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——农林牧渔周观点(2025.11.17-2025.11.23):猪价低迷产能去化加快,关注宠食龙头成长确定性-20251123
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-11-23 13:06
Investment Rating - The report indicates a cautious investment outlook for the agricultural sector, particularly highlighting the need to focus on capacity reduction in the pig farming industry due to ongoing losses and low prices [1][2]. Core Insights - The agricultural index fell by 3.4% this week, with significant individual stock movements, including a notable increase in companies like Zhongshui Fishery (61.0%) and Quanyin High-Tech (27.4%) [1][2]. - The report emphasizes the ongoing losses in pig farming due to low prices, suggesting that the industry is entering a phase of accelerated capacity reduction, which may present left-side investment opportunities [1][2]. - The pet food sector showed strong sales performance during the "Double Eleven" shopping festival, indicating growth potential for leading companies in this space [1][2]. Summary by Sections Pig Farming - The report notes a decline in pig prices, with the average price for external three yuan pigs at 11.61 yuan/kg, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 0.43% but a decrease of 2.11% compared to the previous week [1]. - Losses for self-breeding sow enterprises have increased, with losses reported at 96.61 yuan per head, a week-on-week increase of 24.66 yuan [1]. - The report anticipates continued pressure on pig supply through Q4 2025 and into H1 2026, with prices likely to remain low [1]. Pet Food - October data shows a decline in China's pet food exports, with a total export value of 772 million yuan (approximately 109 million USD), down 15.8% year-on-year [1]. - Despite short-term challenges due to trade friction, the domestic pet food market is expected to continue its growth trajectory, with a focus on leading brands [1][2]. Chicken Farming - The report highlights stable prices for white feather broiler chicks and chicken meat, with the average price for chicks at 3.35 yuan each and for chicken meat at 3.50 yuan/kg [1]. - The supply of broilers is expected to remain ample, but improvements in demand due to economic recovery could lead to a rebound in industry profitability [1].
农业重点数据跟踪周报:生猪产能去化或加速,宠物内销增长亮眼-20251123
CAITONG SECURITIES· 2025-11-23 12:47
Core Insights - The report maintains a positive outlook on the agricultural sector, particularly in the pig farming and pet food industries, highlighting potential growth opportunities and ongoing challenges in supply and pricing [2][4][6]. Pig Farming - The pig farming sector is experiencing a downward trend in prices, with the average price of live pigs at 11.60 CNY/kg as of November 20, reflecting a week-on-week decrease of 2.11% [29][30]. - The number of breeding sows has decreased, with a reported month-on-month decline of 0.77% in October, indicating ongoing supply pressures [20][6]. - Profitability remains a concern, with losses reported at -135.90 CNY per head for self-bred pigs and -234.63 CNY per head for purchased piglets as of November 21 [33][38]. Poultry Farming - The poultry sector is seeing a rise in white chicken prices, with an average price of 7.15 CNY/kg as of November 21, up 0.42% week-on-week [39][36]. - The outbreak of avian influenza in overseas markets is creating uncertainty in the supply chain, which may benefit the white feather chicken industry in the long term [36][37]. Animal Health - The animal health industry is expected to rebound as demand for biological products increases, driven by a recovery in livestock profitability and inventory levels [44]. - Recent developments in vaccine research, particularly for African swine fever, are anticipated to stimulate interest in the sector [44]. Seed Industry - The prices of key agricultural commodities such as wheat and corn have shown slight increases, with wheat averaging 2505 CNY/ton and corn at 2280 CNY/ton as of November 21 [47]. - The report emphasizes the importance of enhancing food security and promoting the adoption of biotechnology in the seed industry [47]. Pet Industry - The pet food market is experiencing robust growth in domestic sales, with e-commerce sales up 19% year-on-year in October [55]. - Notable performance during the Double Eleven shopping festival indicates a strong market presence for domestic brands, with significant sales increases reported for several companies [56]. - Export figures for pet food show a decline, with October exports at 772 million CNY, down 15.9% year-on-year, but the impact of tariff disruptions is expected to be limited [54][52].
农林牧渔周观点:猪价低迷产能去化加快,关注宠食龙头成长确定性-20251123
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-11-23 12:13
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook on the agricultural, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industry, indicating that the industry is expected to outperform the overall market [2][3]. Core Insights - The report highlights the ongoing decline in pig prices leading to increased losses in breeding, with a focus on accelerated capacity reduction. The supply pressure for fat pigs remains significant, and the seasonal price increase is not materializing, which may further accelerate capacity reduction in the industry [2][3]. - The pet food sector showed strong sales performance during the "Double Eleven" shopping festival, with recommendations to focus on leading companies with growth certainty. The core brands of listed companies performed well during the promotional period, and the logic of increasing market share continues to be validated [2][3]. - The report emphasizes the cyclical nature of the pig breeding industry, suggesting that the downward cycle is nearing its end, with a potential upward turning point expected in 2026. The report also notes that the pet economy remains a core growth area, with expectations for continued market share growth among leading companies [2][3]. Summary by Sections Agricultural Stock Market Performance - The Shenwan Agricultural, Forestry, Animal Husbandry, and Fishery Index fell by 3.4%, while the CSI 300 Index decreased by 3.8%. The top five gainers included Zhongshui Fishery (61.0%), Quanyin High-Tech (27.4%), and Guolian Aquatic Products (22.5%) [3][10]. Pig Breeding - The report indicates a decline in breeding enthusiasm due to rising costs and high utilization rates of existing facilities. The average selling price of pigs was reported at 11.61 yuan/kg, with a week-on-week increase of 0.43% but a decrease of 2.11% compared to the previous week. Losses for self-breeding sow enterprises reached 96.61 yuan per head, a week-on-week increase of 24.66 yuan [2][3][11]. Pet Food - October data showed a decline in both the export value and volume of pet food from China, with a total export value of 772 million yuan (approximately 109 million USD), reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 15.8%. Despite this, the domestic pet food market is viewed as a high-certainty growth area, with strong sales during the "Double Eleven" event [2][3]. Chicken Breeding - The report notes that the prices of white feather broiler chicks and chicken meat have remained stable, with the average selling price of broiler chicks at 3.35 yuan per chick. The supply of white feather chickens is expected to remain ample in 2025, with potential demand recovery in 2026 [2][3].
农林牧渔行业周报(20251110-20251114):猪价持续弱势,去化逻辑或逐步加强-20251120
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2025-11-20 09:02
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The report indicates that the pig price remains weak, and the logic of destocking may gradually strengthen. The price of pigs is currently at 11.85 yuan/kg, with the industry facing losses [3][18] - The agricultural policy is undergoing a profound transformation, focusing on protecting farmers' rights and activating enterprise innovation. The report anticipates that under the influence of capacity control policies, pig prices may stop falling and rebound earlier than expected [4][19] - The report highlights the importance of high-quality development in the industry, with a clear direction for capacity control policies. Companies that lead in cost and connect with farmers are expected to enjoy excess profits and valuation premiums [4][19] Summary by Sections 1. Swine Industry - The swine sector is experiencing fluctuations, with DeKang Agriculture leading the gains at +9% week-on-week. The number of breeding sows has decreased significantly, and futures prices are rising, but the stock market has not reacted [3][18] - The report emphasizes the need for solution-oriented enterprises as the industry policy shifts towards protecting farmers' rights and promoting innovation [4][19] 2. Poultry Industry - The poultry sector continues to face a "high capacity, weak consumption" contradiction, with the price of broiler chickens at 3.50 yuan/kg and chick prices at 3.60 yuan each. The report suggests that integrated enterprises may increase their market share due to losses forcing breeding farms to reduce capacity [5][19] 3. Feed Industry - The report recommends Haida Group due to the recovery of the domestic industry, improved management effects, and increased capacity utilization. The company is expected to achieve growth beyond expectations [6][20] 4. Pet Industry - The pet industry shows a strong concentration of leading brands, with the top five brands remaining stable. The report notes that the competition among leading brands is intensifying, leading to potential pressure on profit margins, but sales growth remains high [9][21] - The report predicts that the market concentration will increase, with the CR5 expected to reach nearly 40% in the next five years [11][23] 5. Agricultural Products - The USDA's November supply and demand report did not exceed expectations, leading to a significant drop in soybean prices. The report indicates that domestic soybean inventories are high, and the supply remains sufficient [13][25] 6. Market and Price Situation - The report notes that the agricultural index increased by 2.70% week-on-week, with agricultural product processing performing the best at +6.40% [26]
圣农发展跌2.00%,成交额7859.88万元,主力资金净流出419.43万元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-20 03:34
Core Viewpoint - The stock of Shennong Development has experienced fluctuations, with a recent decline of 2.00% and a year-to-date increase of 14.76%, indicating volatility in its market performance [1][2]. Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Shennong Development reported a revenue of 14.706 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 6.86%. The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 1.159 billion yuan, showing a significant increase of 202.82% [2]. - Cumulatively, since its A-share listing, Shennong Development has distributed a total of 6.860 billion yuan in dividends, with 1.113 billion yuan distributed over the past three years [3]. Shareholder Information - As of October 31, 2025, the number of shareholders for Shennong Development increased to 35,900, reflecting an 8.35% rise. The average number of circulating shares per shareholder decreased by 7.71% to 34,099 shares [2]. - The top ten circulating shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, which holds 46.7367 million shares, an increase of 12.9572 million shares from the previous period. Other notable shareholders include Guotai CSI Livestock Breeding ETF and Southern CSI 500 ETF, with varying changes in their holdings [3]. Market Activity - The stock has seen a trading volume of 78.5988 million yuan with a turnover rate of 0.39%. The total market capitalization stands at 20.089 billion yuan [1]. - Shennong Development has appeared on the "Dragon and Tiger List" once this year, with the last occurrence on April 8 [1]. Business Overview - Shennong Development, established on December 21, 1999, and listed on October 21, 2009, is primarily engaged in the breeding and processing of meat chickens. The revenue composition includes 52.77% from chicken, 41.70% from meat products, and 5.53% from other sources [1]. - The company operates within the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery sector, specifically in the poultry farming industry, and is associated with concepts such as rural revitalization and pre-prepared dishes [1].
福建圣农发展股份有限公司2025年第三次临时股东会决议公告
Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-11-19 18:25
Core Points - The company held its third extraordinary general meeting of shareholders in 2025, which was conducted both in-person and via online voting [2][3] - The meeting had a total of 256 shareholders present, representing 666,390,583 shares, which is 53.6067% of the total shares [3] - The meeting approved the profit distribution plan for the first three quarters of 2025 through a combination of in-person and online voting [5] Meeting Details - The meeting took place on November 19, 2025, at 14:30 in the company's office building in Fujian Province [2] - The in-person attendance included 9 shareholders representing 601,804,176 shares, accounting for 48.4111% of the total shares [3] - Online voting was conducted with 247 shareholders participating, representing 64,586,407 shares, or 5.1955% of the total shares [3] Legal Compliance - The meeting was witnessed by lawyers from Fujian Zhili Law Firm, who provided a legal opinion confirming the legality of the meeting's procedures and results [4][5] - The meeting's procedures complied with relevant laws and regulations, including the Company Law and the rules of the Shenzhen Stock Exchange [5] Documentation - The resolutions from the meeting and the legal opinion from the law firm are available for review [6]
圣农发展(002299) - 2025年第三次临时股东会决议公告
2025-11-19 09:30
证券代码:002299 证券简称:圣农发展 公告编号:2025-068 福建圣农发展股份有限公司 2025 年第三次临时股东会决议公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整,没有虚假记载、误 导性陈述或者重大遗漏。 一、特别提示 (一)本次会议上无否决或修改议案的情况。 (二)本次会议上无涉及变更以往股东会已通过的决议。 二、会议召开和出席的情况 福建圣农发展股份有限公司(以下简称"公司")2025 年第三次临时股东会 (以下简称"本次会议")采用现场会议与网络投票相结合的方式召开。本次会 议的现场会议于 2025 年 11 月 19 日下午 14:30 在福建省光泽县十里铺公司办公 大楼四层会议室召开;本次会议的网络投票时间为:(1)通过深圳证券交易所交 易系统进行网络投票的时间为 2025 年 11 月 19 日上午 9:15-9:25、9:30-11:30 和下午 13:00-15:00;(2)通过深圳证券交易所互联网投票系统进行网络投票的 时间为 2025 年 11 月 19 日上午 9:15 至下午 15:00 的任意时间。 本次会议由公司董事会召集,现场会议由公司董事长傅光明先 ...
圣农发展(002299) - 关于福建圣农发展股份有限公司2025年第三次临时股东会的法律意见书
2025-11-19 09:30
关于福建圣农发展股份有限公司 2025 年第三次临时股东会的法律意见书 闽理非诉字〔2025〕第 250 号 致:福建圣农发展股份有限公司 2025 年第三次临时股东会的 法 律 意 见 书 福建至理律师事务所 地址:中国福州市鼓楼区洪山园路华润万象城三期 TB#写字楼 22 层 电话:(86 591)8806 5558 网址:http://www.zenithlawyer.com 1 福建至理律师事务所 关于福建圣农发展股份有限公司 福建至理律师事务所(以下简称本所)接受福建圣农发展股份有限公司(以 下简称公司)之委托,指派陈禄生、林静律师(以下简称本所律师)出席公司 2025 年第三次临时股东会(以下简称本次会议或本次股东会),并依据《中华人 民共和国公司法》(以下简称《公司法》)、《中华人民共和国证券法》(以下简称 《证券法》)、《上市公司股东会规则》(中国证券监督管理委员会公告〔2025〕7 号)、《深圳证券交易所上市公司股东会网络投票实施细则(2025 年修订)》(深证 上〔2025〕223 号,以下简称《网络投票实施细则》)等中国现行有效的有关法 律、法规、规章、规范性文件以及《福建圣农发展股份有 ...
圣农发展:截至2025年10月31日收盘,股东户数为35949户
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Wang· 2025-11-18 09:43
Core Points - The company, Shengnong Development, reported that as of October 31, 2025, the number of shareholders is 35,949 according to the China Securities Depository and Clearing Corporation [1] Summary by Category - **Company Information** - Shengnong Development has a total of 35,949 shareholders as of the specified date [1]
2026年农林牧渔行业投资策略:布局周期,掘金成长
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-11-18 06:00
Core Insights - The report emphasizes the cyclical nature of the pig farming industry, indicating that the downward cycle is nearing its end, with a potential upward turning point expected in 2026 [3][19] - The pet economy remains a key growth area, highlighting investment opportunities in niche sectors [4] Group 1: Industry Overview - The agricultural sector, particularly the pig farming segment, is experiencing a downturn, with 2025 expected to see continued losses, leading to a price bottom in the first half of 2026 [5][19] - The chicken farming sector is also under pressure, with expectations of supply-side stabilization and demand recovery in 2026 [20] - The cattle farming sector is projected to face a supply contraction starting in 2026, which may last until 2027 [21] Group 2: Investment Opportunities - The pet food industry is anticipated to maintain its growth trajectory, with leading companies increasing their market share despite challenges in export performance [5][4] - The blueberry market in Yunnan is expected to see profit realization from 2024 to 2025, with growth potential continuing into 2026-2027 [5] - The artificial cultivation of Cordyceps is gaining traction as natural production declines, with early movers in this space likely to see performance improvements [5] Group 3: Key Companies to Watch - The report identifies several key companies for investment consideration, including Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff Group, DeKang Agriculture, TianKang Biological, and others in the pet food sector [5]