Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected stock price increase of over 20% relative to the market benchmark within the next six months [7]. Core Views - The company has shown a significant improvement in net profit, with a year-on-year increase of 230.72% in the first three quarters of 2024, despite a 16.92% decline in revenue [1]. - The white liquor business remains stable, and the pork business is showing signs of reduced losses, with a notable recovery in profitability [2]. - The report anticipates a recovery in gross margins in Q4 2024 due to early channel stocking for the upcoming Spring Festival [1][2]. Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2024, the company achieved revenue of 7.317 billion yuan, a decrease of 16.92% year-on-year, while net profit reached 382 million yuan, up 230.72% [1]. - The gross margin for Q3 2024 improved by 13.45 percentage points to 36.26% compared to the previous year [1]. - The company expects net profits for 2024-2026 to be 363 million, 535 million, and 639 million yuan respectively, with a revision from previous estimates [2]. Business Segment Insights - The white liquor segment's revenue remained stable year-on-year, with ongoing consumer cultivation efforts enhancing brand visibility and potential sales conversion [2]. - The pork segment has seen improved profitability due to adjustments in production and product mix, benefiting from a recent rise in domestic pork prices [2]. Valuation Metrics - The report provides earnings per share (EPS) estimates of -0.40 yuan for 2023, transitioning to 0.49 yuan in 2024, and reaching 0.86 yuan by 2026 [5]. - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to improve from -45.3 in 2023 to 21.0 in 2026, reflecting a recovery in profitability [5].

上 市 公 司 证 券 研 究 报 告 食品饮料 2024 年 10 月 29 日 顺鑫农业 (000860) ——24Q3 点评：白酒业务基本稳定，肉类业务减亏 | --- | --- | |-----------------------------|-------------------------------| | 市场数据： | 2024 年 10 月 28 日 | | 收盘价（元） | 18.89 | | 一年内最高/最低（元） | 25.84/13.90 | | 市净率 | 1.9 | | 息率（分红/股价） | | | 流通 A 股市值（百万元） | 14,012 | | 上证指数/深证成指 | 3,322.20/10,685.89 | | --- | --- | |-------------------------------|------------------------| | | | | | | | 基础数据 : 2024 | 年 09 月 30 日 | | | | | 每股净资产（元） | 9.66 | | 资产负债率 % | 48.96 | | 总股本/流通 A 股（百万） | 74 ...

Revenue and Profit - Revenue for Q3 2024 was CNY 1,630,250,242.43, a decrease of 37.20% compared to the same period last year[2] - Net profit attributable to shareholders was CNY -40,508,510.21, an increase of 80.83% year-on-year[2] - Total operating revenue for Q3 2024 was CNY 7,316,762,837.51, a decrease of 17.8% compared to CNY 8,807,316,989.49 in the same period last year[13] - Net profit for Q3 2024 was CNY 389,127,515.53, a significant recovery from a net loss of CNY 295,325,626.52 in the previous year[14] - Earnings per share for Q3 2024 was CNY 0.5151, compared to a loss per share of CNY -0.3940 in the same quarter last year[15] Cash Flow - Cash flow from operating activities for the year-to-date was CNY -907,851,810.41, a decrease of 54.92% compared to the previous year[2] - Cash flow from operating activities for Q3 2024 was CNY 6,294,252,322.73, down from CNY 6,944,383,547.43 in the previous year[16] - The net cash flow from operating activities was -907,851,810.41 CNY, an improvement from -2,013,657,127.09 CNY in the previous year, indicating a reduction in cash outflow[17] - Total cash outflow from operating activities amounted to 7,202,104,133.14 CNY, down from 8,958,040,674.52 CNY year-over-year[17] - Cash inflow from financing activities was 3,161,218,568.63 CNY, down from 3,998,785,143.07 CNY in the previous year[17] - The net cash flow from financing activities was 1,059,639.06 CNY, a recovery from -99,000,942.97 CNY in the previous year[17] Assets and Liabilities - Total assets as of September 30, 2024, were CNY 14,088,906,998.42, down 8.32% from the end of the previous year[2] - Current assets decreased from CNY 10,107,212,465.12 to CNY 9,105,971,053.36, a reduction of about 9.9%[11] - Total liabilities decreased to CNY 6,897,883,012.36 from CNY 8,565,269,748.66, indicating a reduction of 19.5%[13] - Total liabilities increased from CNY 9,107,212,465.12 to CNY 9,105,971,053.36, indicating a slight decrease of about 0.1%[12] - Short-term borrowings increased from CNY 2,564,331,609.58 to CNY 2,609,242,602.75, an increase of approximately 1.8%[12] Shareholder Information - The total number of ordinary shareholders at the end of the reporting period was 96,758[8] - The largest shareholder, Beijing Shunxin Holdings Group Co., Ltd., held 38.36% of the shares[8] Financial Expenses - Financial expenses decreased by CNY 130.08 million, a decline of 96.43%, due to reduced financing scale and increased interest income[6] - The company reported a significant decrease in financial expenses, down to CNY 4,816,396.83 from CNY 134,894,275.56, a reduction of 96.4%[14] Inventory and Receivables - Accounts receivable increased by CNY 1,173.36 million, a growth of 30.83% due to increased customer receivables[4] - Inventory decreased from CNY 2,194,181,966.67 to CNY 1,824,836,386.77, a reduction of approximately 16.9%[11] - The company reported a significant increase in other receivables from CNY 6,452,594.19 to CNY 11,072,727.99, an increase of approximately 71.5%[11] Research and Development - Research and development expenses for Q3 2024 were CNY 22,435,012.83, slightly down from CNY 24,022,666.07 in the previous year[14] Audit and Reporting - The company did not undergo an audit for the third quarter report[18] - The report was released by the Board of Directors on October 29, 2024[18]

一、指数名称和代码 二、指数基日和基点 该指数以 2014 年 12 月 31 日为基日，以 1000 点为基点。 三、样本选取方法 2024 年 9 月 | 版本号 V1.3 中证央企结构调整指数编制方案 中证央企结构调整指数从央企上市公司中，综合评估其在市值规模、股东权 益回报、红利支付水平、科技创新投入等方面情况，选取其中较具代表性的上市 公司证券作为指数样本，以反映央企结构调整板块相关上市公司证券的整体表现。 1、样本空间 同中证全指指数的样本空间 2、可投资性筛选 过去一年日均成交金额排名位于样本空间前 80%。 3、选样方法 （1）对于样本空间内符合可投资性筛选条件的证券，选取属于国资委央企 1 指数名称：中证央企结构调整指数 指数简称：结构调整 英文名称：CSI Central-SOEs' Structural Reform Index 英文简称：SOEs' Structural Reform 指数代码：000860 2024 年 9 月 | 版本号 V1.3 名录，以及实际控制权或第一大股东归属于国务院国资委的上市公司证券作为待 选样本； （2）在上述待选样本中，剔除满足以下任一条件的证券： ...

华福证券 金标铺货不及预期，白酒动销不及预期、行业竞争加剧等。 包 研 顺鑫农业（000860.SZ） 稳白酒，猪肉减亏，盈利能力提升 投资要点： 事件： 2024H1 公司实现营收 56.87 亿元，同比下降 8.45％；实现归母净 利润 4.23 亿元，去年同期为-0.81 亿元，今年同比扭亏为盈。其中，24Q2 公司实现营收 16.30 亿元，同比下降 23.26%；实现归母净利润-0.28 亿 元，去年同期为-4.09 亿元，减亏明显。 分 业 务 看 ， 24H1 公 司 白 酒 / 猪 肉 / 其 他 业 务 分 别 实 现 营 收 46.98/7.86/2.03 亿元，同比分别+3.17%/-36.64%/-51.35%。分地区看， 京内/京外分别实现营收 16.01/40.85 亿元，同比分别-22.93%/-1.17%。 白酒业务稳字当头，猪肉业务减亏 白酒业务方面，公司围绕"调结构、强营销、夯基础"的计划， 持续打造光瓶酒"双轮驱动"战略。具体来看，每 500ml 产品价格 50 元以上的高档酒/10-50 元的中档酒/10 元以下的低档酒分别实现营收 6.03/6.38/34.56 亿元 ...

公司报告 | 半年报点评 猪肉业务拖累收入端，盈利端表现亮眼 业绩 ：2024Q2 公司营业收入/归母净利润/扣非归母净 利润分别为 16.3/-0.28/-0.29 亿元（同比-23.26%/减亏 93.15%/减亏 93.00%）。 产品端：低档酒占比提升，猪肉业务盈利改善。24H1 公司猪肉/其他/白酒 类业务收入 7.86/2.03/46.98 亿元（同比-36.64%/-51.35%/+3.17%），分别占 总营收比重 13.82%/3.58%/82.61%（同比变动-6.15/-3.15/+9.30 个百分点）， 其中 高档 酒/ 中档 酒/ 低档 酒营 业 收入 6.03/6.38/34.56 亿元（ 同比 +5.94%/-7.29%/+4.87%），占白酒类收入比重分别为 12.85%/13.58%/73.57% （同比变动+0.34/-1.53/+1.20 个百分点）。24H1 公司猪肉/白酒类业务毛利 率分别为 2.53%/42.86%（同比变动+14.96/-3.56 个百分点），其中高档酒/ 中 档 酒 / 低 档 酒 毛 利 率 分 别 为 71.48%/44.05%/37.64% ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Shunxin Agriculture (000860.SZ) [2] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 5.687 billion yuan for H1 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 8.45%, but achieved a net profit of 423 million yuan, compared to a loss of 81 million yuan in the same period last year [4] - The white liquor segment showed positive growth, with H1 revenue of 4.7 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.17%, while the slaughtering segment saw a revenue decline of 36.64% [4] - The report forecasts revenue for 2024-2026 to be 10.86 billion yuan, 11.92 billion yuan, and 13.01 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 2.5%, 9.8%, and 9.1% [5] Financial Performance Summary - H1 2024 net profit was 423 million yuan, significantly better than the forecasted median of 405 million yuan [4] - The company’s high-end liquor, mid-range liquor, and low-end liquor revenues changed by +5.94%, -7.29%, and +4.87% respectively in H1 2024 [4] - The gross profit margins for high-end, mid-range, and low-end liquors decreased by 2.84, 5.26, and 3.36 percentage points respectively compared to the previous year [5] Future Projections - The report projects net profits for 2024, 2025, and 2026 to be 630 million yuan, 800 million yuan, and 968 million yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 311.8%, 27.8%, and 20.9% respectively [5] - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are 0.84 yuan, 1.08 yuan, and 1.30 yuan respectively [6]

F 证券研究报告 白酒 顺鑫农业（000860.SZ） 增持-A(维持) 白酒业务保持稳定，盈利水平扭亏为盈 2024 年 8 月 28 日 公司研究/公司快报 公司近一年市场表现 事件描述 事件：公司发布 2024 年半年报，24H1 公司实现营业收入 56.87 亿元， 同比减少 8.45%。实现归母净利润 4.23 亿元，同比扭亏为盈；24Q2 公司实 现营业收入 16.30 亿元，同比减少 23.26%，实现归母净利润-0.28 亿元，上 年同期为-4.09 亿元，同比大幅减亏。 事件点评 白酒业务保持稳定，上半年业绩扭亏为盈。公司上半年实现营业收入 市场数据：2024 年 8 月 27 日 56.87 亿元，同比减少 8.45%。其中，白酒业务实现收入 46.98 亿元，同比增 收盘价（元）： 14.99 长 3.17%。其中高/中/低档酒分别实现营收 6.03/6.38/34.56 亿元，同比 年内最高/最低（元）： 26.78/14.90 +5.94%/-7.29%/+4.87%，消费弱复苏下餐饮相关消费表现疲软，中档酒收入 流通 A 股/总股本（亿 股）： 7.42/7.42 增速有所承压；同 ...

食品饮料 证 券 研 究 报 告 2024 年 08 月 27 日 顺鑫农业 (000860) ——24H1 点评：白酒业务基本稳定 猪肉板块大幅减亏 | --- | --- | |-----------------------------|-------------------------------| | 市场数据： | 2024 年 08 月 26 日 | | 收盘价（元） | 15.64 | | 一年内最高/最低（元） | 26.78/14.93 | | 市净率 | 1.6 | | 息率（分红 / 股价） | | | 流通 A 股市值（百万元） | 11,601 | | 上证指数/深证成指 | 2,855.52/8,194.65 | | --- | --- | |-------------------------------|-------------------------------| | | | | | | | 基础数据 : | 2024 年 06 月 30 日 | | | | | 每股净资产（元） | 9.71 | | 资产负债率 % | 46.40 | | 总股本/流通 A 股（百万） | ...

第九届监事会第十次会议决议公告 本公司及监事会全体成员保证信息披露内容的真实、准确和完整，没有虚假记载、 误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 一、监事会会议召开情况 北京顺鑫农业股份有限公司第九届监事会第十次会议决议公告 证券代码：000860 证券简称：顺鑫农业 公告编号：2024-029 北京顺鑫农业股份有限公司 北京顺鑫农业股份有限公司（以下简称"本公司"或"公司"）第九届监事 会第十次会议通知于 2024 年 8 月 15 日以当面送达的方式通知了公司全体监事， 会议于 2024 年 8 月 26 日在顺鑫国际商务中心 12 层会议室召开，会议应出席监 事 3 人，实际出席监事 3 人，由监事会主席杜连杰女士主持。本次会议符合《公 司法》和《公司章程》的有关规定。 二、监事会会议审议情况 三、备查文件 1、公司第九届监事会第十次会议决议。 特此公告。 北京顺鑫农业股份有限公司 监事会 2024 年 8 月 27 日 1、审议通过了《公司 2024 年半年度报告全文及摘要》。 公司《 2024 年 半 年 度 报 告 全 文 》 登 载 于 同 日 巨 潮 资 讯 网 （http://www.cninfo.com. ...