Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2]. Core Views - The company is expected to see continuous growth driven by its dual business segments, with significant contributions from home decoration and rental services [2]. - Adjusted net profit for Q3 2024 reached 73.68 billion RMB, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 12.5% [2]. - The company’s total transaction volume increased by 26.8%, indicating strong market performance [2]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue for Q3 2024 was 62 billion RMB, stable compared to the previous year, with a net income of 77 billion RMB, up 30.9% year-on-year [2]. - The gross profit margin for the period was 22.7%, a decrease attributed to rising fixed salary costs and a decline in the profit margin from existing home sales [2]. - The adjusted net profit for the year is projected to be 80 billion RMB, 96 billion RMB, and 109 billion RMB for the next three years, respectively [2]. Business Segment Analysis - The existing home business saw a decline in profit margin, while the new home business outperformed expectations, with transaction volume reaching 4,778 billion RMB, an increase of 8.8% year-on-year [2]. - The new home business generated a transaction fee rate of 3.4%, achieving a historical high, with commission income from state-owned developers rising to 58% [2]. - Revenue from home decoration and rental services grew by 62.0% year-on-year, contributing to 35.8% of total revenue, marking a historical high [2]. Market Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from recent policy adjustments in real estate credit and transaction taxes, which are likely to lead to significant growth in overall transaction volume [2]. - The target price for the company's stock is set at 66.9 HKD / 25.6 USD, based on a projected PE ratio of 15 times for 2025 [2].

FF305 翌日披露報表 (股份發行人 ── 已發行股份或庫存股份變動、股份購回及/或在場内出售庫存股份) 第 2 頁 共 7 頁 v 1.3.0 FF305 表格類別： 股票 狀態： 新提交 公司名稱： 貝殼控股有限公司 呈交日期： 2024年11月28日 如上市發行人的已發行股份或庫存股份出現變動而須根據《香港聯合交易所有限公司（「香港聯交所」）證券上市規則》(「《主板上市規則》」)第13.25A條 / 《香港聯合交易所有限公司GEM證券 上市規則》(「《GEM上市規則》」)第17.27A條作出披露，必須填妥第一章節 。 | 第一章節 | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1. 股份分類 | 不同投票權架構公司普通股 | 股份類別 A | | 於香港聯交所上市 | 是 | | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 02423 | 說明 | | | | | | A. 已發行股份或庫存股份變動 | | | | | | | | | | 已發行股份（不包括庫存股份）變動 | | 庫存股份變動 | | | | | 事件 | 已發行股份（不包括 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [7] Core Views - The company has shown a significant increase in new home transaction volume, with a total transaction value of 7,368 billion yuan in Q3 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 12.5% [3][4] - The company's net income for the first three quarters of 2024 was 62.3 billion yuan, an increase of 8.3% year-on-year, while adjusted net profit was 5.87 billion yuan, a decrease of 27.4% year-on-year [3][4] - The "second curve" strategy focusing on home decoration, rental, and emerging businesses has shown strong growth potential, with these segments collectively growing by 54.3% year-on-year [4] Financial Summary - In Q3 2024, the company's total revenue was 22.6 billion yuan, up 26.8% year-on-year, with a gross profit margin of 22.7%, down 4.7 percentage points year-on-year [3][4] - The company’s operating expenses were 4.4 billion yuan in Q3 2024, with a fee rate of 19.5%, a decrease of 2.2 percentage points from the end of 2023 [5] - The company’s total market capitalization is approximately 175.17 billion HKD [7] Business Performance - The new home business revenue reached 7.7 billion yuan in Q3 2024, a year-on-year increase of 30.9%, while the transaction value was 227.6 billion yuan, up 18.4% year-on-year [3][4] - The rental business revenue surged by 118.4% year-on-year, with a total transaction value of 27.3 billion yuan, up 31.9% year-on-year [3][4] - The company has increased its store count to 48,200, a year-on-year growth of 12.1%, and the number of active agents reached 476,000, up 11% year-on-year [5] Market Outlook - The market recovery is ongoing, with new home transaction areas in key cities showing a month-on-month increase of 44% in October 2024 [6] - The company expects a positive impact on second-hand home transactions due to new tax policies and incentives introduced in November 2024 [6] - The company forecasts an EPS of 2.22 yuan for 2024, maintaining a "Buy" rating based on the potential for continued growth in the fourth quarter [12]

FF305 翌日披露報表 (股份發行人 ── 已發行股份或庫存股份變動、股份購回及/或在場内出售庫存股份) 表格類別： 股票 狀態： 新提交 公司名稱： 貝殼控股有限公司 呈交日期： 2024年11月27日 如上市發行人的已發行股份或庫存股份出現變動而須根據《香港聯合交易所有限公司（「香港聯交所」）證券上市規則》(「《主板上市規則》」)第13.25A條 / 《香港聯合交易所有限公司GEM證券 上市規則》(「《GEM上市規則》」)第17.27A條作出披露，必須填妥第一章節 。 | 第一章節 | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1. 股份分類 | 不同投票權架構公司普通股 | 股份類別 A | | 於香港聯交所上市 | 是 | | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 02423 | 說明 | | | | | | A. 已發行股份或庫存股份變動 | | | | | | | | | | 已發行股份（不包括庫存股份）變動 | | 庫存股份變動 | | | | | 事件 | 已發行股份（不包括庫存股份）數 目 | 佔有關事件前的現有已發 行股份 ...

FF305 如上市發行人的已發行股份或庫存股份出現變動而須根據《香港聯合交易所有限公司（「香港聯交所」）證券上市規則》(「《主板上市規則》」)第13.25A條 / 《香港聯合交易所有限公司GEM證券 上市規則》(「《GEM上市規則》」)第17.27A條作出披露，必須填妥第一章節 。 | 第一章節 | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1. 股份分類 | 不同投票權架構公司普通股 | 股份類別 A | | 於香港聯交所上市 | 是 | | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 02423 | 說明 | | | | | | A. 已發行股份或庫存股份變動 | | | | | | | | | | 已發行股份（不包括庫存股份）變動 | | 庫存股份變動 | | | | | 事件 | 已發行股份（不包括庫存股份）數 目 | 佔有關事件前的現有已發 行股份（不包括庫存股 份）數目百分比 (註3) | 庫存股份數目 | 每股發行/出售價 (註4) | 已發行股份總數 | | 於下列日期開始時的結存(註1) | 2024年11月7日 | 3,479,6 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company [4][51]. Core Views - The company's Q3 revenue and profit showed a sequential decline, but a significant recovery is expected in Q4 due to policy influences [2][35]. - The new housing business continues to outperform the market, with a GTV market share increase and a record high monetization rate [2][23]. - The existing housing business performance aligns with real estate policy trends, with expectations for a notable rebound in Q4 [2][9]. Revenue and Profit Summary - In Q3 2024, the company achieved a GTV of 736.8 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 12%. Revenue was 22.6 billion yuan, up 27% year-on-year but down 3% quarter-on-quarter [2][7]. - Adjusted net profit for Q3 2024 was 1.8 billion yuan, down 17% year-on-year and 34% quarter-on-quarter, with an adjusted net profit margin of 7.9% [2][7]. Business Segment Performance - The existing housing business had a GTV of 477.8 billion yuan in Q3 2024, a year-on-year increase of 9% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 16%. Revenue was 6.2 billion yuan, down 1% year-on-year and 15% quarter-on-quarter [2][9]. - The new housing business achieved a GTV of 227.6 billion yuan in Q3 2024, a year-on-year increase of 18% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 3%, with a market share of 12.0% [2][23]. - The new business segment showed strong growth, with home decoration and rental services contributing significantly to revenue [2][35]. Financial Forecasts - The company expects adjusted net profits of 9 billion yuan and 9.2 billion yuan for 2024 and 2025, respectively, with corresponding earnings per share of 2.50 yuan and 2.54 yuan [2][35]. - The current price-to-earnings (PE) ratios are projected at 18.3 for 2024 and 18.0 for 2025 [2][35].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company [4][51]. Core Insights - The company's Q3 revenue and profit showed a sequential decline, but a significant recovery is expected in Q4. The adjusted net profit for Q3 2024 was 1.8 billion yuan, down 17% year-on-year and 34% quarter-on-quarter [2][4][35]. - The new housing business continues to outperform the market, with a GTV of 227.6 billion yuan in Q3 2024, representing an 18% year-on-year increase [2][23]. - The company’s new track business is maintaining good growth momentum, with home decoration and rental services showing significant revenue increases [2][35]. Revenue and Profit Summary - In Q3 2024, the company achieved a GTV of 736.8 billion yuan, a 12% increase year-on-year but a 12% decrease quarter-on-quarter. Revenue was 22.6 billion yuan, up 27% year-on-year but down 3% quarter-on-quarter [2][7]. - The adjusted net profit margin for Q3 2024 was 7.9%, with a gross margin of 23%, both showing a decline compared to previous periods [2][7]. Business Segment Performance - The existing housing business GTV was 477.8 billion yuan in Q3 2024, a 9% year-on-year increase but a 16% decrease quarter-on-quarter. Revenue from this segment was 6.2 billion yuan, down 1% year-on-year and 15% quarter-on-quarter [2][9]. - The new housing business's GTV market share increased to 12.0%, up 1.7 percentage points from Q2 2024, with a revenue of 7.7 billion yuan, reflecting a 31% year-on-year growth [2][23]. - The new track business accounted for 4% of GTV and 38% of revenue, with home decoration revenue growing by 33% year-on-year and rental service revenue increasing by 118% year-on-year [2][35]. Financial Forecasts - The report forecasts adjusted net profits of 9 billion yuan for 2024 and 9.2 billion yuan for 2025, with corresponding earnings per share of 2.50 yuan and 2.54 yuan, leading to a PE ratio of 18.3 and 18.0 respectively [2][4][35].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, citing its strong market position and expected growth in adjusted net profit for 2024/2025/2026 [3][6] Core Views - The company benefits from favorable real estate policies, which are expected to drive market recovery and enhance its market share [6] - The company's new home GTV monetization rate reached a historical high in 2024Q3, with a GTV of 227.6 billion yuan, up 18.5% YoY, outperforming the industry [5] - The company's rental service business revenue grew 118% YoY in 2024Q3, driven by the rapid expansion of its "Worry-Free Rent" managed properties [6] - The company has consistently delivered on its shareholder return commitments, with $5.8 billion used for share repurchases in the first three quarters of 2024 [6] Financial Performance - The company's revenue for 2024Q3 was 22.6 billion yuan, up 26.8% YoY, with a gross margin of 22.7%, down 5.2 percentage points QoQ due to increased fixed costs [7] - Adjusted net profit for 2024Q3 was 1.78 billion yuan, down 17.5% YoY, but exceeded Bloomberg consensus expectations [7] - The company's existing home GTV in 2024Q3 was 477.8 billion yuan, up 8.8% YoY, with expectations of significant YoY and QoQ growth in Q4 due to policy tailwinds [7] Business Segments - The home decoration and furnishing segment saw a GTV of 4.1 billion yuan in 2024Q3, up 24.6% YoY, with a contribution margin increase of 2.1 percentage points to 31% [9] - The rental service business contributed a profit margin of 4.4% in 2024Q3, down 1.4 percentage points QoQ due to seasonal cost increases [6] Market Data - The company's closing price was $19.98 per ADS, with a total market capitalization of $24.1 billion and total assets of 1,227.96 billion yuan as of November 21, 2024 [1] - The company's net assets were 707.75 billion yuan, with a net asset per share of 19.5 yuan [1]

Financial Performance - Gross transaction value (GTV) reached RMB736.8 billion (US$105.0 billion), a 12.5% year-over-year increase[4] - Net revenues increased by 26.8% to RMB22.6 billion (US$3.2 billion) compared to RMB17.8 billion in the same period of 2023[5][15] - Net income was RMB1,168 million (US$167 million), with adjusted net income at RMB1,782 million (US$254 million)[6] - Total net revenues for the three months ended September 30, 2024, increased to RMB 22,584,647, representing a 27.5% growth compared to RMB 17,810,705 for the same period in 2023[68] - Net income attributable to KE Holdings Inc. for the three months ended September 30, 2024, was RMB 1,171,073, compared to RMB 1,158,042 for the same period in 2023, reflecting a 1.1% increase[70] - The company reported a total comprehensive income of RMB 1,049,224 for the three months ended September 30, 2024, up from RMB 927,825 in the same quarter of 2023[70] - The net income for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, was RMB 3,500,932, representing a decrease of 32.9% from RMB 5,219,541 in the same period of 2023[75] Revenue Breakdown - Net revenues from home renovation and furnishing grew by 32.6% to RMB4.2 billion (US$0.6 billion) year-over-year[21] - Net revenues from home rental services surged by 118.4% to RMB3.9 billion (US$0.6 billion) compared to RMB1.8 billion in the same period of 2023[22] - Contribution from new home transaction services net revenues increased to RMB 7,726,316 for the three months ended September 30, 2024, compared to RMB 5,901,966 in the same period of 2023, representing a growth of approximately 30.9%[84] - Home renovation and furnishing net revenues for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, reached RMB 10,662,113, up from RMB 7,209,569 in the same period of 2023, indicating a growth of about 48.5%[84] - Home rental services net revenues for the three months ended September 30, 2024, were RMB 3,941,234, significantly higher than RMB 1,804,374 for the same period in 2023, reflecting an increase of approximately 118.5%[84] - Total contribution from existing home transaction services for the three months ended September 30, 2024, was RMB 2,549,227, down from RMB 3,069,848 in the same period of 2023, indicating a decline of approximately 17%[84] Expenses and Costs - Total cost of revenues increased by 35.0% to RMB17.4 billion (US$2.5 billion) in Q3 2024[23] - Gross profit increased by 5.2% to RMB5.1 billion (US$0.7 billion) in Q3 2024, with a gross margin of 22.7%, down from 27.4% in Q3 2023[30] - Total operating expenses rose by 11.0% to RMB4.4 billion (US$0.6 billion) in Q3 2024, with sales and marketing expenses increasing by 18.6% to RMB1.9 billion (US$0.3 billion)[32][33] - Research and development expenses increased by 21.5% to RMB573 million (US$82 million) in Q3 2024, driven by higher headcount and technical service costs[34] - Operating expenses for the three months ended September 30, 2024, totaled RMB 4,407,769, an increase from RMB 3,969,722 in the same period last year[68] Cash and Assets - As of September 30, 2024, the combined balance of cash, cash equivalents, restricted cash, and short-term investments was RMB59.5 billion (US$8.5 billion)[45] - Cash and cash equivalents were reported at RMB 9,576,948 as of September 30, 2024, a decrease from RMB 19,634,716 as of December 31, 2023[64] - Short-term investments increased significantly to RMB 43,654,035 as of September 30, 2024, up from RMB 34,257,958 as of December 31, 2023, representing a growth of approximately 27%[64] - The company reported a net decrease in cash and cash equivalents of RMB 1,706,229 for the three months ended September 30, 2024[82] Shareholder Information - The company allocated approximately US$200 million to share repurchases in Q3 2024[14] - The company has repurchased approximately 102.2 million ADSs (representing approximately 306.5 million Class A ordinary shares) for a total consideration of approximately US$1,493.4 million under its share repurchase program[46] - Basic and diluted net income per ADS attributable to KE Holdings Inc.'s ordinary shareholders were RMB1.04 (US$0.15) and RMB1.00 (US$0.14) in Q3 2024, compared to RMB0.99 and RMB0.97 in Q3 2023[41] - The weighted average number of ADS used in computing net income per ADS, diluted, for the three months ended September 30, 2024, was 1,167,050,588[72] Liabilities and Equity - Current liabilities increased to RMB 43,147,206 as of September 30, 2024, compared to RMB 39,523,983 as of December 31, 2023, reflecting a growth of approximately 6.5%[65] - Total shareholders' equity decreased to RMB 70,893,663 as of September 30, 2024, down from RMB 72,201,105 as of December 31, 2023, indicating a decline of about 1.8%[66] - Total non-current liabilities increased to RMB 8,754,843 as of September 30, 2024, from RMB 8,606,843 as of December 31, 2023, marking an increase of approximately 1.7%[65] - The company’s accumulated deficit improved to RMB (2,178,008) as of September 30, 2024, from RMB (5,672,916) as of December 31, 2023, showing a significant reduction in losses[66]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with expected price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for 2024-2026 at 19.0x, 17.9x, and 15.5x respectively [2]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 22.585 billion yuan for Q3 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 26.8%, while net profit decreased by 0.2% to 1.168 billion yuan. Adjusted net profit fell by 17.5% to 1.782 billion yuan [1]. - The increase in revenue was accompanied by a higher rise in operating costs, which increased by 35.0% year-on-year, leading to a decline in gross margin by 4.7 percentage points to 22.7% [1]. - The company experienced growth in both new and existing home transactions, with existing home gross transaction value (GTV) at 477.8 billion yuan, up 8.8% year-on-year, and new home GTV at 227.6 billion yuan, up 18.4% year-on-year [1]. - The company's "one body, three wings" strategy is showing positive results, with home decoration, rental housing, and emerging businesses contributing to a total revenue of 8.64 billion yuan, a 54.3% increase year-on-year, accounting for 38.3% of total revenue [1]. - The company has been actively repurchasing shares, spending approximately 5.8 billion USD in 2024, which represents 3.32% of the total shares outstanding at the beginning of the period [1]. Financial Performance Summary - For 2024, the company’s projected Non-GAAP net profits are adjusted to 9.01 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 8.0%, with subsequent years showing growth of 6.3% and 15.4% for 2025 and 2026 respectively [2]. - The revenue forecast for 2024 is set at 91.12 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 17.16%, and is expected to reach 107.62 billion yuan in 2025 [5]. - The company’s diluted earnings per share (EPS) for 2024 is projected at 2.486 yuan, with a return on equity (ROE) of 7.12% [5].