Group 1 - The company, Tianbang Food (002124.SZ), confirmed that Yancheng Bonny Aquatic Food Technology Co., Ltd. is a wholly-owned subsidiary [2] - The main business of the company is pig farming and pork product processing, and it no longer has any seafood-related business [2]

Market Overview - The aquaculture sector experienced a decline of 1.58% on November 21, with Huaying Agriculture leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3834.89, down 2.45%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12538.07, down 3.41% [1] Stock Performance - Huaying Agriculture (002321) closed at 3.24, down 10.00% with a trading volume of 1.5762 million shares and a turnover of 517 million yuan [1] - Tianyu Biological (603717) closed at 8.44, down 8.76% with a trading volume of 209,500 shares and a turnover of 180 million yuan [1] - Yike Food (301116) closed at 12.20, down 8.20% with a trading volume of 271,100 shares and a turnover of 338 million yuan [1] - Other notable declines include Fucheng Co. (600965) down 4.95%, Tianbang Food (002124) down 4.23%, and Dongrui Co. (001201) down 4.07% [1] Capital Flow - The aquaculture sector saw a net outflow of 572 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 261 million yuan [1] - The table of capital flow indicates that Xiaoming Co. (300967) had a net outflow of 912.89 million yuan from institutional investors [2] - Jingqi Zhino (000048) experienced a net inflow of 856.43 million yuan from institutional investors [2] - Shengnong Development (002299) had a net inflow of 134.24 million yuan from institutional investors [2]

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that Tianbang Food reported its complete breeding cost for October, which is 13.08 yuan per kilogram, including an impact of 0.31 yuan per kilogram from idle costs [2][3] Group 2 - The company provided this information in response to an investor inquiry on an interactive platform [2] - The reported cost reflects the company's operational expenses in the breeding process for that month [2]

Core Insights - The report from Kaiyuan Securities indicates a significant decline in the average selling price of live pigs in October 2025, with a decrease of 10.74% month-on-month and 33.56% year-on-year, suggesting ongoing pressure on pig prices in the near future [1] - The slaughter volume in October 2025 was 5.0352 million heads, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 10.40% and a year-on-year increase of 9.55%, indicating a temporary oversupply situation [1] - The report highlights that the proportion of large pigs being sold is lower than in the same period in 2024, while the inventory of large pigs is increasing, suggesting a potential easing of supply in the future [1] Industry Overview - The gross white price difference as of November 6, 2025, was 4.18 yuan/kg, showing a month-on-month increase of 0.08 yuan/kg but a year-on-year decrease of 0.84 yuan/kg, indicating mixed market conditions [2] - The national frozen product inventory rate was reported at 20.03%, up 4.06 percentage points year-on-year, which may exert downward pressure on future pig prices due to high inventory levels [2] - In October 2025, the industry faced significant losses, with self-breeding and self-raising operations losing 167.97 yuan per head, reflecting a worsening financial situation for producers [3] - The breeding stock decreased by 0.77% month-on-month as of November 7, 2025, indicating a trend of reduction in breeding capacity [3] Company Performance - In October 2025, 12 listed pig companies reported a total of 16.9469 million heads sold, a year-on-year increase of 29.29%, with individual companies like Muyuan Foods and Wens Foodstuffs showing significant increases in their sales volumes [4] - The average selling price for major listed pig companies fell month-on-month, with prices for companies like Muyuan Foods and Wens Foodstuffs decreasing by 10.3% and 12.2% respectively [5] - The average weight of pigs sold by major companies also saw a decline, with Dabeinong reporting an average weight of 110.1 kg per head, down 18.8 kg from the previous month [4]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The industry is experiencing increasing supply pressure of live pigs as the year-end approaches, with low prices continuing to decline. In October 2025, the national average selling price of live pigs was 11.69 yuan/kg, down 10.74% month-on-month and 33.56% year-on-year. The slaughter volume in October was 5.0352 million heads, up 10.40% month-on-month and 9.55% year-on-year. The actual output in October exceeded the planned output by 5.70%, but the planned output for November is expected to decrease by 3.27% compared to October [3][14][24] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The supply pressure of live pigs is gradually accumulating as the year-end approaches, with low prices continuing to decline. The average selling price in October 2025 was 11.69 yuan/kg, reflecting a significant decrease [3][14] - The slaughter volume in October was 5.0352 million heads, indicating a month-on-month increase of 10.40% and a year-on-year increase of 9.55% [3][14] Market Dynamics - The proportion of large pigs (over 150kg) in the slaughter structure was 4.89%, which is lower than the same period in 2024. The stock of large pigs is expected to increase, leading to a more relaxed supply in the future [4][18] - The winter pork consumption is expected to improve, which may drive the price difference between lean and fatty pork. However, the high inventory rate of frozen products may suppress future prices [4][19][23] Financial Performance - In October, the industry faced deepening losses, with self-breeding losses reaching 167.97 yuan per head. The breeding stock decreased by 0.77% month-on-month [5][24] - The average selling price of major listed pig companies decreased month-on-month, with prices ranging from 10.97 to 11.87 yuan/kg, reflecting declines of 9.9% to 13.9% [6][7][34]

Core Viewpoint - Tianbang Food's pre-restructuring period has been extended to May 9, 2026, marking the third extension since the process began in August 2024, indicating ongoing financial difficulties and the need for more time to address complex issues [1][3]. Company Overview - Tianbang Food, founded in 1996 and listed in 2007, initially focused on special aquatic feed before entering the pig farming sector in 2013 through the acquisition of assets from Aigefei Agriculture [2]. - The company has faced significant challenges in the pig farming industry, which has entered a downward cycle from 2021 to 2023, leading to substantial losses and a high debt burden [2]. Financial Performance - In 2023, Tianbang Food reported a net profit of -28.83 billion yuan, with a year-end debt-to-asset ratio of 86.73% [2]. - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 67.19 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 5.98%, and a net profit of 2.6 billion yuan, down 80.65% [4]. - The third quarter of 2025 saw a revenue of 20.26 billion yuan, a decline of 28.39% year-on-year, and a net profit of -924.85 million yuan [4]. Restructuring Process - Tianbang Food applied for pre-restructuring in March 2024 due to an inability to repay debts, and the initial six-month period has now been extended to a total of 22 months [2][3]. - The extensions are aimed at maximizing asset value and protecting the rights of creditors and debtors, indicating ongoing negotiations and adjustments in the restructuring plan [3]. Management Changes - The company has experienced management changes, including the resignation of Vice President Yan Xiaoming in September 2025, which may impact the strategic execution of its pork processing business, a key revenue source [5]. - Yan's departure could lead to increased communication costs and may be perceived as a lack of confidence internally, potentially affecting negotiations with creditors and investors [5]. Industry Context - The pig farming industry is currently undergoing a deep adjustment phase, with prices for pigs declining since the third quarter of 2025, which has negatively impacted Tianbang Food's sales [4][5]. - The company's sales of live pigs reached 686,000 heads in October 2025, a month-on-month increase of 11.95%, but sales revenue fell by 4.25% to 607 million yuan, with an average selling price down 13.98% [5].

Core Viewpoint - Tianbang Food's pre-restructuring period has been extended to May 9, 2026, marking the third extension since the process began in August 2024, amid ongoing financial difficulties and management changes [2][3][4]. Group 1: Pre-restructuring Process - Tianbang Food applied for pre-restructuring due to an inability to repay debts and a lack of repayment capacity, with a reported net profit of -2.883 billion yuan in 2023 and a debt ratio of 86.73% [3][4]. - The initial pre-restructuring period was set for six months, but it has been extended multiple times, now totaling 21 months [4][6]. - The court approved the latest extension to maximize asset value and protect the rights of creditors and debtors [4][5]. Group 2: Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, Tianbang Food reported revenue of 6.719 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 5.98%, and a net profit of 260 million yuan, down 80.65% [6][7]. - The company faced a significant decline in sales, with Q3 revenue dropping to 2.026 billion yuan, a 28.39% year-on-year decrease [6][7]. - The debt ratio remained high at 70.27% as of the end of Q3 2025, indicating ongoing financial strain [6][7]. Group 3: Management Changes - The resignation of Vice President Yan Xiaoming in September 2025 raised concerns about the company's internal confidence and strategic execution, particularly in its pork processing business, which contributes over 30% to revenue [7][8]. - The departure of key management during a sensitive period may exacerbate creditor and investor hesitance regarding future funding and debt negotiations [7][8].

Core Viewpoint - Tianbang Food's restructuring process has been delayed again, extending the pre-restructuring period to May 9, 2026, marking the third delay in this process [1][2]. Group 1: Restructuring Process - Tianbang Food initiated its pre-restructuring on August 9, 2024, and has since received multiple extensions from the Ningbo Intermediate People's Court [2]. - The company has been proactive in applying for restructuring due to its inability to repay debts, with a debt-to-asset ratio of 87% as of Q3 2023, which has since improved to 70% with total liabilities reduced from 162 billion to 94.78 billion [2][4]. - The restructuring investors are increasing, with agreements signed with various financial and industrial investors throughout 2025 [4][5]. Group 2: Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, Tianbang Food reported revenue of 6.719 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 5.98%, and a net profit of 260 million, down 80.65% [6]. - The company experienced a net loss of 92.485 million in Q3 2025, indicating ongoing financial struggles [6]. - In October 2025, the company sold 686,000 pigs, with a sales revenue of 607 million, but the average selling price dropped by 13.98% [7]. Group 3: Operational Challenges - The company faces high breeding costs, with the complete cost of raising pigs at 13.24 yuan/kg, which is higher than competitors like Muyuan Foods and Wens Foodstuffs [7]. - The utilization rate of production capacity is only around 50%, leading to high fixed costs [7][10]. - The overall industry is experiencing downward pressure on pig prices, with significant losses reported in October 2025 [8]. Group 4: Management Changes and Regulatory Issues - The resignation of Vice President Yan Xiaoming, who was responsible for the pork processing business, adds to the uncertainties within the management team [1][9]. - Tianbang Food has faced regulatory scrutiny for information disclosure violations, resulting in warnings issued to its chairman and board secretary [11][12].

Core Viewpoint - The pig farming industry is facing significant challenges as it enters the fourth quarter, with rising sales but declining revenues due to falling pig prices below cost levels and ongoing supply pressures [2][9]. Group 1: Sales and Revenue Trends - Many listed pig companies reported significant sales increases in October, with companies like Muyuan Foods (牧原股份) selling 7.076 million pigs, a year-on-year increase of 13.17%, but with a sales revenue decline of 22.28% to 10.331 billion yuan [3][4]. - Wens Foodstuff (温氏股份) sold 3.8928 million pigs in October, with a revenue of 5.048 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year sales increase of 45.69% but a revenue decline of 13.15% [4]. - New Hope (新希望) reported sales of 1.6851 million pigs, a 34.44% increase, but a revenue drop of 7.83% to 1.918 billion yuan [5]. Group 2: Profitability and Financial Health - The third quarter saw 19 out of 22 listed pig farming companies report a year-on-year decline in net profit, with 9 companies incurring losses. The total net profit for these companies was 5.684 billion yuan, down 35.86% from the previous quarter [7][8]. - Wens Foodstuff's third-quarter revenue was 25.937 billion yuan, a 9.76% decline, marking its first quarterly revenue drop in 2024, with a net profit decrease of 65.02% [7]. Group 3: Industry Challenges and Price Trends - The average price of pigs has been declining since September, reaching a low of 11.87 yuan/kg by November 17, down 30.26% year-on-year [9][11]. - The industry is experiencing negative profitability, with average losses of 185.68 yuan per pig for self-bred pigs and 289.07 yuan for purchased piglets as of late October [11]. Group 4: Capacity and Policy Responses - Despite ongoing capacity control policies, the reduction in the number of breeding sows has been minimal, with the total number of breeding sows only decreasing by 0.2% by the end of the third quarter [12]. - The government has mandated a reduction of 1 million breeding sows among 25 leading companies by January 2026, but the effectiveness of these measures remains to be seen [12][13]. Group 5: Cost Management Strategies - Leading companies like Muyuan Foods have successfully reduced their breeding costs from 13.1 yuan/kg in January to 11.6 yuan/kg by September, a decrease of approximately 11.5% [14][17]. - The primary costs in pig farming are feed and piglet costs, with feed accounting for over 60% of total costs. Recent trends show a decline in feed prices, which could help mitigate some financial pressures [14][16].

Core Insights - The aquaculture sector experienced a slight increase of 0.31% on November 7, with Tianyu Biological leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3997.56, down 0.25%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13404.06, down 0.36% [1] Aquaculture Sector Performance - Tianyu Biological (603717) closed at 9.46, up 3.05% with a trading volume of 169,600 shares and a turnover of 160 million yuan [1] - Other notable performers included: - Luoniushan (000735) at 8.12, up 2.40% with a volume of 1,088,900 shares [1] - Zhengbang Technology (002157) at 66.7, up 1.36% with a volume of 1,212,200 shares [1] - Muyuans (002714) at 49.71, up 0.93% with a volume of 285,500 shares [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The aquaculture sector saw a net inflow of 223 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 11.04 million yuan [2] - Key stocks with significant capital flow included: - Muyuan (002714) with a net inflow of 214 million yuan from institutional investors [3] - Jingji Zhino (000048) with a net inflow of 50.59 million yuan from institutional investors [3] - Zhengbang Technology (002157) with a net inflow of 24.48 million yuan from institutional investors [3]