本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整，没有虚假记载、误导性陈述或重 大遗漏。 一、本期业绩预计情况 证券代码：002497 证券简称：雅化集团 公告编号：2026-01 四川雅化实业集团股份有限公司 2025 年度业绩预告 四、风险提示 报告期内，公司优质头部客户订单稳定，下半年锂盐市场价格有所回升，部分客户终端产品市场反 馈良好带动公司第三、四季度产品销量大幅增长。同时，公司加强生产运营各环节管控，加强矿、产、 销平衡，提高效率，降低成本，使公司经营业绩持续回升，较去年同期有所增长。 经初步核算，预计 2025 年度归属于上市公司股东的净利润为 60,000 万元—68,000 万元，同比增长 133.36%—164.47%；其中第四季度单季度归属于上市公司股东的净利润为 26,600.66 万元—34,600.66 万 元，同比增长 159.51%—237.56%。 | 项 目 | 本报告期 | | | 上年同期 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 归属于上市公司股 | | 60,000 | ～ | 68,000 | 25,711.5 ...

Lithium Carbonate Futures Market Data Change Analysis - **Main Contract and Basis**: The price of the main lithium carbonate contract dropped from 181,520 yuan/ton on January 23, 2026, to 165,680 yuan/ton on January 26, 2026, a decline of 8.73%, showing a slight pullback. The basis strengthened from -11,020 yuan/ton to 12,820 yuan/ton, with a change rate of 216.33%, indicating a significant strengthening of the basis [39]. - **Open Interest and Trading Volume**: The open interest decreased from 438,728 lots to 416,719 lots, a reduction of 5.02%, showing a contraction in open interest. The trading volume increased from 342,805 lots to 575,675 lots, a growth of 67.93%, indicating a significant expansion of trading volume [39]. Industry Chain Supply, Demand, and Inventory Change Analysis - **Supply Side**: According to information, the lithium ore project of Yahua Group (January 16) has improved self - sufficiency; Sigma Lithium (January 23) sold lithium ore and denied operational issues. The price of spodumene concentrate rose from 17,985 yuan/ton to 19,470 yuan/ton (8.26%), and the price of lepidolite concentrate rose from 8,500 yuan/ton to 8,700 yuan/ton (2.35%), indicating an increase in raw material costs. The production capacity utilization rate of lithium carbonate remained stable at 87.14% [40]. - **Demand Side**: The data from the Passenger Car Association (January 21) showed a year - on - year decline in new energy vehicle sales, indicating weak demand. However, the prices of downstream products such as power ternary materials (from 186,300 yuan/ton to 190,300 yuan/ton, up 2.15%) and power lithium iron phosphate (from 58,630 yuan/ton to 61,175 yuan/ton, up 4.34%) increased, and the prices of battery cells generally rose, indicating demand support. Information mentioned that the cost of energy - storage battery cells increased, with price transmission lagging, and downstream resistance to high prices. In new energy vehicle exports, PHEV growth was faster than BEV, reflecting a change in demand structure [40]. - **Inventory and Warehouse Receipts**: The lithium carbonate inventory decreased from 109,679 physical tons to 108,896 physical tons (a change of - 783 tons, - 0.71%), showing a slight decline in inventory. Warehouse receipt data was not directly provided, but the inventory reduction implied supply tightness or increased demand [40]. Price Trend Judgment Based on the rising supply cost, demand - side support, and decreasing inventory, it is expected that the lithium carbonate futures price will maintain a low - level oscillation pattern in the next one to two weeks, with a possibility of a slight rebound, but attention should be paid to demand changes and macro factors [43].

您好！公司股价受宏观环境、市场情绪、行业属性等多方面因素影响。公司重视市值管理工作，制订了 《雅化集团市值管理制度》，将始终坚持聚焦锂业+民爆双主业发展，扎实做好生产经营，持续提升公 司核心竞争力，力争以切实的经营业绩回报广大投资者的信任，感谢您的关注。查看更多董秘问答>> 免责声明：本信息由新浪财经从公开信息中摘录，不构成任何投资建议；新浪财经不保证数据的准确 性，内容仅供参考。 投资者提问： 请问贵公司管理层认可当前股价吗？贵公司管理层有没有开会讨论过提升股价方法，提升公司管理效率 呢？ 董秘回答(雅化集团SZ002497)： ...

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights the performance and strategic adjustments of the Jiashi New Energy Materials Stock A Fund, indicating a positive growth trajectory and a focus on resource-oriented upstream assets in the new energy sector [2][3]. Fund Performance - The fund reported a profit of 58.44 million yuan in Q4 2025, with a weighted average profit per fund share of 0.0539 yuan [2]. - The net asset value (NAV) growth rate for the fund was 2.04% during the reporting period, with a total fund size of 2.855 billion yuan as of the end of Q4 [2][15]. - As of January 22, the fund's one-year compounded NAV growth rate reached 71.59%, ranking 4th among comparable funds [3]. Comparative Performance - Over the past three months, the fund's compounded NAV growth rate was 15.47%, ranking 11th out of 39 comparable funds [3]. - The fund's six-month compounded NAV growth rate was 57.48%, placing it 3rd among its peers [3]. - The fund's three-year Sharpe ratio was 0.5367, ranking 12th out of 32 comparable funds [8]. Risk and Exposure - The fund's maximum drawdown over the past three years was 55.48%, ranking 28th out of 32 comparable funds, with the largest quarterly drawdown occurring in Q3 2022 at 24.88% [9]. - The average stock position over the past three years was 91.63%, higher than the industry average of 87.73%, with a peak position of 94.62% at the end of 2023 [12]. Holdings and Strategy - The fund has a high concentration of holdings, with stable stock targets. As of Q4 2025, the top ten holdings included companies like CATL, Salt Lake Potash, and Huayou Cobalt [19]. - The fund management indicated a strategic shift towards increasing exposure to upstream assets related to lithium carbonate, cobalt, and nickel, in response to macroeconomic and market conditions [2].

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Recommended" [3] Core Views - Short-term raw material supply tightness is expected to support nickel prices, with LME nickel spot price reaching $18,630 per ton, up 5.70% from January 16 [1] - The cobalt market is anticipated to see continued price increases due to structural supply tightness, with electrolytic cobalt priced at 438,000 yuan per ton, down 3.74% from January 16 [2][5] - Domestic antimony supply remains tight, providing price support, with antimony ingot prices at 160,500 yuan per ton [6] - Lithium carbonate prices are expected to continue rising, with a market average of 171,100 yuan per ton, up 8.36% from January 16 [8][19] - Supply uncertainties in the rare earth market are expected to support prices, with significant global supply concentration in China [10][20] - Tin prices are supported by overseas supply uncertainties, with LME tin prices at $54,200 per ton, up 9.66% from January 16 [11][21] - Tungsten market supply-demand imbalance is notable, with white tungsten concentrate prices at 535,500 yuan per ton, up 5.93% from January 16 [13][22] - Uranium supply tightness is expected to persist, with global uranium prices at $63.51 per pound [14][15] Summary by Sections Nickel and Cobalt Industry Update - Nickel prices are supported by supply constraints, with Indonesia's nickel mining production quota expected to be reduced to 250-260 million tons [1][16] - Cobalt supply is projected to tighten further, with Congo's export quotas confirmed to extend into 2026 [2][17] Antimony Industry Update - Antimony supply remains tight, with domestic prices expected to rise due to export restrictions and seasonal supply issues [6][18] Lithium Industry Update - Lithium carbonate prices are expected to remain strong due to demand support and supply uncertainties, particularly regarding the recovery of key lithium mines [8][19] Rare Earth Industry Update - The rare earth market is facing supply tightening due to export bans and geopolitical factors, with China maintaining a dominant position [10][20] Tin Industry Update - Tin prices are supported by uncertainties in overseas supply, particularly from Myanmar and Congo [11][21] Tungsten Industry Update - The tungsten market is experiencing a supply-demand imbalance, with prices expected to rise due to limited new supply [13][22] Uranium Industry Update - Uranium prices are supported by ongoing supply tightness and geopolitical factors affecting production [14][15]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the non-ferrous metals industry is "Positive" (maintained) [4] Core Views - The report highlights that copper prices are experiencing high-level fluctuations amidst inventory accumulation, with short-term price adjustments expected to be limited due to the financial attributes of copper supported by rising gold prices. The supply-demand balance for copper may shift from tight equilibrium to shortage in the medium to long term, driven by insufficient capital expenditure in copper mines and frequent supply disruptions. The report suggests monitoring companies such as Zijin Mining, Luoyang Molybdenum, Jiangxi Copper, and others [5] - For aluminum, the report notes that both alumina and aluminum prices are under pressure due to high inventory levels. The short-term outlook for aluminum prices is expected to remain stable amidst high demand, particularly in the air conditioning and consumer goods sectors [5] - Lithium demand remains strong despite seasonal trends, with lithium carbonate prices entering an upward cycle driven by supply-demand reversal. The report recommends focusing on companies with high self-sufficiency in lithium resources [5] - Cobalt prices are expected to continue rising due to tight raw material supply, with the report suggesting companies like Huayou Cobalt and others for investment [5] Summary by Sections 1. Industry Overview - The report provides insights into macroeconomic indicators, including the U.S. core PCE price index and unemployment claims, which align with expectations [9] - Key announcements include Zijin Mining's completion of the second phase of the Jilong Copper Mine, significantly increasing its production capacity [10] 2. Market Performance - The non-ferrous metals sector outperformed the Shanghai Composite Index, with a weekly increase of 6.03% compared to the index's 0.84% rise [11] - The report lists the top-performing stocks in the sector, highlighting significant movements in various sub-sectors [11] 3. Valuation Changes - The report notes that the TTM PE for the non-ferrous metals sector is 33.82, with a change of 1.79, while the PB is 4.18, reflecting a significant premium over the broader market [20][23]

Core Insights - The report highlights a bullish outlook for the metals sector, driven by macroeconomic factors such as the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts and a recovering global economy, particularly in China [3][44] - Key investment themes for 2026 include expanding demand for precious metals like gold and silver, improving fundamentals for aluminum and copper, strategic opportunities in rare earths, and supply-side disruptions due to overcapacity in certain sectors [3][4] Group 1: Precious Metals - The report suggests a long-term bullish view on gold, with expectations of price increases driven by anticipated interest rate cuts and geopolitical tensions, which enhance gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset [3][44] - Silver is also highlighted as a key investment opportunity due to its high price ratio to gold, indicating potential for significant price appreciation [3] - Specific companies to watch include Shandong Gold (600547.SH) and Zijin Mining (601899.SH), which are expected to benefit from increased production and operational efficiencies [4] Group 2: Industrial Metals - The report notes that aluminum and copper are set to see improved profitability due to lower production costs and increased demand, particularly in the context of infrastructure investments [3][4] - Companies such as Zhongfu Industrial (600595.SH) and Zijin Mining (601899.SH) are identified as having strong positions in the copper market, with expected profit growth [4] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring supply chain dynamics, particularly in copper, where inventory levels are shifting significantly [18][58] Group 3: Rare Earths and Strategic Metals - The report identifies rare earth elements as a critical area for investment, particularly in light of geopolitical tensions between the US and China, which may create opportunities for companies involved in rare earth mining and processing [3][4] - Companies like Northern Rare Earth (600111.SH) and China Rare Earth (000831.SZ) are highlighted for their potential to benefit from price increases in rare earth materials [4] Group 4: Energy Metals - The report discusses the rebound in lithium and nickel prices, driven by strong demand from the battery sector, with specific mention of companies like Tianqi Lithium (002466.SZ) and Ganfeng Lithium (002460.SZ) [4][27] - The expected growth in energy storage solutions is also noted as a significant driver for demand in these metals [4] Group 5: Overall Market Performance - The overall performance of the non-ferrous metals sector is noted to have outperformed the broader market, with a cumulative increase of 96.46% in 2025 compared to a 21.65% increase in the Shanghai Composite Index [33][35] - The report indicates that while the sector has seen significant gains, valuations are currently at historical averages, suggesting potential for further growth [35]

Core Viewpoint - Yahua Group's stock price increased by 5.08% to 25.84 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 1.311 billion CNY and a turnover rate of 4.88%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 29.782 billion CNY [1] Company Overview - Sichuan Yahua Industrial Group Co., Ltd. is located in Chengdu, Sichuan Province, and was established on December 25, 2001, with its listing date on November 9, 2010 [1] - The company operates in two main business segments: lithium business and civil explosives, with civil explosives further divided into production, blasting, and transportation services [1] - The revenue composition of the main business includes lithium salt products at 51.54%, civil explosive products and blasting services at 42.81%, and transportation services at 5.66% [1] Shareholder Information - Southern Fund's Southern CSI 1000 ETF (512100) is among the top ten circulating shareholders of Yahua Group, having reduced its holdings by 95,400 shares in the third quarter, now holding 10.5386 million shares, which accounts for 1% of circulating shares [2] - The estimated floating profit from this position is approximately 13.1732 million CNY [2] Fund Performance - The Southern CSI 1000 ETF (512100) has a total asset size of 78.996 billion CNY, with a year-to-date return of 9.38%, ranking 1624 out of 5546 in its category, and a one-year return of 43.79%, ranking 1722 out of 4261 [2] - The fund has achieved a cumulative return of 25.09% since its inception on September 29, 2016 [2] Fund Holdings - The Southern Cycle Optimal Mixed Fund A (021711) holds 126,800 shares of Yahua Group, representing 4.08% of the fund's net value, making it the seventh-largest holding [4] - The estimated floating profit from this position is around 158,500 CNY [4] Fund Manager Information - The fund manager of Southern Cycle Optimal Mixed Fund A is Bao Yuchen, who has been in the position for 1 year and 127 days, managing a total asset size of 76.9868 million CNY [5] - During his tenure, the best fund return achieved was 71.05%, while the worst return was 69.69% [5]

Group 1 - Yahua Group's stock increased by 5.08% to 25.84 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 1.311 billion CNY and a turnover rate of 4.88%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 29.782 billion CNY [1] - The company, Sichuan Yahua Industrial Group Co., Ltd., was established on December 25, 2001, and listed on November 9, 2010. Its main business involves lithium and civil explosives, with lithium salt products contributing 51.54% to revenue, civil explosive products and blasting services 42.81%, and transportation services 5.66% [1] Group 2 - Taiping Fund holds Yahua Group as its second-largest position in the Taiping CSI 1000 Index Enhanced A Fund (015466), with 94,400 shares, accounting for 0.7% of the fund's net value. The estimated floating profit today is approximately 118,000 CNY [2] - The Taiping CSI 1000 Index Enhanced A Fund was established on April 29, 2022, with a current size of 258 million CNY. Year-to-date returns are 11.02%, ranking 1125 out of 5546 in its category, while the one-year return is 57.74%, ranking 876 out of 4261 [2]

Group 1 - The company achieved a revenue of 6.047 billion yuan in Q3 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 2.07%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 334 million yuan, up 116.02% year-on-year, driven by stable orders from quality clients and increased sales of lithium salt products [3] - The demand for energy storage is expected to rise, with global lithium battery shipments projected to reach 620 GWh in 2025, a 77% increase year-on-year, and 960 GWh in 2026, a growth of 54.8% [4] - The company has established a diversified lithium resource supply system through self-controlled and purchased mines, with the Kamativi lithium mine in Zimbabwe achieving an annual processing capacity of 2.3 million tons of raw ore [5] Group 2 - The company is advancing its solid-state battery initiatives, with plans to begin construction of a lithium sulfide pilot line in 2026, achieving industry-leading key indicators for lithium sulfide products [6] - The company is actively participating in mergers and acquisitions in the civil explosives sector, aiming to expand production capacity and business reach, particularly in Africa and Australia [7]