FF305 翌日披露報表 (股份發行人 ── 已發行股份或庫存股份變動、股份購回及/或在場内出售庫存股份) 表格類別： 股票 狀態： 新提交 公司名稱： 貝殼控股有限公司 呈交日期： 2025年11月17日 如上市發行人的已發行股份或庫存股份出現變動而須根據《香港聯合交易所有限公司（「香港聯交所」）證券上市規則》(「《主板上市規則》」)第13.25A條 / 《香港聯合交易所有限公司GEM證券 上市規則》(「《GEM上市規則》」)第17.27A條作出披露，必須填妥第一章節 。 | 第一章節 | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1. 股份分類 | 不同投票權架構公司普通股 | 股份類別 A | | 於香港聯交所上市 | 是 | | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 02423 | 說明 | | | | | | A. 已發行股份或庫存股份變動 | | | | | | | | | | 已發行股份（不包括庫存股份）變動 | | 庫存股份變動 | | | | | 事件 | 已發行股份（不包括庫存股份）數 目 | 佔有關事件前的現有已發 行股份 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the real estate industry [4][6]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes that the current policy environment is being driven by fundamental pressures, suggesting that the policy response may exceed the levels seen in 2008 and 2014 [4]. - Real estate is identified as an early-cycle indicator, serving as a barometer for economic trends, making it a strategic investment focus [4]. - The competitive landscape within the industry is improving, with leading state-owned enterprises and select mixed-ownership and private firms expected to benefit more in the future [4]. - The report continues to support investment in first-tier cities and two-thirds of second-tier cities, indicating that this combination has historically performed better during sales rebounds [4]. - Supply-side policies, including land storage and management of idle land, are highlighted as critical areas to monitor, with first and second-tier cities likely to benefit more from these changes [4]. Summary by Sections New Housing Market - In the week, new housing transaction area in 30 cities was 1.59 million square meters, showing a week-on-week increase of 17.4% but a year-on-year decrease of 34.6% [2]. - The new housing transaction area for first-tier cities was 432,000 square meters, up 12.6% week-on-week but down 42.5% year-on-year [2]. - Second-tier cities recorded a transaction area of 881,000 square meters, up 24.7% week-on-week and down 23.4% year-on-year [2]. - Third-tier cities had a transaction area of 276,000 square meters, up 4.9% week-on-week but down 47.7% year-on-year [2]. Second-Hand Housing Market - The total transaction area for second-hand housing in 14 sample cities was 2.003 million square meters, reflecting a week-on-week growth of 4.7% but a year-on-year decline of 17.0% [2]. - First-tier cities accounted for 856,000 square meters in second-hand transactions, up 8.7% week-on-week [2]. - Second-tier cities had a transaction area of 873,000 square meters, up 1.4% week-on-week [2]. - Third-tier cities recorded 273,000 square meters, up 3.7% week-on-week [2]. Credit Bonds - In the week of November 10-16, four credit bonds were issued by real estate companies, a decrease of eight from the previous week, with a total issuance of 3.62 billion yuan, down 6.63 billion yuan [3]. - The total repayment amount was 10.829 billion yuan, an increase of 4.359 billion yuan, resulting in a net financing amount of -7.209 billion yuan, down 10.989 billion yuan [3]. Market Performance - The report notes that the Shenwan Real Estate Index had a cumulative change of 2.7%, outperforming the CSI 300 Index by 3.78 percentage points, ranking 7th among 31 Shenwan primary industries [14]. - A total of 84 stocks in the real estate sector rose, while 30 stocks fell, with the top five gainers being Qianjing Garden, China Wuyi, Huaxia Happiness, Guancheng Datong, and Rongsheng Development, with gains of 61.0%, 30.0%, 26.3%, 21.6%, and 18.2% respectively [14].

Core Viewpoint - The real estate industry is undergoing transformation, with a shift from incremental development to stock operation, making "good houses" a new imperative. Beike has demonstrated resilience with its latest performance report, showcasing a revenue of 23.1 billion yuan and a year-on-year growth of 2.1% [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Beike achieved a total transaction volume (GTV) of 736.7 billion yuan in Q3 2025, with a significant contribution from its stock housing business, which reached 505.6 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 5.8% [2] - The non-real estate business revenue accounted for 45% of total revenue, marking a historical high, with home decoration and rental businesses showing substantial growth [4][5] Group 2: Business Model Evolution - Beike's "one body, three wings" strategy is entering a harvest phase, evolving from a single transaction model to a comprehensive living service ecosystem covering buying, selling, renting, and renovation [1][4] - The introduction of the "tenant separation" mechanism is reshaping the operation model of agents, enhancing efficiency and transaction rates [2] Group 3: Service and Operational Efficiency - Beike launched the "True Guarantee" service assurance system, which includes 35 service commitments, reinforcing its competitive edge in the stock competition era [3] - The company has maintained strategic consistency in its transaction business over the past decade, shifting its competitive focus from "property information" to "high-quality service standards" [3] Group 4: Growth Engines - The home decoration and rental segments are key growth engines for Beike, with the home decoration business generating a net income of 4.3 billion yuan in Q3, achieving a profit margin of 32% [4][5] - The rental business revenue reached 5.7 billion yuan in Q3, with a year-on-year growth of 45.3%, contributing to profitability at the city level [5] Group 5: AI Integration - Beike's R&D expenses reached 648 million yuan in Q3, marking a 13.2% year-on-year increase, with a clear business-oriented focus on enhancing operational efficiency through technology [7] - AI tools are being utilized across various business segments, significantly improving customer conversion rates and operational efficiency [7][8] Group 6: Shareholder Returns - Beike has increased its shareholder return efforts, repurchasing 280 million USD worth of shares in Q3, a 38.3% increase year-on-year, reflecting management's confidence in the company's long-term value [10]

Core Insights - HHLR Advisors, a fund management platform under Hillhouse Capital, reported a total market value of $4.1 billion in U.S. stocks as of the end of Q3 2025, an increase of $990 million or 32% from the previous quarter [1][2] - The firm significantly increased its holdings in Pinduoduo and Alibaba, while initiating positions in Baidu and Manbang Group, and reduced its stakes in Futu Holdings, NetEase, and Yatsen [1][5] Holdings Overview - HHLR Advisors held a total of 33 stocks at the end of Q3, with over 90% of the portfolio consisting of Chinese concept stocks, indicating a long-term bullish outlook on quality Chinese assets [2][4] - The top 10 holdings accounted for 93.46% of the total portfolio, with Pinduoduo and Alibaba being the largest positions [2][3] Major Increases - Pinduoduo remains the largest holding, with an increase of 1.6158 million shares, bringing the total to 8.5926 million shares, valued at $1.136 billion, representing 13.21% of the total portfolio [3][4] - Alibaba saw an increase of 2.14 million shares, with a total holding of 3.2897 million shares valued at $588 million, reflecting an 84.46% increase in its stock price year-to-date [4] New Positions - Baidu was newly added to the portfolio with 1.6410 million shares valued at $216.23 million, becoming the sixth-largest holding [4] - New investments also included Manbang Group and Sea, with holdings valued at $5.274 million and $3.218 million, respectively [4] Reductions - HHLR Advisors reduced its stake in Futu Holdings by 1.0741 million shares, bringing the total to 3.2382 million shares valued at $563 million, with the stock having increased over 107% year-to-date [7][8] - The firm also reduced its holdings in NetEase by 0.8729 million shares, resulting in a total of 0.7908 million shares valued at $120 million, with a year-to-date increase of 60.50% [8] - Other reductions included Yatsen, where the firm cut its position by 1.2261 million shares, and a complete exit from JD.com, Vipshop, Li Auto, and others [5][8]

Core Viewpoint - HHLR Advisors, a fund management platform under Hillhouse Capital, reported a significant increase in its US stock holdings, with a total market value of $4.1 billion as of the end of Q3 2025, reflecting a 32% increase from the previous quarter [2][3]. Holdings Summary - HHLR Advisors held a total of 33 stocks at the end of Q3, with a market value of $4.1 billion, up by $990 million from Q2 [2][3]. - The firm increased its positions in major Chinese stocks such as Pinduoduo and Alibaba, while also initiating new positions in Baidu and Manbang Group [2][5]. - The top 10 holdings accounted for 93.46% of the total portfolio, indicating a concentrated investment strategy [5]. Major Stock Movements - Pinduoduo remains the largest holding, with an increase of 1.6158 million shares, bringing the total to 8.5926 million shares, valued at $1.136 billion, which is 13.21% of the total portfolio [6][7]. - Alibaba was also significantly increased by 2.14 million shares, totaling 3.2897 million shares, valued at $588 million, with a year-to-date price increase of 84.46% [7]. - Baidu was newly added to the portfolio with 1.6410 million shares, valued at $216.23 million, benefiting from its accelerated AI commercialization [7]. Reductions and Exits - HHLR Advisors reduced its holdings in several stocks, including a decrease of 1.0741 million shares in Futu Holdings, now holding 3.2382 million shares valued at $563 million [9]. - The firm also reduced its position in NetEase by 87290 shares, bringing the total to 79080 shares, valued at $120 million [9]. - The firm completely exited positions in JD.com, Ideal Auto, and several other stocks during the quarter [8][9].

机构：第一上海 研究员：胡钰 2025Q3 经调整净利润12.9 亿元，同比下降27.8%：2025Q3 公司总交易额为7367 亿元，同比基本持平。 期内录得净收入231 亿元，同比增加2.1%。期内毛利率为21.4%，同比下降1.3 个百分点，主要由于贡献 利润率较高的存量房及新房业务收入占比下降以及存量房的贡献利润率下降的影响。期内整体运营费用 为43 亿元，同比减少1.8%，环比减少6.5%，公司降本增效成果逐步显现。期内公司经调整净利润12.9 亿元，同比下降27.8%。 一赛道业务韧性十足，成本费用节降稳步推进：2025Q3 公司存量房交易额为5056 亿元，同比增长 5.8%，实现净收入60 亿元，同比下降3.6%，收入增速低于交易额增速主要因为非链家的交易额占比提 升。贡献利润率为39.0%，同比下降2 个百分点，主要由于存量房收入减少带来的杠杆效应以及固定人 工成本同比增加所致；环比下降约1 个百分点，主要因为固定的人工成本环比降幅低于营收的降幅。期 内公司的固定人工成本环比下降6.5 个百分点，公司成本控制正在逐步兑现。新房交易额为1963 亿元， 同比下降13.7%；净收入66 亿元，同 ...

Core Insights - The company reported a 2% year-on-year revenue growth in Q3 2025, primarily driven by the development of its two wings business [1] - The adjusted net profit decreased by 28% year-on-year, indicating challenges in profitability despite revenue growth [2] - The existing housing business remained stable, while the new housing business showed a decline in performance [3][4] Revenue Performance - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a total GTV of 736.7 billion yuan, with revenue of 23.1 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 2% [1] - The revenue contributions from various segments were as follows: existing housing (26%), new housing (29%), home decoration and furniture (19%), rental services (25%), and emerging businesses (2%) [1] - The two wings business continues to enhance the stability of the company's revenue amid a challenging market environment [1] Profitability Analysis - The adjusted net profit for Q3 2025 was 1.3 billion yuan, down 28% year-on-year, with a net profit margin of 5.6% [2] - The gross profit margin was reported at 21.4%, a decrease of 1.3 percentage points year-on-year [2] - The contribution profit rates for various segments were: existing housing (38%), new housing (26%), home decoration (23%), rental services (8%), and emerging businesses (5%) [2] Segment Performance - The existing housing business GTV was 505.6 billion yuan, showing a 6% year-on-year increase, while revenue was 6 billion yuan, down 4% year-on-year [3] - The new housing business GTV was 196.3 billion yuan, reflecting a 14% year-on-year decline, with revenue also down 14% [4] - The home decoration and furniture business revenue grew by 2% year-on-year, while rental services saw a significant increase of 45% [4] Future Outlook - The company anticipates a more pronounced year-on-year decline in revenue for its main business segments in Q4 due to high base effects [1] - Adjusted net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been slightly lowered to 5.4 billion and 7 billion yuan, respectively [5] - The company maintains an "outperform the market" rating despite the downward adjustments in profit forecasts [5]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a mixed performance in Q3 2025, with net revenue showing a slight increase while net profit experienced a significant decline, indicating challenges in maintaining profitability amidst operational adjustments and market conditions [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company achieved net revenue of 23.052 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.1%, while net profit was 747 million yuan, down 36.1% year-on-year [1]. - Adjusted net profit for the same period was 1.286 billion yuan, reflecting a decrease of 27.8% year-on-year [1]. - The company's total GTV for Q3 2025 was 736.7 billion yuan, remaining stable year-on-year [1]. Group 2: Operational Efficiency - The company continued to optimize operational efficiency, with operating expenses decreasing by 1.8% year-on-year and 6.7% quarter-on-quarter [1]. - The decline in profit was attributed to a lower proportion of high-margin existing and new housing business revenues, with overall gross margin decreasing by 1.3 percentage points to 21.4% [1]. Group 3: Business Segments - The existing housing business GTV grew to 505.6 billion yuan, up 5.8% year-on-year, but net revenue fell by 3.6% to 5.991 billion yuan due to a higher proportion of GTV from agents [1]. - The new housing business GTV was 196.3 billion yuan, down 13.7% year-on-year, with net revenue declining by 14.1% to 6.639 billion yuan, reflecting a similar trend to the national market [2]. - The "two wings" business segments, including home decoration and rental services, showed profitability improvements, with home decoration revenue at 4.3 billion yuan, up 2.1% year-on-year, and rental income at 5.727 billion yuan, up 45.3% year-on-year [2]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The company forecasts revenues for 2025-2027 to be 94.665 billion yuan, 92.631 billion yuan, and 96.035 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 1.3%, -2.1%, and +3.7% respectively [2]. - Adjusted net profit is expected to be 6.083 billion yuan, 7.146 billion yuan, and 8.095 billion yuan for the same period, with respective year-on-year changes of -15.5%, +17.5%, and +13.3% [2].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [9]. Core Insights - The two main business segments are gradually becoming profitable, and significant share buybacks are being conducted to reward shareholders. The company is expected to see substantial incremental growth from its home decoration and rental businesses, which are turning profitable. Despite short-term pressures on the brokerage business due to market cycles, the company maintains a clear alpha compared to the industry. Continuous innovation and AI empowerment are expected to enhance quality and efficiency, leading to greater earnings elasticity as market conditions stabilize [2][10]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company achieved revenue of 23.1 billion yuan (up 2.1%) and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 750 million yuan (down 36.0%). Adjusted net profit was 1.29 billion yuan (down 27.8%). For the first three quarters of 2025, these figures were 72.4 billion yuan, 2.9 billion yuan, and 4.5 billion yuan, respectively, showing year-on-year changes of +16.1%, -16.8%, and -23.3% [6][10]. Business Segments - The rental revenue has increased significantly, countering the decline in the brokerage segment. The company reported a 45.3% year-on-year increase in rental revenue, with over 660,000 managed properties as of Q3 2025. The brokerage business saw a decline in revenue from existing and new homes, with year-on-year changes of -3.6% and -14.1%, respectively [10]. Profitability and Margins - The overall gross margin decreased by 1.3 percentage points year-on-year to 21.4%, with a gross profit decline of 3.9%. The profitability of the rental business improved significantly, contributing a profit margin of 8.7%. The company has successfully managed expenses, with selling, general, and administrative expenses as a percentage of revenue decreasing by 1.1 percentage points year-on-year to 18.4% [10]. Share Buybacks and Future Outlook - The company executed a share buyback amounting to 281 million USD in Q3 2025, the highest in nearly two years. Cumulatively, 675 million USD has been spent on buybacks in the first three quarters, representing nearly 3% of the total shares outstanding as of the end of 2024. The company expects adjusted net profits for 2025-2027 to be 5.78 billion, 7.62 billion, and 8.33 billion yuan, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 24.3, 18.4, and 16.9 [10].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [4][12]. Core Views - The company reported total revenue of 23.1 billion yuan in Q3 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 2.1%. However, net income decreased by 27.8% to 1.286 billion yuan [1][4]. - The net revenue from second-hand housing transaction services fell by 3.6% to 6 billion yuan, while new housing transaction services saw a decline of 14.1% to 6.6 billion yuan [1][4]. - The adjusted net profit for Q3 2025 was 1.286 billion yuan, reflecting a significant drop compared to the previous year [2][4]. - The company maintained a strong cash position with cash and short-term investments totaling 55.7 billion yuan, and continued share repurchases amounting to 281 million USD in Q3 [2][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Total revenue for Q3 2025 was 23.1 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 2.1%. The total transaction value (GTV) was 736.7 billion yuan, remaining stable year-on-year [1][2]. - The gross margin decreased to 21.4%, down from 22.7% in the same period last year, primarily due to reduced contributions from second-hand and new housing transaction services [2][4]. - The adjusted net profit for 2025 is projected to be 5.601 billion yuan, with a decline of 22.3% expected in 2025 [11]. Future Projections - Revenue estimates for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 93.62 billion yuan, 92.83 billion yuan, and 96.16 billion yuan, respectively [11]. - The adjusted EPS for 2025, 2026, and 2027 is forecasted to be 0.71 USD, 0.97 USD, and 1.10 USD, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 23.5X, 17.2X, and 15.3X [2][11]. Market Position - The company is recognized for its leading position in the market, and its scarcity as an investment target supports the "Buy" rating [2][4].