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贝壳-W(02423):全链条生态成型,平台价值再重估
Guolian Minsheng Securities· 2025-08-13 12:12
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, Beike-W (02423), marking its first coverage [3][7]. Core Insights - Beike has evolved from a leading intermediary to a comprehensive residential service platform, with a projected GTV of 33,494 billion RMB and a revenue growth of 20.2% year-on-year for 2024 [3][11]. - The company's existing housing business remains robust, with a GTV of 22,000 billion RMB and a market share increase to 30.7%, continuing to be the core profit source [3][11]. - New housing business shows counter-cyclical growth, with a revenue increase of 10.1% year-on-year, while home decoration and rental services are rapidly expanding, with revenue growth of 36.1% and 135.0% respectively, forming a second growth curve [3][12]. - The adjusted net profit for 2025-2027 is expected to be 80.8 billion RMB, 90.6 billion RMB, and 99.7 billion RMB respectively, indicating significant platform ecosystem synergy [3][19]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Beike, as a leading one-stop residential service platform in China, covers transactions, rentals, and home decoration, facilitating over 4.9 million transactions in 2024 with a GTV of 33,494 billion RMB [11][25]. Financial Performance - In 2024, Beike achieved total revenue of 93,457 million RMB, a year-on-year increase of 20.2%. The existing and new housing businesses contributed 30.2% and 36.0% to revenue respectively, while home decoration and rental services grew significantly [33][38]. - The GTV has shown a steady increase, with a market share rise in both new and existing housing from 2.2% and 12.6% in 2018 to 11.4% and 31.0% in 2024 respectively [33][37]. Business Segments - The existing housing business is expected to continue its recovery, with revenue projections for 2025-2027 at 298.3 billion RMB, 323.5 billion RMB, and 346.6 billion RMB, reflecting a stable growth trajectory [17]. - The new housing market is under pressure, but Beike's platform advantages are expected to enhance its market share during this phase [17]. - Home decoration and rental services are anticipated to grow significantly, with projected revenues of 182.9 billion RMB, 219.5 billion RMB, and 256.8 billion RMB for 2025-2027, indicating a strong upward trend [18]. Profitability and Valuation - The adjusted net profit for 2024 is projected at 72.11 billion RMB, reflecting a decrease of 26.4% year-on-year due to revenue structure disturbances and one-time employee incentives [12][19]. - The company is actively pursuing share buybacks and dividends, with a buyback plan of up to 30 billion USD and a dividend payout ratio exceeding 75% [56][57].
贝壳-W8月12日斥资500万美元回购84.56万股

Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-13 11:24
贝壳-W(02423)发布公告,于2025年8月12日斥资500万美元回购84.56万股。 ...
贝壳(02423) - 翌日披露报表

2025-08-13 11:19
FF305 翌日披露報表 (股份發行人 ── 已發行股份或庫存股份變動、股份購回及/或在場内出售庫存股份) 表格類別: 股票 狀態: 新提交 公司名稱: 貝殼控股有限公司 呈交日期: 2025年8月13日 如上市發行人的已發行股份或庫存股份出現變動而須根據《香港聯合交易所有限公司(「香港聯交所」)證券上市規則》(「《主板上市規則》」)第13.25A條 / 《香港聯合交易所有限公司GEM證券 上市規則》(「《GEM上市規則》」)第17.27A條作出披露,必須填妥第一章節 。 | 第一章節 | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1. 股份分類 | 不同投票權架構公司普通股 | 股份類別 A | | 於香港聯交所上市 | 是 | | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 02423 | 說明 | | | | | | A. 已發行股份或庫存股份變動 | | | | | | | | | | 已發行股份(不包括庫存股份)變動 | | 庫存股份變動 | | | | | 事件 | 已發行股份(不包括庫存股份)數 目 | 佔有關事件前的現有已發 行股份( ...
建银国际:首予贝壳-W“跑嬴大市”评级 目标价60.6港元
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-13 06:11
Core Viewpoint - The report from Jianyin International initiates coverage on Beike-W (02423) with a "buy" rating, projecting a target price of HKD 60.6 based on a 21x P/E ratio for 2026 [1] Group 1: Market Position and Growth - Beike's market share in Gross Transaction Value (GTV) is estimated to be around 23% for 2024, with expectations for further market share growth [1] - The company is expected to leverage its platform ecosystem to expand into real estate-related services, aiming for long-term growth [1] Group 2: Revenue and Profitability Projections - Revenue compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is projected to reach 14% from 2024 to 2027, primarily driven by non-residential transaction businesses [1] - Housing transaction service revenue is expected to remain stable due to moderate growth in transaction amounts and declining commission rates [1] - Non-GAAP net profit margin is anticipated to be temporarily affected by investments in home renovation and leasing businesses in 2025, but is expected to gradually recover to around 8.5% by 2027 [1] - The projected CAGR for non-GAAP net profit from 2024 to 2027 is estimated to be 17% [1]
建银国际:首予贝壳-W(02423)“跑嬴大市”评级 目标价60.6港元
智通财经网· 2025-08-13 06:11
Core Viewpoint - Jianyin International has initiated coverage on Beike-W (02423) with a "outperform the market" rating, setting a target price of HKD 60.6 based on a 21x P/E ratio for 2026 [1] Group 1: Market Position and Growth - Beike's market share in Gross Transaction Value (GTV) is approximately 23% for 2024, with expectations for further market share growth [1] - The company is expected to leverage its platform ecosystem to expand into real estate-related services, aiming for long-term growth [1] Group 2: Revenue and Profitability Projections - Revenue compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is projected to reach 14% from 2024 to 2027, primarily driven by non-residential transaction businesses [1] - Housing transaction service revenue is expected to remain stable due to moderate growth in transaction amounts and declining commission rates [1] - Non-GAAP net profit margin is anticipated to be temporarily impacted by investments in home renovation and leasing businesses in 2025, but is expected to gradually recover to around 8.5% by 2027 [1] - The non-GAAP net profit CAGR is projected to reach 17% from 2024 to 2027 [1]
贝壳-W8月11日耗资约500万美元回购约84.89万股

Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-12 11:41
贝壳-W(02423)公布,2025年8月11日耗资约500万美元回购约84.89万股股份。 ...
贝壳-W(02423)8月11日耗资约500万美元回购约84.89万股

智通财经网· 2025-08-12 10:22
智通财经APP讯,贝壳-W(02423)公布,2025年8月11日耗资约500万美元回购约84.89万股股份。 ...
贝壳-W(02423.HK)8月11日耗资500万美元回购85万股

Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-12 10:19
格隆汇8月12日丨贝壳-W(02423.HK)发布公告,2025年8月11日耗资500万美元回购85万股。 ...
贝壳(02423) - 翌日披露报表

2025-08-12 10:15
FF305 翌日披露報表 (股份發行人 ── 已發行股份或庫存股份變動、股份購回及/或在場内出售庫存股份) 表格類別: 股票 狀態: 新提交 公司名稱: 貝殼控股有限公司 呈交日期: 2025年8月12日 如上市發行人的已發行股份或庫存股份出現變動而須根據《香港聯合交易所有限公司(「香港聯交所」)證券上市規則》(「《主板上市規則》」)第13.25A條 / 《香港聯合交易所有限公司GEM證券 上市規則》(「《GEM上市規則》」)第17.27A條作出披露,必須填妥第一章節 。 | 第一章節 | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1. 股份分類 | 不同投票權架構公司普通股 | 股份類別 | A | | 於香港聯交所上市 | 是 | | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 02423 | 說明 | | | | | | | A. 已發行股份或庫存股份變動 | | | | | | | | | | | | 已發行股份(不包括庫存股份)變動 | | 庫存股份變動 | | | | | 事件 | 已發行股份(不包括庫存股份)數 目 | ...
用低价房源引流?经纪人控诉同行不正当竞争 贝壳南京回应
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-08-12 04:40
Core Viewpoint - A real estate agent from Nanjing has publicly accused a local Beike brand of engaging in unfair competition by posting fake listings online to attract clients, leading to customer dissatisfaction and complaints against legitimate agents [1] Group 1: Unfair Competition Allegations - The agent claims that some intermediaries under the Beike brand are advertising properties at significantly lower prices than their actual transaction values, misleading potential buyers [1] - For instance, a property that sells for 2 million yuan is being advertised for 1.5 million yuan, which is a tactic to collect customer contact information without actually facilitating property viewings [1] - This practice has resulted in clients feeling misled after purchasing properties at higher prices, leading them to demand refunds based on the false listings [1] Group 2: Company Response - The local Beike operations center has intervened in the situation, with personnel dispatched to the involved store to conduct interviews with the store owner and the agents responsible for the misleading listings [1] - Beike has stated that if any violations are confirmed, appropriate actions will be taken in accordance with their management regulations [1]