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转债市场周报:弱资质及临期个券出现扰动-20251221
Guoxin Securities· 2025-12-21 13:23
Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report Core Viewpoints - Last week, A-shares were volatile and stabilized, with reduced market volume. Policies on stimulating domestic demand and the upcoming full - scale customs closure of Hainan Free Trade Port boosted the large - consumption sector. The medical and commercial sectors performed well, while the previously rising TMT and new energy sectors lagged. The bond market first declined and then rose. The 10 - year Treasury bond yield closed at 1.83% on Friday, down 0.88bp from the previous week. Most convertible bond issues rose, with the CSI Convertible Bond Index up 0.48% for the week, the median price up 0.81%, and the calculated arithmetic average parity up 0.73% for the week, and the market conversion premium rate down 0.36% compared with the previous week [1][2][9] - In the coming week, the small - and micro - cap stocks performed well last week, and convertible bonds rose slightly following the underlying stocks. The median price rose to 132 yuan, and the premium rates of convertible bonds in most parity ranges increased. However, convertible bond ETFs have faced outflow pressure for 4 consecutive weeks, showing a "passive to active" structural feature. Recently, the willingness of several convertible bond issuers to promote conversion has significantly increased. Under the expectation of the spring rally, the parity of convertible bonds is expected to further rise. The number of issues actually facing maturity repayment is relatively limited, and some issues with longer remaining terms still have high conversion opportunities. Currently, the valuation of the convertible bond market is still at a historical high, and it is difficult to find overall opportunities. Relative - return investors are recommended to allocate small - position, well - balanced non - callable and suitable - premium equity - biased convertible bonds, and absolute - return investors are advised to focus on high - volatility underlying stocks below 130 yuan or industry leaders with historically low valuations [3][18] Summary of Relevant Catalogs Market Focus Last Week (December 15 - December 19, 2025) Stock Market - A - shares were volatile and stabilized with reduced volume. Policies and the Hainan event boosted the consumption sector, and the medical and commercial sectors performed well due to the flu and AI. The TMT and new energy sectors lagged. The market showed daily fluctuations in indices and sector performances. Most of the Shenwan primary industries rose, with the top - gainers being commerce and retail (6.66%), non - bank finance (2.90%), beauty and care (2.87%), social services (2.66%), and basic chemicals (2.58%), while electronics (-3.28%), power equipment (-3.12%), machinery (-1.56%), and comprehensive (-1.53%) underperformed [8][9] Bond Market - The bond market first declined and then rose. Despite weak economic data and equity market adjustments at the beginning of the week, bond market sentiment was poor. The central bank's 1000 - billion - yuan 14 - day reverse repurchase operation on Thursday stabilized capital expectations, and bond market sentiment recovered in the second half of the week. The 10 - year Treasury bond yield closed at 1.83% on Friday, down 0.88bp from the previous week [1][9] Convertible Bond Market - Most convertible bond issues rose. The CSI Convertible Bond Index was up 0.48% for the week, the median price was up 0.81%, the calculated arithmetic average parity was up 0.73% for the week, and the market conversion premium rate was down 0.36% compared with the previous week. The arithmetic average conversion premium rates of convertible bonds in the parity ranges of [90,100), [100,110), and [110,120) increased by 4.71%, 0.84%, and 0.85% respectively, reaching the 100%, 98%, and 94% percentile values since 2023. Most industries in the convertible bond market rose, with commerce and retail (+5.34%), light industry manufacturing (+4.73%), steel (+2.13%), and beauty and care (+1.95%) leading, while non - bank finance (-4.26%), communication (-0.50%), coal (-0.39%), and household appliances (-0.31%) lagged. The top - gainers among individual issues were Jiamei, Huati, Zai 22, Huicheng, and Huayi convertible bonds, and the top - losers were Nenghui, Borui, Furong, Jingda, and Weidao convertible bonds. The total trading volume of the convertible bond market last week was 3073.22 billion yuan, with an average daily trading volume of 614.64 billion yuan, an increase from the previous week [2][9][12] Views and Strategies (December 22 - December 26, 2025) - Small - and micro - cap stocks performed well last week, and convertible bonds rose slightly following the underlying stocks. The median price rose to 132 yuan, and the premium rates of convertible bonds in most parity ranges increased. However, convertible bond ETFs have faced outflow pressure for 4 consecutive weeks, showing a "passive to active" structural feature. Some low - price convertible bonds and large - cap, high - rating, near - maturity convertible bonds such as Huaan, Guotou, and Nenghua adjusted significantly, reflecting market concerns about the credit of low - quality issues and the conversion ability of near - maturity issues [3][18] - Recently, the willingness of several convertible bond issuers to promote conversion has significantly increased. Under the expectation of the spring rally, the parity of convertible bonds is expected to further rise. The number of issues actually facing maturity repayment is relatively limited, and some issues with longer remaining terms still have high conversion opportunities. If there are significant adjustments, investors can buy at low prices [3][18] - Currently, the valuation of the convertible bond market is still at a historical high, and it is difficult to find overall opportunities. Relative - return investors are recommended to allocate small - position, well - balanced non - callable and suitable - premium equity - biased convertible bonds in sectors such as power, storage, domestic substitution of semiconductor equipment and materials, commercial aerospace, and humanoid robots. Absolute - return investors are advised to focus on high - volatility underlying stocks below 130 yuan or industry leaders in sectors such as two - wheeled vehicles, cosmetics, and breeding with historically low valuations [3][18] Valuation Overview - As of December 19, 2025, for equity - biased convertible bonds, the average conversion premium rates in the parity ranges of 80 - 90 yuan, 90 - 100 yuan, 100 - 110 yuan, 110 - 120 yuan, 120 - 130 yuan, and above 130 yuan were 43.38%, 39.68%, 28.72%, 20.96%, 12.59%, and 13.84% respectively, at the 90%/82%, 98%/100%, 95%/97%, 93%/94%, 80%/70%, and 98%/98% percentile values since 2010/2021. For debt - biased convertible bonds, the average YTM of issues with a parity below 70 yuan was -3.99%, at the 2%/5% percentile values since 2010/2021. The average implied volatility of all convertible bonds was 44.18%, at the 90%/96% percentile values since 2010/2021. The difference between the implied volatility of convertible bonds and the long - term actual volatility of the underlying stocks was 3.03%, at the 86%/87% percentile values since 2010/2021 [19] Primary - Market Tracking - Last week (December 15 - December 19, 2025), there were no announcements of convertible bond issuances or listings. As of December 19, there were no announcements of convertible bond issuances in the coming week (December 22 - December 26, 2025), but Puxian Convertible Bond will be listed. Puxian Convertible Bond has an issue size of 243 million yuan, a credit rating of A+, and is scheduled to be listed on December 22. The underlying stock is Puxian Software, with a market value of 4.663 billion yuan as of December 19. The company focuses on management software development in the energy industry. In 2024, its revenue was 836 million yuan (+11.6% year - on - year), and the net profit was 121 million yuan (+95.06% year - on - year). From Q1 - Q3 2025, the revenue was 300 million yuan (+2.17% year - on - year), and the net profit was 100,000 yuan (-90.07% year - on - year) [27] - Last week, the exchanges approved the registration of 2 companies (Shangtai Technology and Jinpan Technology), the listing committees passed the applications of 3 companies (Zhanggao Electric, Doctor Glasses, and Haitian Co., Ltd.), the exchanges accepted the applications of 2 companies (Ruihu Mould and Nanxin Technology), the general meetings of shareholders passed the proposal of 1 company (Zuoli Pharmaceutical), and the board of directors proposed the issuance of 1 company (Tianshan Electronics). As of now, there are 93 convertible bonds to be issued, with a total scale of 146.9 billion yuan, including 5 issues with a total scale of 5.9 billion yuan that have been approved for registration and 10 issues with a total scale of 8.52 billion yuan that have passed the listing committee [28]
普联软件:拟向不特定对象发行可转债并申请上市
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-16 10:34
Core Viewpoint - The company plans to issue convertible bonds to unspecified investors and list them on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange, with the aim of raising funds for expanding domestic ERP functionalities [1] Group 1: Company Actions - The company has received internal approval for the bond issuance, which was confirmed by the shareholders' meeting [1] - The issuance was approved by the Shenzhen Stock Exchange on September 25 and received registration approval from the China Securities Regulatory Commission on November 14 [1] - The listing of the bonds is still subject to approval from the Shenzhen Stock Exchange [1] Group 2: Financial Performance - The company's net profits attributable to shareholders for the years 2022, 2023, and 2024 are projected to be 144 million yuan, 47 million yuan, and 106 million yuan respectively [1] - The average distributable profit over these years is estimated at 99 million yuan, which meets the conditions for the bond issuance [1] Group 3: Fund Utilization - The funds raised from this bond issuance will be allocated to projects aimed at expanding the company's domestic ERP functionalities [1]
普联软件(300996) - 普联软件股份有限公司向不特定对象发行可转换公司债券上市公告书
2025-12-16 10:34
证券代码:300996 股票简称:普联软件 公告编号:2025-097 普联软件股份有限公司 Pansoft Company Limited (山东省济南市高新区舜泰北路 789 号 B 座 20 层) 向不特定对象发行可转换公司债券 上市公告书 保荐人(主承销商) (山东省济南市市中区经七路 86 号) 二〇二五年十二月 普联软件股份有限公司 上市公告书 第一节 声明与提示 普联软件股份有限公司(以下简称"普联软件""发行人"或"公司")及全体董 事、高级管理人员保证上市公告书的真实性、准确性、完整性,承诺上市公告书 不存在虚假记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏,并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整 性承担个别和连带的法律责任。 根据《中华人民共和国公司法》(以下简称"《公司法》")、《中华人民共和 国证券法》(以下简称"《证券法》")等有关法律、法规的规定,本公司董事、 高级管理人员已经依法履行诚信和勤勉尽责的义务和责任。 中国证券监督管理委员会(以下简称"中国证监会")、深圳证券交易所(以 下简称"深交所")、其他政府机关对本公司可转换公司债券(以下简称"可转债") 上市及有关事项的意见,均不表明对本公司的任何保证 ...
普联软件(300996) - 北京市中伦律师事务所关于普联软件股份有限公司向不特定对象发行可转换公司债券并在深圳证券交易所上市的法律意见书
2025-12-16 10:33
北京市中伦律师事务所 关于普联软件股份有限公司 向不特定对象发行可转换公司债券 并在深圳证券交易所上市的 法律意见书 $$\Xi{\bf O}{\bf\pm}\Xi{\bf\#}{\bf\pm}{\bf\mp}{\bf\#}$$ 北京 • 上海 • 深圳 • 广州 • 武汉 • 成都 • 重庆 • 青岛 • 杭州 • 南京 • 海口 • 东京 • 香港 • 伦敦 • 纽约 • 洛杉矶 • 旧金山 • 阿拉木图 Beijing • Shanghai • Shenzhen • Guangzhou • Wuhan • Chengdu • Chongqing • Qingdao • Hangzhou • Nanjing • Haikou • Tokyo • Hong Kong • London • New York • Los Angeles • San Francisco • Almaty | | | 北京市中伦律师事务所 关于普联软件股份有限公司 向不特定对象发行可转换公司债券 并在深圳证券交易所上市的 法律意见书 致:普联软件股份有限公司 北京市中伦律师事务所(以下简称本所)接受普联软件股份有限公司(以下 简称 ...
普联软件(300996) - 中泰证券股份有限公司关于普联软件股份有限公司向不特定对象发行可转换公司债券之上市保荐书
2025-12-16 10:33
中泰证券股份有限公司 关于 普联软件股份有限公司 向不特定对象发行可转换公司债券 之 上市保荐书 保荐人(主承销商) 二〇二五年十二月 普联软件股份有限公司 上市保荐书 声 明 中泰证券股份有限公司及本项目保荐代表人已根据《中华人民共和国公司法》 (以下简称"《公司法》")、《中华人民共和国证券法》(以下简称"《证券 法》")等有关法律法规和中国证券监督管理委员会(以下简称"中国证监会") 及深圳证券交易所的有关规定,诚实守信,勤勉尽责,严格按照依法制订的业务 规则和行业自律规范出具上市保荐书,并保证所出具文件真实、准确、完整。 如无特别说明,本上市保荐书中所使用的简称或名词释义与募集说明书中的 简称或名词释义具有相同含义。 1 普联软件股份有限公司 上市保荐书 一、发行人基本情况 (一)基本情况 | 公司中文名称 | 普联软件股份有限公司 | | --- | --- | | 公司英文名称 | Pansoft Company Limited | | 有限公司设立时间 | 年 月 日 2001 9 28 | | 上市时间 | 年 月 日 2021 6 3 | | 注册资本 | 万元 28,277.6048 | ...
普联软件(300996) - 向不特定对象发行可转换公司债券发行结果公告
2025-12-10 11:51
证券代码:300996 证券简称:普联软件 公告编号:2025-096 普联软件股份有限公司 向不特定对象发行可转换公司债券发行结果公告 保荐人(主承销商):中泰证券股份有限公司 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整,没有虚假 记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 普联软件股份有限公司(以下简称"发行人")向不特定对象发行可转换公司 债券(以下简称"普联转债"或"可转债")已获得中国证券监督管理委员会证监 许可〔2025〕2527 号文同意注册。中泰证券股份有限公司(以下简称"中泰证券" 或"保荐人(主承销商)")担任本次发行的保荐人(主承销商)。本次发行的可 转债简称为"普联转债",债券代码为"123261"。 本次发行的可转债规模为人民币 24,293.26 万元,每张面值为人民币 100 元, 共计 2,429,326 张,按面值发行。本次发行的普联转债向发行人在股权登记日 (2025 年 12 月 4 日,T-1 日)收市后中国证券登记结算有限责任公司深圳分公司 (以下简称"中国结算深圳分公司")登记在册的原股东实行优先配售,原股东优 先配售后余额部分(含原股东放弃优先配售部分)通过深圳证 ...
短线防风险 92只个股短期均线现死叉
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2025-12-10 08:28
Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3900.50 points, with a decline of 0.23% [1] - The total trading volume of A-shares reached 1,791.634 billion yuan [1] Moving Average Crossovers - A total of 92 A-shares experienced a death cross, where the 5-day moving average fell below the 10-day moving average [1] - Notable stocks with significant distance between their 5-day and 10-day moving averages include: - Delisted Suwu: -6.71% - Dayou Energy: -2.31% - Pulian Software: -2.08% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Delisted Suwu (600200) saw a price drop of 10.00% with a trading turnover rate of 8.15% [1] - Dayou Energy (600403) increased by 0.52% with a turnover rate of 1.72% [1] - Pulian Software (300996) decreased by 1.63% with a turnover rate of 3.97% [1] - Other notable stocks include: - Kangchen Pharmaceutical (603590): +0.45%, turnover rate 1.80% - Zhengzhou Coal (600121): unchanged, turnover rate 2.38% [1] Additional Stock Insights - Stocks with minor declines include: - Jierong Technology (002855): -6.14%, turnover rate 4.60% - United (003042): -3.64%, turnover rate 4.78% [1] - Stocks with slight increases include: - Haohua Energy (601101): +1.25%, turnover rate 0.68% - China Petroleum (601857): -1.23%, turnover rate 0.06% [1]
短线防风险 93只个股短期均线现死叉
Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang· 2025-12-10 06:43
Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is experiencing a slight decline, with the Shanghai Composite Index down by 0.32% and a total trading volume of 1.456 trillion yuan, indicating a cautious market sentiment [1]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of 14:05, the Shanghai Composite Index stands at 3896.93 points, reflecting a decrease of 0.32% [1]. - The total trading volume in the A-share market is reported at 1.456 trillion yuan [1]. Group 2: Moving Averages Analysis - A total of 93 A-shares have seen their 5-day moving averages cross below their 10-day moving averages, indicating potential bearish trends [1]. - Notable stocks with significant distance between their 5-day and 10-day moving averages include: - **退市苏吴**: 5-day MA is 0.88 yuan, 10-day MA is 0.94 yuan, with a difference of -6.71% [1]. - **大有能源**: 5-day MA is 7.97 yuan, 10-day MA is 8.16 yuan, with a difference of -2.36% [1]. - **普联软件**: 5-day MA is 17.69 yuan, 10-day MA is 18.06 yuan, with a difference of -2.04% [1]. Group 3: Individual Stock Movements - **康辰药业**: Today's change is +0.52%, with a 5-day MA of 43.15 yuan and a 10-day MA of 43.81 yuan, showing a difference of -1.52% [1]. - **郑州煤电**: Today's change is -0.23%, with a 5-day MA of 4.43 yuan and a 10-day MA of 4.50 yuan, showing a difference of -1.47% [1]. - **捷荣技术**: Today's change is -5.65%, with a 5-day MA of 18.79 yuan and a 10-day MA of 18.99 yuan, showing a difference of -1.07% [1].
普联软件:截至2025年11月28日公司股东总户数为24836户
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Wang· 2025-12-09 09:12
证券日报网讯12月9日,普联软件(300996)在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示,截至2025年11月28 日,公司股东总户数为24836户。 ...
东北固收转债分析:普联转债定价:首日转股溢价率42%~47%
NORTHEAST SECURITIES· 2025-12-09 02:25
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided regarding the report industry investment rating. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The target price for PULIAN Convertible Bond on its first day of listing is estimated to be between RMB 137 and RMB 142, with a recommended active subscription. The expected conversion premium rate on the first - day of listing is in the range of 42% - 47% [3][22]. - The estimated first - day new - bond lottery winning rate is around 0.0018% - 0.0022% [4][23]. 3. Summary According to the Table of Contents 3.1. PULIAN Convertible Bond New - Bond Analysis and Investment Recommendations 3.1.1. Analysis of Convertible Bond Basic Terms - The PULIAN Convertible Bond will be issued through priority placement and online issuance. Its bond and issuer ratings are both A+. The issuance scale is RMB 243 million, with an initial conversion price of RMB 18.26. The conversion parity on December 5, 2025, was RMB 96.44, and the pure - bond value is RMB 82.46. The game terms (lower - adjustment, redemption, and put - back clauses) are normal. Overall, the bond has a low issuance scale, poor liquidity, and a weak rating, but the bond floor protection is acceptable. It is difficult for institutions to include it in their portfolios, but there is no objection to primary - market participation [2][17]. 3.1.2. Analysis of New - Bond Initial Listing Price - The company's main business is to provide information solutions and IT integrated services for large - scale group enterprises. The funds raised from this issuance will be used for upgrading and expanding existing products, enhancing market competitiveness, and maintaining a leading position in industry technology [3][21]. - The target price for PULIAN Convertible Bond on its first day of listing is estimated to be between RMB 137 and RMB 142, with a recommended active subscription. The expected conversion premium rate on the first - day of listing is in the range of 42% - 47% [3][22]. 3.1.3. Analysis of Convertible Bond New - Bond Lottery Winning Rate - The estimated first - day new - bond lottery winning rate is around 0.0018% - 0.0022%. Assuming an old - shareholder placement ratio of 21% - 34%, the scale available in the market is between RMB 161 million and RMB 191 million. Assuming 8.7 million online valid subscriptions, the lottery - winning rate when subscribing to the maximum limit is around 0.0018% - 0.0022% [4][23]. 3.2. Analysis of the Underlying Stock's Fundamental Conditions 3.2.1. Company's Main Business and the Upstream and Downstream of the Industry - The company's main business is to provide information solutions and IT integrated services for large - scale group enterprises. It has strong innovation and delivery capabilities and serves many large - scale central enterprises [24]. - The upstream of the industry consists of enterprises producing basic software and computer hardware products, with sufficient supply. The downstream includes energy, construction, and finance industries, and the digital transformation of the downstream market drives the development of the software industry [24][25]. 3.2.2. Company's Operating Conditions - The company's operating income has shown an overall upward trend from 2022 to the first half of 2025, with year - on - year growth rates of 19.31%, 7.80%, 11.60%, and 9.45% respectively. Customized software business is the main source of income [28]. - The company's comprehensive gross profit margin and net profit rate have shown a downward trend from 2022 to the first half of 2025, mainly due to factors such as changes in the market environment and a significant increase in labor costs [31]. - The company's periodic expenses and R & D expenses have fluctuated greatly in recent years. The proportion of accounts receivable in operating income has shown an upward trend, and the accounts - receivable turnover rate has slightly decreased [34][39][40]. - The company's net profit attributable to the parent has fluctuated greatly, and its profitability and weighted ROE have also fluctuated significantly [44]. 3.2.3. Company's Equity Structure and Main Subsidiaries - As of June 30, 2025, the company's equity structure is relatively dispersed. The top two shareholders, Lin Guoqiang and Wang Hu, have a combined shareholding of 21.41%, and they are the controlling shareholders and actual controllers. Through a concerted action agreement, they jointly control 38.27% of the voting rights of the company's shares [47]. 3.2.4. Company's Business Characteristics and Advantages - The company has long - term technological accumulation, with XBRL - related systems and products widely applied. It has a mature development platform with high performance, strong scalability, and high flexibility [50]. - The company has advantages in talent reserves and R & D innovation. It has a R & D team with rich experience, a sound talent - training system, a R & D project - management mechanism, and close industry - university - research cooperation [51]. - The company has advantages in customer resources and market - feedback acquisition. It has a wide range of customers, can optimize products based on customer feedback, and quickly implement R & D results to expand market share [53]. 3.2.5. Allocation of Funds Raised in this Issuance - The company plans to issue convertible bonds to raise a maximum of RMB 243 million. After deducting issuance fees, RMB 85 million will be used for the domestic ERP function expansion project, RMB 49 million for the digital intelligent financial risk management and control product construction project, and RMB 108 million for the Yunhu Platform R & D and upgrade project [1][15][54]. - The domestic ERP function expansion project aims to upgrade and expand the existing ERP product, with an expected average annual operating income of RMB 141.1822 million, an after - tax internal rate of return of 17.78%, and an after - tax payback period of 7.99 years (including the construction period) [55]. - The digital intelligent financial risk management and control product construction project aims to upgrade and expand existing XBRL application products and solutions. The expected average annual operating income is RMB 54.0622 million, the after - tax internal rate of return is 23.55%, and the after - tax payback period is 6.41 years (including the construction period) [56]. - The Yunhu Platform R & D and upgrade project aims to enhance the platform's intelligence and technical capabilities, which is beneficial for the company to maintain and enhance its technological advantages and core competitiveness, but it does not directly generate economic benefits [57].