10月28日，国家邮政局约谈中通快递股份有限公司，指出中通快递经营行为不规范，随意调整运营规 则，存在服务质量不高、快递员合法权益保障措施落实不到位等问题，要求该公司严格落实中通快递服 务网络管理主体责任，改进快递服务质量，强化合规经营体系建设，保障快递员合法权益，自觉维护公 平竞争市场秩序。中通快递股份有限公司表示，认真落实监管要求，切实整改问题。 ...

微信编辑 | 龙王 10月28日，国家邮政局约谈中通快递股份有限公司，指出中通快递经营行为不规范，随意调整运营规 则，存在服务质量不高、快递员合法权益保障措施落实不到位等问题，要求该公司严格落实中通快递服 务网络管理主体责任，改进快递服务质量，强化合规经营体系建设，保障快递员合法权益，自觉维护公 平竞争市场秩序。中通快递股份有限公司表示，认真落实监管要求，切实整改问题。 ...

Investment Rating - The report rates the transportation industry as "Outperform" [1] Core Views - Crude oil freight rates have decreased month-on-month, while container shipping rates on long-distance routes have increased. The China Import Crude Oil Comprehensive Index (CTFI) reported 1632.26 points on October 23, down 8.9% from October 16. The VLCC market remains cautious due to the implementation of special port fees between China and the US, leading to a weak sentiment among shipowners [2][13] - Guangdong Province has released a high-quality development plan for the low-altitude economy, aiming to establish itself as a national leader in this sector. The civil aviation industry has shown steady growth in the first three quarters of 2025, with a total transport turnover of 1220.3 billion ton-kilometers, a year-on-year increase of 10.3% [2][15][16] - In Shenzhen, the monthly delivery volume of autonomous vehicles has surpassed one million, with a year-on-year growth of 12.7% in express delivery volume in September. The postal industry reported a total business income of 152.57 billion yuan in September, up 6.8% year-on-year [2][22][24] Summary by Sections Industry Hot Events - Crude oil freight rates have decreased, while container shipping rates on long-distance routes have increased. The CTFI reported a decrease of 8.9% [2][13] - Guangdong's low-altitude economy development plan aims to optimize airspace management and promote low-altitude logistics [15][16] - Shenzhen's autonomous vehicle delivery volume has exceeded one million, with express delivery volume growing by 12.7% [22][24] High-Frequency Data Tracking - The Baltic Air Freight Price Index has increased month-on-month but decreased year-on-year. The Shanghai outbound air freight price index has shown a month-on-month increase of 6.9% [26] - Domestic cargo flights have increased by 3.05% year-on-year, while international flights have risen by 15.86% [32] - The express delivery business volume in September increased by 12.7% year-on-year, with total business income reaching 127.37 billion yuan [50][54] Investment Recommendations - Focus on the equipment and manufacturing export chain, recommending companies like COSCO Shipping Specialized Carriers, China Merchants Energy Shipping, and Huamao Logistics [4] - Pay attention to the low-altitude economy investment opportunities, recommending CITIC Offshore Helicopter [4] - Consider investment opportunities in the highway and railway sectors, recommending companies like Gansu Expressway and Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway [4] - Explore investment opportunities in the express delivery sector, recommending SF Express, Jitu Express, and Yunda Express [4]

抖音电商方面表示，虚假发货、违规转单会导致消费者收货延迟甚至收不到货、维权取证困难、品质与 售后难以保障等一系列问题，影响消费者体验。 为阻断违规链条、保障履约真实性，平台对上述物流商做了清退处理。在完成清退后，商家将无法再选 择上述物流商发货，建议尽快完成对接切换。 截至目前，中通冷链、吉时达、水趣到家和铁中快运方面都未对此事作出回应。 本文系观察者网独家稿件，未经授权，不得转载。 轨迹拼接/转单：抓取正常运单轨迹并拼接到"电子面单"，让"非抖发货单号"与伪单号表面一致。 批量作弊上传：手动或借"订单宝"等工具批量回填伪单号，系统显示"已揽收/在途/签收"，但实际未按 轨迹履约。 具体案例如，在物流商的配合下，某店铺通过第三方平台虚假发货。由于转单和拼接，导致系统物流轨 迹与真实履约并不一致。消费者收货地址为广西，运单轨迹显示最终配送至河北。 再有，某商家在物流商的配合下违规转单。寄出商品后又私自退回运单，未同步至转单运单，导致系统 仍显示商品"在途/完成"，但消费者实际并未收到货品。 10月27日晚间，抖音电商安全与信任中心通过官方公众号宣布，将于10月29日对中通冷链(中通子公 司)、吉时达、水趣到家、 ...

近期，平台在日常巡查时发现，部分物流商滥用平台系统服务，为部分商家提供"虚假物流轨迹""转单拼接轨迹"等违规服务，致使订单轨迹与真实履约不 符，侵害消费者权益，破坏平台经营秩序。 为阻断违规链条、保障履约真实性，平台将依据相关规则于10月29日对以下物流商做清退处理：中通冷链（中通子公司）、吉时达、水趣到家、铁中快 运。 经核实，上述违规的核心手法是利用第三方电子面单进行转单或拼接轨迹，违规物流商在其中扮演关键角色： 每经编辑｜金冥羽 10月27日，抖音电商安全与信任中心微信公众号发布《抖音电商清退恶意转单违规物流商，维护平台经营秩序，保障消费者权益》一文： 1、规避平台要求：少数商家绕开抖音电子面单，通过第三方使用非抖音电商电子面单发货；违规物流商配合第三方构建虚假轨迹。 2、轨迹拼接/转单：抓取正常运单轨迹并拼接到"电子面单"，让"非抖发货单号"与伪单号表面一致。 3、批量作弊上传：手动或借"订单宝"等工具批量回填伪单号，系统显示"已揽收/在途/签收"，但实际未按轨迹履约。 虚假发货、违规转单会导致消费者收货延迟甚至收不到货、维权取证困难、品质与售后难以保障等一系列问题，影响消费者体验。届时，商家将无法再 ...

Core Viewpoint - Douyin's e-commerce safety and trust center announced the removal of several logistics companies due to violations involving the provision of false logistics tracking and other deceptive services, which harm consumer rights and disrupt platform operations [1] Group 1: Companies Involved - The logistics companies being removed from the platform include Zhongtong Cold Chain (a subsidiary of Zhongtong), Jishida, Water Fun Home, and Tiezhong Express [1] Group 2: Reasons for Removal - The removal is a response to the discovery of these companies abusing platform services to provide misleading logistics information, which resulted in discrepancies between order tracking and actual fulfillment [1] Group 3: Implementation Timeline - The removal process will take effect on October 29, following the announcement made on October 27 [1]

Core Viewpoint - Douyin E-commerce has identified misuse of its platform by certain logistics companies, which provided false logistics tracking and other fraudulent services, harming consumer rights and disrupting platform operations [1] Summary by Categories Platform Actions - Douyin E-commerce will implement a cleanup of specific logistics companies on October 29, including Zhongtong Cold Chain, Jishida, Shuiqu Daijia, and Tiezhong Express, to ensure the authenticity of order fulfillment [1] Consumer Protection - The platform's measures aim to protect consumer rights by ensuring that order tracking aligns with actual delivery performance, thereby maintaining trust in the e-commerce ecosystem [1] Compliance and Regulation - The actions taken by Douyin E-commerce are in accordance with relevant rules to prevent the continuation of fraudulent activities within its logistics network [1]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the transportation industry is "Positive" (maintained) [4] Core Views - The express delivery industry shows resilient demand, with a year-on-year growth of 12.7% in September, indicating a steady expansion of the market [4][25] - The logistics sector is witnessing technological advancements, with JD Logistics planning to procure 3 million robots and 100,000 unmanned vehicles over the next five years, which may enhance supply chain efficiency [5] - The shipping market is expected to benefit from geopolitical factors and trade negotiations, potentially increasing demand for oil transportation and bulk shipping [6][10] - The aviation sector is experiencing growth, with a 10.8% increase in international flight volumes for the upcoming winter-spring season, reflecting a recovery in air travel [10][12] Summary by Sections Express Delivery - In September 2025, the express delivery business volume reached 16.88 billion pieces, a 12.7% year-on-year increase, with revenue of 127.37 billion yuan, up 7.2% [4][25] - Major players like SF Express and JD Logistics are expected to benefit from cyclical recovery and cost control, with significant growth potential [14] Shipping and Ports - The VLCC market may benefit from U.S. sanctions on Russian oil, potentially increasing long-distance shipping demand [6] - The shipping market is expected to see a recovery driven by environmental regulations and geopolitical stability, with recommendations to focus on companies like China Shipping and COSCO [14][15] Aviation - The aviation industry is projected to maintain steady growth, with a 10.3% increase in total transport turnover and a 5.2% rise in passenger transport volume in the first three quarters of 2025 [10] - Airbus has opened a new A320 assembly line in Tianjin, marking a significant milestone in Sino-European cooperation [9] Road and Rail - National logistics operations are running smoothly, with rail freight increasing by 2.33% and highway freight truck traffic rising by 24.72% [13] - Strategic partnerships in the highway sector are being formed to enhance service offerings and operational efficiency [13] Overall Market Performance - From October 20 to October 24, 2025, the transportation sector index increased by 1.12%, underperforming the Shanghai Composite Index, which rose by 2.88% [20][23]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the transportation industry [7] Core Insights - The passenger transport volume is recovering, with domestic passenger volume increasing by 3% year-on-year and international passenger volume rising by 17% [5][13] - Shipping rates for container shipping are showing strong support, while oil and bulk shipping rates have slightly adjusted downwards [6][39] - Logistics technology financing is accelerating, with express delivery volume increasing by 7.8% year-on-year [5][50] Summary by Sections Passenger Transport - Domestic passenger volume has shown a 3% year-on-year increase as of October 24, with international passenger volume up by 17% [5][13] - The average domestic seat occupancy rate has improved by 1.0 percentage points year-on-year, while international occupancy has increased by 5.1 percentage points [22] - Oil prices have decreased by 0.7% year-on-year, putting slight pressure on industry revenue [22] Shipping - The average VLCC-TCE rate has decreased by 8.4% to $79,000 per day [39] - The SCFI index for foreign trade container shipping has increased by 7.1% to 1,403 points, indicating strong pricing support from shipping companies [6][39] - The BDI index has decreased by 3.8% to 1,991 points, reflecting a softening demand for large vessel rentals [39] Logistics - The express delivery volume from October 13 to October 19 reached 3.944 billion pieces, a year-on-year increase of 7.8% [50] - The average price for bulk commodity road transport has increased by 4.8% year-on-year, reaching 0.33 yuan per ton [50] - The average daily transport volume at Ganqimaodu was 900 vehicles, with a short-distance average price of 90 yuan per ton, reflecting a 13 yuan increase [50]

Core Insights - The logistics industry is witnessing a significant shift towards the adoption of unmanned delivery vehicles, with major companies making large-scale purchases to enhance efficiency and reduce costs [1][4][5]. Group 1: Unmanned Vehicle Procurement - China Post has initiated a procurement project for 7,000 unmanned vehicles, including various sizes and services, with a framework agreement lasting four years [1][2]. - JD Logistics plans to purchase 3 million robots, 1 million unmanned vehicles, and 100,000 drones over the next five years to strengthen its position in smart logistics [1][4]. - Companies like Cainiao and Shentong Express are also investing in unmanned vehicles, with Shentong aiming to deploy 2,000 unmanned vehicles by the end of the year [1][5]. Group 2: Market Trends and Growth - The unmanned delivery vehicle market is expected to experience explosive growth by 2025, driven by technological advancements, cost reductions, and increased demand in the instant retail market [4][6]. - As of mid-2025, over 100 cities in China have opened road rights for unmanned delivery vehicles, with the total number of such vehicles exceeding 6,000, marking a 50% increase from 2024 [6][8]. Group 3: Cost Efficiency and Operational Benefits - Unmanned vehicles can significantly reduce delivery costs, with reports indicating a decrease of 30%-50% in last-mile delivery expenses [8][10]. - Companies like Zhongtong Express have noted that using unmanned vehicles can lower costs by 6-7 cents per package, enhancing operational efficiency [5][10]. Group 4: Expansion Beyond Traditional Delivery - The application of unmanned vehicles is expanding beyond the express delivery sector into urban logistics and instant delivery markets, indicating a potential for exponential growth [10][12]. - White Rhino is diversifying its operations to include campus delivery networks and retail replenishment, showcasing the versatility of unmanned vehicles in various logistics scenarios [12].