Core Insights - The report from China Merchants Securities highlights AsiaInfo Technology (01675) as a leading provider of intelligent digital solutions in the critical information infrastructure sector, emphasizing its strong experience and capabilities in this area [1][2] - The company is focusing on enhancing AI capabilities to address fluctuations in BSS business and increase OSS business share, with three main growth engines identified: AI model applications, 5G private networks, and digital operations [1] - The projected net profits for the company from 2025 to 2027 are estimated at 428 million, 648 million, and 716 million yuan respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 17.3, 11.4, and 10.3, maintaining a "strong buy" investment rating [1] Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported a revenue of 3.968 billion yuan, with total assets around 9.219 billion yuan and net assets approximately 6.14 billion yuan as of September 30 [1] - The company anticipates a significant improvement in Q4 2025 performance compared to Q3, with overall annual performance expected to remain stable after excluding one-time compensation due to personnel optimization [1] Business Expansion - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company significantly expanded its AI model application and delivery business, achieving over 75 million yuan in revenue, a 26-fold year-on-year increase, and nearly tripling growth compared to the first half of the year [2] - The company secured orders exceeding 150 million yuan, indicating a robust pipeline of business opportunities, establishing this segment as a new growth engine [2] - A recent partnership with Alibaba Cloud was formed during the "2025 Alibaba Cloud Summit," designating AsiaInfo as an "ability center" to enhance collaboration in various AI product developments and market expansion [2]

Core Viewpoint - The report from China Merchants Securities highlights AsiaInfo Technology (01675) as a leading provider of intelligent digital solutions in China, with strong experience in critical information infrastructure. The company is focusing on AI integration to address fluctuations in BSS business and increase OSS market share, while developing three growth engines: AI model applications, 5G private networks, and intelligent operations. The future outlook is promising, with projected net profits for 2025-2027 showing significant growth [1][2]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 3.968 billion yuan. As of September 30, total assets were approximately 9.219 billion yuan, and net assets were about 6.14 billion yuan. The company anticipates a significant improvement in Q4 performance compared to Q3, with annual results expected to remain stable after excluding one-time compensation due to personnel optimization [1]. AI Model Development - The company has significantly increased its efforts in AI model applications and delivery, with revenue exceeding 75 million yuan in the first three quarters, marking a 26-fold year-on-year increase and nearly tripling from the first half of the year. Orders have surpassed 150 million yuan, indicating a robust pipeline of opportunities and establishing this area as a new growth engine [2]. Strategic Partnerships - Recently, AsiaInfo Technology signed a cooperation agreement with Alibaba Cloud during the "2025 Alibaba Cloud Summit," officially becoming Alibaba Cloud's "Capability Center." This partnership aims to enhance joint product development, service collaboration, and market expansion in areas such as AI models, AI integrated machines, and AI model security, contributing to a sustainable operational delivery system for AI applications across various industries [2].

Core Viewpoint - The company reported stable performance in Q3 2025, with improvements in key financial metrics driven by steady sales growth, product structure optimization, and the introduction of new high-value products [1][2]. Financial Performance - Q3 2025 revenue reached 3.145 billion, a year-on-year increase of 14.61% - Net profit for Q3 was 325 million, up 5.21% year-on-year - Deducting non-recurring items, net profit was 322 million, reflecting a 4.87% increase year-on-year - For the first three quarters of 2025, total revenue was 9.109 billion, an 18.63% increase year-on-year, with net profit at 896 million, a 3.24% increase [1][11]. Sales and Market Outlook - Q3 sales improved due to a recovering automotive market, with significant growth noted in September - The company anticipates a steady sales pace and volume for Q4 based on current order conditions [2]. Processing Fees - Processing fees have decreased compared to last year due to changes in export tax policies, but Q3 saw an increase in average processing fees due to product optimization and cost reduction measures [3]. - The company expects processing fees to remain stable next year, despite typical annual declines in the industry [4]. Business Development - The company focuses on manufacturing and R&D of aluminum thermal transmission materials, aiming for scale and capacity expansion to become an industry leader [5]. - There are no current plans to explore new upstream industries, but investments in closely related downstream products, such as stamping parts, are ongoing [6]. Project Progress - The Chongqing Phase II project, aimed at producing high-end aluminum sheets and foils for new energy vehicles, is progressing well, with partial production expected next year [7]. Foreign Trade - The company's foreign trade growth is slightly lower than domestic trade but remains stable, with expectations for a year-on-year increase in foreign trade revenue, accounting for about 30% of total revenue [8]. International Strategy - The company is actively researching overseas market opportunities, recognizing the trend of Chinese automotive and radiator industries expanding internationally, while also acknowledging the higher risks associated with overseas investments [10].

Core Viewpoint - The report from China Merchants Securities International indicates a downward revision of Great Wall Motors' (02333) earnings forecast for 2025-2027 by 2%/5%/4%, reflecting increased sales expense predictions due to new model launches and overseas channel expansion, alongside a rising tax rate due to a higher proportion of overseas business. The target price has been reduced by 8%, from HKD 26 to HKD 24, while maintaining a "Buy" rating [1]. Group 1 - The group's third-quarter profit was impacted by multiple factors, including deferred expenses in Russia, foreign exchange fluctuations, and disturbances in overseas tax rates [1]. - The high-end brand "WEY" has an optimistic guidance for next year, aiming to challenge a monthly delivery of 60,000 units by 2026 [1]. - The export business is expected to see strong growth, with the group forecasting an export target of 500,000 units this year, and a growth rate of no less than 20% in 2026 [1]. Group 2 - The European market is anticipated to see the launch of the EC15 model in the second quarter of 2026, aimed at expanding into new markets [1].

Macro - The rise in gold prices since 2022 is driven by three core factors: 1) cyclical factors related to the Federal Reserve's shift from rate hikes to potential cuts; 2) concerns over the credibility of the US dollar, prompting global central banks to diversify their reserves by purchasing gold; 3) short-term factors such as geopolitical tensions and uncertainties in global trade, leading to increased investment in gold as a safe-haven asset [1] - In the short term, gold prices are expected to experience volatility and enter a consolidation phase, but in the medium to long term, three factors will continue to push gold prices higher: 1) ongoing purchases of gold by global central banks to hedge against dollar credit risk; 2) a shift in global gold ETFs from net sellers to net buyers; 3) market expectations of two more rate cuts by the Federal Reserve this year, with potential for larger cuts after a change in leadership next year [1] Asset Allocation - Gold valuation remains at an acceptable level, with domestic institutions having room for increased allocation: based on quantitative metrics, the short-term focus should be on assessing market risk aversion through economic policy uncertainty indices, while the medium-term valuation perspective shows that the ratio of gold priced in dollars to reserve currency M2 is at a historical percentile of 77%, still within acceptable limits [2] - A horizontal comparison of mean-variance, risk budgeting, and all-weather strategies suggests optimal gold allocation ratios of 5%-10%, 10%-20%, and 20%-25% respectively; current allocations by public funds, bank wealth management, and insurance institutions are still at marginal growth levels, indicating potential for absolute increases [2] Precious Metals - Since mid-October, gold stocks have not followed the upward trend of gold prices primarily due to the significant rise in gold prices since August, leading to overbought technical indicators and cautious sentiment in the equity market, causing gold stocks to peak and retreat ahead of gold prices [3] - As gold prices stabilize and build a base, gold stock prices are expected to realign with gold prices; current valuations of gold stocks are at historical lows, with a rolling P/E ratio of approximately 30 times, indicating potential for recovery [3] - Recommended gold stocks include Lingbao Gold, Tongguan Gold, Zijin Mining International, Shandong Gold, Chifeng Jilong Gold, Shanjin International, and Zhongjin Gold; for silver, recommended stocks include Xingye Silver and Shengda Resources [3] Jewelry and Light Industry - Starting in 2024, the gold jewelry industry is expected to exhibit structural demand characteristics: first, consumption among the middle class and high-net-worth individuals in mainland China is weakening and becoming more rational; second, the continuous rise in gold prices will lead to a decline in the consumption of gold for jewelry starting in 2024; third, brands like Lao Pu, Chow Tai Fook, and others are focusing on craftsmanship upgrades and integrating traditional Chinese culture, positioning gold as a mainstream in the domestic jewelry fashion market [4] - Chow Tai Fook has returned to a mid-to-high-end positioning, with significant improvements in channel reform and product upgrades, resulting in a 4.1% year-on-year increase in overall retail value in Q3, with same-store sales growth of 7.6%; high-margin priced products contributed 30% to retail value, enhancing profitability [4]

该行将长城汽车2025至2027年净盈利预测分别下调2%、5%及4%，反映新车型推出以及海外渠道开拓， 提升销售费用预期，同时海外业务占比增加，令公司税率有所上升；目标价由26港元降至24港元，评 级"增持"。 招商证券国际发表报告指，长城汽车第三季业绩低于预期，受俄罗斯报费用递延、汇兑及海外税率扰 动，但高端品牌魏明年指引乐观，出口业务今年明年有望强劲增长。报告指，长城汽车第三季实现营业 总收入612.5亿元，按年和按季分别增长20.5%和+17.1%，略低于市场预测的634亿，但符合该行预期。 汽车销量35.36万辆，按年和按季分别增长20.2%和+13%，增长强劲。对应单车收入17.32万元，按年和 按季分别增长9.3%和3%，中高端车占比提升。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report from China Merchants Securities International indicates a downward revision of Great Wall Motors' (02333) earnings forecasts for 2025-2027 by 2%, 5%, and 4% respectively, due to increased sales expense predictions from new model launches and overseas channel expansion [1] Group 1: Earnings Forecasts - Great Wall Motors' earnings estimates for 2025, 2026, and 2027 have been reduced by 2%, 5%, and 4% respectively [1] - The adjustments reflect anticipated increases in sales expenses linked to new model introductions and the expansion of overseas channels [1] Group 2: Target Price and Rating - The target price for Great Wall Motors has been lowered by 8%, from HKD 26 to HKD 24 [1] - The rating remains "Buy" despite the downward revision [1] Group 3: Profit Influences - The company's third-quarter profits were impacted by multiple factors, including deferred expenses in Russia, foreign exchange fluctuations, and disturbances in overseas tax rates [1] Group 4: Brand and Export Outlook - The high-end brand "WEY" is expected to have an optimistic guidance for next year, aiming to challenge a monthly delivery of 60,000 units by 2026 [1] - The export business is projected to see strong growth, with an expected 500,000 units exported this year and a growth rate of no less than 20% in 2026 [1] - The European market is anticipated to see the launch of the EC15 model in the second quarter of 2026 to explore new market opportunities [1]

招商证券国际发布研报称，下调长城汽车（601633）(02333)2025-2027年盈测2%/5%/4%，反映新车型 推出及海外渠道开拓提升销售费用预测，同时海外业务占比增加，致使集团税率上升，下调目标价 8%，由26港元降至24港元，维持"增持"评级。 报告表示，集团多因素拖累第三季利润，受俄罗斯费用递延、汇兑及海外税率扰动。但集团高端品 牌"魏"明年指引乐观，将在2026年挑战月交付6万台。出口业务亦有望强劲增长，集团预计今年出口冲 击50万台，2026年增长亦不低于20%。欧洲市场则预计于2026年第二季推EC15车型，以开拓新市场。 ...

Group 1 - Hong Kong Stock Exchange data shows that on October 27, shareholders of Longfor Properties (06968) transferred shares from Deutsche Bank to China Merchants Securities Hong Kong, with a transfer market value of HKD 14.0646 million, accounting for 10.98% [1] - Longfor Properties reported that the group, along with its joint ventures and associates, achieved a contract sales amount of approximately RMB 4.0524 billion from January to September 2025, representing a year-on-year decrease of 0.15% [1]

Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights that on October 27, Hong Kong Dragon Real Estate (06968) transferred shares from Deutsche Bank to China Merchants Securities Hong Kong, with a market value of HKD 14.0646 million, accounting for 10.98% of the total shares [1] - Hong Kong Dragon Real Estate reported that the group, along with its joint ventures and associates, achieved a contract sales amount of approximately RMB 4.0524 billion from January to September 2025, representing a year-on-year decrease of 0.15% [1]