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ASML Holding(ASML) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-15 06:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Net sales for Q3 2025 were €7.5 billion, including €2 billion from installed base revenue and the recognition of one High NA system [1] - Gross margin for the quarter was 51.6%, aligning with guidance [1] - Net income for the quarter was €2.1 billion, with net bookings recorded at CHF 5.4 billion, including CHF 3.6 billion for EV [1] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - For Q4 2025, revenue is expected to be between €9.2 billion and €9.8 billion, significantly larger than Q3 2025 [2][3] - Installed base revenue for Q4 is projected to be approximately DKK 2.1 billion, with a gross margin expected between 51% and 53% [3] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The demand from Chinese customers is anticipated to be significantly lower in 2026 compared to 2024 and 2025, where strong business was recorded [6][7] - Despite the expected decline in demand from China, net sales for 2026 are projected to not fall below 2025 levels [7] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on AI-driven investments in advanced logic and DRAM, which are expected to benefit a larger part of the customer base [5] - A strategic partnership with Mistral AI has been established to enhance software capabilities within ASML's systems, improving product development speed and precision [9][11][12] - The company is pursuing opportunities in 3D integration, which is seen as a way to drive Moore's Law and meet increasing customer requirements [16][18] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted a flow of positive news reducing uncertainties, particularly regarding AI commitments and their impact on semiconductor investments [5] - The company expects to see continued strong opportunities in advanced applications driven by AI, with a long-term revenue target of €44 billion to €60 billion by 2030 [19][20] Other Important Information - The company has successfully shipped its first advanced packaging product, the XT260, which supports advanced packaging and offers up to 4x productivity compared to existing products [15] - The maturity of the INA technology is reportedly ahead of previous technologies, indicating strong execution of the technology roadmap [14] Q&A Session Summary Question: What is the outlook for ASML in 2026? - Management believes the impact of market dynamics will be partially effective in 2026, with net sales expected to not be below 2025 levels [7] Question: Can you elaborate on the collaboration with Mistral AI? - The partnership aims to enhance software content in ASML's systems, improving performance and development speed, with ASML taking an 11% share in Mistral [11][12] Question: What are the long-term opportunities for ASML? - Management highlighted that AI will drive advanced applications in semiconductors, with a focus on advanced DRAM and logic, and the potential for significant revenue growth by 2030 [19][20]
ASML Holding(ASML) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-15 06:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Net sales for Q3 2025 were €7.5 billion, including €2 billion from installed base revenue and the recognition of one High NA system [1] - Gross margin for the quarter was 51.6%, aligning with guidance [1] - Net income for the quarter was CHF 2.1 billion, with net bookings of CHF 5.4 billion, including CHF 3.6 billion for EUV [1] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - For Q4 2025, revenue is expected to be between €9.2 billion and €9.8 billion, with installed base revenue projected at approximately €2.1 billion [2][3] - Full year 2025 net sales are anticipated to be around €32.5 billion, with a gross margin around 52% [3] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The demand from Chinese customers is expected to significantly decrease in 2026 compared to 2024 and 2025, where strong business was recorded [6] - Despite the anticipated decline in China, net sales for 2026 are expected to not fall below 2025 levels [7] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on AI-driven investments in advanced logic and DRAM, which are expected to benefit a larger part of the customer base [5] - A strategic partnership with Mistral AI has been established to enhance software capabilities within ASML's systems, improving product development speed and performance [9][11] - The company is pursuing opportunities in 3D integration, which is seen as a way to drive Moore's Law and meet increasing customer requirements [16][18] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted a flow of positive news regarding AI commitments, which is expected to drive investments in advanced semiconductor applications [5] - The company anticipates that AI will create significant value in its products moving forward, with long-term revenue opportunities projected between €44 billion and €60 billion by 2030 [20] Other Important Information - The company has shipped its first advanced packaging product, the XT260, which supports advanced packaging and offers up to 4x productivity compared to existing products [15] - The collaboration with Mistral AI includes an 11% share acquisition and a seat on their strategic committee, emphasizing the importance of AI in ASML's future [12] Q&A Session Summary Question: What is the outlook for ASML in 2026? - Management expects the impact of market dynamics to be partially effective in 2026, with net sales not expected to be below 2025 levels [7] Question: Can you elaborate on the collaboration with Mistral AI? - The partnership aims to enhance software content in ASML's systems, improve product development speed, and leverage AI for better performance [9][11] Question: What are the long-term opportunities for ASML? - The company sees AI driving advanced applications in semiconductors and expects significant revenue opportunities by 2030 [20]
ASML预计明年中国市场净销售额回落
第一财经· 2025-10-15 05:53
Core Viewpoint - ASML's Q3 2025 financial results indicate strong growth, with a projected annual sales increase of approximately 15% and a stable gross margin around 52% [3][4]. Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, ASML achieved net sales of €7.5 billion, a gross margin of 51.6%, and a net profit of €2.1 billion [3]. - The company anticipates Q4 2025 net sales to range between €9.2 billion and €9.8 billion, with a gross margin between 51% and 53% [3]. - R&D expenses are expected to be around €1.2 billion, while sales and administrative expenses are projected at €320 million [3]. Market Outlook - ASML expects a decline in net sales in the Chinese market for 2026 compared to the high baseline levels of 2024 and 2025 [3]. - The company projects that net sales for 2026 will not be lower than those in 2025, with more details to be provided in January [3]. Technological Developments - ASML is integrating artificial intelligence into its lithography solutions through a partnership with Mistral AI, aiming to enhance system performance and production efficiency [4]. - The company noted a positive trend in AI-related investments, expanding to more clients in advanced logic chips and DRAM sectors [4]. - The share of lithography in overall wafer fab investments is increasing, highlighted by the introduction of the TWINSCAN XT:260, which reportedly improves production efficiency by up to four times compared to existing solutions [4].
中国亮出了稀土这张王牌,而光刻机交付的推迟不过是个开端罢了
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-15 05:53
这台价值4亿美元的顶级光刻机,本该因其庞大的运输规模而引人注目,却最终被几公斤的中国稀土材料"卡住了脖子"。这一事件让全球芯片行业震动不 已,原因是荷兰的光刻机巨头——阿斯麦(ASML)公司,突然宣布延迟交货。这一变故的背后,德国经济部的严重担忧引发了欧盟委员会的快速反应,他 们发布声明,呼吁中国成为一个"可靠的伙伴"。与此同时,美国媒体也将中国的稀土出口管制比作了一场"经济核战争"。 中国稀土为何如此重要?中国的稀土资源占据全球市场主导地位,特别是在稀土开采、冶炼分离和磁体制造方面,控制了全球大部分的供应。美国虽然拥有 一些稀土矿,但由于技术不足,必须将矿石运送到中国加工后再进口。即便美国计划独立建立供应链,但没有十年以上的时间根本无法完成。 中国的这一举措,究竟有多强硬?10月9日,中国商务部发布了两则公告,宣布将稀土管控升级为"精准打击"。从12月1日起,含有0.1%以上中国重稀土的磁 体或半导体材料出口将需要经过中国的审批,甚至对于使用中国技术在国外生产的相关产品,也必须得到中国的批准。更为引人关注的是,中国发布的《进 一步加强军用半导体控制的意见》中明确表示"原则上不批准"军用半导体的生产,并将对半 ...
ASML Orders Beat Expectations Amid AI Investment Boom
Bloomberg Television· 2025-10-15 05:42
Masahiro, What are your takeaways then from the earnings and the numbers that are come through from ASML. Yes, according to ASML, its revenue in Q3 were around 5.7%. around the, uh, you know, some €6.7% billion.And that was a little bit below the midpoint of that guidance was, but it was not really a surprise. And if we look at that order bookings, it was about €5.4% billion and above the consensus. But it's a quite a similar to the net system revenue of €5.5% billion in the third quarter.So I think that th ...
ASML Orders Beat Expectations Amid AI Investment Boom
Youtube· 2025-10-15 05:42
Core Insights - ASML's Q3 revenue was approximately €6.7 billion, slightly below the midpoint of guidance, but not unexpected [1] - Order bookings for net systems were around €5.4 billion, exceeding consensus expectations, and were similar to the previous quarter's backlog of €33 billion [2][4] - The total revenue for ASML in 2023 is projected to be around €32 billion, aligning with market expectations [3] Revenue Guidance and Outlook - The revenue guidance for next year suggests a consensus growth of about 4%, estimating revenue around €33.2 billion [4] - ASML's backlog is considered sufficient to cover next year's revenue, with expectations for strong Q4 order bookings [5] - Management indicated that revenue in 2026 will not fall below the levels of 2025, signaling a positive outlook despite anticipated cuts in capital expenditures from major clients like Intel [5][6]
ASML预计明年中国市场净销售额回落
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-10-15 05:36
Core Insights - ASML reported a net sales of €7.5 billion in Q3 2025, with a gross margin of 51.6% and a net profit of €2.1 billion [1] - The company expects a year-on-year net sales growth of approximately 15% for the full year 2025, with a gross margin around 52% [1] - ASML's CEO indicated that Q4 2025 net sales are projected to be between €9.2 billion and €9.8 billion, with a gross margin between 51% and 53% [1] Financial Performance - Q3 2025 net sales: €7.5 billion [1] - Q3 2025 gross margin: 51.6% [1] - Q3 2025 net profit: €2.1 billion [1] - Expected full-year 2025 net sales growth: approximately 15% [1] - Expected full-year 2025 gross margin: around 52% [1] - Q4 2025 net sales forecast: between €9.2 billion and €9.8 billion [1] - Q4 2025 gross margin forecast: between 51% and 53% [1] Market Outlook - ASML anticipates a strong performance in Q4 2025 and expects that net sales for 2026 will not be lower than those in 2025 [1] - However, the outlook for the Chinese market is less optimistic, with a projected decline in net sales for 2026 compared to the high base levels of 2024 and 2025 [1] Technological Developments - ASML is integrating artificial intelligence into its lithography solutions through collaboration with Mistral AI to enhance system performance and production efficiency [2] - The company noted a positive trend in AI-related investments, expanding to more clients in advanced logic chips and DRAM sectors [2] - The introduction of the TWINSCAN XT:260, an i-line lithography machine, is expected to improve production efficiency by up to four times compared to existing solutions [2]
ASML Logs Strong Orders Amid AI Spending Frenzy
WSJ· 2025-10-15 05:34
Core Insights - The Dutch group reported an increase in orders for its chip-making equipment in the third quarter, indicating strong demand in the semiconductor industry [1] - The company also experienced a rise in net profit, reflecting improved financial performance [1] - The company confirmed its guidance for 2025, suggesting confidence in future growth prospects [1] Summary by Category Orders and Demand - There was a rise in orders for chip-making equipment in the third quarter, signaling robust demand in the market [1] Financial Performance - The company reported an increase in net profit, showcasing a positive trend in its financial results [1] Future Outlook - The company has confirmed its guidance for 2025, indicating a stable outlook and confidence in continued growth [1]
美股异动丨阿斯麦夜盘拉升涨超5%,Q3净利超预期
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-10-15 05:31
格隆汇10月15日|阿斯麦(ASML.US)在目前的美股夜盘交易中拉升涨超5%,报1037.4美元。消息面 上,阿斯麦公布第三季度净利润21.3亿欧元,市场预期20.8亿欧元。预计第四季度销售额为92亿欧元-98 亿欧元;预计第四季度毛利率为51%-53%。预计2025年销售额将同比增长约15%,达到约325亿欧元; 预计2026年的销售额不会低于2025年。阿斯麦还计划在2026年1月宣布一项新的股票回购计划。 ...
阿斯麦:将在2026年1月宣布新的股票回购计划
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-10-15 05:25
格隆汇10月15日|阿斯麦(ASML.US)计划在2026年1月宣布一项新的股票回购计划。 ...