Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Viewpoints - Recent trial feedback for Glo Hilo in Sendai, Japan has been positive, indicating that improvements in HNB product experience and faster conversion of smokers will drive industry growth, benefiting the company through its partnership with British American Tobacco [2] - The price increase of Glo Hilo's cartridges reflects confidence in product strength, with the new cartridge priced at 580 JPY (approximately 4 USD), a more than 30% increase from the previous model [3] - British American Tobacco is expected to invest significantly in Hilo, aiming for new tobacco revenue to reach 50% by 2035, up from the current 13%, highlighting the importance of HNB products for the company's future [4] Summary by Sections Recent Catalysts and Core Viewpoints - Glo Hilo's trial in Japan has shown promising results, suggesting a potential acceleration in industry growth due to enhanced product experiences [2] - The price increase of Hilo cartridges indicates strong product confidence and potential for higher returns for the company [3] - British American Tobacco's commitment to HNB products is expected to increase, with significant resources allocated to Hilo [4] Market Dynamics - The HNB market is evolving, with improved product experiences leading to higher conversion rates among traditional smokers [8] - The competitive landscape is shifting, with major players like Philip Morris, Japan Tobacco, and British American Tobacco sharing market shares more evenly [9] Regulatory Environment and Business Potential - The company is poised to benefit from stricter regulations on vaping products in Europe and North America, which may lead to increased demand for compliant products [10] - The medical business segment is expected to gain importance, with significant investments in research and development for HNB and medical aerosol products [11] Financial Projections and Valuation - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 128.9 billion, 153.1 billion, and 183.5 billion, with year-on-year growth rates of 9%, 19%, and 20% respectively [12] - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 13.2 billion, 20.0 billion, and 27.3 billion for the same period, with corresponding growth rates of 2%, 51%, and 36% [12]

Core Viewpoint - Smoore International (06969.HK) experienced a significant stock price drop of 9.95%, closing at HKD 17.92 per share, with a market capitalization of HKD 110.9 billion and a trading volume of HKD 1.28 billion on the same day [2] Group 1: Shareholder Actions - EVE Lithium Energy (300014) plans to reduce its stake in Smoore International by up to 3.5% within a year through block trades and centralized bidding, involving approximately 216 million shares [4] - EVE Lithium currently holds 30.73% of Smoore's total share capital, and after the reduction, it will no longer be the controlling shareholder [4] - The market value of EVE Lithium's stake in Smoore International is approximately HKD 34.08 billion, with the planned reduction valued at HKD 3.882 billion [4] Group 2: Historical Performance and Financials - EVE Lithium has invested in Smoore International for over ten years, acquiring 50.1% of its predecessor in 2014 for HKD 439 million [5] - Smoore International went public in July 2020 at an issue price of HKD 12.4 per share and has since distributed nine cash dividends, yielding EVE Lithium nearly HKD 2 billion [5] - Smoore's revenue has declined from HKD 137.55 billion in 2021 to an estimated HKD 117.99 billion in 2024, with net profits dropping from HKD 52.87 billion to HKD 13.03 billion over the same period [5] Group 3: Market Opportunities and Challenges - Smoore International has struggled to capitalize on the disposable e-cigarette market but may benefit from recent bans on disposable e-cigarettes in major sales countries [5] - The company has seen improvements in its ODM business for vaping products, with its own brand revenue increasing to 21% [6] - Smoore is collaborating with British American Tobacco on HNB products, with plans for a new product launch in mid-2025 [6] - The company is investing in the medical nebulization sector, with a 41.3% increase in R&D spending in this area, although current revenue from medical nebulization remains low at HKD 27 million [6]

Core Viewpoint - The electronic cigarette sector has regained market attention, with stocks like Smoore International experiencing significant price increases, indicating a potential recovery in the industry [1][9]. Industry Overview - The global tobacco market remains dominated by traditional cigarettes, which account for over 80% of the market, while new tobacco products, including heated not burned (HNB) and electronic cigarettes, represent a growing segment valued at $76.9 billion, approximately 8% of the market [1]. - The number of smokers aged 15 and above globally is around 1.25 billion, with a penetration rate of about 15.6%, indicating substantial room for growth in new tobacco product adoption [1]. Market Segmentation - Electronic cigarettes and HNB products are the two main categories of new tobacco, with global market shares of 28% and 45%, respectively [2]. - The global market for e-vapour products is valued at $21.2 billion, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.6% from 2018 to 2023, while HNB products have a market size of $34.5 billion and a CAGR of 23.3% during the same period [2][3]. Company Performance - Smoore International has shown rapid revenue growth from 2016 to 2021, increasing from 710 million to 13.76 billion yuan, with a CAGR of 81%. However, the company faced challenges in 2022 due to regulatory pressures in China and the U.S. [5]. - The company is expected to achieve a revenue of 11.799 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 5.56% [5]. Strategic Initiatives - Smoore has been proactive in developing HNB products since 2010 and has established a dedicated division for HNB, acquiring multiple patents and technological capabilities [6]. - The collaboration with British American Tobacco to launch the Glo Hilo series is anticipated to enhance Smoore's HNB business and overall market position [7]. Future Outlook - The Glo Hilo product is set to launch in Japan and expand into European markets, with expectations of significant profit growth starting in 2025 [8]. - The regulatory environment for electronic cigarettes is stabilizing, which may benefit compliant companies like Smoore, enhancing their market share [8][9].

Group 1 - Glo Hilo series will launch in Japan on June 9, 2025, starting with a pilot in Sendai before nationwide rollout [1] - The Glo Hilo electronic cigarette features two models: a basic version with a 76g weight and a Plus version with a modular design weighing 107g, both offering different battery life and charging capabilities [1] - The phased rollout strategy aims to optimize product strategy through small-scale testing [1] Group 2 - Innovative electronic cigarette solutions include STAR RING, the world's first fingertip gyroscope e-cigarette, and SQUEEZY POD, the world's first tactile cartridge e-cigarette, both designed for enhanced user experience [2] - The company is entering a new product capacity release cycle, with positive feedback expected from the Japanese market launch in June, potentially expanding into the European and American markets [2] - Long-term projections indicate significant market share growth for the Glo series compared to IQOS, with expected revenue growth rates of 10.9%, 19.08%, and 16.63% for 2025-2027 [2]

Core Viewpoint - Smoore International (06969.HK) experienced a significant stock price increase of 10.18%, closing at HKD 17.32 per share, marking a new high since September 2022 and breaking a two-year stagnation period [2]. Company Performance - For 2024, Smoore International is projected to achieve total revenue of approximately RMB 11.799 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of about 5.3%. The group's gross profit is expected to be around RMB 4.412 billion, with a gross margin of 37.4%, and a net profit of approximately RMB 1.303 billion. The board has also proposed a final dividend of HKD 0.05 per share [5]. Market Dynamics - The tightening regulations on illegal vaping products in the U.S. are seen as beneficial for compliant brands, with Smoore International positioned to gain from this trend as a leading electronic cigarette manufacturer [3][4]. - Other Hong Kong stocks in the electronic cigarette sector, such as Huabao International (00336.HK) and China Tobacco Hong Kong (06055.HK), also showed positive movements, indicating a broader market interest [3]. Analyst Ratings - First Shanghai Securities has issued a "Buy" rating for Smoore International with a target price of HKD 19, suggesting potential upside from the current stock price. The company is expected to benefit from its exclusive supply of heated not-burn (HNB) products to British American Tobacco, with significant profit growth anticipated starting in the second half of the year [6]. - Guojin Securities also highlighted the positive outlook for the HNB industry, indicating that Smoore International is well-positioned for growth due to its strategic partnerships and market expansion plans [6].

Summary of Smoore International and the New Tobacco Industry Update Company and Industry Overview - The report focuses on Smoore International and the new tobacco industry, particularly the electronic cigarette and cannabis vaporizer markets [1][4]. Key Points and Arguments - **Stock Price Movement**: Smoore International's stock price has increased due to two main factors: the upcoming launch of British American Tobacco's (BAT) second-generation product Hilo in Japan and the diminishing impact of equivalent tariffs on exports. The company primarily exports electronic cigarettes and cannabis vaporizers from Southeast Asia, where a 10% basic tariff exemption exists, mostly borne by customers [2][4]. - **Stable Business Performance**: Smoore's electronic cigarette and cannabis vaporizer businesses are performing steadily. The company plans to shift domestic production of cannabis vaporizers to overseas bases to further mitigate tariff impacts, indicating resilience and optimistic future prospects [1][4]. - **Growth Opportunities from Hilo**: BAT's Hilo product, expected to launch in mid-2025, presents new growth opportunities for Smoore. The long-term market potential is significant, with the HMT (new heating not burning technology) segment showing good growth prospects, primarily attracting traditional cigarette users [5][6]. - **Focus on Electronic Cigarettes and New Ventures**: Smoore will continue to focus on electronic cigarettes and related fields while actively expanding its own brands and medical-related businesses. The regulatory environment is improving, benefiting larger companies through industry consolidation and standardization [1][6]. - **Product Improvements with Glo Halo**: The new Glo Halo product has reduced heating time from 15 seconds to 5 seconds, enhancing user experience and competitiveness. This product is expected to increase market penetration [1][8]. Additional Important Insights - **Technological Advancements**: Glo Halo employs a new needle heating technology that improves heating uniformity, reduces burnt taste, and extends device lifespan while maintaining flavor quality [3][10]. - **Market Dynamics in Japan**: Japan has the highest penetration rate for HNB products globally, nearing 50%. The well-established consumer education and distribution channels make it a critical market for validating HNB product performance [12][13]. - **Pricing Strategy**: Smoore's pricing strategy for Glo Halo aims to compete directly with IQOS, positioning itself in the high-end market with retail prices around 580 yen, similar to IQOS's mainstream products [14][15]. - **Competitive Landscape**: In the U.S. market, PMI is leading the promotion of its IQOS products, with expectations of capturing 10% of the cigarette and HNB market share by 2030. Smoore's entry into high-value segments through equipment supply and technology development is noteworthy [16][17][18]. - **Management Confidence and Market Potential**: The management team shows strong confidence in the company's future, with significant market potential if sales targets are met, indicating substantial investment opportunities [7][6].

思摩尔国际(06969.HK)涨超7%，盘中股价一度触及17港元，创2022年8月以来新高。 ...

港股消费ETF（159735）跟踪中证港股通消费主题指数，该指数选取港股通范围内流动性较好、市值较 大的50只消费主题相关股票组成指数样本，采用自由流通市值加权，以反映港股通内消费类股票的整体 表现。 财信证券指出，整体而言，今年"五一"假期旅游市场呈现全面复苏态势，我们认为主要受益于三大核心 驱动因素：一是"请4休11"拼假模式有效激活长线旅游需求；二是免签及离境退税等出入境便利化政策 持续释放红利；三是多元化文旅消费场景创新显著提升市场吸引力。在此带动下，居民出行半径显著扩 大，消费意愿持续提升。展望后市，随着扩内需政策持续加码，叠加消费信心逐步修复，旅游行业有望 延续复苏态势。 5月14日早盘，港股集体上涨，截至发稿，中证港股通消费主题指数涨1.08%。 相关ETF方面，截至发稿，港股消费ETF（159735）涨0.73%，换手率超1.88%。成分股中，思摩尔国 际涨超5%，零跑汽车涨超4%，万洲国际、波司登、美团-W等多股跟涨。 消息面来看，据经济参考报，多个部门近期强调促进商旅文体健多业态消费融合、各地拿出真金白银促 进融合新业态发展、企业商圈计划引入更多文化体育要素。记者关注到，多元业态融合创新正 ...

Group 1 - The stock of Smoore International (06969.HK) surged in the afternoon, currently up by 9.7% [1]

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that Smoore International experienced a significant short-term price increase, rising nearly 12% to HKD 15.9 [1]