month. From January - July, exports increased year - on - year [50]. 18 - US Apparel Retail Sales in July - In July 2025, US apparel and clothing accessory retail sales increased year - on - year and month - on - month. In June, retailer inventories increased year - on - year but decreased month - on - month, and the inventory - to - sales ratio decreased [56]. 19 - US Cotton Product Imports in July - In July 2025, US cotton product imports increased month - on - month but decreased year - on - year. Textile and garment imports increased both month - on - month and year - on - year [59]. 20 - Warehouse Receipts - As of September 18, 2024/25 season warehouse receipts decreased compared to the previous week [61]. 21 - Non - Commercial Long Positions - As of September 9, ICE cotton futures non - commercial futures plus options net long positions decreased, as did non - commercial futures net long positions and commodity index fund net long positions [65]. 22 - Spinning Mill Load - As of September 12, the pure - cotton yarn mill load index remained flat, the rayon yarn load remained flat, and the polyester yarn load increased slightly [68]. 23 - Weaving Mill Load - The pure - cotton grey fabric load index, rayon fabric load index, and short - fiber fabric comprehensive load all increased [72]. 24 - Industrial Chain Inventories - Textile enterprises' cotton, cotton yarn, and pure - cotton grey fabric inventories decreased compared to the previous week. Improving demand in the "Golden September and Silver October" season led to inventory decline, supporting prices [76]. 25 - Industrial Chain Profits - In the spot market, the pure - cotton yarn market was mediocre. Spinning enterprises wanted to maintain prices, and yarn prices declined slightly with Zhengzhou cotton. Profits improved slightly, with inland enterprises' C32S cash - flow losses around 300 yuan/ton [82]. 26 - Basis - This week, the basis strengthened as futures prices declined. The current basis is 1448 yuan/ton, up 30 yuan/ton from last week. New cotton purchase prices are out, and the basis for pre - sold new cotton is relatively high and stable [83]. 27 - Domestic - Foreign Cotton Price Spread - This year, domestic cotton is stronger than foreign cotton. However, after October, with Xinjiang cotton harvest and possible large - scale arrival of Brazilian cotton in November - December, the situation may change. In the long run, domestic supply may be tight next year, so one should not blindly short domestic and long foreign cotton [86]. 28 - Inter - Month Spread - The 11 - 1 spread is - 115 yuan/ton this week. Considering next year's supply - demand and macro - factors, the near - term is weak and the long - term is strong. However, due to factors like warehouse receipt cancellation in November, the spread may fluctuate between - 80 and - 200 [91].

Market Performance - The weekly trading volume showed a slight recovery, while the Shanghai Composite Index experienced a minor decline[2] - The "Growth+" series indices from Changjiang maintained a positive performance, with the Changjiang Growth Index doubling its year-to-date increase[2] - The weekly performance of the Changjiang Dual Innovation Growth Index was notably strong[6] Style and Sector Analysis - The trading activity of the dividend style continued to recover, while the crowding degree of the growth style slightly decreased[6] - High profitability quality stocks saw a sustained increase in trading activity, while micro-cap stocks' crowding degree continued to decline[2] - The consumer discretionary sector led the weekly performance among industry sectors, followed by information technology and hardware[28] Fund Performance - The fund-heavy 50 index outperformed other fund-heavy indices, with a weekly return of 1.62%[22] - The overall fund-heavy index maintained an upward trend during the week[23] - The Northbound heavy series underperformed compared to the Changjiang All A index since the beginning of 2025[26] Thematic Trends - The Changjiang Manufacturing Champion Selected Index showed strong weekly performance, leading the thematic indices[34] - The Changjiang Low-Carbon Leader 30 Index achieved a weekly return of 4.25%[34]

Quantitative Models and Construction Methods - **Model Name**: Dividend Selection Strategy **Model Construction Idea**: This strategy focuses on selecting high-quality dividend stocks by leveraging a top-down approach to identify industry and thematic core factors, aiming to refine stock-picking logic and enhance the precision of identifying potential targets within specific sectors[13][15] **Model Construction Process**: The model utilizes a fundamental factor library to screen for effective stock-picking factors. It emphasizes a combination of "stability" and "growth" styles, represented by two portfolios: the "Central SOE High Dividend 30 Portfolio" and the "Balanced Dividend 50 Portfolio"[15] **Model Evaluation**: The strategy demonstrates a significant excess return year-to-date, outperforming the benchmark by approximately 4.00%, and ranks around the 48th percentile among all dividend-related fund products[22] - **Model Name**: Industry High Success Rate Strategy **Model Construction Idea**: This strategy aims to track market hotspots and select individual stocks within high-performing industries, providing alternative perspectives for investment decisions[6][13] **Model Construction Process**: The strategy identifies industries with high success rates and selects stocks with strong thematic alignment and growth potential. It is part of the actively managed quantitative product suite launched since July 2023[6][13] Model Backtesting Results - **Dividend Selection Strategy**: - Excess return relative to the CSI Dividend Total Return Index: approximately 4.00% year-to-date[22] - Percentile ranking among dividend-related fund products: ~48%[22] - **Industry High Success Rate Strategy**: - No specific backtesting results provided in the report Quantitative Factors and Construction Methods - **Factor Name**: Dividend Quality Factor **Factor Construction Idea**: This factor emphasizes the quality of dividend-paying stocks, focusing on metrics that indicate financial stability and consistent dividend payouts[7][19] **Factor Construction Process**: The factor is derived from the CSI Dividend Quality Index, which achieved a weekly return of approximately 0.88%, outperforming pure dividend assets[7][19] **Factor Evaluation**: The factor demonstrates superior performance compared to other dividend-related indices, highlighting its effectiveness in capturing high-quality dividend stocks[7][19] Factor Backtesting Results - **Dividend Quality Factor**: - Weekly return: ~0.88%[7][19] - Outperformance relative to the CSI Dividend Index: +1.98%[19]

Group 1 - Securities firms have conducted a total of 3,845 research activities involving 644 listed companies since September 21, with a focus on industries such as industrial machinery and electronic components [1][2] - The most frequently researched company is Lanke Technology, which has been surveyed by 54 securities firms, followed by Juguang Technology with 40 surveys [1] - Leading securities firms include CITIC Securities and Guotai Junan, each conducting 175 surveys, while Changjiang Securities has conducted 135 surveys [1] Group 2 - Among the 644 listed companies, 76 are in the industrial machinery sector, and 42 are in the electronic components sector, indicating a preference for these industries [2] - As of September 19, 288 of the surveyed stocks have seen price increases this month, with 24 stocks rising over 30%, led by World with a 76.94% increase [2] Group 3 - Key issues of interest in the surveys include companies' overseas expansion strategies, with Juguang Technology actively integrating its acquisitions in Switzerland and Singapore [3] - Companies like Kaiying Network reported a 59.57% year-on-year increase in overseas revenue in the first half of the year, focusing on enhancing their product matrix for international markets [3] - Analysts predict that a number of Chinese companies will emerge as influential players in international markets, potentially leading to greater valuation premiums for leading domestic firms [3]

Core Viewpoint - As of September 19, 2025, Changjiang Securities (000783) closed at 7.92 yuan, down 1.0%, with a trading volume of 543,000 hands and a transaction value of 432 million yuan. The net outflow of main funds was 34.5 million yuan, accounting for 7.99% of the total transaction value, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 40.5 million yuan, representing 9.4% of the total transaction value [1][2]. Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Changjiang Securities reported a main revenue of 4.705 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 64.79%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.737 billion yuan, up 120.76% year-on-year. The net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was 1.711 billion yuan, increasing by 123.28% year-on-year [3]. - In Q2 2025, the company achieved a single-quarter main revenue of 2.19 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 43.79%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 757 million yuan, up 96.75% year-on-year [3]. Key Financial Ratios - Changjiang Securities has a total market value of 43.798 billion yuan, with a net asset value of 40.524 billion yuan. The net profit stands at 1.737 billion yuan, with a price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) of 12.61 and a price-to-book ratio (P/B) of 1.27. The company’s gross margin is 0%, while the net margin is 36.98%, and the return on equity (ROE) is 4.76% [3]. Market Activity - Over the past five days, the stock has experienced fluctuations in fund flows, with significant net outflows from main and speculative funds, while retail investors have shown a net inflow. On September 18, the stock saw a larger net outflow of 166.7 million yuan from main funds, indicating a trend of selling pressure [2][4]. Business Overview - Changjiang Securities provides a comprehensive range of financial services, including brokerage, wealth management, research, and investment banking services. The company is also expanding its overseas business through Changjian International, offering brokerage, investment banking, asset management, and futures services [3][4].

Core Viewpoint - Guangzhou Zhiguang Electric Co., Ltd. recently hosted a research event attended by 18 institutions, including Changjiang Securities and Invesco Great Wall, focusing on the company's independent energy storage power stations and their operational performance [1] Group 1: Research Event Details - The research event included specific object research and on-site visits, held on September 17 and 19, 2025, at the independent energy storage power station in Qingyuan City [1] - Participating institutions included Changjiang Securities, Invesco Great Wall, and several other funds and investment companies [1] - Company representatives included Board Secretary Xiong Tan and relevant personnel from the Qingyuan power station [1] Group 2: Independent Energy Storage Power Station Overview - Zhiguang Electric has established independent energy storage power stations in Qingyuan and Meizhou, with the first phase in Qingyuan (200MW/400MWh) operational since 2024 [1] - The second phase (100MW/200MWh) and third phase (200MW/400MWh) in Qingyuan, along with the first phase in Meizhou (100MW/200MWh), are in the final testing stages, aiming for commissioning within the year [1] - The power stations utilize Zhiguang's cascade high-voltage direct-connected energy storage system, which offers high energy conversion efficiency, low maintenance costs, and strong grid connection capabilities [1] Group 3: Revenue Composition and Influencing Factors - The primary revenue source for the Qingyuan independent energy storage power station is from secondary AGC frequency modulation auxiliary services, with future projects expected to follow this model [1] - Factors influencing revenue include site selection, energy storage system performance, and operational capabilities, with system performance (K value) being the most critical for frequency modulation revenue [1] - The company's self-developed 3S system (PCS, BMS, EMS) enhances overall performance, while product reliability and energy efficiency are also vital [1] Group 4: Operational Costs and Efficiency - Major operational costs consist of energy loss (electricity costs) and labor costs, in addition to asset depreciation [1] - The Qingyuan independent energy storage power station employs high-voltage cascade technology, achieving a comprehensive efficiency of 89.8% at the 220kV point, with simplified operations and approximately 10 personnel for maintenance and operations [1] Group 5: Market Outlook - The company is optimistic about the development of independent energy storage power stations and aims to expand its business into other provinces and cities, leveraging its advantages in energy storage equipment manufacturing, system integration, and operational experience [1]

证券代码：000783 证券简称：长江证券 长江证券股份有限公司投资者关系活动记录表 稳健拓展与核心竞争力的持续提升。三是深化转型发展。财富管理推动产品、 服务和模式创新，AI+HI 赋能投顾服务和产品配置体系，向综合金融服务模 式全面升级。强化基金与股权投资的牵引作用，坚持"金融+产业"，向产业培 育和产业链展业转型。二级市场投资优化大类资产配置，提升多元盈利能力， 创造稳健可持续收益。资管业务转型主动管理，夯实产品、投研、渠道建设， 实现高质量发展。擦亮品牌创特色，投行业务聚焦重点产业和重点区域，强 化市场口碑。研究业务继续保持领先，增强战略智库功能，拓展新客户、新 服务"第二曲线"。四是优化管理机制，激发内生活力。持续完善治理结构， 确保权责明晰、运转协调。建立健全长证特色"国资+市场化"管理模式，充分 激发"两种机制"优势活力，保持市场竞争力、人才吸引力和整体经营效率。 同时，公司将充分结合公司发展战略、行业趋势和自身情况，研究提升综合 竞争力、实现高质量发展的其他路径。感谢您的关注！ 2、领导，您好！公司 2025 年上半年营收和归母净利润大幅增长，其中 自营收入同比增长 668.35%是重要拉动因 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the securities industry [4] Core Viewpoints - The securities industry index increased by 0.65% last week, underperforming the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index, which rose by 1.38%. Most stocks in the securities sector showed strong performance, with 34 stocks rising and 16 falling [2][9] - As of last Friday's close, the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio for the securities industry secondary index was 20.79, indicating a relatively reasonable valuation since January 2022, with notable elasticity in the sector [3][23] Summary by Sections Market Review - The Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index experienced a weekly change of 1.38%, while the securities industry index saw a change of 0.65%. Within the sector, 34 stocks increased in value, and 16 stocks decreased [2][9] - The top five performing stocks were Changjiang Securities, Guohai Securities, Pacific Securities, Guosheng Financial Holdings, and Bank of China Securities [10] - The bottom five performing stocks were Guolian Minsheng, CITIC Securities, Great Wall Securities, Industrial Securities, and China International Capital Corporation [11] Weekly Investment Strategy - The securities industry index's increase of 0.65% last week was weaker than the overall market performance. However, the majority of stocks in the sector showed strong upward movement. The PE ratio of 20.79 suggests a reasonable valuation, with significant elasticity remaining in the sector [3][23]

Core Viewpoint - The bond issuance by securities firms has significantly accelerated since July, with a total issuance of 1.14 trillion yuan in 2023, surpassing the previous year's total of 693.7 billion yuan, indicating strong capital replenishment needs in the industry [2][10]. Group 1: Bond Issuance Trends - In September alone, at least four securities firms announced new short-term financing bond issuances, totaling over 8 billion yuan, contributing to a cumulative issuance of over 110 billion yuan in the first half of September [1][9]. - The total bond issuance by securities firms from July 1 to September 17 reached approximately 543.8 billion yuan, accounting for about 47% of the annual total [2]. - As of September 17, 2023, 71 securities firms have issued bonds, with a total issuance of 1.14 trillion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of approximately 64.7% [10]. Group 2: Types of Bonds and Their Purposes - Securities company bonds remain the mainstay, with 415 bonds issued totaling over 750 billion yuan, while short-term financing bonds accounted for nearly 370 billion yuan [11]. - The average coupon rate for the issued bonds is 1.89%, with a general downward trend in interest rates compared to the previous year [13][14]. - The primary purposes of the raised funds include liquidity support and refinancing existing debts, with some firms committing to limit the use of funds for capital-consuming businesses [21][24]. Group 3: Market Dynamics and Future Outlook - The increase in bond issuance is driven by a recovery in the A-share market, which has led to a rise in margin trading balances from approximately 1.85 trillion yuan at the end of June to about 2.26 trillion yuan at the end of August, marking a 22.2% increase [9]. - The current low-interest-rate environment makes bond financing more attractive compared to equity financing, providing larger funding support while avoiding equity dilution [25]. - If the A-share market remains active, the trend of bond issuance by securities firms is expected to continue in the near future [25].