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——2025年12月A股及港股月度金股组合:宽幅震荡,静待风起-20251128
EBSCN· 2025-11-28 03:50
Market Overview - In November, the A-share market experienced a general decline, with the STAR Market 50 index dropping the most by 7.1%, while the Shanghai 50 index fell the least by 1.3%. Other major indices such as CSI 300, ChiNext, and CSI 1000 saw declines of -2.7%, -4.5%, and -3.4% respectively. The performance across industries showed significant divergence, with sectors like comprehensive services, banking, and media leading in gains [1][8][10] - The Hong Kong stock market also showed a volatile trend in November, influenced by fluctuations in the Federal Reserve's interest rate expectations and increasing concerns over the AI bubble. As of November 26, 2025, the Hang Seng Hong Kong 35 index rose by 1.1%, while the Hang Seng Index and Hang Seng China Enterprises Index saw minimal changes of 0.1% and -0.1%, respectively. The Hang Seng Technology Index dropped by 4.9% [1][10][11] A-share Insights - The market is believed to still be in a bull phase, but may enter a period of wide fluctuations in the short term. Compared to previous bull markets, there remains considerable room for index growth, but the emphasis on a "slow bull" policy may prioritize the duration of the bull market over its magnitude. Short-term catalysts appear weak, leading to a potential focus on defensive and consumer sectors, while TMT and advanced manufacturing sectors are recommended for mid-term attention [2][13][14][16][19] - In the context of market fluctuations, defensive sectors such as banking, utilities, and coal, along with consumer sectors like food and beverage, are highlighted as potential areas for investment. Historical trends suggest that previously lagging sectors may perform better during periods of market turbulence [16][17] Hong Kong Market Insights - The outlook for the Hong Kong market remains positive, with expectations of continued upward movement due to strong overall profitability and relatively low valuations. The "dumbbell" strategy is recommended, focusing on technology growth and high dividend stocks. Key areas of interest include domestic policies supporting self-sufficiency in chips and high-end manufacturing, as well as independent internet technology companies [3][21][24] - The report emphasizes the importance of high dividend, low volatility strategies, particularly in sectors such as telecommunications, utilities, and banking, which can provide stable returns [21][24] Stock Recommendations - For December 2025, the A-share stock selection includes: Sunlord Electronics, Zhongji Xuchuang, Huayou Cobalt, Sinopec, PetroChina, Zhengguang Co., Haier Smart Home, Hengli Hydraulic, Hangcha Group, and Goldwind Technology [26][27] - The recommended stocks for the Hong Kong market include: Tencent Holdings, China Mobile, China Tower, CNOOC Services, Huiju Technology, Sinopec Engineering, and AIA Group [30][31]
金风科技(002202):金风科技:经营表现趋势向上,合同负债高位释放交付景气
Changjiang Securities· 2025-11-27 09:17
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [8] Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of approximately 48.1 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 34%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of approximately 2.6 billion yuan, up 44% year-on-year. In Q3 2025 alone, the revenue was about 19.6 billion yuan, a 25% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of approximately 1.1 billion yuan, reflecting a significant 171% year-on-year growth [2][4] Summary by Relevant Sections Revenue Performance - In Q3 2025, the company achieved wind turbine sales of approximately 7.8 GW, a 71% increase year-on-year. The breakdown of sales includes 0.6 GW in the 4-6 MW range (7.7% of total) and 7.2 GW in the 6 MW and above category (92.3% of total) [12] - The company had no new power station transfers in Q3, with an added grid capacity of about 0.04 GW, and a total self-operated wind farm capacity of approximately 8.7 GW [12] Profitability Metrics - The gross profit margin for Q3 was approximately 13.0%, a decrease of 1.1 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to increased land wind turbine sales. The expense ratio for Q3 was about 9.2%, down 4.0 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to the dilution effect from increased revenue [12] - The net profit margin for Q3 was approximately 5.9%, showing an improvement year-on-year [12] Order Backlog and Financial Position - As of September 2025, the company had an order backlog of 52.5 GW, with 7.2 GW from overseas orders. The external orders totaled 49.9 GW, with 11.0 GW in bids not yet signed and 38.9 GW in signed contracts awaiting execution [12] - The company reported inventory and contract liabilities of approximately 21.7 billion yuan and 19.9 billion yuan, respectively, both at historical highs, which is expected to support future delivery performance [12] Industry Context - In the first three quarters of 2025, domestic wind turbine public bidding was approximately 102.1 GW, a 14% year-on-year decrease. The average bidding price for wind turbines in Q3 was above 1,500 yuan/KW, reaching 1,610 yuan/KW in September [12] - The company anticipates that stabilized bidding prices and increased overseas orders will support future delivery performance and profitability recovery [12]
风电设备板块11月27日跌0.42%,德力佳领跌,主力资金净流出5296.94万元
Zheng Xing Xing Ye Ri Bao· 2025-11-27 09:07
Core Viewpoint - The wind power equipment sector experienced a decline of 0.42% on November 27, with Delijia leading the drop, while the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.29% and the Shenzhen Component Index fell by 0.25% [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - The wind power equipment sector's individual stock performance showed mixed results, with notable gainers including Feiwo Technology (up 4.76% to 56.61) and Taisheng Wind Energy (up 4.51% to 7.88) [1]. - Conversely, Delijia saw a significant decline of 3.54%, closing at 69.51 [2]. - The overall trading volume in the wind power equipment sector indicated a net outflow of 52.97 million from institutional investors and 56.63 million from speculative funds, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 110 million [2][3]. Group 2: Stock Specifics - Taisheng Wind Energy had a net inflow of 66.30 million from institutional investors, while it faced outflows from speculative and retail investors [3]. - Feiwo Technology recorded a net inflow of 37.83 million from institutional investors, but also saw outflows from retail investors [3]. - The trading activity of other stocks such as Daqian Heavy Industry and Zhengjiang Co. also reflected similar trends of mixed inflows and outflows among different investor types [3].
深交所组织上市公司赴澳大利亚路演,外资看好投资中国新机遇
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-26 20:01
Core Viewpoint - The event "Investing in New Opportunities in China" organized by the Shenzhen Stock Exchange in Australia showcased six representative listed companies from Shenzhen, focusing on green low-carbon and high-end manufacturing sectors, attracting significant interest from Australian investment institutions [1] Group 1: Event Overview - The event took place on November 26 and featured six companies: Tianqi Lithium, Goldwind Technology, Xinwanda, Magpow, Shenghong Technology, and Luxshare Precision [1] - Nearly 70 representatives from major Australian pension funds and well-known asset management companies attended the roadshow [1] Group 2: Investor Insights - Attendees expressed that face-to-face communication with company executives provided a clearer understanding of the companies' operational status, strategic layout, technological innovation, and international competitiveness [1] - There is a positive outlook on the long-term development prospects and investment value of Shenzhen-listed companies amid a new round of technological revolution and industrial transformation [1]
深交所组织上市公司赴澳大利亚路演 外资看好投资中国新机遇
Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-11-26 18:26
Core Insights - The event organized by Shenzhen Stock Exchange in Australia aimed to showcase the investment opportunities in Chinese companies, particularly in technology innovation and high-quality economic development during the 14th Five-Year Plan period [1] Group 1: Company Participation and Focus Areas - Six representative companies from Shenzhen Stock Exchange participated in the roadshow, focusing on green low-carbon and high-end manufacturing sectors [1] - Companies like Tianqi Lithium, Goldwind Technology, and Xinwanda highlighted their technological breakthroughs and R&D efforts to attract investor interest [2] Group 2: ESG Practices and Recognition - The participating companies demonstrated improved ESG ratings, reflecting their commitment to sustainable development and attracting long-term investors [3] - Goldwind Technology and Tianqi Lithium have set clear carbon neutrality goals, while Xinwanda is advancing digital platforms for battery sustainability [3] Group 3: Alignment with Local Industry - The roadshow aligned well with Australia's focus on clean energy transition, with companies like Tianqi Lithium and Goldwind Technology directly engaging with local renewable energy initiatives [4][5] - The technological capabilities of the participating companies and their integration with local industries received high praise from investors [5]
中国新质生产力撞上澳洲产业风口:6家深市龙头圈粉海外长期资本
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-11-26 14:17
Core Insights - The event in Sydney focused on showcasing China's new productive forces and high-quality economic development during the 14th Five-Year Plan period [1] - Six representative companies from Shenzhen Stock Exchange participated, emphasizing green low-carbon and high-end manufacturing sectors [1][2] - Australian investors showed strong interest in the participating companies, aligning with their focus on renewable energy and advanced manufacturing [2] Group 1: Company Participation - The participating companies included Tianqi Lithium, Goldwind Technology, Xinwanda, Magpowr, Shenghong Technology, and Luxshare Precision, all from sectors of green low-carbon and high-end manufacturing [1][2] - Tianqi Lithium holds a leading position in lithium resources, while Goldwind Technology is a leader in the wind power sector, both aligning with Australia's renewable energy goals [2] - Magpowr and Shenghong Technology provide advanced technology solutions that meet local industry needs for automation and renewable energy applications [2] Group 2: Investment Opportunities - Australian investment institutions expressed optimism about the long-term value of Chinese companies, particularly in the context of technological innovation and international market expansion [5] - The participating companies demonstrated strong R&D capabilities, with Tianqi Lithium focusing on lithium extraction technologies and Xinwanda holding over 9,100 patents in battery technology [3] - The event highlighted the shift in China's industrial system from scale expansion to quality enhancement, with Shenzhen-listed companies actively pursuing high-end, digital, and green transformations [5] Group 3: ESG Practices - The participating companies have shown consistent improvement in their ESG ratings, moving from compliance to value creation, which attracted long-term investors [4] - Goldwind Technology integrates sustainability into its entire product lifecycle, while Xinwanda promotes a digital platform for battery sustainability [4] - Investors noted that the companies' commitment to ESG principles enhances their quality and sustainable development capabilities [4]
深交所组织上市公司澳大利亚路演
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Zhi Sheng· 2025-11-26 13:37
Core Viewpoint - The Shenzhen Stock Exchange organized a roadshow in Australia to showcase the innovative development stories of listed companies and highlight investment opportunities in China's capital market during the 14th Five-Year Plan period [1] Group 1: Event Overview - The roadshow is the second consecutive year that the Shenzhen Stock Exchange has organized such an event in Australia, featuring six listed companies focused on green low-carbon and high-end manufacturing sectors [1] - Approximately 70 representatives from major Australian pension funds and asset management companies participated, engaging in discussions about the companies' operational status and innovation achievements [1] Group 2: Industry Focus - The participating companies align closely with Australia's investment hotspots, particularly in the renewable energy and high-end manufacturing sectors [2] - Tianqi Lithium, a leading lithium materials company, integrates deeply with Australia's lithium resource industry, while Goldwind Technology, a leader in wind power, aligns with Australia's renewable energy strategies [2] Group 3: Innovation and Technology - Companies are focusing on technological breakthroughs and increasing R&D investments to drive high-quality development, presenting significant investment opportunities [3] - Tianqi Lithium has established a market-oriented R&D management system, while Megmeet Electric has made breakthroughs in AI data center power supply systems [3] Group 4: ESG Practices - The participating companies have shown a commitment to ESG practices, which are increasingly recognized by long-term investors in Australia [4] - Goldwind Technology has integrated sustainable development into its entire product lifecycle, while Tianqi Lithium and Shenghong Technology have set clear carbon neutrality goals [5]
风电设备板块11月26日涨1.02%,中环海陆领涨,主力资金净流入1.5亿元
Zheng Xing Xing Ye Ri Bao· 2025-11-26 09:12
Core Insights - The wind power equipment sector experienced a 1.02% increase on November 26, with Zhonghuan Hailu leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3864.18, down 0.15%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12907.83, up 1.02% [1] Stock Performance - Zhonghuan Hailu (301040) closed at 27.13, up 19.99% with a trading volume of 165,400 shares and a transaction value of 418 million yuan [1] - Electric Wind Power (688660) closed at 17.58, up 4.96% with a trading volume of 443,900 shares and a transaction value of 771 million yuan [1] - He Wang Electric (603063) closed at 29.81, up 3.58% with a trading volume of 237,600 shares and a transaction value of 709 million yuan [1] - Goldwind Technology (002202) closed at 15.40, up 3.49% with a trading volume of 1,061,500 shares and a transaction value of 1.626 billion yuan [1] Capital Flow - The wind power equipment sector saw a net inflow of 150 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 204 million yuan [2][3] - Major stocks like Goldwind Technology and Electric Wind Power had significant net inflows from institutional investors, indicating strong interest [3]
研报掘金丨华源证券:维持金风科技“买入”评级,风机制造板块盈利能力或触底回升
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-11-25 09:28
格隆汇11月25日|华源证券日前研报指出,金风科技25Q1-Q3实现归母净利润25.8亿元(同比 +44.2%),其中25Q3实现归母净利润10.97亿元(同比+170.6%)。盈利能力持续改善,看好风电景气 度及利润修复趋势。公司未披露风机板块毛利率,但25Q3 公司整体毛利率达到13%,环比提升 0.84pct,风机板块毛利率预计仍处于上行通道,利润改善趋势或保持延续。考虑到公司风机毛利率恢复 超出预期,持有上市公司股权公允价值变动超出预期,因此上调公司2025-2027年归母净利润预测至 30.8/48.3/57.5亿元(原预测为26.6/38.5/44.7 亿元),鉴于当前风电大型化速度趋于放缓、公司风机制造 板块盈利能力或触底回升,判断后续风机制造仍有进一步修复可能。维持"买入"评级。 ...
周观点1123:储锂高增逻辑持续,重视风电业绩催化-20251124
Changjiang Securities· 2025-11-24 11:14
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the industry [3]. Core Viewpoints - The logic for high growth in lithium storage continues, with a focus on performance catalysts in the wind power sector [1]. - The report emphasizes the ongoing demand for energy storage and power equipment, with lithium supply remaining tight and the logic for wind and solar power remaining intact [15]. Summary by Sections 1. Photovoltaics - The industry is currently in a weak seasonal phase, but the core catalyst remains the anti-involution policy, with expectations for capacity control measures to be implemented by the end of the year [15][40]. - The "Chengdu Declaration" was released at the 2025 International Photovoltaic and Energy Storage Industry Conference, emphasizing the importance of anti-involution strategies and high-quality development [22]. - The price of polysilicon remains stable, while silicon wafer prices are declining due to weak demand and inventory pressure [28][34]. 2. Energy Storage - The report highlights ongoing domestic and international developments in energy storage, with a strong outlook for sustained high growth [45]. - In October, domestic energy storage added 1.70 GW/3.52 GWh, with a cumulative increase of 34.07 GW/85.71 GWh year-to-date, reflecting a 56% year-on-year growth [50]. - Significant projects include a 1.6 GWh energy storage project in Germany and new market mechanisms being established in various regions [47][48]. 3. Lithium Batteries - Demand expectations for lithium batteries are strengthening, with all segments showing a willingness to maintain prices, indicating a continuous improvement in profitability [15]. - The report recommends focusing on battery segments, particularly leading companies like CATL and EVE Energy, as well as other key players in the supply chain [15]. 4. Wind Power - The report notes a clear upward trend in the wind power sector, with the new five-year plan indicating a favorable cycle beginning [15]. - Companies like Goldwind Technology and Mingyang Smart Energy are highlighted as key players benefiting from this trend [15]. 5. Power Equipment - The report mentions the approval of five flexible direct current projects and a steady increase in transformer exports, indicating robust demand in the power equipment sector [15]. - Companies such as Sifang Electric and XJ Electric are recommended for their strong positions in the market [15]. 6. New Directions - The report emphasizes the importance of developments in humanoid robotics and domestic chip manufacturing, with a focus on Tesla's supply chain and the potential impact of NVIDIA's AI chips on the market [15].