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贝壳(02423) - 翌日披露报表

2026-03-15 23:45
FF305 翌日披露報表 (股份發行人 ── 已發行股份或庫存股份變動、股份購回及/或在場内出售庫存股份) 表格類別: 股票 狀態: 新提交 公司名稱: 貝殼控股有限公司 呈交日期: 2026年3月16日 如上市發行人的已發行股份或庫存股份出現變動而須根據《香港聯合交易所有限公司(「香港聯交所」)證券上市規則》(「《主板上市規則》」)第13.25A條 / 《香港聯合交易所有限公司GEM證券 上市規則》(「《GEM上市規則》」)第17.27A條作出披露,必須填妥第一章節 。 | 第一章節 | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1. 股份分類 | 不同投票權架構公司普通股 | 股份類別 A | | | 於香港聯交所上市 | 是 | | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 02423 | 說明 | | | | | | | A. 已發行股份或庫存股份變動 | | | | | | | | | | | 已發行股份(不包括庫存股份)變動 | | | 庫存股份變動 | | | | | 事件 | 已發行股份(不包括庫存股份)數 目 | ...
地产及物管行业周报:38号文不是土地断供而是转向,挂钩存量盘活或将加速城市更新-20260314
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2026-03-14 14:05
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" rating for the real estate and property management sectors, highlighting the potential for recovery and growth in quality real estate companies and commercial properties [2][27]. Core Insights - The report indicates that the real estate sector is approaching a bottom after significant adjustments, with recent government policies aimed at stabilizing the market and enhancing financial support for the sector [2][27]. - It emphasizes the importance of quality real estate companies, suggesting that their profitability will recover sooner and with more elasticity due to improved industry dynamics [2][27]. - The report also notes that the current valuation levels for some quality firms are at historical lows, making the sector attractive for investment [2][27]. Industry Data Summary New Home Transactions - In the week of March 7-13, 2026, new home transactions in 34 key cities totaled 2.175 million square meters, representing a 20% increase week-on-week. First and second-tier cities saw a 21.6% increase, while third and fourth-tier cities experienced a 3.9% decline [3][11]. - Year-on-year, new home transactions in March 2026 decreased by 16.6%, with first and second-tier cities down 13.5% and third and fourth-tier cities down 48.3% [6][7]. Second-Hand Home Transactions - In the same week, second-hand home transactions in 13 key cities totaled 1.11 million square meters, up 9% week-on-week. However, March's cumulative transactions were down 26.9% year-on-year [11][12]. Inventory and Supply - In the week of March 7-13, 2026, 15 cities launched 750,000 square meters of new supply, with total sales of 830,000 square meters, resulting in a sales-to-supply ratio of 1.12. The average months of inventory for these cities increased slightly to 27.9 months [19][20]. Policy and News Tracking - The "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes the need for a new model of real estate development, focusing on high-quality growth and a balanced housing supply system [27][28]. - Recent policies include the establishment of a mechanism linking new land supply to the revitalization of existing land, prioritizing major projects and public welfare developments [27][28]. - Various cities are implementing measures to enhance housing affordability, such as increasing housing provident fund loan limits and optimizing loan policies [27][28]. Company Performance - Several real estate companies have reported their 2025 annual performance, with notable figures including: - Lujiazui: Revenue of approximately 18.17 billion yuan (+24%), net profit of 1.22 billion yuan (-19%) [38]. - Pudong Jinqiao: Revenue of approximately 5.97 billion yuan (+118.9%), net profit of 1.07 billion yuan (+7.1%) [38]. - Poly Development: Revenue of approximately 10.13 billion yuan (-36.7%) [38]. - Sales data for February 2026 showed significant declines for several companies, with China Jinmao reporting a 20.6% increase in sales amounting to 5.33 billion yuan [38].
贝壳-W(02423):持续组织精简,提升经营效率
GF SECURITIES· 2026-03-13 13:50
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expectation that the stock will outperform the market by more than 15% over the next 12 months [8]. Core Insights - The company is undergoing continuous organizational streamlining to enhance operational efficiency in response to ongoing pressures in the real estate market, which has affected both second-hand and new housing transactions [8]. - Due to a one-time cost increase at the end of the year, the profit forecast for Q4 2025 has been adjusted downwards, with an expected operating profit of 400 million RMB, a year-on-year decrease of 76% [8]. - The company is expected to achieve an adjusted operating profit of 7 billion RMB in 2026, reflecting a 62% year-on-year increase, despite a cautious market outlook [8]. - The adjusted net profit forecast for 2026 is projected to be 6.6 billion RMB, a 31% increase year-on-year, driven by improved operational efficiency [8]. - The report highlights the company's strong cash position of 73.9 billion RMB and suggests a valuation based on a 20x adjusted PE ratio, leading to a target price of 58.46 HKD per share [8]. Financial Forecast Summary - The company's main revenue is projected to be 77.8 billion RMB in 2023, increasing to 93.5 billion RMB in 2024, with a growth rate of 28.2% and 20.2% respectively [2]. - The adjusted net profit is expected to be 9.8 billion RMB in 2023, decreasing to 7.2 billion RMB in 2024, with a significant drop of 30.1% in 2025, followed by a recovery to 8.7 billion RMB in 2027 [2][9]. - The adjusted EPS is forecasted to be 2.63 RMB in 2023, declining to 1.99 RMB in 2024, and then recovering to 2.50 RMB by 2027 [2][9]. - The company's EBITDA is expected to decrease from 8 billion RMB in 2023 to 6.6 billion RMB in 2024, with a further decline to 4 billion RMB in 2025 before rebounding to 9.2 billion RMB in 2027 [2][9].
贝壳(02423) - 翌日披露报表

2026-03-13 12:11
FF305 翌日披露報表 (股份發行人 ── 已發行股份或庫存股份變動、股份購回及/或在場内出售庫存股份) | 1). | 購回股份(或其他證券)但沒有註銷 | | 938,955 | % | USD | 5.3251 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 變動日期 | 2026年1月2日 | | | | | | 2). | 購回股份(或其他證券)但沒有註銷 | | 616,191 | % | USD | 5.68 | | | 變動日期 | 2026年1月5日 | | | | | | 3). | 購回股份(或其他證券)但沒有註銷 | | 602,154 | % | USD | 5.8125 | | | 變動日期 | 2026年1月6日 | | | | | | 4). | 購回股份(或其他證券)但沒有註銷 | | 885,921 | % | USD | 5.6438 | | | 變動日期 | 2026年1月7日 | | | | | | 5). | 購回股份(或其他證券)但沒有註銷 | | 609,408 | % | USD | 5.7433 | | ...
贝壳(02423) - 翌日披露报表

2026-03-12 11:06
FF305 翌日披露報表 (股份發行人 ── 已發行股份或庫存股份變動、股份購回及/或在場内出售庫存股份) 表格類別: 股票 狀態: 新提交 公司名稱: 貝殼控股有限公司 呈交日期: 2026年3月12日 如上市發行人的已發行股份或庫存股份出現變動而須根據《香港聯合交易所有限公司(「香港聯交所」)證券上市規則》(「《主板上市規則》」)第13.25A條 / 《香港聯合交易所有限公司GEM證券 上市規則》(「《GEM上市規則》」)第17.27A條作出披露,必須填妥第一章節 。 | 第一章節 | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1. 股份分類 | 不同投票權架構公司普通股 | 股份類別 | A | | 於香港聯交所上市 | 是 | | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 02423 | 說明 | | | | | | | A. 已發行股份或庫存股份變動 | | | | | | | | | | | 已發行股份(不包括庫存股份)變動 | | | 庫存股份變動 | | | | | 事件 | 已發行股份(不包括庫存股份)數 目 | ...
贝壳(02423) - 翌日披露报表

2026-03-11 12:27
| 第一章節 | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1. 股份分類 | 不同投票權架構公司普通股 | 股份類別 | A | | | 於香港聯交所上市 | 是 | | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 02423 | 說明 | | | | | | | | A. 已發行股份或庫存股份變動 | | | | | | | | | | | | 已發行股份(不包括庫存股份)變動 | | | 庫存股份變動 | | | | | | 事件 | 已發行股份(不包括庫存股份)數 目 | | 佔有關事件前的現有已發 行股份(不包括庫存股 份)數目百分比 (註3) | 庫存股份數目 | | 每股發行/出售價 (註4) | 已發行股份總數 | | 於下列日期開始時的結存(註1) | 2026年3月9日 | | 3,391,029,167 | | | 0 | | 3,391,029,167 | | 1). 其他 (請註明) | | | | % | | | | | | 見B部分 | | | | | | | | | | 變動日期 | 2 ...
贝壳(02423) - 翌日披露报表

2026-03-10 09:25
FF305 翌日披露報表 (股份發行人 ── 已發行股份或庫存股份變動、股份購回及/或在場内出售庫存股份) 表格類別: 股票 狀態: 新提交 公司名稱: 貝殼控股有限公司 呈交日期: 2026年3月10日 如上市發行人的已發行股份或庫存股份出現變動而須根據《香港聯合交易所有限公司(「香港聯交所」)證券上市規則》(「《主板上市規則》」)第13.25A條 / 《香港聯合交易所有限公司GEM證券 上市規則》(「《GEM上市規則》」)第17.27A條作出披露,必須填妥第一章節 。 | 第一章節 | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1. 股份分類 | 不同投票權架構公司普通股 | 股份類別 | A | | 於香港聯交所上市 | | 是 | | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 02423 | 說明 | | | | | | | | A. 已發行股份或庫存股份變動 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 已發行股份(不包括庫存股份)變動 | | 庫存股份變動 | | | | | | 事件 | 已發行股 ...
贝壳(02423) - 翌日披露报表

2026-03-08 23:40
第 1 頁 共 8 頁 v 1.3.0 | 1). | 購回股份(或其他證券)但沒有註銷 | | 938,955 | % | USD | 5.3251 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 變動日期 | 2026年1月2日 | | | | | | 2). | 購回股份(或其他證券)但沒有註銷 | | 616,191 | % | USD | 5.68 | | | 變動日期 | 2026年1月5日 | | | | | | 3). | 購回股份(或其他證券)但沒有註銷 | | 602,154 | % | USD | 5.8125 | | | 變動日期 | 2026年1月6日 | | | | | | 4). | 購回股份(或其他證券)但沒有註銷 | | 885,921 | % | USD | 5.6438 | | | 變動日期 | 2026年1月7日 | | | | | | 5). | 購回股份(或其他證券)但沒有註銷 | | 609,408 | % | USD | 5.7433 | | | 變動日期 | 2026年1月8日 | | | | | | 6). ...
贝壳-W:4Q利润承压,1-2月存量房边际改善-20260309
HTSC· 2026-03-08 10:30
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [8][15]. Core Views - The company is expected to experience a 27% year-on-year decline in revenue for Q4 2025, amounting to 22.8 billion RMB, with significant declines in existing homes, new homes, home decoration, and rental income [1]. - Adjusted net profit is projected to decrease by 64% year-on-year to 4.8 billion RMB for Q4 2025, leading to a downward revision of revenue and profit forecasts due to a slowdown in the real estate industry's recovery [1]. - The company anticipates marginal improvement in its brokerage business in Q1 2026, driven by a decrease in second-hand housing listings, which may alleviate downward pressure on housing prices [1]. - For 2026, the company expects a market share expansion of 1-2.5 percentage points in its brokerage business, with significant profit margin recovery through personnel optimization and targeted marketing strategies [1][3]. Revenue and Profit Forecasts - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 have been adjusted to +0.1%/-6.2%/-9.6%, primarily due to limited upside in the brokerage business's take rate and a slight slowdown in market share expansion [11]. - Adjusted net profit estimates for 2025-2027 have been reduced by 12.9%/14.3%/20.9% to 5.02 billion RMB, 6.3 billion RMB, and 7.39 billion RMB respectively, reflecting increased personnel optimization costs and revenue adjustments [11][13]. Business Segment Insights - The existing home and new home revenue is expected to decline by 34% and 37% year-on-year respectively for Q4 2025, while the rental business is projected to see a smaller decline of 2% [3]. - The rental business is expected to show resilience, with a projected increase in the number of rental units by 200,000 to 300,000 in 2026, which may enhance profit contributions [4]. - The home decoration segment is undergoing structural adjustments, with a focus on optimizing store structures and reallocating personnel from brokerage to decoration services to improve efficiency [5]. Valuation - The target prices for the company's US and Hong Kong stocks are set at 21.85 USD and 56.07 HKD respectively, corresponding to a 27.8 times PE ratio for 2026, which is above the global comparable company's average of 22.8 times PE [15][16].
贝壳-W(02423):4Q利润承压,1-2月存量房边际改善
HTSC· 2026-03-08 09:05
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [8][15]. Core Insights - The company is expected to see a 27% year-on-year decline in revenue for Q4 2025, amounting to 22.8 billion RMB, with significant declines in existing homes, new homes, home decoration, and rental income [1]. - Adjusted net profit is projected to decrease by 64% year-on-year to 4.8 billion RMB [1]. - The report anticipates a marginal improvement in the brokerage business in Q1 2026, driven by a decrease in second-hand housing listings, which may alleviate downward pressure on housing prices [1]. - For 2026, the brokerage business is expected to expand its market share by 1-2.5 percentage points, with significant profit margin recovery anticipated [1][3]. Revenue and Profit Forecast - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 have been adjusted to +0.1% for 2025, -6.2% for 2026, and -9.6% for 2027, primarily due to limited upside in the brokerage business's take rate and a slight slowdown in market share expansion [11][13]. - Adjusted net profit estimates for 2025-2027 have been revised down by 12.9%, 14.3%, and 20.9% to 5.02 billion RMB, 6.3 billion RMB, and 7.39 billion RMB respectively [11][13]. Business Segment Performance - The existing home transaction services are expected to see a revenue decline of 34% year-on-year in Q4, while new home transaction services are projected to decline by 37% [3][12]. - The rental business is expected to show resilience, with a revenue decline of only 2% in Q4, and an anticipated addition of 200,000 to 300,000 rental units in 2026 [4]. - The home decoration segment is undergoing structural adjustments, with a revenue decline of 8% expected in Q4 [5]. Market Conditions - Recent policy changes in Shanghai are expected to boost market confidence, with the second-hand housing market showing resilience despite a 4% decline in transaction area across 22 cities [2]. - The new home market is showing signs of marginal improvement, with a 32% year-on-year decline in transaction area for 44 cities, a slight improvement from the 37% decline in Q4 [2]. Valuation - The target prices for the company's stock are set at 21.85 USD for the US market and 56.07 HKD for the Hong Kong market, corresponding to a 27.8 times PE ratio for 2026, which is above the global comparable company's average of 22.8 times [15][16].