Investment Ratings - Kuaishou Technology: HOLD, Target Price (TP) raised to HK$76.00 [5][7] - Bilibili Inc: BUY, TP set at US$28.00 / HK$219.00 [9][10] - ZTO Express: BUY, TP set at US$21.00 [13][14] - AAC Technologies: BUY, TP raised to HK$62.90 [16][17] - China Communications Services: BUY, TP raised to HK$5.15 [19][20] - BOC Aviation: BUY, TP raised to HK$83.90 [22][23] - MINISO Group: BUY, TP set at US$24.80 / HK$48.40 [24][25] Core Insights - Kuaishou Technology reported a 13% YoY topline growth and a historical high adjusted net profit of RMB5.6 billion, exceeding consensus estimates [5][6] - Bilibili Inc achieved a 20% YoY topline growth in 2Q25, with adjusted operating profit surpassing consensus by 16% [9][12] - ZTO Express experienced an 11% YoY growth in core express delivery revenue, although it missed consensus by 1% [13][15] - AAC Technologies reported an 18% YoY revenue increase, with a significant 62% surge in net income, despite some misses on expectations [16][18] - China Communications Services saw a 3.4% YoY revenue increase, with non-telco and international sales growing by 12.6% YoY [19][21] - BOC Aviation's total revenue increased by 5.8% YoY, with a 20% YoY rise in core net profit [22][23] - MINISO Group's revenue grew by 23% YoY, reflecting positive developments in various markets [24][26] Summary by Company Kuaishou Technology - 2Q25 topline growth of 13% YoY and adjusted net profit of RMB5.6 billion, beating consensus by 2% and 11% respectively [5][6] - AI strategies are enhancing monetization and efficiency, despite potential challenges in 2H25 [6][7] Bilibili Inc - 2Q25 revenue growth of 20% YoY met consensus, with adjusted operating profit exceeding expectations [9][12] - Anticipated sustainable profitability growth driven by diversified revenue streams [9][10] ZTO Express - Core express delivery revenue grew 11% YoY, but missed consensus by 1% [13][15] - Adjusted FY2025 parcel volume guidance reflects industry challenges [14] AAC Technologies - Revenue increased 18% YoY to RMB13 billion, with net income surging 62% [16][18] - Management's optimistic outlook for 2H25 suggests potential margin recovery [17] China Communications Services - 1H25 net profit increased by 0.2% YoY, with total revenue up 3.4% YoY [19][21] - Growth in non-telco and international sales indicates strong demand for digital infrastructure [20] BOC Aviation - Total revenue and other income rose 5.8% YoY, with core net profit increasing by 20% [22][23] - Attractive dividend yield and solid business model support investment thesis [22] MINISO Group - 2Q25 revenue growth of 23% YoY, exceeding guidance [24][26] - Positive developments in IP strategy and customer engagement [25]

国泰海通主要观点如下： 7月价格降幅收窄，快递"反内卷"力度超预期，短期竞争压力趋缓，中长期继续保障良性竞争 7月快递件量同比+15.1%;顺丰深化落实激活经营，业务量同比+33.7%，增速持续领跑 1)全行业：2025年7月全国快递企业件量164.0亿件，同比+15.1%;2025年1-7月件量1120.5亿件，同比 +18.7%。小件化趋势持续、电商促销且退换货便捷，共同驱动2025年前7个月件量增速超过邮管局对 2025年全年件量增速超8%的预测。2)电商快递：圆通/韵达/申通2025年7月业务量分别同比 +20.8%/+7.6%/+11.9%;1-7月业务量分别同比+21.6%/+15.1%/+19.3%。3)直营快递：顺丰2025年7月业务 量同比+33.7%;1-7月业务量同比+26.9%，得益于落实激活经营策略，加大对前线业务的授权与激励，顺 丰件量增速3-7月连续领跑行业。 行业集中度持续集中，头部公司Q2市场份额环比提高 2022年初到2024年末，由于政策监管下价格竞争相对温和，份额向头部集中较缓慢。1)全行业：2025年 1-7月快递行业CR8为86.9，同比提升1.7，反映出2025年 ...

Core Viewpoint - The introduction of autonomous delivery vehicles in Shenmu City marks a significant step towards the intelligent transformation of the logistics industry, enhancing efficiency and service quality in package delivery. Group 1: Autonomous Delivery Vehicles - Autonomous delivery vehicles are now operating in Shenmu City, capable of navigating streets without human drivers and delivering packages to various points [1][3]. - These vehicles have a cargo capacity of 6 cubic meters, allowing them to carry 600 to 700 packages at once, equivalent to the load of three traditional delivery tricycles [3]. Group 2: Operational Efficiency - Zhongtong Express has implemented two autonomous delivery vehicles, which deliver over 2,000 packages daily to three locations, significantly reducing delivery time and costs compared to manual delivery [5][6]. - YTO Express has also deployed an autonomous delivery vehicle for specific cargo transfers, currently in trial operation, with a maximum daily transport capacity of 700 packages [8][10]. Group 3: Technology and Monitoring - The autonomous delivery vehicles are equipped with multiple high-definition cameras and millimeter-wave radar, enabling 360-degree environmental awareness and precise recognition of pedestrians, vehicles, and traffic signals [8]. - The vehicles can travel up to 150 kilometers on a single charge, sufficient for two days of operations, and are monitored in real-time by staff to ensure safety [8]. Group 4: Impact on Logistics - The arrival of autonomous delivery vehicles has streamlined operations at delivery stations, improving package transfer efficiency and enhancing the overall delivery experience for residents [10]. - The integration of these vehicles addresses challenges such as the difficulty in hiring truck drivers, while also providing a more efficient service to the community [10].

Core Viewpoint - ZTO Express reported its Q2 2025 earnings, achieving a revenue of 11.832 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10%, while adjusted net profit was 2.053 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 27%, meeting expectations [1] Group 1: Business Performance - In Q2 2025, the company handled 9.847 billion parcels, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 16.5%, indicating a recovery in parcel volume growth [2] - The adjusted net profit of 2.053 billion yuan in Q2 represents a decline of 27% year-on-year, with profit per parcel dropping to 0.21 yuan, down 0.12 yuan year-on-year, primarily due to the impact of price wars [2] Group 2: Industry Trends - The express delivery industry is experiencing a price increase driven by a reversal of the previous competitive environment, with both top-down and bottom-up pressures for price hikes [2] - The linkage between Guangdong and Yiwu demonstrates a commitment to eliminating price disparities, which is expected to support delivery fees and stabilize the industry [2] Group 3: Profit Forecast and Rating - The company has adjusted its profit forecasts for 2025-2027, now expecting adjusted net profits of 8.993 billion, 9.527 billion, and 10.689 billion yuan respectively, reflecting year-on-year changes of -11%, 6%, and 12% [2] - The average valuation of comparable companies in the industry is higher than that of ZTO Express, leading to a maintained "buy" rating despite the downward adjustment in profit expectations [2]

Core Insights - Zhongtong Express reported a revenue of 11.83 billion yuan for Q2 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 10.3%, while adjusted net profit decreased by 26.8% to 2.05 billion yuan [1][2] Revenue Analysis - The revenue growth of 10.3% in Q2 2025 was driven by an increase in business volume, which reached 9.85 billion parcels, a year-on-year increase of 16.5%. However, the average revenue per parcel decreased by 4.7% to 1.18 yuan due to increased subsidies and lighter parcel weights [1][2] - The market share of Zhongtong Express was 19.5%, showing a slight year-on-year decline of 0.1 percentage points but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 0.6 percentage points [1] Cost and Profitability - The core cost per parcel decreased by approximately 0.07 yuan, with transportation costs down by 0.06 yuan to 0.33 yuan, attributed to economies of scale and lower oil prices. However, the overall cost per parcel increased by 9% to 0.89 yuan due to rising other costs [2] - The gross margin fell by 8.9 percentage points to 24.9%, and the adjusted net margin also decreased by 8.9 percentage points to 17.3% due to a larger decline in revenue per parcel compared to costs [2] Future Outlook - The company has revised its full-year parcel volume growth target to between 38.8 billion and 40.1 billion parcels, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 14%-18%, down from the previous estimate of 20%-24% [2] - The board approved a mid-term dividend of $0.30 per share, with a payout ratio of 40% [2] Profit Forecast and Rating - The profit forecasts for 2025-2027 are maintained at 9 billion yuan, 9.7 billion yuan, and 10.6 billion yuan respectively, with a "Buy" rating upheld [2]

Core Viewpoint - Zhongtong Express-W reported its Q2 and H1 2025 performance, showing a revenue increase but a significant decline in adjusted net profit, indicating pressure on profitability and margins [1][4]. Financial Performance - Q2 2025 revenue reached 11.8 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.3%, while adjusted net profit was 2.1 billion yuan, down 26.8% year-on-year [1]. - H1 2025 revenue totaled 22.7 billion yuan, up 9.8% year-on-year, with adjusted net profit at 4.3 billion yuan, a decrease of 14.3% year-on-year [1]. - Adjusted net profit per ticket for Q2 2025 was 0.21 yuan, down 12 cents year-on-year, and for H1 2025, it was 0.23 yuan, down 9 cents year-on-year [1]. Profitability and Cost Analysis - Q2 2025 gross margin was 24.9%, a decline of 8.9 percentage points year-on-year, while H1 2025 gross margin was 24.8%, down 7.2 percentage points year-on-year [1]. - The increase in operating costs, particularly other costs, was the main reason for the decline in gross margin, with other costs rising by 134.9% in Q2 2025 [2]. - Q2 2025 core single ticket revenue was 1.18 yuan, down 6 cents year-on-year, while single ticket operating cost was 0.89 yuan, up 7 cents year-on-year [2]. Market Position and Guidance - Q2 2025 package volume was 9.85 billion pieces, a year-on-year increase of 16.5%, with a market share of 19.5%, up 0.6 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [3]. - The company has lowered its full-year package volume guidance to a range of 38.8 billion to 40.1 billion pieces, corresponding to a year-on-year growth rate of 14.0% to 18.0% [3]. Capital Expenditure and Dividends - Capital expenditure for H1 2025 was 3.1 billion yuan, an increase of approximately 100 million yuan compared to H1 2024, with expectations for 2025 capital expenditure to remain flat or slightly decrease [3]. - The company announced an interim dividend of 0.3 USD per share for H1 2025, with a payout ratio of 40% [3]. Valuation and Rating - Despite the downward adjustment in package volume guidance leading to revised profit forecasts, the overall valuation level of the e-commerce express delivery industry is expected to rise, leading to an upgrade to a "buy" rating [4]. - Projected EPS for 2025-2027 are 11.10, 12.07, and 13.28 yuan per share, with corresponding PE ratios of 12.74, 11.73, and 10.66 times based on the closing price on August 20, 2025 [4].

Core Insights - ZTO Express reported second-quarter 2025 earnings of 35 cents per share, a decline from the previous year, while total revenues increased to $1.65 billion [1][8] - The company revised its 2025 parcel volume guidance down to 38.8 billion to 40.1 billion, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 14-18%, from a prior estimate of 40.8 billion to 42.2 billion, which indicated 20-24% growth [1][8] Financial Performance - Revenues from the core express delivery business rose by 11% year over year, driven by a 16.5% increase in parcel volume, despite a 4.7% decrease in parcel unit price [3] - Gross profit decreased by 18.7% compared to the same quarter last year, with the gross margin rate falling to 24.9% from 33.8% [4][8] - Total operating expenses increased to RMB469.3 million ($65.5 million) from RMB405.3 million in the prior year [4] Operational Highlights - ZTO Express handled over 9.8 billion parcels in the second quarter, achieving an adjusted net income of 2.1 billion [2] - Retail volume growth remained strong, exceeding 50% compared to the previous year, positively impacting overall margins [2] - Revenue from KA (Key Accounts) increased significantly by 149.7% due to a rise in e-commerce return parcels [3] Cash Position - At the end of the second quarter, ZTO Express had cash and cash equivalents of $1.85 billion, up from $1.71 billion at the end of the previous quarter [5]

中通快递首席财务官颜惠萍表示，将全年业务量指引下调至388亿至401亿件区间，对应年业务量增速为 14.0%至18.0%。 "今年上半年，价格竞争还是非常惨烈。我们认为，行业要想持续稳定健康发展，一定是从价格战走向 价值战，一定是用服务品质去赢得市场。"8月20日上午，中通快递董事长兼首席执行官赖梅松在电话会 议上表示。 《每日经济新闻》记者注意到，8 月 20 日，中通快递（HK02057，股价149.800港元，市值1196亿港 元）公布2025年二季度业绩。 财报显示，2025年二季度，中通快递完成包裹量98.5亿件，同比增长16.5%，市场份额环比提升0.6%； 季度散件业务量同比增长超过50%；营收为118.3亿元，同比增长10.3%；调整后净利润为20.5亿元，同 比减少26.8%。 当前，快递行业挑战与机遇并存。一方面，激烈的价格战影响了企业业绩；另一方面，AI（人工智 能）等新技术布局与落地，考验着快递企业管理层的战略眼光。 "只有把服务品质做好，把用户服务提升（上去），从而促进整个行业健康发展才是正道。长期来看， 我相信行业一定会朝着正确的方向健康发展。"赖梅松说。 经营性现金流为22亿元 ...

Core Viewpoint - Daiwa has upgraded ZTO Express (02057) from "Outperform" to "Buy" and raised the target price from HKD 155 to HKD 180, citing lower package volume growth targets and improved industry pricing environment as key drivers for stock re-evaluation [1] Company Summary - ZTO Express's package volume growth target is considered low, which may positively influence its stock performance [1] - The improvement in the industry pricing environment is expected to further support the company's valuation [1] Industry Summary - The overall industry pricing environment is showing signs of improvement, which is beneficial for companies like ZTO Express [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that Daiwa has upgraded ZTO Express (02057) from "Outperform" to "Buy" and raised the target price from HKD 155 to HKD 180 [1] - The firm believes that ZTO's lower package volume growth target, combined with an improved industry pricing environment, will drive a reassessment of the stock [1]