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假期经济谨慎乐观
Zhao Yin Guo Ji· 2025-10-10 10:57
Macro Overview - The report indicates a cautious optimism regarding China's holiday economy, with moderate growth in consumption during the National Day holiday. Key trends include strong performance in green, smart, and experiential consumption [2][4] - Despite recent relaxations in real estate policies in first-tier cities, the real estate market remains weak, with a significant year-on-year decline in new and second-hand housing sales [3][6] - The report anticipates that core CPI and PPI growth will rebound, alleviating deflationary pressures, with liquidity conditions expected to remain loose for at least the next two quarters [2][7][8] Internet Sector - The online travel agency (OTA) sector shows resilience, with keywords "quality" and "long-distance travel" indicating strong demand. Long-distance travel bookings on Ctrip increased by 3 percentage points year-on-year [28][30] - During the holiday, Alibaba's Fliggy reported a 14.6% year-on-year increase in average transaction value, while Tongcheng Travel noted nearly 100% growth in outbound group travel bookings [28][31] - The report maintains a "buy" rating for Ctrip (TCOM US) and Tongcheng Travel (780 HK) based on these positive trends [28] Consumer Discretionary - The report expresses a cautious outlook for retail sales growth during the 2025 National Day holiday, attributing potential risks to high base effects from 2024, lack of government subsidies, and ongoing macroeconomic pressures [32][35] - The report highlights a preference for consumer downgrade themes and high-dividend stocks, with concerns over profit margin pressures due to increased competition and discounting [32][35] Automotive Sector - The report notes a significant divergence in sales during the National Day holiday, with new energy vehicles (NEVs) outperforming traditional fuel vehicles. The introduction of popular NEV models is expected to drive order growth [6][32] - The forecast for national passenger vehicle retail and wholesale sales in 2025 has been slightly raised, reflecting better-than-expected sales in Q3 and potential pre-purchase demand for NEVs [6][32] Real Estate Sector - The report indicates that the effectiveness of real estate policies is diminishing, with a notable decline in sales volume for new and second-hand homes during the holiday period [3][6] - The report anticipates that further easing measures may be necessary to stimulate housing demand, as sales data remains weak despite policy support [3][6] Selected Stocks - The report identifies several preferred stocks, including Luckin Coffee (LKNCY US), Guoquan (2517 HK), Green Tea Group (6831 HK), Jiumaojiu (9922 HK), Li Ning (2331 HK), Bosideng (3998 HK), and JS Global Life (1691 HK) [33][41]
贝壳-W(02423.HK)10月9日耗资500万美元回购81.4万股

Ge Long Hui· 2025-10-10 10:25
相关事件 贝壳-W(02423.HK)10月9日耗资500万美元回购81.4万股 贝壳-W(02423.HK)10月8日耗资500万美元回购 81.5万股 格隆汇10月10日丨贝壳-W(02423.HK)发布公告,2025年10月9日耗资500万美元回购81.4万股。 ...
贝壳(02423) - 翌日披露报表

2025-10-10 09:57
FF305 翌日披露報表 (股份發行人 ── 已發行股份或庫存股份變動、股份購回及/或在場内出售庫存股份) 表格類別: 股票 狀態: 新提交 公司名稱: 貝殼控股有限公司 呈交日期: 2025年10月10日 如上市發行人的已發行股份或庫存股份出現變動而須根據《香港聯合交易所有限公司(「香港聯交所」)證券上市規則》(「《主板上市規則》」)第13.25A條 / 《香港聯合交易所有限公司GEM證券 上市規則》(「《GEM上市規則》」)第17.27A條作出披露,必須填妥第一章節 。 | 第一章節 | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1. 股份分類 | 不同投票權架構公司普通股 | 股份類別 | A | | | 於香港聯交所上市 | 是 | | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 02423 | 說明 | | | | | | | | A. 已發行股份或庫存股份變動 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 已發行股份(不包括庫存股份)變動 | | | 庫存股份變動 | | | | | 事件 | | 已 ...
美股异动丨贝壳盘前涨超1%,“金九”百强房企销售表现亮眼
Ge Long Hui· 2025-10-10 08:19
国盛证券研报指,9月百强房企销售环比正增,主要受季节性因素、核心城市限购政策放松以及房企新 规产品加推等因素的带动。该行维持行业"增持"评级,认为2025年仍然是以政策为核心主导力量,中介 行业看好贝壳。(格隆汇) 贝壳(BEKE.US)盘前涨超1%,报18.55美元。消息面上,中指研究院监测数据显示,2025年1~9月, TOP100房企销售总额为26065.9亿元,同比下降12.2%,降幅较1~8月收窄1.1个百分点。其中,9月单月 TOP100房企销售总额环比增长11.9%;从企业表现来看,百强房企中有72家房企单月业绩环比增长,其 中45家企业单月业绩环比增幅大于30%。 ...
贝壳-W(02423.HK)10月8日耗资500万美元回购81.5万股

Ge Long Hui· 2025-10-09 10:56
Core Viewpoint - Beike-W (02423.HK) announced a share buyback plan, intending to repurchase 815,000 shares at a cost of $5 million by October 8, 2025 [1] Summary by Category Company Actions - The company plans to execute a share buyback of 815,000 shares [1] - The total expenditure for this buyback is set at $5 million [1] Financial Implications - The buyback reflects the company's strategy to enhance shareholder value [1]
贝壳-W(02423)10月8日斥资500万美元回购81.51万股
智通财经网· 2025-10-09 10:54
Group 1 - The company, Beike-W (02423), announced a share buyback plan, committing to repurchase 815,100 shares at a total cost of $5 million [1] - The buyback price per share is set between $6.06 and $6.18 [1]
贝壳(02423) - 翌日披露报表

2025-10-09 10:47
FF305 翌日披露報表 (股份發行人 ── 已發行股份或庫存股份變動、股份購回及/或在場内出售庫存股份) 表格類別: 股票 狀態: 新提交 公司名稱: 貝殼控股有限公司 呈交日期: 2025年10月9日 如上市發行人的已發行股份或庫存股份出現變動而須根據《香港聯合交易所有限公司(「香港聯交所」)證券上市規則》(「《主板上市規則》」)第13.25A條 / 《香港聯合交易所有限公司GEM證券 上市規則》(「《GEM上市規則》」)第17.27A條作出披露,必須填妥第一章節 。 | 第一章節 | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1. 股份分類 | 不同投票權架構公司普通股 | 股份類別 A | | 於香港聯交所上市 | 是 | | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 02423 | 說明 | | | | | | A. 已發行股份或庫存股份變動 | | | | | | | | | | 已發行股份(不包括庫存股份)變動 | | 庫存股份變動 | | | | | 事件 | 已發行股份(不包括庫存股份)數 目 | 佔有關事件前的現有已發 行股份( ...
贝壳-W(02423)10月7日斥资500万美元回购80.8万股
智通财经网· 2025-10-08 10:22
Core Viewpoint - Beike-W (02423) announced a share repurchase plan, committing to buy back 808,000 shares for a total of $5 million, scheduled for October 7, 2025 [1] Summary by Category - **Company Actions** - Beike-W plans to repurchase 808,000 shares [1] - The total expenditure for the share buyback is set at $5 million [1] - **Financial Implications** - The share repurchase indicates a strategic move to enhance shareholder value [1]
贝壳(02423) - 翌日披露报表

2025-10-08 10:13
FF305 翌日披露報表 (股份發行人 ── 已發行股份或庫存股份變動、股份購回及/或在場内出售庫存股份) 表格類別: 股票 狀態: 新提交 公司名稱: 貝殼控股有限公司 呈交日期: 2025年10月8日 如上市發行人的已發行股份或庫存股份出現變動而須根據《香港聯合交易所有限公司(「香港聯交所」)證券上市規則》(「《主板上市規則》」)第13.25A條 / 《香港聯合交易所有限公司GEM證券 上市規則》(「《GEM上市規則》」)第17.27A條作出披露,必須填妥第一章節 。 第 2 頁 共 9 頁 v 1.3.0 FF305 FF305 | 第一章節 | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1. 股份分類 | 不同投票權架構公司普通股 | 股份類別 A | | 於香港聯交所上市 | 是 | | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 02423 | 說明 | | | | | | A. 已發行股份或庫存股份變動 | | | | | | | | | | 已發行股份(不包括庫存股份)變動 | | 庫存股份變動 | | | | | 事件 | 已發行股 ...
贝壳(02423) - 截至二零二五年九月三十日止月份之股份发行人的证券变动月报表

2025-10-08 10:07
股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年9月30日 狀態: 新提交 致:香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 貝殼控股有限公司 呈交日期: 2025年10月8日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 不同投票權架構公司普通股 | 股份類別 | A | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 02423 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 24,114,698,720 | USD | | 0.00002 USD | | 482,293.97 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | | | | USD | | | | 本月底結存 | | | 24,114,698,720 | USD | | 0.00002 USD | | 482,293.97 | 2. 股份分類 不同投票權架 ...