Group 1 - The A-share rare earth permanent magnet sector has seen a rise, with Yujing Co., Ltd. increasing by over 8% [1] - Longhua Technology, Dongfang Zirconium Industry, and Yahua Group have all risen by over 5% [1] - Youyan New Materials, Zhongkuang Resources, and Northern Rare Earth have increased by over 4% [1] - Xiamen Tungsten, Dadi Bear, and Jiuling Technology have all seen an increase of over 3% [1]

Group 1 - The lithium mining index increased by 3%, with most constituent stocks showing positive performance [1] - Major companies such as Zhongjin Mining, Guocheng Mining, Shengxin Lithium Energy, Yahua Group, and Zhongkuang Resources saw significant stock price increases of 7.99%, 6.94%, 6.48%, 4.62%, and 4.49% respectively [1]

Group 1 - The A-share market saw a collective decline in lithium mining stocks, with major companies like Ganfeng Lithium, Tianqi Lithium, and others dropping over 4% [1] - The main contract for lithium carbonate experienced a significant drop of 6%, priced at 139,640 yuan per ton [1] Group 2 - Ganfeng Lithium (002460) decreased by 4.94%, with a total market value of 133.8 billion yuan and a year-to-date increase of 1.49% [2] - Tianqi Lithium (002466) fell by 4.87%, holding a market capitalization of 82.4 billion yuan and a year-to-date decline of 9.39% [2] - Zhongmin Resources (002738) saw a decline of 4.60%, with a market value of 57.6 billion yuan and a year-to-date increase of 1.59% [2] - Dongyangguang (600673) dropped by 4.58%, with a market capitalization of 84.6 billion yuan and a year-to-date increase of 25.32% [2] - Tianhua New Energy (300390) decreased by 4.37%, with a market value of 38.9 billion yuan and a year-to-date decline of 14.28% [2] - Other companies such as Guocheng Mining, Rongjie Co., and Yahua Group also experienced declines ranging from 3% to 4% [2]

Core Viewpoint - Yahua Group's stock price has shown fluctuations, with a recent decline of 2.02% and a total market value of 28.57 billion yuan, indicating potential volatility in investor sentiment and market performance [1]. Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Yahua Group achieved a revenue of 6.05 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 2.07%. The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 334 million yuan, marking a significant increase of 116.02% [2]. Shareholder Information - As of January 31, 2025, Yahua Group had 95,000 shareholders, with an average of 11,142 circulating shares per shareholder, showing stability in shareholder base [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 1.24 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 622 million yuan distributed over the past three years [3]. Stock Performance and Trading Activity - Yahua Group's stock has seen a slight increase of 0.16% year-to-date, but has experienced a decline of 7.29% over the last five trading days. In contrast, the stock has increased by 5.40% over the past 20 days and by 21.52% over the last 60 days [1]. - The trading activity indicates a net outflow of 2.98 million yuan from main funds, with significant selling pressure observed [1]. Business Segments - Yahua Group operates primarily in two business segments: lithium business (51.54% of revenue) and civil explosives (42.81% of revenue), with transportation services contributing 5.66% [1].

证券日报网讯2月3日，雅化集团（002497）在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，截至2026年1月30日， 公司股东人数约9.5万户。 ...

| 权益类证券大宗交易(协议交易) | | | | | | | 团 下载 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 交易日期 | 证券代码 | 证券简称 | 成交价格 (元) | 成交量 (万股/万份) | 成交金额 (万元) | 买方营业部 | 卖方营业部 | | 2026-02-03 | 002497 | 雅化集团 | 22.90 | 11.00 | | 251.90 招商证券股份有限 | 招商证券股份有限 | | | | | | | | 公司上海娄山关路 | 公司上海娄山关路 | | | | | | | | 证券营业部 | 证券营业部 | 2月3日，雅化集团大宗交易成交11万股，成交额251.9万元，占当日总成交额的0.21%，成交价22.9元， 较市场收盘价25.25元折价9.31%。 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Positive" [6] Core Viewpoints - The macro sentiment has fluctuated significantly, amplifying volatility in the commodity market. Short-term carbonate lithium prices have surged and then retreated, with inventory adjustments providing support. There remains potential for a rebound before the holiday. In the medium term, lithium salt supply is constrained, and mining costs are rising, maintaining the upward price logic for lithium. The cobalt sector is supported by raw material costs, showing strong price resilience with limited downside [4][12][13]. Summary by Sections 1. Cycle Assessment - The lithium and cobalt sectors are identified as having clear investment value, with recommendations for active positioning. The lithium sector has seen increased price volatility, with futures contracts experiencing significant declines. The price of lithium concentrate was reported at $2,070 per ton, down $144 from the previous week. The carbonate lithium price has significantly corrected, but downstream demand has led to active market transactions [8][12][13]. 2. Company and Industry Dynamics - Various companies have released performance signals, with notable announcements including Pilbara's production advancements and CATL's plans for a new battery manufacturing base in Yunnan. Yongshan Lithium and Yahua Group have provided profit forecasts indicating significant year-on-year growth, while Tianqi Lithium and Ganfeng Lithium have also reported expected turnarounds in profitability [15][16][17]. 3. Core Data on New Energy Materials - December production data shows mixed trends, with carbonate lithium production up 4% month-on-month and hydroxide lithium up 2%. The inventory levels are undergoing structural adjustments, with significant increases in imports of carbonate lithium and hydroxide lithium [18][31][49].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Positive" [6] Core Viewpoints - The macro sentiment has fluctuated significantly, amplifying volatility in the commodity market. Short-term carbonate lithium prices have surged and then retreated, with support from inventory adjustments ahead of the holiday. There remains potential for a rebound before the holiday. In the medium term, lithium salt supply is constrained, and mining costs are rising, maintaining the upward price logic for lithium. The cobalt sector is supported by raw material costs, showing strong price resilience with limited downside [4][12][13]. Summary by Sections 1. Cycle Assessment - The lithium and cobalt core targets have clear investment value, suggesting active positioning. The lithium sector has seen increased price volatility, with a divergence in the rhythm between mining and salt ends. Futures contracts have dropped significantly, with the Wuxi 2605 contract down 16.65% to 149,200 CNY/ton, and the Guangxi 2605 contract down 18.36% to 148,200 CNY/ton. Lithium concentrate prices have decreased to 2,070 USD/ton, down 144 USD from the previous week. The carbonate lithium price has significantly corrected due to regulatory cooling and market fluctuations, with downstream demand stabilizing [12][13]. 2. Company and Industry Dynamics - Various companies have released performance signals. For instance, Pilbara is evaluating the potential for increased production capacity at its Ngungaju plant, while CATL plans to build a lithium battery manufacturing base in Yunnan. Yongshan Lithium Industry and other companies have announced significant changes in their profit forecasts, reflecting the impact of lithium price fluctuations and operational adjustments [15][16][17]. 3. Core Data on New Energy Materials - In December, domestic carbonate lithium production increased by 4% month-on-month, while hydroxide lithium production rose by 2%. The inventory showed structural adjustments, with a general increase in prices for lithium and cobalt materials. The average price for battery-grade carbonate lithium rose by 7.15% to a range of 161,000-182,000 CNY/ton, and battery-grade hydroxide lithium increased by 8.12% to 158,000-169,000 CNY/ton [18][19][67].

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights significant target price increases for several listed companies from January 26 to February 1, with notable mentions including Baili Tianheng, Zexing Pharmaceutical, and Great Wall Motors, indicating strong bullish sentiment in the market for these stocks [1][2]. Target Price Increases - Baili Tianheng (688506) has a target price increase of 375.97%, with a highest target price set at 1322.00 yuan [2]. - Zexing Pharmaceutical (688266) shows a target price increase of 88.56%, with a highest target price of 166.16 yuan [2]. - Great Wall Motors (601633) has a target price increase of 83.66%, with a highest target price of 38.00 yuan [2]. - Other companies with notable target price increases include Industrial Fulian (601138) at 73.31% and CATL (300750) at 71.71% [2][3]. Broker Recommendations - A total of 265 listed companies received broker recommendations during the period, with Qingdao Bank receiving the highest number of recommendations at 8 [3][4]. - Other companies with multiple recommendations include Xian Dao Intelligent and Wancheng Group, each receiving 5 recommendations [3][4]. Rating Adjustments - Eight companies had their ratings upgraded, including Shanghai Jahwa (600315) from "Hold" to "Buy" and ZTE Corporation (000063) from "Cautious Buy" to "Buy" [5][6]. - Two companies had their ratings downgraded, including Jincheng Shares (603396) from "Buy" to "Hold" and Huasheng Group (603018) from "Buy" to "Hold" [6]. First-Time Coverage - During the same period, 75 instances of first-time coverage were reported, with notable ratings including Shaanxi Tourism (603402) receiving a "Outperform Industry" rating and Bichu Electronics (688188) receiving a "Buy" rating [7].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the non-ferrous metals industry [1] Core Insights - The supply and demand expectations for lithium and cobalt are reversing, indicating the start of a new price cycle [2][3] - Lithium demand is expected to recover, leading to a replenishment cycle, while supply disruptions will create a medium-term gap [2] - Cobalt supply is dominated by export quotas from sovereign nations, leading to a raw material shortage that supports prices [3] Summary by Sections Lithium - Supply disruptions from African lithium projects and stable production from South American salt lakes are expected, while China's regulatory management will lead to a temporary supply contraction of lithium mica [2] - Demand for lithium is driven by the growth of energy storage as a second growth driver after electric vehicles, with solid-state batteries opening up potential for increased lithium consumption [2] - From the second half of 2025, supply disruptions in Jiangxi and strong downstream demand will lead to a price rebound for lithium, maintaining a tight supply situation through 2026-2027 [2] Cobalt - The supply side is significantly influenced by the export quota system in the Democratic Republic of Congo, resulting in a definitive raw material shortage [3] - Demand for cobalt products is currently weak due to high prices, and the recovery of demand hinges on the adoption of solid-state batteries [3] - The Congolese government has a strong ability and willingness to support prices, with expectations for cobalt prices to remain strong in the medium term [3] Investment Strategy - In an upward cycle, it is essential to consider the self-reinforcing attributes of stock prices and commodity prices, alongside fundamental factors [4] - The interplay between stock prices, futures, and spot prices creates a positive feedback loop, where stock prices often react first to anticipated changes [4] Investment Recommendations - Recommended lithium-related stocks include Yongxing Materials, Ganfeng Lithium, and Tianqi Lithium, among others [5] - Recommended cobalt-related stocks include Huayou Cobalt and others [5]