Investment Rating - The report gives an "Overweight" rating for the agricultural sector, indicating a positive outlook for the industry compared to the overall market performance [3][4]. Core Insights - The report highlights the ongoing "anti-involution" process in pig farming, suggesting that the industry is likely to accelerate capacity reduction due to both fundamental and policy-driven factors. This presents an opportunity for value reassessment of quality pig farming companies [3][4]. - The report notes that after over 16 months of profitability, the pig farming industry has entered a phase of losses again, with a significant drop in pig prices. The average selling price of pigs was reported at 12.71 yuan/kg, down 4.2% week-on-week [3][4]. - The report emphasizes the recovery of profits in the breeding industry and the continued demand for pet food, with a notable increase in net profits for tracked companies in the agricultural sector, which reached 20.78 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 208% [3][4]. Summary by Sections Agricultural Stock Market Performance - The Shenwan Agricultural Index fell by 2.7%, while the CSI 300 Index decreased by 0.4%. The top five gainers included Andeli and Biological Shares, both up by 9.4%, while the biggest losers included *ST Zhongji, down by 18.3% [4][11]. Pig Farming - The report indicates that the pig farming sector is facing accelerated losses, with self-breeding operations losing 24.44 yuan per head. The average price for weaned piglets dropped to 259 yuan per head, a decrease of 32 yuan week-on-week [3][4]. - The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs is implementing capacity control measures, aiming to reduce the breeding sow population by 1 million heads over the next six months [3][4]. Poultry Farming - The white feather broiler market continues to experience weak pricing, with the average selling price for broiler chicks at 3.10 yuan per chick, down 4.91% week-on-week. The report suggests focusing on leading companies for long-term value [3][4]. - The yellow feather broiler market is seeing a seasonal rebound, with prices for Qingjiao chicken rising significantly since June, indicating potential profitability improvements in the upcoming quarter [3][4]. Pet Food Industry - The report tracks pet food export data, noting a decline in export value to 834 million yuan in August, down 10.4% month-on-month and 15.5% year-on-year. However, the export volume increased by 3.5% year-on-year [3][4].

Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Outperform the market (maintained rating) [12] Core Views - The report emphasizes the deteriorating profitability in the pig farming sector, highlighting the need to focus on the pig segment due to its undervaluation and expectation differences [1][2] - The dairy and beef sectors are noted for potential recovery, with the beef super cycle possibly starting, suggesting investment opportunities in these areas [3][18] - The pet industry is experiencing rapid growth, with domestic brands rising and pet food exports showing positive trends, indicating a robust market for investment [4][19] - The poultry sector is advised to focus on breeding gaps and improving consumption demand, particularly for yellow chickens, which may see price improvements [5][20][23] - The planting sector is encouraged to pivot towards biological breeding opportunities amidst a tight grain supply-demand balance [8][25] - The feed sector is highlighted for its market share growth and consistent performance, particularly recommending Haida Group [9][27] Summary by Sections Pig Farming Sector - Current average pig price is 12.94 CNY/kg, down 4.15% from last week, with self-breeding profits narrowing to 7.7 CNY/head [1][16] - The average weight of pigs at market is at a historical high, indicating continued pressure on prices [1][16] - The report suggests focusing on leading companies like Muyuan Foods and Wens Foodstuff, which are currently undervalued [2][17] Beef Sector - Live cattle prices are at 27.16 CNY/kg, showing a 10.9% year-on-year increase, while fresh milk prices are stable [3][18] - The report anticipates a recovery in raw milk prices and potential price increases in beef due to reduced supply and improved demand [3][18] Pet Industry - The pet economy is thriving, with significant growth in domestic brands and pet food exports increasing by 6.64% year-on-year [4][19] - Recommended companies include Guibao Pet Food, Zhongchong Co., and Petty Co. [4][19] Poultry Sector - The report highlights the need to monitor breeding imports and the potential for price recovery in yellow chickens due to improved demand [5][20][23] - Key recommendations include Shengnong Development and Yisheng Biological [5][22] Planting Sector - Emphasis on improving grain yield through better seed and agricultural practices, with a focus on biotechnology [8][25] - Recommended companies include Longping High-Tech and Dabeinong [8][25] Feed Sector - Haida Group is recommended for its market share growth and consistent performance amidst a recovering market [9][27] - The report notes a significant exit of small players from the market, leading to improved conditions for remaining companies [9][27]

Investment Rating - The industry is rated as "Maintain Buy" [3] Core Viewpoints - The pig price has rapidly dropped below 13 yuan/kg, leading to a decrease in self-breeding and self-raising profitability to -24.44 yuan/head, a reduction of 41.29 yuan/head from the previous week. The high supply pressure is expected to continue to weigh on pig prices. The average weight of pigs has increased to 128.45 kg, up 0.5% from the low point in early August. The feed data shows a month-on-month increase in fattening feed prices of 5.6%, 6.6%, and 5.8% from June to August. The government is expected to implement policies to stabilize production and limit breeding in response to the price pressure [1][13][14] - The average selling price of lean meat pigs nationwide is 12.82 yuan/kg, down 3% from last week, while the average wholesale price of pork is 19.48 yuan/kg, down 2% [2][15] - The poultry sector shows mixed results, with the price of white feather chickens at 6.88 yuan/kg, down 2%, while chicken product prices remain stable at 8.65 yuan/kg. The price of meat chicken seedlings is 3.15 yuan each, down 3.1% [14][31] - The planting and agricultural products sector is expected to benefit from the commercialization of genetically modified varieties, with potential growth opportunities for industry companies [14] - The livestock support sector is experiencing increased price volatility, with leading feed companies likely to replace smaller competitors due to their advantages in procurement, scale, and capital [14] Summary by Sections Pig Farming - The average selling price of lean meat pigs is 12.82 yuan/kg, down 3% from last week [15] - Self-breeding and self-raising profitability is -24.44 yuan/head, down 41.29 yuan/head from the previous week [19] - The average weight of pigs has increased to 128.45 kg, showing a recovery trend [13] Poultry Farming - The price of white feather chickens is 6.88 yuan/kg, down 2% [31] - The price of meat chicken seedlings is 3.15 yuan each, down 3.1% [29] - The average price of chicken products remains stable at 8.65 yuan/kg [31] Agricultural Products - The commercialization of genetically modified varieties is expected to enhance growth potential for industry companies [14] Livestock Support - Leading feed companies are expected to gain market share over smaller competitors due to their advantages [14]

Core Viewpoint - The stock of Shengnong Development has experienced fluctuations, with a recent decline of 2.03% on September 18, 2023, while the company has shown a year-to-date increase of 20.15% [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - As of September 18, 2023, Shengnong Development's stock price is 16.92 yuan per share, with a total market capitalization of 21.038 billion yuan [1] - The stock has seen a net outflow of 21.7694 million yuan from major funds, with significant selling pressure observed [1] - Over the past five trading days, the stock has decreased by 5.21%, while it has increased by 18.49% over the past 60 days [1] Group 2: Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Shengnong Development reported a revenue of 8.856 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 0.22%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 910 million yuan, showing a significant increase of 791.93% [2] Group 3: Shareholder Information - As of September 10, 2023, the number of shareholders for Shengnong Development is 35,700, a decrease of 8.03% from the previous period, while the average circulating shares per person increased by 8.73% to 34,843 shares [2] - The company has distributed a total of 6.860 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 1.113 billion yuan distributed in the last three years [3] - As of June 30, 2025, the top ten circulating shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, which increased its holdings by 13.3849 million shares [3]

Core Viewpoint - The financial performance and trading activity of Shengnong Development indicate a stable yet cautious investment environment, with significant growth in net profit and a notable presence in the market [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Shengnong Development reported operating revenue of 8.856 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 0.22% [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 910 million yuan, showing a remarkable year-on-year increase of 791.93% [2]. - Cumulative cash dividends since the company's A-share listing amount to 6.860 billion yuan, with 1.113 billion yuan distributed over the past three years [2]. Group 2: Shareholder and Market Activity - As of September 10, 2025, the number of shareholders for Shengnong Development decreased to 35,700, a reduction of 8.03% from the previous period [2]. - The average circulating shares per shareholder increased by 8.73% to 34,843 shares [2]. - On September 17, 2025, the company experienced a financing buy-in of 17.9347 million yuan, with a net buy of 803,700 yuan, indicating active trading interest [1]. Group 3: Company Overview - Shengnong Development, established on December 21, 1999, and listed on October 21, 2009, is primarily engaged in the breeding and processing of meat chickens, with chicken products accounting for 52.77% of its revenue, and meat products contributing 41.70% [1]. - The company has a total financing and securities balance of 327 million yuan, with a significant portion of its financing balance exceeding the 70th percentile of the past year [1].

Group 1 - The company, Shennong Development, reported that as of September 10, 2025, the number of shareholders is 35,683 according to the China Securities Depository and Clearing Corporation's list of top N shareholders excluding credit accounts [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that the poultry industry, particularly the yellow-feathered chicken sector, has returned to profitability since August, with individual chicken profits estimated at 3-4 yuan, potentially offsetting earlier losses in the year [1] - The Pacific Securities report highlights a significant turnaround in the yellow chicken industry's integrated breeding model, which has led to substantial profits in August, contrasting with previous losses [1] - The recent increase in yellow chicken prices is attributed to low production capacity and a recovery in consumer demand, with expectations for continued price rebounds as the autumn and winter consumption peak approaches [1] Group 2 - As of August 29, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the China Securities Livestock Breeding Index account for 65.57% of the index, including major companies such as Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff Group, and Haida Group [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook on the pig farming industry, emphasizing the importance of the "anti-involution" process and the potential for value reassessment of quality pig enterprises [4][5]. Core Insights - The report highlights that the recent acceleration in pig price declines may lead to increased regulatory measures, urging investors to focus on the value reassessment of leading pig farming companies. The report suggests that the industry is nearing the end of its current production cycle, with a high probability of production capacity stabilizing and declining in the second half of 2025 [4][5]. - The report also notes that the overall performance of the agricultural sector is improving, with the Shenwan Agricultural, Forestry, Animal Husbandry, and Fishery Index rising by 4.8% compared to a 1.4% increase in the CSI 300 Index [4][5]. Summary by Sections Pig Farming - The report indicates that the average selling price of external three-yuan pigs was 13.27 yuan/kg as of September 14, 2025, reflecting a week-on-week decline of 2.5%. The average selling price of weaned piglets was 294 yuan/head, down 29 yuan/head, marking a new low for the year [4][5]. - The report emphasizes the expectation of upgraded production capacity regulation, suggesting that the industry is entering a phase of stable and high-quality development, which could enhance profitability and stability for quality pig enterprises [4][5]. Poultry Farming - For broiler chickens, the report notes a return to weak pricing across the industry, with the average selling price of white feather broiler chicks at 3.26 yuan/chick, down 1.21% week-on-week. The average selling price of white feather broiler meat was 3.45 yuan/kg, also down 1.15% [4][5]. - The report highlights the seasonal rebound in the yellow feather chicken market, with prices rebounding nearly 45% from the lowest point in late June [4][5]. Pet Food - The report provides insights into the pet food market, indicating that online sales in August 2025 reached 2.34 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8% and a month-on-month increase of 19%. Cumulatively, sales from January to August 2025 totaled 19.21 billion yuan, up 11% year-on-year [4][5]. - Specific companies such as Guai Bao Pet and Zhong Chong have shown significant growth in their online sales, with Guai Bao Pet's GMV increasing by 15% year-on-year in August [4][5].

Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Outperform the market (maintained rating) [9] Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes the importance of the pig sector, highlighting the expected decline in production capacity due to policy guidance amid strong supply and weak demand conditions [1][2][13] - The dairy and beef sectors are noted for potential recovery, with the beef super cycle possibly starting, and the report suggests focusing on companies with mother cow resources or those adopting a "milk-meat linkage" model [3][15] - The pet sector is experiencing rapid growth of domestic brands and a positive trend in pet food exports, indicating a robust pet economy [3][16] - The poultry sector is advised to focus on the white chicken breeding gap and the marginal improvement in demand for yellow chickens, with recommendations for specific companies [4][17][19] - The planting sector is encouraged to wait for a turnaround in conventional seed industries while emphasizing opportunities in biological breeding [5][21] - The feed sector highlights Hai Da Group as a key recommendation due to its market share increase and consistent performance [6][23] Summary by Sections Pig Sector - Current pig prices are under pressure, with an average price of 13.50 CNY/kg, down 2.67% from the previous week, and the industry is facing a narrowing profit margin [1][13] - The report suggests focusing on undervalued companies with strong profitability, with specific recommendations for leading firms like Muyuan Foods and Wens Foodstuffs [2][14] Beef Sector - The report indicates that the dairy cow capacity reduction is nearing its end, with potential price recovery for raw milk and beef [3][15] - Recommended companies include Youran Dairy and China Shengmu Organic Milk [3][15] Pet Sector - The domestic pet economy is thriving, with significant growth in sales and exports of pet food [3][16] - Key recommendations include Guibao Pet Food and Zhongchong Co., Ltd. [3][16] Poultry Sector - The report highlights the need to focus on the breeding gap for white chickens and the improving demand for yellow chickens [4][17][19] - Recommended companies include Shengnong Development and Lihua Stock [4][17][19] Planting Sector - The report emphasizes the importance of improving yield through advanced breeding techniques and the integration of agricultural practices [5][21] - Key recommendations include Longping High-tech and Dabeinong Technology Group [5][21][22] Feed Sector - Hai Da Group is highlighted as a key player in the feed sector, with expectations of market recovery and increased market share [6][23]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a significant increase in sales revenue for August 2025, indicating strong performance in both poultry and processed meat segments, despite a month-on-month decline in sales [2][3]. Group 1: Sales Performance - In August 2025, the company achieved sales revenue of 1.857 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 19.11%, but a month-on-month decrease of 12.76% [2]. - The poultry farming and processing segment generated sales revenue of 1.300 billion yuan, up 13.84% year-on-year, with a month-on-month decline of 12.23% [2]. - The processed meat products segment saw sales revenue of 913 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 35.51%, with a month-on-month decrease of 7.12% [2]. Group 2: Volume Performance - The sales volume for the poultry farming and processing segment reached 137,400 tons, marking a year-on-year increase of 15.18%, but a month-on-month decline of 13.16% [2]. - The processed meat products segment sold 48,000 tons, which is a 47.46% increase year-on-year, with a month-on-month decrease of 6.95% [2]. Group 3: Business Strategy and Cost Management - From January to August 2025, the company maintained steady growth in production and sales across all business segments, with an increasing proportion of processed products, indicating an optimized product structure [3]. - The company's all-channel layout strategy has shown significant results, enhancing the overall revenue structure, with high-value channel sales continuing to grow and retail maintaining rapid growth [3]. - The export business performed exceptionally well, with August's single-month revenue increasing by over 90% year-on-year [3]. - The company has implemented various measures to consolidate cost advantages, achieving a year-on-year reduction in comprehensive meat production costs from January to August 2025, further solidifying its profit foundation [3].