Core Insights - The report maintains a positive outlook on the pig farming industry, recommending continued investment in pig farming despite recent price declines due to supply pressures [1][7][21] - The report highlights a significant drop in pig prices, with the average price for market pigs at 12.67 yuan/kg, down 3.65% week-on-week [7][32][33] - The report indicates ongoing losses in pig farming, with self-breeding and purchased pig farming yielding losses of 74.11 yuan/head and 236.57 yuan/head respectively [7][37] Industry Overview - The agricultural sector index has decreased by 1.97% week-on-week, while the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index increased by 1.07% [11] - Since January 2, 2025, the agricultural sector has seen a total increase of 16.95%, compared to a 15.63% increase in the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index [12][11] - The report notes that the pig farming sector is currently in a downward cycle, with supply pressures gradually being released [21] Pig Farming Data Tracking - The number of breeding sows has slightly decreased by 0.80% month-on-month in August, indicating a potential reduction in future supply [22][7] - The average weight of market pigs at the time of sale is reported at 128.55 kg [22][8] - The report emphasizes that the current breeding and purchasing sentiment is declining due to stricter environmental regulations and market conditions [17][21] Poultry Farming Data Tracking - The average price for white feathered chickens is reported at 6.90 yuan/kg, with a slight increase of 0.29% week-on-week [38][41] - The report notes that the poultry industry is facing uncertainties due to ongoing outbreaks of avian influenza in overseas markets [38][39] Animal Health Data Tracking - The demand for animal health products is expected to rebound, with significant growth in vaccine approvals and product launches [46] - The report highlights that the industry is seeing a recovery in sales, with some vaccines showing substantial year-on-year growth [46] Seed Industry Data Tracking - The average prices for wheat, soybean meal, and corn have shown slight increases, indicating a potential upward trend in agricultural input costs [50] - The report emphasizes the importance of food security and the need for advancements in agricultural biotechnology [50] Pet Industry Data Tracking - Pet food exports have decreased by 15.5% year-on-year, with a total export value of 834 million yuan in August 2025 [55][56] - Domestic sales of pet food continue to grow, with significant increases reported on e-commerce platforms [57] - The report suggests that companies with strong domestic sales and innovative product offerings are likely to gain market share [59]

农林牧渔 zhangmz@ccnew.com 13681931564 畜禽价格分化，猪价旺季不旺 ——农林牧渔行业月报 证券研究报告-行业月报 强于大市(维持) 盈利预测和投资评级 | 公司简称 | 24EPS 25EPS | | 25PE | 评级 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 牧原股份 | 3.30 | 4.37 | 11.48 | 增持 | | 普莱柯 | 0.27 | 0.52 | 28.70 | 增持 | | 乖宝宠物 | 1.56 | 2.03 | 48.59 | 增持 | | 中宠股份 | 1.34 | 1.48 | 36.11 | 增持 | | 佩蒂股份 | 0.75 | 0.91 | 15.46 | 增持 | | 秋乐种业 | 0.31 | 0.33 | 58.86 | 增持 | 农林牧渔相对沪深 300 指数表现 0% 6% 13% 19% 26% 32% 39% 45% 2024.09 2025.01 2025.05 2025.09 农林牧渔 沪深300 相关报告 《农林牧渔行业点评报告：种业产业链分析 之河南概况》 2025-09-09 《农林 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the advancements in synthetic biology and biomanufacturing, particularly focusing on the recognition of key projects and experts in the field by the Ministry of Science and Technology of the People's Republic of China for the 2025 National Science and Technology Awards [2][5]. Group 1: National Science and Technology Awards - A total of 60 projects for the National Natural Science Award, 51 for the National Technology Invention Award, and 134 for the National Science and Technology Progress Award passed the preliminary evaluation [2]. - Notable projects include research on catalysts, reactors, and processes for carbon dioxide conversion, and advanced manufacturing technologies for green chiral pesticides [2][5]. - Key contributors to these projects include professors and researchers from prestigious institutions such as the University of Science and Technology of China and Zhejiang University [2][5]. Group 2: Key Projects and Contributors - The project on catalysts and processes for carbon dioxide conversion is led by notable figures such as Professor Zeng Jie and Academician Yang Jinlong, with a preliminary evaluation suggestion of a second prize [3]. - The project on advanced manufacturing technologies for green chiral pesticides involves contributors like Academician Zheng Yuguo and Professor Xue Yaping, also suggested for a second prize [5]. - The involvement of multiple companies and institutions indicates a collaborative effort in advancing biomanufacturing technologies [2][5].

Core Insights - The report indicates a shift from profit to loss in self-breeding pig farming, driven by ongoing capacity regulation policies [1][7][33] - The overall investment rating for the agricultural sector remains optimistic [1] Group 1: Swine Farming Data Tracking - The number of breeding sows decreased by 0.80% in August compared to July, indicating a slight contraction in supply [19] - The price of market pigs has declined, with the average selling price on September 18 being 13.15 CNY/kg, a week-on-week decrease of 2.74% [28][29] - Profitability in self-breeding and purchased pig farming has turned negative, with losses of 24.44 CNY/head and 199.31 CNY/head respectively as of September 19 [33][36] Group 2: Poultry Farming Data Tracking - The average price of white feather broilers on September 19 was 6.88 CNY/kg, reflecting a week-on-week decrease of 1.99% [34][37] - The profit from white feather broiler farming was negative at -1.56 CNY/bird [34][37] Group 3: Animal Health Data Tracking - The demand for animal health products is expected to rebound, with significant growth in vaccine approvals and product launches [43] - The industry is seeing a recovery in sales, with notable increases in the issuance of various vaccines [43] Group 4: Seed Industry Data Tracking - The average prices for wheat, soybean meal, and corn as of September 19 were 2430 CNY/ton, 3032 CNY/ton, and 2360 CNY/ton respectively, with corn prices showing a year-to-date increase of 11.2% [47][49] Group 5: Pet Industry Data Tracking - Pet food exports in July amounted to 930 million CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 3.0% [52][53] - Domestic sales of pet food continue to grow, with e-commerce platforms showing an overall growth rate of 8% in August [55][57]

Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Outperform the market (maintained rating) [12] Core Views - The report emphasizes the deteriorating profitability in the pig farming sector, highlighting the need to focus on the pig segment due to its undervaluation and expectation differences [1][2] - The dairy and beef sectors are noted for potential recovery, with the beef super cycle possibly starting, suggesting investment opportunities in these areas [3][18] - The pet industry is experiencing rapid growth, with domestic brands rising and pet food exports showing positive trends, indicating a robust market for investment [4][19] - The poultry sector is advised to focus on breeding gaps and improving consumption demand, particularly for yellow chickens, which may see price improvements [5][20][23] - The planting sector is encouraged to pivot towards biological breeding opportunities amidst a tight grain supply-demand balance [8][25] - The feed sector is highlighted for its market share growth and consistent performance, particularly recommending Haida Group [9][27] Summary by Sections Pig Farming Sector - Current average pig price is 12.94 CNY/kg, down 4.15% from last week, with self-breeding profits narrowing to 7.7 CNY/head [1][16] - The average weight of pigs at market is at a historical high, indicating continued pressure on prices [1][16] - The report suggests focusing on leading companies like Muyuan Foods and Wens Foodstuff, which are currently undervalued [2][17] Beef Sector - Live cattle prices are at 27.16 CNY/kg, showing a 10.9% year-on-year increase, while fresh milk prices are stable [3][18] - The report anticipates a recovery in raw milk prices and potential price increases in beef due to reduced supply and improved demand [3][18] Pet Industry - The pet economy is thriving, with significant growth in domestic brands and pet food exports increasing by 6.64% year-on-year [4][19] - Recommended companies include Guibao Pet Food, Zhongchong Co., and Petty Co. [4][19] Poultry Sector - The report highlights the need to monitor breeding imports and the potential for price recovery in yellow chickens due to improved demand [5][20][23] - Key recommendations include Shengnong Development and Yisheng Biological [5][22] Planting Sector - Emphasis on improving grain yield through better seed and agricultural practices, with a focus on biotechnology [8][25] - Recommended companies include Longping High-Tech and Dabeinong [8][25] Feed Sector - Haida Group is recommended for its market share growth and consistent performance amidst a recovering market [9][27] - The report notes a significant exit of small players from the market, leading to improved conditions for remaining companies [9][27]

Group 1 - The State Council's press conference highlighted achievements in technological innovation during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, focusing on goals such as environmental improvement, food security, transportation efficiency, and public health [1][2] - In environmental improvement, significant breakthroughs were made in pollution prevention, with PM2.5 average concentration in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region decreasing by 18% due to precise control measures [1] - For food security, advancements in biotechnology and agricultural machinery were emphasized, including the development of disease-resistant and drought-resistant crop varieties, which support national food safety and agricultural revitalization [1] Group 2 - In transportation efficiency, key developments included the CR450 train achieving operational speeds of 400 km/h and the C919 aircraft reaching significant milestones in commercial operation, with over 1,000 domestic and international orders [2] - The construction of transportation infrastructure, particularly the Sichuan-Tibet Railway, showcased advanced construction technologies and standards in extreme environments [2] - In public health, innovations included the world's first 5.0T full-body MRI scanner and the first approved dual-antibody drug for solid tumors, which has been included in the national medical insurance directory, alleviating economic burdens for patients [2]

Investment Rating - Industry rating: Outperform the market (maintained rating) [7] Core Views - The report emphasizes the importance of the pig sector's expected differences, highlighting the current low prices and the potential for capacity reduction due to policy guidance and weak demand [11][12] - The dairy and beef sectors are seen as entering a new cycle, with opportunities arising from the recovery of raw milk prices and the initiation of a beef super cycle [13] - The pet industry is experiencing rapid growth, with domestic brands rising and export trends improving, indicating a robust pet economy [14] - The poultry sector faces challenges with breeding imports and demand fluctuations, suggesting a focus on self-breeding opportunities [16][19] - The planting sector is shifting towards biological breeding strategies to ensure food security, with a focus on increasing yields through improved seed technology [21] - The feed sector is recommended for investment due to market share growth and consistent performance, particularly in companies like Haida Group [22] Summary by Sections Pig Sector - As of September 6, the average price of pigs is 13.87 CNY/kg, up 0.73% from the previous week, while the price of piglets is at a new low of 324 CNY/head [11] - The report suggests focusing on undervalued companies with strong profitability, with leading firms like Muyuan Foods and Wens Foodstuffs highlighted for their market capitalization [12] Beef Sector - Raw milk prices are stabilizing, and the beef cycle may be starting, with a focus on companies that can leverage mother cow resources [13] Pet Sector - The domestic pet food market is growing, with significant sales increases noted, and companies like Guibao Pet and Zhongchong Co. are recommended for investment [14] Poultry Sector - The report highlights the uncertainty in breeding imports due to avian influenza outbreaks, with a recommendation to focus on self-breeding opportunities [16][17] - The yellow chicken market is expected to see price improvements due to demand increases in the second half of the year [19] Planting Sector - The focus is on achieving higher yields through biological breeding, with key recommendations for seed companies like Longping High-Tech and Dabeinong [21] Feed Sector - Haida Group is recommended for its increasing market share and consistent performance in the feed industry, with expectations of a market recovery [22]

Core Insights - The report maintains a positive outlook on the agricultural sector, particularly in the pig farming industry, with a focus on the potential for value reassessment of pig farming companies [2][5] - The agricultural sector has shown a mixed performance recently, with the overall index up by 2.02% week-on-week, while the pig farming segment has seen a notable increase of 4.39% [11][12] Livestock Farming Data Tracking - Pig prices have slightly declined this week due to sufficient supply and market sentiment being buoyed by government stockpiling efforts [7][16] - The number of breeding sows has shown a slight decrease, with July figures indicating a 0.02% month-on-month decline [20][22] - The average price for market pigs as of August 28 is 13.70 CNY/kg, reflecting a week-on-week decrease of 1.51% [30][36] - Profitability in pig farming remains positive for self-bred pigs, with a profit of 32.24 CNY per head, while purchased piglets show a loss of 148.41 CNY per head [38][41] Poultry Farming Data Tracking - The price of white feathered chickens remains stable, with an average price of 7.33 CNY/kg as of August 29 [39][42] - The ongoing avian influenza outbreaks in Europe and the U.S. create uncertainty in the supply of breeding chickens, which may benefit the white feathered chicken industry [39][40] Animal Health Data Tracking - The demand for animal health products is expected to rebound, driven by the recovery in livestock numbers and the introduction of new products [47] - Significant growth in the issuance of veterinary vaccine approvals has been noted, particularly for African swine fever vaccines, which may enhance market interest [47][51] Seed Industry Data Tracking - The average prices for wheat, soybean meal, and corn have decreased slightly, with wheat at 2429 CNY/ton, soybean meal at 3071 CNY/ton, and corn at 2365 CNY/ton as of August 29 [52][53] - The USDA's August report indicates a decrease in global corn stocks for the 2025/26 season compared to the previous year, while soybean stocks are also projected to decline [54][56] Pet Industry Data Tracking - Pet food exports have seen a decline, with July figures showing a 3.0% year-on-year decrease, amounting to 930 million CNY [58][60] - Domestic sales in the pet food market continue to grow, with notable increases in sales for brands like Guai Bao and Pei Di [60][61] - The recent Asia Pet Expo showcased over 2600 exhibitors and more than 20000 brands, indicating a robust growth in the pet industry [61][62]

Group 1: Overall Performance in H1 2025 - The company achieved a total revenue of 135.59 billion CNY, with a net profit of 3.81 billion CNY, marking a year-on-year increase of 344.9% [3] - Feed products generated revenue of 85.99 billion CNY, accounting for 63.4% of total revenue, with a year-on-year decrease of 6.8% [3] - The pig farming segment (controlling stake) generated revenue of 34 billion CNY, representing a 28.1% year-on-year increase [3] - Seed products revenue reached 4.77 billion CNY, a significant increase of 59.2% year-on-year [3] Group 2: Business Segment Performance Feed Segment - Total feed sales volume reached 420,000 tons, with external sales of 257.5 million tons, a year-on-year increase of over 1.6% [3] - The gross profit margin for feed products was 12.5%, indicating stable profitability [3] - Aquaculture feed sales volume decreased by 17.1%, with revenue dropping by 29.7% [4] Pig Farming Segment - Total pig output from controlling and affiliated companies was 383.5 million heads, a year-on-year increase of 34.6% [5] - The average profit per head was 165 CNY, with a total stock of approximately 506 million heads as of July [5] - The average cost of pig farming was 12.7 CNY/kg, with feed costs accounting for 6.5 CNY/kg [14] Seed Segment - The company sold 28.42 million kg of seeds, a year-on-year increase of 42.0% [6] - Corn seed sales increased by 310.8%, generating revenue of 0.78 billion CNY [6] - The company anticipates seed business revenue of 17-18 billion CNY for the 2024-2025 agricultural year [6] Group 3: Cost Management and Efficiency - Operating expenses decreased compared to the previous year, with sales expenses down by 4.07% and management expenses down by 11% [3] - The company is implementing strategies to improve production efficiency and reduce costs in the pig farming segment [14] Group 4: Strategic Developments - The company is focusing on enhancing its seed business in the Southwest region, with significant growth in corn and rice seed sales [7][8] - Strategic partnerships with agricultural chemical companies are being pursued to enhance the seed business [9] - The company is actively working on genetic improvements in pig farming to enhance productivity and efficiency [15]

Core Insights - CITIC Limited (00267) reported a mid-year performance for 2025, achieving operating revenue of 368.8 billion RMB and a net profit of 59.8 billion RMB, with attributable net profit of 31.2 billion RMB, indicating a strong performance across its financial subsidiaries and core industrial businesses [1] - The board proposed an interim dividend of 0.20 RMB per share, representing a year-on-year increase of 5.3%, with a total dividend payout of 5.818 billion RMB, reflecting a steady increase in dividend levels [1] Group 1: Industrial Performance - The resilience of CITIC's industrial business has significantly improved, with the company advancing three major initiatives: "Huanxing," "Zhaoxing," and "Tuanxing," aimed at enhancing new productive forces [1] - The traditional industries are focusing on key areas such as integrated die-casting, special robots, scarce resources, and biological breeding, accelerating technological iteration, process upgrades, and capital empowerment to create more flagship products and specialized technologies [1] - CITIC Dicastal's aluminum wheels and castings achieved record sales, elevating its ranking to 42nd among the top 100 global automotive parts companies [1] Group 2: Metal and Steel Performance - CITIC Metals (601061) reported over double-digit growth in sales of copper and niobium products, with a significant increase in net profit [1] - CITIC Pacific Special Steel and Nanjing Steel (600282) improved collaborative efficiency, resulting in increased gross profit per ton of steel, maintaining a leading position in total profits within the industry [1] - Longping High-Tech (000998) completed a 1.2 billion RMB private placement to accelerate its progress towards becoming a global leader in the seed industry [1] Group 3: Emerging Industries - In emerging and future industries, the company is actively conducting research on industrial mergers and acquisitions in areas such as digital technology, low-altitude economy, and embodied intelligence, successfully completing key project reserves [2] - CITIC Heli (000099) successfully conducted the world's first test flight of a 2-ton eVTOL marine oil platform, integrating into regional low-altitude economic development [2]