Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight," indicating that the industry is expected to outperform the overall market [2][42]. Core Insights - The agricultural sector is experiencing intensified losses, with a significant acceleration in capacity reduction. The report recommends a left-side investment strategy focusing on the pig farming sector [2][36]. - Pig prices are at a bottom and continue to fluctuate, with losses widening. The average loss for self-breeding sows is reported to exceed 120 CNY per head [2][36]. - The pet food sector shows continued industry vitality, with online sales growth of 17% year-on-year for October and November [2][36]. Summary by Sections Agricultural Stock Market Performance - The Shenwan Agricultural, Forestry, Animal Husbandry, and Fishery Index fell by 0.1%, mirroring the decline in the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index [2]. - Top gainers included *ST Zhengbang (19.4%), BioShares (17.2%), and Pingtan Development (13.8%) [2][8]. Pig Farming - The report highlights that pig prices are in a bottoming phase, with losses continuing to expand. The average loss for self-breeding sows is approximately 128.3 CNY per head for those with fewer than 50 sows and 146.5 CNY for those with 5,000 to 10,000 sows [2][36]. - The report suggests that the ongoing losses and the seasonal decline in pig prices may catalyze a faster capacity reduction in the industry [2][36]. Pet Food Sector - The pet food industry has shown resilience, with a combined sales figure of 7.02 billion CNY for October and November, reflecting a 17% year-on-year increase [2][36]. - Notable brands such as GuaiBao Pet and ZhongChong Co. reported significant growth in sales, with GuaiBao Pet achieving a 40% increase [2][36]. Chicken Farming - The report notes a slight rebound in prices for broiler chickens, with the average selling price for white feather broiler chicks at 3.33 CNY per chick, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 1.22% [2][36]. - The report emphasizes that the supply of white chickens remains abundant, which is expected to be a key theme for 2025-2026 [2][36]. Beef Market - The prices for beef and calves have shown a slight increase, with the average price for fattened bulls at 25.56 CNY per kg, up 0.08% week-on-week [2][36].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" indicating a positive outlook for the agricultural sector compared to the overall market performance [2][3]. Core Insights - The agricultural sector is experiencing intensified losses, with a gradual acceleration in capacity reduction. The report recommends focusing on left-side investment opportunities in the pig farming sector as pig prices remain at a low and fluctuating level [2][3]. - The report highlights that the online sales of pet food have shown a year-on-year increase of 17% for October and November, suggesting a resilient market despite previous adjustments [2][3]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The Shenwan Agricultural Index decreased by 0.1%, mirroring the decline in the CSI 300 index. The top five gainers included *ST Zhengbang (19.4%), Shengtai Bio (17.2%), and Pingtan Development (13.8%), while the top five losers included Xiwang Food (-15.4%) and Haili Bio (-13.0%) [2][3]. Pig Farming - The average selling price of three-way cross pigs was reported at 11.54 CNY/kg, with a week-on-week increase of 2.9%. Losses are expected to continue, with self-breeding operations reporting losses exceeding 120 CNY per head for various scales [2][3]. - The report indicates that the industry is entering a phase of accelerated capacity reduction, driven by increasing losses and seasonal factors affecting confidence in the market [2][3]. Pet Food Sector - The pet food industry has shown resilience, with a combined sales figure of 7.02 billion CNY for October and November, reflecting a 17% year-on-year growth. Notable brands like Guai Bao Pet and Zhongchong Co. reported significant increases in their sales [2][3]. Chicken Farming - The price of white feather broiler chicks has seen a slight rebound, with the average selling price at 3.33 CNY/chick, indicating stable pricing since September. The report suggests that the supply remains ample, which will be a key theme for 2025-2026 [2][3]. Beef Market - The prices for beef and calves have shown slight increases, with the average price for fattened bulls at 25.56 CNY/kg, while wholesale beef prices decreased slightly to 66.17 CNY/kg [2][3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on leading agricultural companies, suggesting investment opportunities in the sector [5]. Core Insights - The agricultural sector has shown resilience, with the industry index outperforming the broader market by 0.4 percentage points during the week of December 8-12, 2025 [13]. - The report highlights significant growth in the pet food segment, with online sales increasing by 27.9% year-on-year during October and November 2025, driven by new consumer brands [34][36]. - The livestock industry is facing challenges, with a 5.5% decrease in the number of pigs marketed in November compared to the previous month, raising concerns about animal disease outbreaks [30]. Summary by Sections Industry Dynamics - The agricultural sector index increased by 0.3%, outperforming the market [13]. - Key stocks such as Zhengbang Technology, Biological Shares, and Luoniushan saw significant gains of 19%, 17%, and 14% respectively [18]. Livestock Industry - In November, the number of pigs marketed decreased by 5.5% month-on-month, with a year-on-year increase of 16.7% [30]. - Prices for live pigs increased by 2.1% week-on-week, while the average weight of marketed pigs decreased by 0.2% [30]. - The utilization rate of fattening barns in 17 provinces dropped by 6.5 percentage points [30]. Poultry Industry - Prices for chicken chicks and broilers increased by 1.4% and 0.8% respectively, amid ongoing global avian influenza outbreaks [37][38]. - The price of chicken products rose by 0.6%, driven by supply constraints and increased export orders [37]. Pet Food Industry - Online sales of pet food reached 8.45 billion yuan, with significant growth from brands like Maifudi and Fresh Lang, which saw increases of 36% and 112.6% respectively [34]. - Chewy reported a 30.9% increase in EBITDA, with active customer numbers growing by 4.9% [35]. Feed Industry - Feed raw material prices showed mixed trends, with soybean meal prices increasing by 1.5% while corn prices slightly decreased [41]. - The price of South American white shrimp increased by 4.3% week-on-week [41]. Animal Health - The veterinary drug price index decreased by 0.2%, with a year-on-year increase of 2.4% [43]. - Merck's imported pet antibiotics were launched on JD Health, marking a significant development in the pet healthcare sector [43].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the agricultural products sector [4] Core Insights - The agricultural sector is expected to stabilize with grain prices bottoming out, particularly in the meat and dairy cycles [3] - The report highlights a potential upward trend in beef prices and a supportive environment for long-term pig prices due to industry adjustments [2][3] - The report emphasizes the importance of leading companies in the livestock sector, which are expected to benefit from improved cash flows and cost advantages amid industry contraction [3] Summary by Sections 1. Weekly Overview and Data Summary - The report provides a weekly summary of agricultural product fundamentals, indicating a rise in pig prices to 11.34 CNY/kg, a 2.07% increase week-on-week [13] - The average price of broiler chickens increased to 7.24 CNY/kg, reflecting a 2.26% week-on-week rise [14] 2. Fundamental Tracking 2.1 Swine - The report notes that the swine industry is undergoing a restructuring, which is expected to support long-term profitability [13] - The average price of piglets is reported at 219.52 CNY/head, up 1.21% week-on-week [13] 2.2 Poultry - The supply of broiler chickens has slightly increased, with a focus on seasonal consumption recovery [14] - The price of chicken eggs in major production areas is reported at 3.09 CNY/jin, a 3.00% increase week-on-week [14] 2.3 Beef - A new round of beef price increases is anticipated, with the price of fattened bulls at 25.40 CNY/kg, reflecting a 0.79% increase week-on-week [2][14] - The average market price for beef is reported at 61.06 CNY/kg, stable week-on-week but up 21.51% year-on-year [2][14] 2.4 Dairy - The report suggests that the reduction of dairy cows in the fourth quarter may accelerate, potentially leading to a price turning point for raw milk [2] 2.5 Feed - The report indicates that the industrialization of livestock farming is deepening, with leading feed companies expected to enhance their competitive advantages [3] 2.6 Other Commodities - The report discusses the supply-demand balance for corn, indicating a moderate price increase potential, with the current price at 2313 CNY/ton, a 0.13% increase week-on-week [2][14] - The report also notes that rubber prices are expected to stabilize in the short term, with a current price of 1825 USD/ton [2] 3. Company Profit Forecasts and Investment Ratings - Key companies such as YouRan Agriculture and Modern Agriculture are rated as "Outperform" with respective prices of 4.30 CNY and 1.38 CNY [4] - Mu Yuan Co. is highlighted with a projected EPS of 3.57 CNY for 2025, maintaining an "Outperform" rating [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the agricultural sector, particularly focusing on livestock and feed companies [7]. Core Insights - The USDA's December supply and demand report indicates a tightening supply-demand balance for corn, with prices expected to maintain a moderate upward trend [15][18]. - For soybeans, the report suggests a recovery in U.S. imports, which is likely to support price recovery [33][35]. - The beef market is projected to see a price increase in 2026, driven by reduced production and strong domestic demand [3][6]. - The dairy sector is expected to experience a price reversal due to a combination of reduced supply and increased demand for both meat and milk [4][6]. - The pork market is anticipated to face a decline in prices in the latter half of 2026, despite a positive outlook for the first half [6][7]. Summary by Sections Corn - The USDA report predicts a reduction in global corn production by 3.27 million tons, leading to a decrease in global ending stocks and a tightening supply-demand ratio [15][16]. - Domestic corn prices are currently at a historical low, with expectations for a gradual recovery supported by low trader inventories [18][19]. Soybeans - The global soybean ending stocks are expected to increase slightly, with a projected rise in U.S. imports and a positive outlook for domestic soybean meal prices [33][35]. - The report highlights the importance of monitoring U.S.-China trade relations and South American weather conditions for future price movements [38]. Wheat - The global wheat supply remains ample, with an increase in production forecasts from major exporting countries, leading to a slight rise in the global ending stocks ratio [2][45]. - Domestic wheat prices are expected to stabilize, influenced by the overall supply situation and potential government storage interventions [48][52]. Beef - The USDA forecasts a decrease in U.S. beef production, with prices expected to rise due to strong domestic demand and reduced imports [3][6]. - The report anticipates a turning point in the domestic beef cycle by 2025, with prices likely to trend upwards [3][6]. Dairy - The report indicates a potential reversal in the dairy market, driven by reduced cow inventories and a tightening supply-demand balance [4][6]. - Domestic raw milk prices are expected to rise as a result of these factors [4][6]. Pork - The U.S. pork market is projected to see a decline in prices in the latter half of 2026, despite a positive outlook for the first half of the year [6][7]. - Domestic breeding sow inventories are stabilizing, which may help support industry profitability [6][7]. Poultry - The U.S. poultry market is expected to recover, with increased production and consumption anticipated as avian influenza impacts diminish [6][7]. - Domestic chicken supply is projected to stabilize, with a focus on internal demand recovery [6][7].

农林牧渔行业 超配（维持） 农林牧渔行业双周报（2025/11/28-2025/12/11） 行 业 生猪价格有所回升 2025 年 12 月 12 日 投资要点： 风险提示：疫病大规模爆发，价格下行，自然灾害，市场竞争加剧等。 证 | | | 本报告的风险等级为中高风险。 本报告的信息均来自已公开信息，关于信息的准确性与完整性，建议投资者谨慎判断，据此入市，风险自担。 请务必阅读末页声明。 分析师：魏红梅 SAC 执业证书编号： S0340513040002 电话：0769-22119462 邮箱：whm2@dgzq.com.cn SW农林牧渔行业跑输沪深300指数。2025年11月28日—2025年12月11日， SW农林牧渔行业下跌0.92%，跑输同期沪深300指数约1.73个百分点；细分 板块中，仅动物保健和种植业录得正收益，分别上涨1.96%和1.18%；农产 品加工、饲料、养殖业和渔业均录得负收益，分别下跌1.01%、1.5%、3.03% 和3.76%。估值方面，截至2025年12月11日，SW农林牧渔行业指数整体PB （整体法，最新报告期，剔除负值）约2.75倍，近两周估值有所回落。目 前行业估 ...

Group 1 - The China Livestock Breeding Index (930707) increased by 0.44% as of December 12, 2025, with notable gains in constituent stocks such as Luo Niu Shan (000735) up 6.21%, and BioShares (600201) up 2.99% [1] - The Central Reserve Frozen Pork Rotation Storage Auction will take place on December 18, 2025, with 3,100 tons available for bidding, as announced by the China Storage Network [1] - Recent analysis indicates that traditional peak season for pork consumption is leading to a steady recovery in demand, driven by colder weather and increased demand for cured meats in southern regions, although supply remains high due to previous production capacity [1] Group 2 - As of November 28, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the China Livestock Breeding Index account for 65.6% of the index, including Muyuan Foods (002714) and Wens Foodstuff Group (300498) [2] - The index reflects the overall performance of listed companies involved in livestock feed, veterinary drugs, and livestock farming [1]

销量方面，11月份家禽饲养加工板块鸡肉销售数量为13.73万吨，较去年同期增长10.35%，较上月环比 增长3.88%；深加工肉制品板块产品销售数量为5.24万吨，较去年同期增长50.58%，较上月环比增长 6.34%。 二、说明 11月份以来，面对因季节性因素带来的保温费用等成本上升，公司通过精细化运营与动态成本管控，有 效实现了整体成本的良好控制。在此背景下，公司11月的单吨盈利水平依然保持稳定，2025年1-11月综 合造肉成本同比实现下降，整体盈利基础得到进一步夯实。 证券代码：002299 证券简称：圣农发展 公告编号：2025-076 本公司及董事会全体成员保证公告内容真实、准确和完整，不存在虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗 漏。 一、2025年11月份销售情况 福建圣农发展股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）2025年11月实现销售收入18.10亿元，较去年同期增长 15.77%，较上月环比增长2.89%。其中，家禽饲养加工板块鸡肉销售收入为12.69亿元，较去年同期增长 4.64%，较上月环比增长1.36%；深加工肉制品板块销售收入为9.77亿元，较去年同期增长49.26%，较上 月环比增长5.66 ...

Group 1 - Guizhou Moutai announced a mid-term profit distribution plan for 2025, with a total cash dividend of 300.01 billion yuan, distributing 23.957 yuan per share [1] - CATL plans to register and issue bonds not exceeding 10 billion yuan, with a maturity of up to 5 years, primarily for project construction and working capital [2] - Yonghui Supermarket disclosed a risk warning regarding its stock, indicating potential overheating market sentiment and high speculation risks due to significant price increases [3] Group 2 - Yuntianhua intends to acquire 100% equity of Tianyao Chemical for 36.8858 million yuan, enhancing its fine phosphorus chemical product synergy and market competitiveness [4] - Muxi Co. reported that online investors abandoned the subscription of 20,349 shares, with a total value of approximately 212.97 million yuan [5] - Ningbo Huaxiang plans to acquire 40% equity of Fengmei Power, promoting its transformation in the new energy battery and intelligent chassis sectors [6] Group 3 - Wuhan Tianyuan's subsidiary plans to invest approximately 600 million yuan in two energy storage projects [7] - Wanshun New Materials' subsidiary intends to acquire 100% equity of Eurofoil Luxembourg for 12.3889 million euros, enhancing its market presence in the aluminum foil and sheet industry [9] - Medike plans to introduce strategic investors for its subsidiary, raising 200 million yuan for business expansion [10] Group 4 - Century Huatong's subsidiary holds 7.3121% of Guosheng Capital, which owns 1,958,887 shares of Moer Thread, potentially impacting the company's net profit significantly [11] - Dingyang Technology launched the SPB3000X series of simulators, aiming for large-scale sales while facing market promotion challenges [12] - Baiyun Airport reported a passenger throughput of 7.3228 million in November, a year-on-year increase of 12.58% [13] Group 5 - ST Yigou's subsidiary sold eight subsidiaries, expecting to increase net profit by approximately 992 million yuan [14] - Shennong Development reported a sales revenue of 1.81 billion yuan in November, a year-on-year increase of 15.77% [15][16] - Minhe's sales revenue from broiler chicks increased by 7.75% month-on-month, despite a year-on-year decline [17] Group 6 - Xiaoming's sales revenue from chicken products decreased by 49.73% year-on-year, influenced by market supply and demand dynamics [18] - Hefei China reported a consolidated revenue of 628 million yuan from January to November, a year-on-year decline of 26.02% [19] - Xiantan's chicken product sales revenue increased by 11.63% year-on-year, supported by ongoing project developments [20] Group 7 - Tian Nai Technology's major shareholders plan to reduce their holdings by up to 2.5% [21] - Xingyu Co. intends to repurchase shares worth 200 to 300 million yuan for employee stock ownership plans [22] - Baiao Chemical adjusted its share repurchase price ceiling to not exceed 48.95 yuan per share [23] Group 8 - Jicheng Electronics won contracts totaling approximately 215 million yuan from the State Grid [25] - Ruikemi received a development notice from a well-known flying car company for core component supply [26]

Group 1 - Jicheng Electronics won a total of 15 bids from the State Grid Corporation, with a total bid amount of approximately 215 million yuan, accounting for 8.27% of the company's projected revenue for 2024 [2] - Jianmin Group's chemical generic drug, Ambrutoro Oral Solution, has been approved for market launch by the National Medical Products Administration, aimed at treating cough and wheezing caused by chronic bronchitis and emphysema [3] - Taiji Industry's subsidiary plans to transfer accounts receivable not exceeding 85 million USD to optimize cash flow, with an expected service fee of approximately 285,000 USD [4] Group 2 - Nanjing Pharmaceutical's subsidiary plans to invest 398 million yuan in a modern pharmaceutical logistics expansion project, with a construction period of approximately 35 months [5] - Ruili Kemi received a development notification from a well-known domestic flying car company to supply core components [6] - Ding Tong Technology announced that several executives plan to reduce their holdings by a total of no more than 45,300 shares, representing about 0.032% of the total share capital [7][8] Group 3 - Ninghu Expressway's subsidiary plans to invest no more than 9.033 billion yuan in the construction of the Nanyang Yangtze River Bridge South Connection Project [10] - Wuliangye announced a mid-term profit distribution plan for 2025, proposing a cash dividend of 25.78 yuan per 10 shares, totaling approximately 10 billion yuan [12] - Beixin Road and Bridge's subsidiary won a bid for a project worth 180 million yuan [14] Group 4 - Minhe Livestock reported a 7.75% month-on-month increase in sales revenue from commodity chick sales in November [15] - Xuelong Group plans to invest 100 million yuan to establish a wholly-owned subsidiary for vertical integration in the aluminum and magnesium technology sector [16] - Shengnong Development reported a 15.77% year-on-year increase in sales revenue in November, with significant growth in both poultry and processed meat products [17] Group 5 - Xingyu Co., Ltd. plans to repurchase shares worth 200 million to 300 million yuan for employee stock ownership plans [18] - Quan Chai Power intends to use 50 million yuan of idle funds to purchase structured deposit products [19] - Shibei High-tech appointed Zhao Junhong as the new deputy general manager [20] Group 6 - Fuan Pharmaceutical's subsidiary received a drug registration certificate for injectable isavuconazole, expanding its anti-infection product line [21] - Xiaoming Co. reported a 49.73% year-on-year decline in chicken product sales revenue in November [22] - Baiao Chemical adjusted its share repurchase price ceiling to no more than 48.95 yuan per share [23] Group 7 - Hefei China reported a 26.02% year-on-year decline in consolidated revenue for the first 11 months [24] - Laimei Pharmaceutical's subsidiary received medical device registration certificates for two endoscope products [25][26] - Xiantan Co. reported an 11.63% year-on-year increase in chicken product sales revenue in November [27] Group 8 - Qilin Security received government subsidies totaling 5.4014 million yuan [28] - Blue Sky Gas's controlling shareholder's 30.9134 million shares were judicially frozen, accounting for 4.33% of the total share capital [29] - Tieke Railway signed a contract for high-speed railway fasteners worth 654 million yuan, accounting for 41.08% of the company's projected revenue for 2024 [30] Group 9 - David Medical's electric surgical table received a medical device registration certificate [31] - Zhendong Pharmaceutical's affiliate's core product new drug application was accepted by the CDE [32] - Shanghai Pharmaceutical's apple acid sitagliptin tablet application for market approval was granted by the National Medical Products Administration [33] Group 10 - Nanjiao Food reported a 1.14% year-on-year increase in consolidated revenue for November [34]