Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) with a target price of 14.04 CNY [1][6]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 17.17 billion CNY for 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 9.9%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 840 million CNY, up 14.2% year-on-year, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 800 million CNY, reflecting a 21.1% increase [5][9]. - The company has shown strong performance in property management, with a revenue of 16.49 billion CNY, an increase of 11.7%. The gross profit margin for basic property management improved by nearly 2 percentage points to 10.7%, contributing to an overall gross margin increase [9]. - The company achieved a new annual contract amount of 4.03 billion CNY, with third-party contracts accounting for 92% of the total, indicating a solid market expansion strategy [9]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue for 2023 was 15.63 billion CNY, with a projected increase to 19.05 billion CNY in 2025, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 10.9% [7]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to grow from 736 million CNY in 2023 to 1.15 billion CNY in 2025, indicating a growth rate of 36.3% [7]. - The company's gross margin is projected to improve from 11.6% in 2023 to 12.7% in 2025, while the net margin is expected to rise from 4.7% to 6.0% over the same period [7][11]. Valuation Metrics - The company is currently trading at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 15.4 for 2024, with an expected P/E of 11.3 for 2025 [10]. - The price-to-book (P/B) ratio is projected to decrease from 1.2 in 2024 to 1.1 in 2025, indicating a favorable valuation trend [11]. - The estimated earnings per share (EPS) is expected to increase from 0.79 CNY in 2024 to 1.08 CNY in 2025, reflecting strong earnings growth potential [7][10].

招商积余 001914.SZ 公司研究 | 年报点评 | | 买入 （维持） | | --- | --- | | 股价（2025年04月14日） | 12.26 元 | | 目标价格 | 14.04 元 | | 52 周最高价/最低价 | 13.33/8.16 元 | | 总股本/流通 A 股（万股） | 106,035/106,034 | | A 股市值（百万元） | 13,000 | | 国家/地区 | 中国 | | 行业 | 房地产 | | 报告发布日期 | 2025 年 04 月 15 日 | 1 周 1 月 3 月 12 月 绝对表现% 8.88 13.1 24.21 29.93 相对表现% 4.15 19.28 25.82 21.78 沪深 300% 4.73 -6.18 -1.61 8.15 赵旭翔 zhaoxuxiang@orientsec.com.cn 执业证书编号：S0860521070001 | sunyixuan@orientsec.com.cn | | --- | | 孙怡萱 | 业绩稳健，非住业态优势显著 2024-03-21 营收业绩双增，基础物管毛利率改善 核心观点 事件：公司 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights a significant increase in stock repurchase and shareholder buyback activities among A-share listed companies in response to market volatility caused by U.S. tariffs, indicating strong confidence in the Chinese market and the financial strength of these companies [1][5][10]. Summary by Sections Stock Buybacks and Shareholder Actions - Since April, numerous A-share companies have announced stock buybacks and shareholder increases, reflecting a proactive approach to market conditions [3][4]. - In 2024, over 2,100 A-share companies executed stock buybacks totaling more than 160 billion yuan, marking a historical high with a year-on-year increase of 71.1% [5][10]. - As of April 9, 2025, 684 companies had already implemented stock buybacks exceeding 30 billion yuan [5]. Confidence from State-Owned Enterprises - Major state-owned enterprises like Sinopec, China Three Gorges, and Chalco have committed to increasing their stakes in listed companies, demonstrating confidence in the long-term prospects of the Chinese economy [4]. - The China Merchants Group announced collective buyback plans for seven listed companies, emphasizing their commitment to enhancing shareholder value and market confidence [4]. Leading Companies' Initiatives - Leading firms such as CATL, Midea Group, and Kweichow Moutai have initiated new rounds of stock buybacks, with CATL planning to use 4 to 8 billion yuan for share repurchases [4]. - Midea Group intends to repurchase shares worth 1.5 to 3 billion yuan, while Kweichow Moutai aims to complete a remaining buyback of approximately 4.05 billion yuan [4]. Market Implications - The increase in buybacks and shareholder actions is seen as a positive sign for the long-term health of the capital market, enhancing liquidity and improving investor sentiment [9][10]. - The establishment of a stock buyback loan policy by the central bank in October 2024 has encouraged companies to pursue buybacks, with 430 companies disclosing plans to apply for loans totaling over 90 billion yuan [9]. Strengthening Corporate Fundamentals - The rising trend in buybacks reflects the growing financial strength of Chinese companies, as evidenced by increased cash flow and improved overall capabilities [10]. - The innovation capacity of Chinese listed companies has significantly improved, with total R&D spending rising from 585.6 billion yuan in 2018 to 1.5593 trillion yuan in 2023, indicating a strong correlation with profitability and financial strength [11].

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights a significant increase in stock buybacks and shareholder repurchases among A-share listed companies in response to market volatility, indicating strong confidence in the Chinese market and the financial strength of these companies [2][6][7]. Group 1: Stock Buyback and Shareholder Repurchase Trends - Over 2,100 A-share listed companies implemented stock buybacks in 2024, with a total buyback amount exceeding 160 billion yuan, marking a historical high and a year-on-year increase of 71.1% [5]. - As of April 9, 2025, 684 companies had executed stock buybacks totaling over 30 billion yuan [5]. - Major state-owned enterprises, including Sinopec and China Three Gorges, announced plans for shareholder repurchases based on their confidence in the long-term prospects of the Chinese economy [4]. Group 2: Corporate Actions and Market Confidence - Companies like CATL, Midea Group, and Kweichow Moutai initiated new rounds of stock buybacks, with CATL planning to use 4 to 8 billion yuan for repurchasing shares [4]. - The collective actions of companies signal a commitment to enhancing shareholder value and maintaining market confidence [4][6]. - The increase in buybacks and repurchases is seen as a positive indicator for the long-term health of the capital market, improving investor sentiment and market liquidity [6][7]. Group 3: Economic and Competitive Landscape - The growing scale of buybacks reflects the robust financial health of Chinese companies, supported by a comprehensive industrial system and significant market advantages [7]. - China's large consumer market, with over 1.4 billion people and a per capita GDP exceeding 13,000 USD, presents vast demand potential, further bolstered by proactive macroeconomic policies [7]. - The innovation capabilities of Chinese listed companies have significantly improved, contributing to overall profitability and financial strength [8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the real estate sector, with a focus on financially stable and well-performing leading companies [2]. Core Views - Recent government policies have been implemented to support the real estate market, including the cancellation of sales restrictions in Nanjing and adjustments to down payment ratios in Tianjin, which are expected to stimulate demand [7][17]. - The real estate market is experiencing structural differentiation, with new home sales declining while second-hand home sales show slight resilience [7][21]. - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on leading real estate companies that can effectively navigate market fluctuations, such as Poly Developments, China Merchants Shekou, and China Resources Mixc Life [7][19]. Weekly Market Review - The Shenwan Real Estate Index decreased by 0.9%, while the CSI 300 Index fell by 1.37%, indicating that the sector outperformed the broader market by 0.47% [3][13]. - The total market capitalization of the real estate sector is approximately 1,034.3 billion yuan, with a circulating market value of about 995.5 billion yuan [8]. Industry Fundamentals Primary Market Analysis - In the week of March 28 to April 3, a total of 31,221 new homes were sold across 38 key cities, representing a year-on-year decline of 33.7% and a month-on-month decline of 15% [5][21]. - The total transaction area for new homes was 3.821 million square meters, with a year-on-year decrease of 27.7% and a month-on-month decrease of 5.9% [5][21]. Secondary Market Analysis - During the same week, 22,398 second-hand homes were sold in 16 key cities, showing a year-on-year increase of 1.2% but a month-on-month decrease of 10.7% [32]. - The total transaction area for second-hand homes was 2.178 million square meters, with a year-on-year increase of 4.7% and a month-on-month decrease of 11.5% [32]. Inventory Situation - The inventory of commercial housing in 17 key cities was 186.291 million square meters, with a month-on-month decrease of 0.5% and a depletion cycle of 156.6 weeks [45][52]. Land Market Analysis - In the week of March 24 to March 30, land supply reached 21.186 million square meters, a year-on-year increase of 19.2%, while the average supply price was 2,715 yuan per square meter, up 223.2% year-on-year [53]. - Land transactions totaled 23.359 million square meters, with a transaction amount of 62.15 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 55.4% [53].

作 者丨 见习记者李益文 编 辑丨陈思颖 尹华禄 黎雨桐 4月8日下午，据央视新闻消息，国务院国资委8日表示， 将全力支持推动中央企业及其控股上市公司主动作为，不断加大增持回购力度，切实 维护全体股东权益，持续巩固市场对上市公司的信心，努力提升公司价值，充分彰显央企责任担当。 同时，加大对央企市值管理工作的指导， 引导中央企业持续为投资者打造负责任、有实绩、可持续、守规矩的价值投资优质标的，为促进资本市场健康稳定发展作出贡献。 此前，A股市场回购与增持热潮已持续升温。截至8日1 3时3 0分左右， 当日已有近3 0家公司宣布加入股票增持回购行列，涉及金额最高超3 0 0 亿元。 继宁德时代（3 0 0 7 5 0 .SZ）、中国核电（6 0 1 9 8 5 .SH）之后，贵州茅台( 6 0 0 5 1 9 .SH)、招商蛇口( 0 0 1 9 7 9 .SZ)、荣盛石化（0 0 2 4 9 3 .SZ）等一 众龙头企业也相继公布了新一轮回购及增持计划。据Wi n d数据不完全统计，从4月7日盘后到截至目前，总共有7 0余家公司发布了回购公告， 2 0余家公司发布了增持公告。与此同时，"国家队"也同步表态加码， ...

蓝思科技：拟以5亿元-10亿元回购公司股份，用于实施员工持股计划或股权激励计划。回购 股份价格上限35元/股。 4月8日盘前，"国家队"果断出手之际，A股上市公司也掀起回购潮，用行动表信心，为市场注入稳定信 号。 招商局集团旗下7家上市公司计划提速实施股份回购计划，贵州茅台已着手起草新一轮回购股份方案， 国泰君安、美的集团、复星医药、京东方Ａ、蓝思科技等也纷纷加入回购： 招商局集团旗下7家上市公司招商蛇口、招商港口、招商轮船、招商公路、中国外运、辽港 股份、招商积余集体发布公告，基于对公司未来发展前景的坚定信心及内在价值的高度认 可，计划提速实施股份回购计划，切实维护上市公司全体股东权益，持续巩固市场对上市公 司的信心，提升上市公司投资价值。 贵州茅台：公司已着手起草新一轮回购股份方案，公司控股股东已着手起草增持方案。据公 告，截至2025年4月7日，贵州茅台已累计回购股份1,315,901股，占公司总股本的比例为 0.1048%，购买的最高价为1,584.06元/股、最低价为1,417.01元/股，已支付的总金额为 1,948,495,151.53元（不含交易费用）。上述回购进展符合法律法规的规定及公司披露 ...

国泰君安公告，公司董事长朱健于2025年4月7日提议，公司通过集中竞价交易方式回购部分公司A股股 份，回购股份将用于维护公司价值及股东权益。回购股份种类为人民币普通股(A股)股票，价格上限不 高于董事会审议通过回购股份方案决议前30个交易日公司股票交易均价的150%，资金总额为10亿元-20 亿元，资金来源为公司自有资金，回购期限为自董事会审议通过方案之日起3个月内。 东方证券：拟以2.5亿元-5亿元回购股份 A股市场剧烈波动关键时刻，上市公司回购潮再起！据不完全统计，从昨日收盘到今晨，A股超20家上 市公司发布回购计划或提速回购计划。 "招商系"7家上市公司：坚定信心提速回购 招商局集团旗下7家上市公司招商蛇口（001979）、招商港口（001872）、招商轮船（601872）、招商 公路（001965）、中国外运（601598）、辽港股份（601880）、招商积余（001914），4月8日盘前集体 发布公告，基于对公司未来发展前景的坚定信心及内在价值的高度认可，计划提速实施股份回购计划， 切实维护上市公司全体股东权益，持续巩固市场对上市公司的信心，提升上市公司投资价值。 国泰君安：董事长提议以10亿元-2 ...

证券代码：001914 证券简称：招商积余 公告编号：2025-32 招商局积余产业运营服务股份有限公司 关于加快回购公司股份的公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证公告内容的真实、准确和完整，没有虚假记载、 误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 招商局积余产业运营服务股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）于 2024 年 10 月17日在巨潮资讯网披露了《关于以集中竞价交易方式回购公司股份方案的公告》 （公告编号：2024-48），公司拟以自有或自筹资金通过深圳证券交易所以集中竞 价交易方式回购公司股份，回购的股份全部用于注销并减少注册资本。 2025 年 4 月 8 日 1 基于对公司未来持续发展的信心和对公司价值的认可，公司将加快实施回购 公司股份，以维护广大投资者的利益，增强投资者对公司的投资信心，稳定及提 升公司价值。 公司将严格按照《上市公司股份回购规则》《深圳证券交易所上市公司自律 监管指引第 9 号——回购股份》等相关规定，在回购期限内根据市场情况择机做 出回购决策并予以实施，并根据回购股份事项进展情况及时履行信息披露义务， 敬请广大投资者注意投资风险。 特此公告 招商局积余产业运营服务股份有限公司 董 事 会 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" rating for the real estate and property management sectors [2][3]. Core Insights - The report highlights the importance of stabilizing the real estate market in response to the ongoing trade war, emphasizing the need for domestic demand expansion [2][3]. - It notes a significant decline in both new and second-hand housing transactions, with new home sales in 34 key cities dropping by 23% week-on-week and 26% year-on-year in April [4][7]. - The report indicates that the government is implementing policies to stabilize the market, including the cancellation of housing transfer restrictions in Nanjing and the expansion of housing fund withdrawal policies [32][33]. Industry Data Summary New Housing Transaction Volume - New housing sales in 34 key cities totaled 3.093 million square meters last week, a week-on-week decrease of 23.4% [4]. - Year-on-year, new housing sales in April are down 26%, with first and second-tier cities seeing a 21% decline and third and fourth-tier cities experiencing a 49% drop [7][8]. Second-Hand Housing Transaction Volume - Second-hand housing sales in 13 key cities fell by 26.2% week-on-week, with April sales down 15% year-on-year [13]. - Cumulative sales for the year to date show a 26.5% increase compared to the previous year [13]. New Housing Inventory - In 15 key cities, 710,000 square meters of new housing were launched last week, with a sales-to-launch ratio of 2.08, indicating a continued trend of inventory reduction [21]. - The total available residential area in these cities is 88.71 million square meters, reflecting a 0.9% decrease week-on-week [21]. Policy and News Tracking - The report discusses macroeconomic policies, including the imposition of tariffs on U.S. imports and the rise in manufacturing PMI to 50.5%, indicating a recovery in manufacturing activity [32][33]. - It highlights local government initiatives, such as Nanjing's cancellation of housing transfer restrictions and the expansion of housing fund policies in various cities [32][33]. - The report also notes the active land market in core cities, with significant land sales and project launches reported in the first quarter of 2025 [32][33].