Group 1 - The terahertz concept sector experienced a decline of 4.42%, ranking among the top declines in concept sectors, with major stocks like Haige Communication and Yaguang Technology seeing significant drops [1][2] - Among the terahertz concept stocks, Haige Communication hit the daily limit down, while other notable decliners included Shaanxi Huada and Tianyin Electromechanical [1] - Conversely, stocks such as Changfei Optical Fiber and Hengtong Optic-Electric saw gains of 10.00% and 9.15%, respectively, indicating a mixed performance within the sector [1][3] Group 2 - The terahertz concept sector faced a net outflow of 6.157 billion yuan, with 18 stocks experiencing net outflows, and 10 stocks seeing outflows exceeding 100 million yuan [2] - Aerospace Electronics led the outflow with a net withdrawal of 4.051 billion yuan, followed by Haige Communication and Saiwei Electronics with outflows of 998 million yuan and 622 million yuan, respectively [2] - In contrast, Hengtong Optic-Electric and Changfei Optical Fiber attracted net inflows of 826 million yuan and 603 million yuan, respectively, highlighting a divergence in investor sentiment within the sector [2][3]

截至1月26日收盘，同花顺新质50概念下跌4.24%，位居概念板块跌幅榜前列，板块内，海格通信、凯 众股份、中国卫通等跌停，浩瀚深度、中科星图、北斗星通等跌幅居前，股价上涨的有4只，涨幅居前 的有沃尔核材、天孚通信、中际旭创等，分别上涨6.04%、3.59%、0.82%。 资金面上看，今日同花顺新质50概念板块获主力资金净流出96.93亿元，其中，43股获主力资金净流 出，19股主力资金净流出超亿元，净流出资金居首的是三花智控，今日主力资金净流出15.78亿元，净 流出资金居前的还有通富微电、寒武纪、海格通信等，主力资金分别净流出13.15亿元、12.50亿元、 9.85亿元。今日主力资金净流入居前的概念股有天孚通信、中际旭创、沃尔核材等，主力资金分别净流 入11.05亿元、3.50亿元、3.39亿元。（数据宝） | 688065 | 凯赛生物 | -0.05 | 1.44 | 3540.65 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 600050 | 中国联通 | -0.39 | 0.97 | 9279.03 | | 002130 | 沃尔核材 | 6.04 | 15.35 | ...

Core Viewpoint - The data indicates significant outflows of main funds from various stocks, particularly in the aerospace and consumer electronics sectors, reflecting a bearish sentiment among investors. Group 1: Stock Performance and Fund Flow - Aerospace stocks, such as Aerospace Electronics and China Satellite, experienced the largest fund outflows, with -38.16 billion and -25.95 billion respectively, and declines of -9.98% and -10% in their stock prices [1][2] - Other notable stocks with significant outflows include Xinwei Communication (-18.59 billion, -10.05%), Sanhua Intelligent Control (-17.72 billion, -3.89%), and Goldwind Technology (-17.69 billion, -3.99%) [1][2] - The outflow from Longi Green Energy was -15.87 billion with a stock price decrease of -1.34%, indicating a relatively smaller decline compared to others in the same sector [1][2] Group 2: Sector Analysis - The consumer electronics sector saw major outflows, particularly from companies like Xinwei Communication and Lens Technology, with outflows of -18.59 billion and -12.82 billion respectively [1][2] - The wind power equipment sector, represented by Goldwind Technology, also faced significant outflows, reflecting potential challenges in the renewable energy market [1][2] - The communication equipment sector, including companies like Haige Communication and China Satellite, showed substantial fund outflows, indicating investor caution in this area [1][3]

Group 1 - The commercial aerospace sector experienced a significant decline in stock prices, with companies such as Haige Communication, Aerospace Power, Runbei Aerospace Technology, Woge Optoelectronics, and Jiangshun Technology hitting the daily limit down [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the defense and military industry [4] Core Insights - The management adjustment at China Star Network is expected to accelerate the commercialization of satellite internet, with plans to deploy 13,000 low-orbit satellites between 2026 and 2030 [11][12] - The commercial space industry is projected to achieve 50 launches in 2025, marking a significant turning point in 2026, driven by policy support and advancements in reusable rocket technology [13][16] - The report emphasizes continued optimism for commercial aerospace, large aircraft, new combat capabilities, and military trade as key growth areas [16] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The defense and military industry is experiencing a positive trend, with a 4.37% increase in the industry index, outperforming the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index [18][19] Commercial Aerospace - The management changes at China Star Network reflect a strategic focus on fulfilling satellite constellation deployment goals, with a critical period from 2027 to 2029 for compliance with ITU regulations [12] - The rapid growth in commercial space launches is highlighted, with 50 launches expected in 2025, representing 54% of total space launches in China [13][15] Investment Opportunities - The report identifies several investment targets within the commercial aerospace sector, including: - Aerospace Electronics (600879, Buy) - National Science and Technology Military Industry (688543, Not Rated) - Aerospace Power (600343, Not Rated) [16] - The report also highlights potential in the large aircraft and military trade sectors, suggesting a broad development space for military enterprises [16]

Core Viewpoint - The military industry sector experienced a sharp decline, with the military ETF Huabao (512810) dropping nearly 3% after a brief opening rise, ending a three-day winning streak [1][6]. Group 1: Market Performance - The military sector saw significant losses, particularly in commercial aerospace stocks, with Haige Communication falling over 9% and several others, including Aerospace Electronics and China Satellite, dropping more than 8% [1][6]. - Analysts noted that cautious liquidity expectations ahead of the Spring Festival, combined with some institutional portfolio adjustments, triggered a shift in market style and heightened risk aversion [3][8]. Group 2: Market Outlook - According to Everbright Securities, the market is expected to remain volatile before the Spring Festival, with historical data indicating that the probability of major indices rising in the 20 trading days leading up to the festival is less than 50% [3][8]. - It is anticipated that a new upward momentum will emerge after the Spring Festival, and investors are advised to adopt a conservative approach while still holding stocks through the holiday [8]. Group 3: Investment Strategy - The military ETF Huabao (512810) covers various popular themes such as commercial aerospace, low-altitude economy, large aircraft, satellite navigation, military information technology, and controllable nuclear fusion, serving as an efficient tool for investing in core military assets [3][8].

Core Insights - The report emphasizes the ongoing prosperity in the commercial aerospace and military sectors, highlighting opportunities in overseas markets and the importance of technological advancements in the industry [2][3] Group 1: Industry Overview - The commercial aerospace sector is experiencing upward momentum, driven by SpaceX's advancements in reusable rocket technology, which could reduce space access costs by 100 times [13] - The military aviation sector is expected to benefit from increased demand for large aircraft and military trade, with significant growth anticipated in 2026 [14] - The report identifies a focus on supply chain reforms and the integration of AI technologies as key trends shaping the future of the defense and aerospace industries [15] Group 2: Investment Recommendations - The report recommends companies that align with the "S-curve" evolution, focusing on supply chain reforms and automation, including firms like航发动力 (Aero Engine Corporation) and 中航沈飞 (AVIC Shenyang Aircraft Corporation) [15] - Companies positioned for expansion in military trade and civil aviation, such as 国睿科技 (Guorui Technology) and 中国动力 (China Power), are highlighted for their growth potential [15] - Emerging industries like commercial aerospace, AI, and quantum computing are also recommended, with firms like 睿创微纳 (Ruichuang Micro-Nano) and 菲利华 (Feilihua) noted for their innovative capabilities [15] Group 3: Company Valuations and Financial Analysis - 航发动力 (Aero Engine Corporation) is projected to have a 2025E EPS of 0.22 CNY, with a PE ratio of 216.82 for 2025 [6] - 中航高科 (AVIC High-tech) is expected to achieve a 2025E EPS of 0.90 CNY, with a PE ratio of 29.16 for 2025 [6] - The report provides detailed financial metrics for various companies, indicating growth in EPS and improvements in PE ratios across the sector, reflecting a positive outlook for the defense and aerospace industries [6]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report emphasizes that the demand for AI computing power will continue to grow and diversify in 2026, extending from data centers to network edges and even internal terminals [8][13][27] - The report highlights the significant capital expenditure (Capex) growth driven by business revenue, with major cloud service providers like Google, Microsoft, and Amazon showing consistent revenue growth exceeding 20% year-on-year [27][31][35] - The report identifies the increasing importance of silicon photonics technology, particularly the 1.6T optical module, which is expected to maintain accelerated growth and enhance the global market share of domestic optical chips and devices [7][54][70] Group 2 - The report discusses the emergence of new technologies such as Scale-UP supernodes and their impact on optical link demand, indicating that these technologies will drive additional link requirements in 2026 [7][9][66] - It notes that the AI infrastructure is experiencing a high level of prosperity, with significant investments in data centers and AI capabilities expected to continue, particularly in the U.S. [47][49][53] - The report anticipates that the integration of silicon photonics will significantly increase its market penetration, projecting that by 2026, over half of optical module sales will come from silicon photonics solutions [70][75]

海格通信搭上此次商业航天板块的热潮，主要源自公司旗下西安驰达承制的"九天"无人机完成首飞。 2025年12月11日，"九天"无人机在陕西蒲城圆满完成首飞任务。据媒体报道，"九天"无人机由陕西无人 装备科技有限责任公司委托，航空工业第一飞机设计研究院设计、海格通信持股56.4050%的西安驰达 飞机零部件制造股份有限公司承制。 海格通信曾表示，此次首飞成功标志着我国大型无人机技术实现新突破，其规模化应用将加速产业链与 创新链的协同融合，为低空经济高质量发展注入新质生产力动能，助力航空产业创新升级。不过，"九 短短一个月内，海格通信股价出现过山车式的大起大落。在2025年12月以来商业航天板块的持续高热过 程中，海格通信股价则曾快速上涨，在一个月内就实现翻倍，是一时风头无两的大牛股。然而，1月14 日公告2025年业绩预计将出现上市以来首度亏损后，海格通信股价连续下挫，截至1月20日收盘，海格 通信股价18.10元，跌6.70%，较1月14日高点26.62元已累计跌去32%，为此，海格通信还在当晚发布了 股票交易异常波动公告。 海格通信的亏损并非没有预兆。2024年，海格通信业绩就已出现明显下滑，2025年上半年 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the commercial aerospace industry [1] Core Insights - The aerospace sector is transitioning from being viewed as a "cost center" driven by national will to a "growth engine" driven by commercial demand, with significant investments and strategic planning from both the US and China [6][9] - The global aerospace economy is projected to reach $613 billion in 2024, with commercial aerospace contributing 78%, and is expected to exceed $1 trillion by 2032 [6][9] - The value chain of commercial aerospace is divided into five core levels: "space, ground, terminal, rocket, and application," each presenting unique market opportunities and technical challenges from 2026 to 2030 [10][29] Summary by Sections 1. Space: Satellite Manufacturing - The satellite manufacturing market in China is expected to grow from approximately 7.1 billion yuan in 2025 to about 39.4 billion yuan by 2030, reflecting a shift from sporadic research models to continuous, batch engineering deliveries [16][18] 2. Ground: Ground Systems - The ground systems market is projected to increase from around 1.2 billion yuan in 2025 to approximately 39.1 billion yuan by 2030, evolving from a supporting role to a core infrastructure essential for stable satellite constellation operations [21][22] 3. Terminal: Key Variable for Commercial Aerospace - The terminal market is anticipated to grow from 500 million yuan in 2025 to about 141.9 billion yuan by 2030, driven by multiple vertical industries and potential consumer scenarios [23][24] 4. Rocket: Core Constraint - The cost of rocket launches is a critical constraint, with reusable technology expected to reduce costs by 80%-90% compared to traditional expendable rockets. The market for rocket launch services is projected to grow from approximately 10.7 billion yuan in 2025 to about 34.3 billion yuan by 2030 [25][26] 5. Application: Final Value Realization - The application market is expected to expand from 200 million yuan in 2025 to 525 billion yuan by 2030, with the revenue share from applications projected to rise from single digits to over 67% by around 2030 [27][28] 6. Investment Opportunities - Investment opportunities in commercial aerospace can be categorized into three main tracks: 1. Launch and manufacturing segments, which are expected to benefit directly from increased orders and visibility 2. Core components and systems, characterized by high technical barriers and critical for long-term competitiveness 3. Downstream applications and operational services, which, while currently limited in scale, hold the greatest long-term potential for value realization [29][30]