编 译 / 钱 亚 光 设 计 / 张 萌 来 源 / d r i v i n g . c a b y J i l M c I n t o s h 你是否曾说过："我永远都不会那样做！"然后你还是这么做了，还得面对那些话所带来的后果？如 果你有过这样的经历，那你绝不是唯一一个这样的人。而且就这一点而言，与你情况类似的汽车制 造商也不在少数。 ↓2024 法拉利Purosangue 图片来源：FERRARI 例如，英国超级跑车制造商迈凯伦（McLaren）多年来一直宣称，它绝不会像其他所有汽车制造商 那样投身于SUV的热潮之中，因为该公司最初就是作为一家赛车运动公司创立的。但所有权的变更 最终扭转了这一局面，迫使这家著名的品牌走出了以往从未涉足的领域。 由于他们都没有"透视眼"，汽车制造商通常会综合考虑消费者趋势、法规、畅销产品等因素来预测 未来的产品走向，还会结合一些直觉判断。有时这种预测效果非常好，但有时情况就并非如此了 ——以下是一些汽车制造商曾自信地做出未来产品预测，但随后却完全改变主意的例子。 劳斯莱斯："我们永远不会卖电动汽车" ↓2011 年劳斯莱斯 102EX 图片来源：Rolls-Royce ...

Core Insights - Ford's F-150 Lightning has surpassed Tesla's Cybertruck to become the best-selling electric pickup truck in the U.S. as of Q1 2025 [1][3] Sales Performance - In March 2025, Ford registered 2,598 units of the F-150 Lightning, while Tesla registered 2,170 units of the Cybertruck [3] - Total registrations for the F-150 Lightning in Q1 2025 reached 7,913 units, compared to 7,126 units for the Cybertruck [3] Market Position - The Cybertruck, which initially became the best-selling electric pickup truck after its 2023 launch, has now dropped to the ninth position in sales [3] - Despite the decline in Cybertruck sales, Tesla maintains a significant presence in the U.S. electric vehicle market with its Model S, 3, X, and Y [3] Competitive Landscape - Other electric pickup models are also gaining traction, with Chevrolet Silverado EV and GMC Sierra EV selling 2,383 and 1,249 units respectively in Q1 2025, while Rivian's R1T sold 1,727 units [3] - The competition in the electric pickup segment is expected to intensify with the introduction of new models from various manufacturers [3]

Group 1: Dividend Risks - Both Ford and UPS are at risk of cutting their dividends due to challenging financial conditions, with UPS planning to pay out about $5.5 billion in dividends in 2025 and Ford potentially using up to 89% of its free cash flow (FCF) on dividends in 2025 [4][6] - UPS aims to pay out approximately 50% of its earnings in dividends, while Ford targets 40% to 50% of its FCF [2][4] - The trading environment has deteriorated, leading both companies to suspend or not update their guidance, with UPS experiencing a 9% decline in average daily volumes in the second quarter [5][6] Group 2: Company Performance - Ford's transition from internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles to electric vehicles (EVs) is progressing slowly, with significant losses in its EV segment, reporting a loss of $5.1 billion in 2024 [10] - UPS is shifting its revenue mix from low-profitability business-to-consumer deliveries to higher-margin deliveries in small and medium-sized businesses (SMBs) and healthcare, which is expected to improve its financial performance [11][12] - UPS has seen impressive growth in its SMB segment, increasing its share of U.S. volume from 27% in 2021 to 28.9% in 2024, with a goal of reaching 40% [13] Group 3: Strategic Outlook - UPS is investing in productivity-enhancing technologies, which are expected to lead to cost reductions and improved returns on assets [12] - Ford faces significant challenges in the EV market, particularly with competition from Tesla, while UPS is on a better strategic trajectory despite near-term headwinds [14]

Ford Motor Company - Ford is recalling 273,789 Expedition and Lincoln Navigator SUVs from model years 2022 to 2024 due to a potential brake defect [1] - The brake defect may cause longer brake pedal travel and a reduction in deceleration, increasing the likelihood of a collision [2] - Only about 1% of the recalled SUVs are expected to have this issue, and there have been no reported crashes or injuries related to it [3] - Ford sold over 78,000 Expeditions and 15,000 Navigators in the U.S. last year, indicating the significance of these models in its lineup [4] Waymo LLC - Waymo is recalling 1,212 autonomous vehicles to address software issues that could lead to collisions with road barriers [5] - The company operates over 1,500 vehicles and provides more than 250,000 fully autonomous paid rides each week [5] - Waymo plans to expand its services to additional cities including Atlanta, Miami, and Washington, D.C. [5] Volvo - Volvo issued a recall affecting 413,151 U.S. vehicles, including 2021–2025 XC40 models, due to a malfunctioning rearview camera system [6] - The issue will be resolved through a software update, either at dealerships or via over-the-air installation [6]

Group 1 - General Motors confirmed the restructuring of its high-end import vehicle platform, Daolang, in response to significant economic changes, indicating a strategic optimization of its operations in China [1] - The decision to restructure comes as the import vehicle sales account for less than 0.1% of General Motors' total sales in China, suggesting a focus on enhancing operational efficiency despite the low sales impact [1] Group 2 - BYD established a new automotive sales company in Baotou, expanding its sales network in the growing electric vehicle market, which is expected to enhance its local market influence [2] - This move reflects BYD's broader strategy of nationwide expansion in response to increasing demand for electric vehicles [2] Group 3 - Hyundai Motor Company broke ground on its first manufacturing plant in the Middle East, located in Saudi Arabia, marking a significant milestone in its global expansion strategy [3] - The new plant, a joint venture with the Saudi Public Investment Fund, is set to produce 50,000 vehicles annually, including electric and internal combustion engine models, starting in Q4 2026 [3] Group 4 - Ford Motor Company announced a recall of approximately 274,000 SUVs due to potential brake failure risks, which could negatively impact the brand's reputation despite the low percentage of affected vehicles [4] - This incident highlights the automotive industry's focus on safety issues and may lead consumers to scrutinize product quality more closely [4] Group 5 - GAC Trumpchi experienced a leadership change with Feng Xingya stepping down as chairman, replaced by He Xianqing, which may influence the company's future strategic direction and management style [5] - The leadership transition could generate new expectations regarding product innovation and market competitiveness for GAC Trumpchi [5]

Core Points - Ontario Budget 2025 is criticized for prioritizing corporate handouts and deregulation over the needs of workers and public services [2][4][8] - The budget fails to address job losses, with 33,000 manufacturing jobs lost recently, and lacks guarantees for job security or decent wages [3][4] - There is a projected $14.6 billion deficit for 2025-26, with overly optimistic forecasts for a surplus in 2026-27, raising concerns about economic stability [9] Summary by Category Economic Impact - The budget does not provide a serious plan to make life more affordable or secure for Ontarians, focusing instead on a narrow surplus projection based on optimistic forecasts [9] - The government is allocating billions into a contingency fund without targeted investments in job creation, risking community welfare amid low economic growth and high unemployment [7] Public Services - Key sectors such as health care, child care, and public education remain underfunded, which undermines community well-being and economic competitiveness [4][6] - There are no new investments in essential public infrastructure like hospitals and schools, which are critical for supporting stable jobs [6] Labor Concerns - The Ontario Federation of Labour emphasizes that the budget ignores the needs of workers for fair wages and secure jobs, leaving them to bear the brunt of economic challenges [2][4] - The expansion of the Ontario Made Manufacturing Investment Tax Credit lacks job guarantees and wage conditions, raising concerns about its effectiveness [3]

About this content About Emily Jarvie Emily began her career as a political journalist for Australian Community Media in Hobart, Tasmania. After she relocated to Toronto, Canada, she reported on business, legal, and scientific developments in the emerging psychedelics sector before joining Proactive in 2022. She brings a strong journalism background with her work featured in newspapers, magazines, and digital publications across Australia, Europe, and North America, including The Examiner, The Advocate, ...

Group 1: Temu's Business Model Changes - Temu may resume its full-service model in the U.S., with merchants being notified to prepare for increased orders, contingent on customs policies [1] - Since April 26, many full-service items on Temu's U.S. site were removed due to new customs regulations, requiring low-value packages from China to pay a 120% tariff or a fixed fee of $100 [1] - Temu attempted to adapt by shifting sellers from full-service to semi-service models, which increased operational complexity for merchants [1] Group 2: U.S.-China Trade Relations - A recent agreement between the U.S. and China maintained a 10% tariff on Chinese goods while suspending an additional 24% tariff for 90 days, but small packages under $800 still face a 30% tariff [2] Group 3: Tencent's Financial Performance - Tencent reported a 13% year-on-year revenue growth to 180 billion yuan and a 17% increase in net profit to 49.7 billion yuan in Q1 [3] - The growth in advertising revenue was attributed to the optimization of the WeChat transaction ecosystem, with more merchants joining [3] - Tencent is restructuring its organization to better support merchants and creators, establishing an e-commerce product department [3] Group 4: Tesla's Executive Compensation - Tesla's board has formed a special committee to evaluate Elon Musk's compensation and discuss a new stock option incentive plan [4] - Musk previously sued to reinstate a 2018 compensation plan valued at approximately $56 billion, which was contingent on achieving specific market value targets [5] Group 5: Microsoft Workforce Reduction - Microsoft announced a global layoff of 6,000 employees as part of ongoing organizational adjustments to succeed in a changing market [6] - The company is reallocating resources towards artificial intelligence and cloud computing, with AI-related capital expenditures reaching 80 billion dollars this year [6] Group 6: NIO's Potential IPO - Chinese battery manufacturer CATL is set to list in Hong Kong, potentially raising about 4.6 billion dollars, which could be the largest IPO of 2025 [7] Group 7: Chinese Investments in Brazil - Multiple Chinese companies, including Meituan and GAC, announced significant investments in Brazil, totaling over 1 billion dollars for various projects [8] Group 8: Ford's Vehicle Recall - Ford is recalling over 270,000 vehicles in the U.S. due to brake failure risks, affecting certain models produced between 2022 and 2024 [9][10] Group 9: Geely's Privatization Proposal for Zeekr - Zeekr's board has formed a special committee to assess a non-binding privatization proposal from its parent company, Geely [11] Group 10: Pony.ai's IPO Plans - Autonomous driving company Pony.ai is reportedly planning a secondary listing in Hong Kong after its initial public offering in the U.S. [12] Group 11: Burberry's Financial Struggles - Burberry reported a 17% decline in revenue to 2.46 billion pounds and a shift from a profit of 271 million pounds to a loss of 75 million pounds [13] - The company plans to cut 1,700 jobs globally, nearly 20% of its workforce, due to overproduction issues [13] Group 12: Foxconn's Strong Q1 Performance - Foxconn's Q1 revenue increased by 24% to approximately 391.3 billion yuan, with net profit rising by 91% to 10 billion yuan, driven by AI server orders [14]

Core Insights - Ford Motors CEO Jim Farley expresses optimism about the company's future despite the complexities introduced by tariffs [1] - The Trump administration's focus on American manufacturing aligns with Ford's long-standing strategy of investing in domestic operations [3][8] - Ford has consistently manufactured high-value products in the US, exporting more than it imports, making it the largest US automaker by domestic production [2] Tariffs and Manufacturing - Tariffs could potentially motivate re-shoring, although challenges remain due to global supply chain disruptions [4] - Ford anticipates that tariffs may increase costs by up to $1.5 billion this year on adjusted earnings [5] - The company currently manufactures 85% of its parts in the US, and increasing this to 100% would significantly raise costs [7] Supply Chain and Parts Sourcing - Ford has suspended guidance for the rest of the year due to uncertainty about parts, but a recent deal with China may allow for reinstatement [9] - The company relies on parts from China for its F-150 model, and recent developments have made these parts more affordable [9][18] - The ability to resume exports of high-end vehicles to China could boost production and strengthen Ford's global position [9] Industry Context and Future Outlook - Farley highlights the importance of industrial independence for the US, drawing parallels with countries that have lost manufacturing capabilities [15][16] - The car industry is now energy independent, and there is a call for the US to achieve industrial independence quickly [16] - Ford's historical commitment to US manufacturing is emphasized, with a focus on the need for critical minerals and semiconductors [15]

| | | 169.9 | | 14.82 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 雷诺 | 157.82 | + -0.97 | 54.63 | | | 长安汽车 | 149.53 | + -1.08 | 1.71 | | | 斯巴鲁 | 129.55 | + -4.77 | 17.72 | | S | 和泰汽车 | 117.13 | + -2.21 | 21.03 | | 合 广汽集团 | | 113.48 | -0.85 | 1.11 | | JAC | 江淮汽车 | 105.97 | + -2.54 | 4.85 | | ID | Leapmotor | 98.37 | | 8.43 | | ISUZU | 五十铃 | 92.21 | +0.19 | 12.95 | | | 尉米汽车 | 90.15 | +0.22 | 4.13 | | F | 福特奥托生 87.44 | | + -1.09 | 2.49 | | | VinFast Auto | 87 | + -2.4 | 3.62 | | | 路西德汽车 | 84.19 | + +3.35 | 2.76 | | ...