兴业证券股份有限公司 关于上能电气股份有限公司 2024 年度跟踪报告 | 保荐人名称：兴业证券股份有限公司 | 被保荐公司简称：上能电气 | | --- | --- | | 保荐代表人姓名：唐涛 | 联系电话：025-84661585 | | 保荐代表人姓名：毛祖丰 | 联系电话：025-84661595 | 一、保荐工作概述 | 项 目 | 工作内容 | | --- | --- | | 1.公司信息披露审阅情况 | | | （1）是否及时审阅公司信息披露文件 | 是 | | （2）未及时审阅公司信息披露文件的次数 | 0 次 | | 2．督导公司建立健全并有效执行规章制度的 | | | 情况 | | | （1）是否督导公司建立健全规章制度（包括 | | | 但不限于防止关联方占用公司资源的制度、 募集资金管理制度、内控制度、内部审计制 | 是 | | 度、关联交易制度） | | | （2）公司是否有效执行相关规章制度 | 是 | | 3.募集资金监督情况 | | | （1）查询公司募集资金专户次数 | 每月查询一次 | | （2）公司募集资金项目进展是否与信息披露 | 是 | | 文件一致 | | | 4 ...

Group 1: Wind Power Industry - The wind power industry in China is experiencing a recovery in performance from Q4 2024 to Q1 2025, with some companies exceeding expectations [3] - In 2024, 23 A-share wind power companies reported a total revenue of 225.15 billion yuan and a net profit of 13.24 billion yuan, showing a revenue increase of 4.39% but a net profit decline of 12.70% year-on-year [3] - In Q1 2025, these companies achieved a total revenue of 47.58 billion yuan and a net profit of 4.22 billion yuan, indicating growth compared to Q1 2024 [3] - Goldwind Technology reported a revenue of 9.47 billion yuan in Q1 2025, a 35.72% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 568 million yuan, up 70.84% [4] - The recovery in wind turbine prices and expansion into overseas markets have positively impacted the performance of wind power manufacturers [4][6] Group 2: Solar Power Industry - The solar power industry faced significant challenges in 2024, with 110 A-share solar companies reporting a total revenue of approximately 1.38 trillion yuan, a decrease of 17.96% year-on-year, and a net profit of approximately -363 million yuan, a decline of 100.25% [8] - In Q1 2025, these companies reported a total revenue of 279.14 billion yuan, with a net profit of approximately 4.74 billion yuan, indicating a significant drop compared to Q1 2024 [8] - Major integrated solar companies like TCL Zhonghuan, Longi Green Energy, and Tongwei reported substantial losses, with net profits of -9.82 billion yuan, -8.62 billion yuan, and -7.04 billion yuan respectively [8] - Despite the overall downturn, companies involved in solar energy storage have shown resilience, with notable performances from companies like Sungrow Power and Canadian Solar [9] Group 3: Energy Storage Industry - The energy storage industry saw a decline in overall performance in 2024, with 21 A-share companies reporting a total revenue of 682.1 billion yuan, a decrease of 3.59%, and a net profit of 74.54 billion yuan, down 21.4% year-on-year [12] - In Q1 2025, these companies reported a total revenue of 158.07 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12.39%, and a net profit of 21.03 billion yuan, up 34% [13] - The profitability in the energy storage sector is increasingly concentrated among leading companies like CATL and Sungrow, which have reported significant profit increases [13] - The energy storage market is undergoing transformation, with a shift in focus from domestic to overseas markets for higher profit margins [14][15]

Core Viewpoint - The renewable energy sectors, including wind power, solar energy, and energy storage, are experiencing cyclical fluctuations, with varying performance across different segments. While wind and energy storage companies are maintaining profitability, solar companies are facing significant challenges, particularly in 2024 and early 2025 [1]. Wind Power Industry - The domestic wind power industry showed a recovery from Q4 2024 to Q1 2025, with 23 A-share wind power companies achieving a total revenue of 225.15 billion yuan and a net profit of 13.24 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a revenue growth of 4.39% but a net profit decline of 12.70% [5]. - In Q1 2025, these companies reported a revenue of 475.75 billion yuan and a net profit of 4.22 billion yuan, indicating growth compared to Q1 2024 [5]. - Goldwind Technology reported a revenue of 9.47 billion yuan in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 35.72%, with a net profit of 568 million yuan, up 70.84% [6]. - The recovery in wind turbine prices and expansion into overseas markets have contributed to improved performance for wind turbine manufacturers, including previously loss-making companies [7]. Solar Energy Industry - The solar energy sector faced unprecedented challenges in 2024, with 110 A-share solar companies reporting a total revenue of approximately 1.38 trillion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 17.96%, and a net profit of approximately -3.63 billion yuan, down 100.25% [9]. - In Q1 2025, these companies reported a total revenue of 279.14 billion yuan, with a net profit of approximately 47.44 billion yuan, indicating a significant decline compared to Q1 2024 [9]. - A total of 46 A-share solar companies reported negative net profits in 2024, with leading integrated companies like TCL Zhonghuan, Longi Green Energy, and Tongwei Co. facing the largest losses [10]. - Companies with energy storage businesses, such as Sungrow Power Supply, showed resilience, with notable profit growth driven by their storage segments [11]. Energy Storage Industry - The energy storage sector experienced a downturn in 2024 but showed signs of recovery in Q1 2025, with 21 A-share companies reporting a total revenue of 6.82 billion yuan, a decrease of 3.59%, and a net profit of 745.41 million yuan, down 21.4% [15]. - In Q1 2025, these companies achieved a total revenue of 1.58 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12.39%, and a net profit of 210.33 million yuan, up 34% [15]. - The profitability in the energy storage sector is increasingly concentrated among leading companies, with firms like CATL and Sungrow Power Supply reporting significant profit increases [16]. - The Chinese market remains the largest for energy storage installations, driven by domestic policies and growing overseas demand [17].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [7] Core Views - The company's revenue for 2024 is projected at 4.773 billion RMB, a year-on-year decrease of 3.2%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 419 million RMB, an increase of 46.5% year-on-year [1] - The company has experienced a significant increase in net profit in Q1 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 71.6% [1] - The company is expanding its product range and driving growth through both domestic and international markets, particularly in Asia, Africa, and Europe [1][4] Revenue and Profitability - The company's photovoltaic inverter business revenue for 2024 is estimated at 2.75 billion RMB, a decrease of 4% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 22.6%, up 2.3 percentage points [2] - The company shipped approximately 25GW of photovoltaic inverters in 2024, with a significant portion being exported [2] - The storage business revenue for 2024 is projected at 1.93 billion RMB, remaining stable year-on-year, with a gross margin of 22.0%, an increase of 5.8 percentage points [3] Future Projections - The report forecasts net profits for 2025 and 2026 at 609.76 million RMB and 751.06 million RMB, respectively, with a new estimate for 2027 at 936.25 million RMB [4] - The target price for the company is set at 34.00 RMB, based on a projected PE ratio of 20 times for 2025 [4][8]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in revenue for 2024 but achieved significant growth in net profit, indicating a structural improvement in profitability driven by the rapid expansion of its overseas solar storage business [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of 4.77 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 3.2%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 420 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 46.5% [1] - For Q1 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 830 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.8%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 90 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 71.6% [1] - The gross profit margin for 2024 was 22.9%, an increase of 3.7 percentage points year-on-year, while Q1 2025 saw a gross profit margin of 24.3%, up 0.7 percentage points year-on-year and 5.7 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [1] Group 2: Inverter Business - The company's photovoltaic inverter business generated operating revenue of 2.75 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 4.5%, with a gross margin of 22.6%, up 5.1 percentage points year-on-year [2] - In 2024, the company sold 25.1 GW of photovoltaic inverters, a year-on-year increase of 7.0% [2] - The company plans to strengthen its market expansion in emerging markets along the Belt and Road Initiative and the Middle East to mitigate risks from policy fluctuations in single countries [2] Group 3: Energy Storage Business - The energy storage business achieved operating revenue of 1.93 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 0.1%, with a gross margin of 22.0%, up 7.1 percentage points year-on-year [3] - The company ranked second in domestic energy storage PCS shipment volume for four consecutive years, focusing on large-scale storage and overseas market expansion [3] - The prices of energy storage systems and PCS saw significant declines due to falling lithium battery raw material prices and increased industry competition, with price drops of approximately 45% and 30% for mainstream products, respectively [3] Group 4: Profit Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The company is projected to achieve operating revenues of 6.43 billion yuan, 8.83 billion yuan, and 10.35 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 34.6%, 37.4%, and 17.2% respectively [4] - Net profits attributable to shareholders are expected to be 580 million yuan, 800 million yuan, and 960 million yuan for the same period, with year-on-year growth rates of 38.0%, 37.8%, and 20.7% respectively [4] - The company is expected to maintain steady growth in performance due to its dual-track layout in solar and storage, along with breakthroughs in overseas markets [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the photovoltaic industry, indicating limited marginal impact from recent developments [1]. Core Insights - The final anti-dumping and countervailing duty rates announced by the U.S. Department of Commerce for solar cells imported from four Southeast Asian countries (Cambodia, Malaysia, Thailand, Vietnam) have generally increased, with some companies facing punitive rates exceeding 3000% due to non-compliance during investigations [1][11][12]. - Despite the increased duty rates, the marginal impact is expected to be limited as companies have already adjusted their export strategies to mitigate risks, and the U.S. remains reliant on imported solar cells due to insufficient domestic production capacity [2][12]. Industry Price Trends Main Material Segment - The average price of polysilicon dense material is reported at 40.0 CNY/kg, and granular material at 38.0 CNY/kg, remaining stable week-on-week [3][37]. - The average price for 182-183.75mm monocrystalline P-type silicon wafers is 1.15 CNY/piece, also stable, while N-type wafers have seen price decreases of up to 6.9% [3][38]. - The average price for 182-183.75mm monocrystalline PERC cells is 0.295 CNY/W, down 1.7% from the previous week [3][43]. Auxiliary Material Segment - The price of 3.2mm coated photovoltaic glass is stable at 22.25 CNY/m², and 2.0mm coated glass at 14.25 CNY/m² [4][53]. - Prices for transparent EVA film, white EVA film, and POE film remain unchanged at 6.14 CNY/m², 6.64 CNY/m², and 8.51 CNY/m² respectively [4][53]. Market Performance Overview Industry and Stock Performance - The overall industry index increased by 0.59%, with the electric equipment sector rising by 2.40% [14][15]. - The top-performing stocks in the electric equipment sector include Fangzheng Electric (+28.20%) and Saimo Intelligent (+19.18%), while Qingdao Zhongcheng saw a significant decline of -20.50% [20][22]. PE Valuation - As of April 25, the electric equipment sector has a PE (TTM) of 23x, with the photovoltaic equipment sector at 17x [25][29]. - The PE valuation percentile for the electric equipment sector is 17.5%, indicating its relative valuation compared to historical data [30][33].

证券代码：300827 证券简称：上能电气 公告编号：2025-039 上能电气股份有限公司 关于首次回购公司股份暨回购结果与股份变动的公告 2025 年 4 月 24 日，公司通过股份回购专用证券账户以集中竞价交易方式实 施了首次回购，累计回购股份数量为 1,761,958 股，占公司目前总股本的 0.49%。 最高成交价为 28.50 元/股，最低成交价为 28.14 元/股，成交总金额为 49,992,026.30 元（不含交易费用）。本次回购符合公司股份回购方案及相关法 律法规的规定。本次回购方案已全部实施完毕。 二、本次回购情况与回购方案不存在差异的说明 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露内容的真实、准确和完整，没有虚 假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 上能电气股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）于 2025 年 4 月 11 日召开第四 届董事会第十一次会议审议通过了《关于回购公司股份方案的议案》，同意公司 使用自有资金或自筹资金以集中竞价交易方式回购公司部分人民币普通股 A 股 股份（以下简称"本次回购"），本次回购的股份将用于股权激励计划。本次用于 回购股份的资金总额不低于人民币 3,600 万元（ ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Recommended" [4][14]. Core Views - The company has optimized its revenue structure and improved profitability, with a slight decrease in revenue for 2024 but significant growth in net profit [4][7]. - The company plans to distribute cash dividends and increase share capital through bonus shares [4]. - The company is focusing on expanding its overseas market presence, particularly in Europe, India, and the Middle East, while maintaining a strong position in the domestic market [10]. Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of 4.773 billion yuan, a decrease of 3.2% year-on-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 46.5% to 419 million yuan [4][6]. - For Q1 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 831 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.8%, and net profit of 88 million yuan, up 71.6% [4][7]. - The gross profit margin for 2024 was 22.9%, an increase of 5.79 percentage points from the previous year, with a net profit margin of 8.73% [7][12]. Revenue Breakdown - In 2024, revenue from photovoltaic inverters was 2.750 billion yuan, a decrease of 4.5%, while revenue from energy storage systems increased slightly to 1.928 billion yuan, a growth of 0.1% [7][10]. - The company’s revenue from overseas markets grew significantly by 68.7% to 1.164 billion yuan, accounting for 24.4% of total revenue [7][10]. Market Position - The company ranks fourth in the domestic photovoltaic inverter bidding market with a total winning capacity of 18.2 GW in 2024 [10]. - It is also ranked second in both domestic and overseas markets for energy storage inverters [10]. Future Projections - The company forecasts operating revenues of 6.066 billion yuan in 2025, with a projected net profit of 632 million yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 50.8% [6][12]. - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is 1.76 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 16.1 [12].

2025年04月25日 电力设备及新能源 上能电气(300827.SZ) 营收结构优化，盈利能力提升 公 司 报 告 | 行业 | 电力设备及新能源 | | --- | --- | | 公司网址 | www.si-neng.com | | 大股东/持股 | 吴强/20.16% | | 实际控制人 | 吴强,吴超 | | 总股本(百万股) | 360 | | 流通A股(百万股) | 266 | | 流通B/H股(百万股) | | | 总市值(亿元) | 101 | | 流通A股市值(亿元) | 75 | | 每股净资产(元) | 6.26 | | 资产负债率(%) | 72.9 | 行情走势图 相关研究报告 【平安证券】上能电气（300827.SZ）*首次覆盖报 告*光储大机领军者，出海步履昂扬*推荐20250108 证券分析师 张之尧 投资咨询资格编号 S1060524070005 zhangzhiyao757@pingan.com.cn 推荐 ( 维持) 股价:28.21元 主要数据 事项： 公司发布2024年年报及2025年一季报。2024年，公司实现营业收入47.73亿 元，同比减少3.2%；实现归母净 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company is experiencing growth in overseas solar storage, with a significant number of orders on hand. The revenue for 2024 is projected to be 4.773 billion yuan, a decrease of 3.23% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase by 46.49% to 418.78 million yuan [7][8] - The company’s photovoltaic inverter revenue for 2024 is expected to be 2.75 billion yuan, a decrease of 4.5% year-on-year, while the storage PCS revenue is projected to be 1.93 billion yuan, a slight increase of 0.1% year-on-year. The overall gross margin is expected to improve, particularly in overseas markets [7] - The company has maintained stable operating expenses, with a significant increase in contract liabilities, indicating a strong order backlog. The operating cash flow for 2024 is projected to be 1.2 billion yuan, showing a positive turnaround [7] Financial Projections - Total revenue projections for the company are as follows: 4.933 billion yuan for 2023, 4.773 billion yuan for 2024, 6.672 billion yuan for 2025, 8.632 billion yuan for 2026, and 11 billion yuan for 2027 [1][8] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 285.87 million yuan for 2023, 418.78 million yuan for 2024, 566.91 million yuan for 2025, 737.34 million yuan for 2026, and 933.42 million yuan for 2027 [1][8] - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to increase from 0.80 yuan in 2023 to 2.60 yuan in 2027, reflecting a strong growth trajectory [1][8] Market Data - The closing price of the company's stock is 28.21 yuan, with a market capitalization of approximately 10.143 billion yuan [5] - The company has a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 24.22 based on the latest diluted EPS [1][5]