Core Viewpoint - Zimbabwe's sudden ban on lithium ore and concentrate exports has created significant disruptions in the global lithium supply chain, affecting nearly 20% of China's lithium raw material supply and potentially leading to a supply gap of approximately 14,000 to 15,000 tons of lithium carbonate equivalent per month starting in May 2026 [1][3][4]. Group 1: Impact of Zimbabwe's Ban - Zimbabwe's Ministry of Mines announced an immediate suspension of all lithium ore and concentrate exports, including shipments already at sea, to strengthen mineral regulation and promote domestic processing [1][3]. - In 2025, China imported 7.75 million tons of lithium concentrate, with 1.2 million tons (19%) coming from Zimbabwe, highlighting the critical role of Zimbabwe in China's lithium supply [3]. - The ban is expected to lead to a significant increase in lithium prices, with domestic carbonate lithium futures prices surging to over 171,440 yuan per ton, reflecting a nearly 17% increase in just two trading days [4]. Group 2: Market Reactions and Opportunities - The immediate market reaction saw a spike in lithium prices, with the benchmark price for battery-grade lithium carbonate reaching 162,000 yuan per ton, an increase of over 8% since the beginning of the month [4]. - Companies with integrated mining and processing capabilities in Zimbabwe are positioned to benefit from the ban, as they can still apply for export licenses while others face supply constraints [6]. - A total of 13 domestic companies with lithium carbonate production or lithium mining resources are now in the spotlight, with 7 of them forecasting significant profit increases for 2025 [7]. Group 3: Company Profiles and Strategies - The first tier of companies, termed "ban immune," includes Huayou Cobalt, which has established deep processing capacity in Zimbabwe and is set to produce lithium sulfate, allowing it to circumvent the export ban [9]. - Zhongjin Lingnan has a strong position with its control over the Bikita lithium mine, which allows it to apply for export licenses despite the ban, and it has a stockpile of 150,000 tons of lithium concentrate to buffer against short-term export restrictions [11]. - The second tier includes resource giants like Ganfeng Lithium, which has diversified global resources and is expected to see a significant increase in production from 200,000 tons to 500,000 tons by 2026, benefiting from rising lithium prices [11][13]. Group 4: Long-term Industry Implications - The ban is prompting a reevaluation of companies with overseas resources, local processing capabilities, or stable domestic sources, as their strategic value is being reassessed in the market [17]. - The surge in lithium carbonate futures and the rising stock prices of lithium mining companies reflect this market reassessment and the potential for long-term growth in the sector [17].

2月26日，沪指跌0.01%，深证成指涨0.19%，创业板指跌0.29%。全市场成交额2.56万亿元，超2800股下跌。CPO、PCB、液冷服务器、培育钻石、代糖概念 股涨幅居前；影视院线、房地产、贵金属下跌。 个股方面，豫能控股6连板，法尔胜4连板，澄星股份3连板，华胜天成、圣晖集成等4天2板，通鼎互联、天润工业3天2板，云南锗业、赣能股份等2连板。 | 代码 | 名称 | 价格 | 涨跌 | 涨幅量 | 换手% 几天几板I2 ... | 成交额 | 成交量 涨停分析 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 301175 | 中科环保 | 7.78 | +1.30 | +20.06% | 31.28% 自板涨停 | 14.16 7. | 194.5万 垃圾焚烧+商业 | | 688786 | 悦安新材 | 39.10 | +6.52 | +20.01% | 7.63% 自板张停 | 4.11 Z. | 10.97万 GPU由感+3D | | 300499 | 高澜胶份 | 38.15 | +6.36 | +20.01% | 35.27% 首 ...

Group 1 - Huang Yanming, the director of Dongfang Securities Research Institute, stated that the next investment focus in A-shares will be on mid-cap blue chips, moving away from the previous high-growth tech and high-dividend strategies [1] - The investment focus will be on three main areas: globally priced cyclical goods such as chemicals, non-ferrous metals, agricultural products, and global shipping; manufacturing sectors related to technology and national strength enhancement, including military industry, robotics, and new energy; and technology sectors related to large model performance realization [1] Group 2 - The International Institute of Finance reported that global debt has surged to a record $348 trillion, increasing by nearly $29 trillion, marking the fastest growth since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic [2] - Government debt in countries like the United States and the Eurozone exceeds $10 trillion [2] Group 3 - Several lithium mining companies expect Zimbabwe's lithium ore exports to resume within one month after a temporary suspension [3] - Companies like Zhongmin Resources and Yahua Group are preparing to submit supplementary materials for export applications, indicating that the ban is expected to be lifted soon [3] Group 4 - Overseas tech companies are increasingly turning to loans backed by chips, particularly GPUs, to fund their substantial AI investments, with Moody's beginning to rate GPU-backed debt [4] - NAND flash memory prices are rising due to ongoing shortages, prompting major manufacturers like Phison to require advance payments from customers [4] Group 5 - The Chinese smartphone industry is set to experience a comprehensive price increase starting in March 2026, with new models expected to rise by at least 1,000 yuan [5] - Major brands such as OPPO, OnePlus, Vivo, iQOO, Xiaomi, and Honor are likely to raise prices for older models as well, marking a historic trend of simultaneous price hikes across all categories and brands [5] Group 6 - CCD cameras, once common, have seen a resurgence in popularity, with prices for certain models skyrocketing in the second-hand market [6] - Young consumers are driving this trend, primarily for the aesthetic quality of the images produced by these cameras [6] Group 7 - Baidu Group reported a total revenue of 32.7 billion yuan for Q4 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 5% [7] - The net profit attributable to Baidu was 1.8 billion yuan, with a net profit margin of 5% [7] Group 8 - ByteDance's valuation is reportedly around $550 billion, as investment firm General Atlantic is selling part of its stake [8] - This valuation places ByteDance between Tencent and Alibaba in terms of market capitalization [8] Group 9 - New Hope Liuhe announced a cash investment of 74.87 million yuan to acquire a 70% stake in Luochuan Lingxian Company [9] - The investment will be used for both purchasing shares and increasing capital for the company [9] Group 10 - Aokema plans to acquire a 45% stake in its subsidiary Qingdao Aokema Smart Industry Co., Ltd. for 253 million yuan, aiming for full ownership [10] - The transaction is part of a strategy to consolidate control over its subsidiary [10]

官方数据显示，津巴布韦锂矿资源储量估计达1.26亿吨，位居全球前列，近年来在全球锂矿供应中扮演 着重要角色。2025年，中国从该国进口锂矿石120余万吨，仅次于澳大利亚，是中国锂矿进口第二大 国。华友钴业、中矿资源、盛新锂能、雅化集团、天华新能等企业在津巴布韦已布局锂矿开采、硫酸锂 生产线等。锂矿出口禁令可能对投资当地锂矿的企业造成影响并改变全球锂矿供应格局，在A股市场 上，上述股票应声大跌。 此前一天，津巴布韦矿业部宣布立即暂停所有原矿及锂精矿出口（含在途货物），意味着津巴布韦在推 进矿产资源本地化加工方面迈出关键一步。 股票大跌，让投资者坐不住了，急忙追问：津巴布韦政府发布锂矿的禁令，对雅化集团的锂矿出口有影 响吗？ 26日下午收盘后，雅化集团在互动平台火速回应：目前不会对公司正常生产经营造成影响。首先，根据 津巴布韦矿业部公告及沟通，本次禁令主要打击贸易类违规出口，明确只允许拥有采矿权和选矿厂的企 业出口。雅化津巴布韦项目符合上述要求，目前已重新提交出口申请，最快1—2周获批恢复出口。其 次，津巴布韦政府希望中企加快在津巴布韦建设硫酸锂工厂，雅化津巴布韦硫酸锂项目已经启动建设。 最后，雅化津巴布韦前期产 ...

图片来 源：图虫创意 津巴布韦暂停锂精矿和原矿出口。 2月25日，新华财经披露了上述消息，此次暂停令还包括了目前所有在途的矿产。 受该消息影响，2月26日，碳酸锂期货主力合约一度大涨12%，触及18.7万元/吨。截至当日收盘，上涨 3.47%，报17.37万元/吨。 现货方面，上海钢联最新数据显示，2月26日，电池级碳酸锂早盘均价报17.31万元/吨，较前一工作日 上涨8650元。 根据修订后的其他矿产出口要求，只有持有有效采矿权和已获批选矿厂的矿业公司才被授权出口。代理 商和第三方贸易商无权代表采矿权持有人出口矿产。 出口许可证申请必须包括相关省级矿业办公室出具的建议书，详细说明选矿能力和合规状况，以及每批 货物的矿物成分申报。 津巴布韦政府表示，此举旨在加强矿产问责制，促进选矿增值，并最大限度地提高津巴布韦境内的价值 留存。 津巴布韦在2月17日就曾宣布，为遏制矿物出口中的不当行为和矿物流失，决定调整所有矿物及选矿产 成品的出口流程和框架，并建立有效框架。 在此期间，由于相关政府部门调整其流程，采矿业在出口许可证的处理和签发方面可能遇到暂时性延 误。为此，所有申请新出口许可证和续签现有出口许可证者，应至少 ...

华友钴业相关负责人表示，此次津巴布韦的"出口禁令"主要是对违规出口的监管，公司的采矿证是当地 矿业部颁发的，目前尚不确定具体影响程度。 雅化集团相关负责人表示："公司已提前把津巴布韦生产的锂精矿全部发运出来。最近一段时间，当 地'暂停出口'对公司的生产端不会造成影响。" 该负责人进一步表示："根据文件看，未在当地取得采矿证及选矿资质的贸易商与代理商，已不具备出 口资质。但雅化集团可以继续申请出口，只需要在出口许可流程上补充相关资料，公司已着手推进相关 工作。" 2月26日，碳酸锂期货主力合约一度涨超11%。同时，A股锂矿板块高开。消息面上，当地时间2月25 日，津巴布韦矿业部发文称，已暂停所有锂原矿和锂精矿的出口，即刻生效。此次暂停出口包括所有目 前正在运输途中的矿产，暂无明确恢复出口的时间表。 中国证券报记者梳理获悉，上市公司盛新锂能、华友钴业、中矿资源、天华新能、雅化集团均在津巴布 韦有锂矿等布局。 作为新兴的锂资源大国，津巴布韦"出口禁令"对于中国锂的供应及价格走势有何影响？中国证券报记者 进行了多方采访。 上市公司回应 此次津巴布韦的新政策对于在当地布局的A股上市公司有哪些影响？ 2月26日，中矿资源 ...

专题：A股节后迎高胜率窗口 新一轮上行可期 热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 客户端 2．电网设备 北京科锐、神马股份、杭电股份等多股涨停。 截至收盘，沪指报4146.63点，跌0.01%；深证成指报14503.79点，涨0.19%；创指报3344.98点，跌 0.29%。 盘面上，元件、CPO、铜缆高速连接板块涨幅居前；影视院线、保险、房地产板块跌幅居前。 热点板块： 1．算力芯片 寒武纪涨近10%，聚飞光电、杰普特20cm涨停，中天科技、烽火通信等多股涨停。 消息面上，国产算力芯片龙头海光信息公告，预计一季度实现归属于母公司所有者的净利润6.2亿元— 7.2亿元，同比增长22.56%—42.32%。 炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 2月26日消息，市场全天探底回升，三大股指涨跌不一。板块方面，算力芯片股午后拉升，明阳电路、 聚飞光电、杰普特20cm涨停；电网设备板块震荡走强，北京科锐、神马股份、杭电股份等多股涨停； 商业航天概念持续走高，抚顺特钢涨停；下跌方面，影视院线板块持续调整，博纳影业领跌；房地产板 块表现低迷，华联控股领跌；创新药板 ...

格隆汇2月26日丨雅化集团(002497.SZ)在互动平台表示，目前津巴布韦出口禁令不会对公司正常生产经 营造成影响：1、根据津巴布韦矿业部公告及沟通，本次禁令主要打击贸易类违规出口，明确只允许拥 有采矿权和选矿厂的企业出口。雅化津巴项目符合上述要求，目前已重新提交出口申请，最快1-2周获 批恢复出口。2、津巴政府希望中企加快在津巴布韦建设硫酸锂工厂，雅化津巴布韦硫酸锂项目已经启 动建设。3、雅化津巴前期产出的锂精矿已全部海运发回，既不会影响津巴矿山生产，也完全能保障国 内产品生产需求。 ...

供给：锂价反弹刺激供给，但短期增量有限 智通财经APP获悉，国信证券发布研报称，动力电池和储能电池双驱动，预计2026年全球锂需求有望达 到约200万吨LCE。另国内锂电池出口退税下调，短期或推动锂电抢出口，需求前置下或将带动锂行业 供需边际趋紧。经历过连续几个月的去库存之后，目前国内锂盐库存周期仅不足一个月时间，在供需如 此紧张的情况下，库存矛盾将愈加凸显。该行看好锂价在近期进一步上行，预计短期有望涨至20万元/ 吨以上。 国信证券主要观点如下： 相关标的：赣锋锂业、天齐锂业、盐湖股份、中矿资源、永兴材料、华友钴业、盛新锂能、雅化集团、 大中矿业、国城矿业 风险提示：锂终端需求不及预期;全球锂资源开发速度超预期。 动力电池和储能电池双驱动，预计2026年全球锂需求有望达到约200万吨LCE。储能电池需求自2025年 下半年开始显著超预期，年初也保持旺盛的需求状态，预计全年出货量可以达到900Gwh左右，同比增 速近50%;动力电池需求年初遇冷，主要是受补贴退坡和淡季消费等因素影响，预计从3月份开始有望迅 速回暖，全年仍有望实现20%左右增长。另外，国内锂电池出口退税下调，自2026年4月1日至12月31日 ...

据中证金牛座，当地时间2月25日，津巴布韦矿业部发文称，已暂停所有原矿和锂精矿的出口，即刻生 效。记者梳理获悉，上市公司盛新锂能、中矿资源、天华新能、雅化集团等均在津巴布韦有锂矿等布 局。 华友钴业相关负责人对记者表示，此次津巴布韦的"禁令"主要是对违规出口的监管，公司的采矿证是当 地矿业部颁发的，目前还不确定具体影响有多大。 雅化集团相关负责人对记者表示："公司已经提前把津巴布韦生产的锂精矿全部发出来。最近一段时 间，当地'暂停出口'对公司的生产端不会造成影响。"该负责人进一步表示："根据文件看，未在当地取 得采矿证以及选矿资格的贸易商与代理商，已不具备出口资质。但雅化集团可以继续申请出口，需要在 出口许可流程上补充相关资料，公司已经着手推进。" 对此，中矿资源相关负责人回应称："所有中方在津巴布韦锂精矿出口全部停了，等待后续政策细则。 目前，中方企业在当地锂的深加工产品基本没有，量很小。公司有相关的产业链延伸计划考虑，但现在 不便公开。" ...