从股票 ETF 二级市场表现看，光伏、卫星板块领涨。当日涨幅前十大股票 ETF 中，光伏新能源板块占据 4 席，卫星占据 6 席。 具体而言，当日有 21 只股票 ETF 上涨幅度超过 8% ，科创板新能源 ETF 、卫星 ETF 、光伏 ETF 易方达、卫星产业 ETF 涨幅均达到 10% 。 【导读】上周五股票 ETF 资金净流出超 700 亿元 中国基金报记者 天心 上周五（ 1 月 23 日）， A 股市场呈现普涨格局，三大指数集体收涨，两市成交额重回 3 万亿元以上。 部分资金继续选择兑现离场。上周五全市场股票 ETF （含跨境 ETF ）资金净流出超 717 亿元。沪深 300 、上证 50 、中证 1000 等宽 基 ETF 是资金净流出较多的品种， 4 只单日净流出超 100 亿元，最大单只单日净流出超 200 亿元。 实际上，过去一周，由于 部分宽基 ETF 出现较大规模 " 失血 "，股票 ETF 连续五个交易日资金净流出，合计净流出近 4500 亿元。 光伏、卫星板块 ETF 领涨 Wind 数据显示，截至 2026 年 1 月 23 日，全市场 1315 只股票 ETF 总规模达 4. ...

截至2026年1月23日 09:45，新能源ETF(516160)上涨3.02%，成交9069.40万元。跟踪指数中证新能源指 数成分股迈为股份上涨20.00%，拉普拉斯上涨19.62%，捷佳伟创上涨16.80%，天合光能，容百科技 （维权）等个股跟涨。 新能源ETF(516160)紧密跟踪中证新能源指数，中证新能源指数选取涉及可再生能源生产、新能源应 用、新能源存储以及新能源交互设备等业务的上市公司证券作为指数样本，以反映新能源产业相关上市 公司证券的整体表现。指数前十大权重股分别为宁德时代、阳光电源、特变电工、隆基绿能、华友钴 业、亿纬锂能（维权）、中国核电、赣锋锂业、天赐材料、三峡能源，前十大权重股合计占比 43.23%。 消息面上，1月20日，财政部官网连发5文，出台支持中小企业、民间投资、设备更新等相关投资的一揽 子利好政策。能源电力、新能源汽车、节能环保、小水电等成为重点支持领域。同时配套民间投资、设 备更新等一揽子支持，直接降低新能源产业链企业融资成本，利好整车、零部件、储能、光伏等环节扩 产与技术升级。 新能源ETF(516160)，场外联接(A类：012831；C类：012832；南方中证新 ...

Core Insights - The ETF market has recently experienced record outflows, with broad-based ETFs seeing over 200 billion yuan in outflows in a single week, while sector and thematic ETFs in technology and cyclical sectors continue to attract inflows [1] Group 1: Market Trends - The outflow of funds from broad-based ETFs indicates a significant market adjustment, which may help temper market sentiment and promote rationality in capital market operations [1] - Small-cap stocks have been less impacted by the outflows, while sectors such as banking, food and beverage, coal, and non-bank financials have faced greater challenges [1] Group 2: Investment Recommendations - The current investment strategy suggests focusing on broad-based products like the ChiNext 50, ChiNext Index, Double Innovation 50, and CSI 1000 ETFs, as well as thematic products in new energy, non-ferrous metals, agriculture, pharmaceuticals, and medical devices [1]

Core Insights - The ETF market has recently experienced record outflows, with broad-based ETFs seeing over 200 billion yuan in outflows in a single week, while sector and thematic ETFs in technology and cyclical sectors continue to attract inflows [1] Group 1: Market Trends - The outflow of funds from broad-based ETFs indicates a significant market adjustment, which may help temper market sentiment and promote rationality in capital markets [1] - Small-cap stocks have been less impacted by the outflows, while sectors such as banking, food and beverage, coal, and non-bank financials have faced greater challenges [1] Group 2: Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on broad-based products like the ChiNext 50, ChiNext Index, Double Innovation 50, and CSI 1000 ETFs, as well as thematic products in new energy, non-ferrous metals, agriculture, pharmaceuticals, and medical devices [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights significant investments in the energy sector, particularly by the State Grid Corporation, which is expected to reach a historical high of 4 trillion yuan during the 14th Five-Year Plan, representing a 40% increase compared to the previous plan [1] - The investment focus will be on promoting green and low-carbon energy transition, constructing a new power system, and deepening technological innovation [1] - The expected fixed asset investments for the State Grid and Southern Grid during the 14th Five-Year Plan are approximately 4 trillion yuan and 1 trillion yuan, respectively, with a projected annual grid investment of 889 billion yuan in 2026, reflecting a year-on-year growth of over 7% [1] Group 2 - The meeting of the inter-ministerial joint conference on energy-saving and new energy vehicles noted that the market size of China's new energy vehicles increased by 3.6 times during the 14th Five-Year Plan, with battery costs reduced by 30%, lifespan increased by 40%, and charging speeds improved by over three times [2] - There is a pressing need to establish a power capacity market mechanism to ensure the recovery of installation costs for various power generation entities in the context of high renewable energy penetration [2] - The top ten weighted stocks in the CSI New Energy Index, which the New Energy ETF closely tracks, account for 43.23% of the index, including major companies like CATL, Sungrow Power, and Longi Green Energy [2]

【导读】12月26日股票ETF净流入超100亿元 12月26日，A股三大股指集体收涨，沪指实现日线八连阳，两市成交额显著放量。在市场震荡上扬之时，股票ETF单日净流入103.71亿元。多数宽基ETF 获资金青睐，中证1000、中证500、沪深300、上证50、中证A500等指数ETF均获大举加仓，而国防军工ETF和黄金ETF净流出金额居前。 宽基ETF获大举加仓 数据显示，截至12月26日，全市场1284只股票ETF（含跨境ETF）总规模为4.79万亿元。若按照区间成交均价测算，12月26日股票ETF整体净流入资金为 103.71亿元。 具体来看，中证1000指数ETF单日净流入居前，达30.5亿元。单只ETF方面，南方基金旗下中证1000ETF单日净流入达16.92亿元；华夏基金旗下中证 1000ETF单日净流入8.42亿元，最新规模达500.13亿元，对应跟踪指数近一月日均成交额为12.15亿元，同样位居前列。 跟踪上证50指数的ETF资金净流入金额同样显著，达18亿元。具体来看，上一交易日，华夏基金旗下上证50ETF单日净流入13.49亿元，最新规模达 1798.48亿元，对应跟踪指数近一月日均成交额为 ...

- The report mentions an A-share timing model, specifically a "wave model" that turned bullish mid-week, marking the first shift to a higher position since November 14, 2025. This model is used to determine optimal entry points for A-share investments based on market signals [1][29] - A short-term timing model for A-shares also turned bullish on major broad-based indices on Friday, indicating a positive outlook for traditional sectors such as consumption, infrastructure, real estate, and manufacturing [1][29] - The report highlights a "position timing strategy" for the A-share market, which is used to adjust equity exposure based on market conditions. This strategy is supported by historical net value data and performance metrics [11][12] - A "multi-long-short timing strategy" for the A-share market is also discussed, which involves leveraging long and short positions in futures to optimize returns. This strategy is visualized through net value curves and position recommendations [13][14] - The report includes a "dividend growth timing strategy" for A-shares, focusing on stocks with high dividend yields and growth potential. This strategy is designed to capture returns from dividend-paying stocks while managing risk [21] - A "small and micro-cap timing strategy" for A-shares is mentioned, targeting smaller market capitalization stocks for potential higher returns. This strategy is based on specific timing signals for small-cap stocks [17][18] - The report also discusses a "Hong Kong stock position timing strategy," which adjusts exposure to Hong Kong equities based on macroeconomic and market signals. This strategy emphasizes resilience and flexibility in sectors like central enterprises and internet companies [15] - A "gold timing strategy" is included, which maintains a medium position in gold while avoiding silver due to uncertain market conditions. This strategy is based on the U.S. dollar index and other macroeconomic factors [22] - The report outlines "ETF portfolio strategies," including equity-biased and bond-biased portfolios. These strategies are designed to optimize returns through diversified ETF investments, with performance tracked through net value curves [24][26]

Core Viewpoint - The stock indices showed mixed performance this week, with significant capital inflow into the CSI A500-related ETFs, while certain industry-themed ETFs, particularly in the military sector, faced substantial outflows [1][2][10]. Group 1: Market Performance - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 9.73 trillion yuan, with the Shanghai market accounting for 4.05 trillion yuan and the Shenzhen market 5.68 trillion yuan [2]. - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3963.68 points, up 1.88% for the week, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13603.89 points, up 3.53% [2]. - A total of 380.69 billion yuan net inflow was recorded for stock ETFs and cross-border ETFs, with broad-based index ETFs seeing a net inflow of 490 billion yuan [2]. Group 2: ETF Inflows and Outflows - The CSI A500-related ETFs experienced a net inflow of 493 billion yuan this week [5]. - In contrast, 64 industry-themed ETFs saw a net outflow exceeding 1 billion yuan, with significant losses in military-related ETFs [13]. - The top ten large-scale broad-based index ETFs collectively faced a net outflow of 17.85 billion yuan, with the CSI 300 ETF alone seeing a net outflow of 34.08 billion yuan [7]. Group 3: Industry Themes - Industry-themed ETFs such as satellite, new energy, and gaming ETFs attracted significant capital, with net inflows of 15.51 billion yuan, 13.04 billion yuan, and 11.92 billion yuan respectively [10]. - Conversely, military-related ETFs faced substantial outflows, with the military leader ETF and military ETF seeing reductions of 26.66 billion and 12.48 billion shares, respectively, resulting in net outflows of 19.42 billion yuan and 16.11 billion yuan [12][13]. - Analysts suggest that the recent capital inflow into the CSI A500 index reflects a strategic positioning by long-term capital in anticipation of structural market changes [22]. Group 4: Future Outlook - Analysts predict that as macroeconomic data impacts diminish, liquidity and risk appetite will increasingly influence the market, potentially leading to a "spring rally" characterized by significant index movements [9]. - The upcoming launch of two new ETFs tracking Hong Kong stocks and AI-related sectors is expected to attract additional investor interest [23].

Market Performance - On December 26, the Shanghai Composite Index experienced a slight decline of 0.19%, while the ChiNext Index fell by 0.15%. In contrast, the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 0.17% [1] - The total market turnover reached 1.4648 trillion yuan, an increase of 252.9 billion yuan compared to the previous day [1] Sector Performance - The AI industry chain saw a collective pullback, with CPO, liquid cooling, and high-speed copper concepts leading the declines. Technology themes such as robotics and photolithography also underwent a general correction [1] - Conversely, the lithium battery industry chain surged, with the non-ferrous metals sector accelerating. Companies like Luoyang Molybdenum and Zijin Mining reached historical highs in stock prices [1] - The commercial aerospace concept began to show signs of differentiation in performance [1] ETF Performance - Mini-sized Hong Kong stock ETFs continued to rise, with GF Fund's Hang Seng ETF and Cathay Fund's Hong Kong Stock Connect 50 ETF increasing by 7.11% and 2.84%, respectively. Their latest premium/discount rates are 16.96% and 12.35% [1] - The non-ferrous and photovoltaic sectors strengthened, with Southern Fund's Non-Ferrous Metals ETF, Huatai-PineBridge Fund's Non-Ferrous 50 ETF, and Yinhua Fund's Non-Ferrous Metals ETF all rising by 3%. Additionally, Harvest Fund's New Energy ETF and Bosera Fund's New Energy Theme ETF increased by 2% [1] - The semiconductor and CPO sectors declined, with chip equipment ETFs, semiconductor equipment ETFs, and semiconductor device ETFs dropping by 1.6%. Communication ETFs and 5G communication ETFs fell by 1.6% and 1.43%, respectively [1]

Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index experienced a slight decline of 0.19% in the morning session, while the ChiNext Index fell by 0.15%. In contrast, the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 0.17% [1] - The total market turnover reached 1.4648 trillion yuan, an increase of 252.9 billion yuan compared to the previous day's trading volume [1] Sector Performance - The AI industry chain saw a collective pullback, with CPO, liquid cooling, and high-speed copper concepts leading the declines. Technology sectors such as robotics and photolithography machines also underwent a general correction [1] - Conversely, the lithium battery industry chain surged, with the non-ferrous metals sector accelerating. Companies like Luoyang Molybdenum and Zijin Mining reached historical highs [1] - The commercial aerospace concept began to show signs of differentiation [1] ETF Performance - Mini-sized Hong Kong stock ETFs continued to rise, with GF Fund's Hang Seng ETF and Cathay Fund's Hong Kong Stock Connect 50 ETF increasing by 7.11% and 2.84%, respectively. Their latest premium/discount rates are 16.96% and 12.35% [1] - The non-ferrous metals sector remained strong, with Southern Fund's Non-Ferrous Metals ETF, Huatai-PineBridge Fund's Non-Ferrous 50 ETF, and Yinhua Fund's Non-Ferrous Metals ETF all rising by 3% [1] - The photovoltaic sector also showed strength, with Harvest Fund's New Energy ETF and Bosera Fund's New Energy Theme ETF both increasing by 2% [1] - The semiconductor sector declined, with chip equipment ETFs and semiconductor equipment ETFs falling by 1.6%. The CPO sector also saw a pullback, with communication ETFs and 5G communication ETFs dropping by 1.6% and 1.43%, respectively [1]