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京新药业(002020):2024年报点评:业绩稳中向好,地达西尼放量可期
东方证券· 2025-04-08 15:04
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 13.65 CNY, based on a 15x PE for 2025 [2][4]. Core Insights - The company has shown steady performance with a revenue of 4.16 billion CNY in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3.99%. The net profit attributable to the parent company reached 712 million CNY, up 15.04% year-on-year [9]. - The sales structure adjustment is complete, and both commercialization and R&D are expected to make progress. The company has successfully entered nearly 600 hospitals with its product, Didasyn, and has conducted over 160 academic promotion activities [7][9]. - The company has achieved significant growth in finished drugs and medical devices, with finished drug revenue increasing by 8.42% to 2.52 billion CNY, driven by marketing reforms [9]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are adjusted to 7.81 billion CNY, 8.91 billion CNY, and 10.49 billion CNY respectively, with an upward adjustment in gross margin [2]. - The company’s gross margin is projected to improve from 50.0% in 2024 to 52.9% by 2027, while net profit margin is expected to rise from 17.1% to 19.6% over the same period [7][12]. - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to grow from 0.83 CNY in 2024 to 1.22 CNY in 2027 [12].
恒瑞医药2024年报点评:创新发力,国际化快速推进
东方证券· 2025-04-08 10:23
⚫ 创新药研发不及预期的风险,创新药销售不及预期的风险,仿制药进入集采的风 险。 创新发力,国际化快速推进 ——恒瑞医药 2024 年报点评 核心观点 盈利预测与投资建议 ⚫ 我们预计 2025-26 年 EPS 为 1.06/1.17 元(原预测值分别为 1.03/1.21 元),新增预 测 2027 年 EPS 为 1.42 元。根据 PE 估值法及可比公司估值水平,给予公司 2025 年 53 倍市盈率,对应目标价为 56.18 元,维持"买入"评级。 风险提示 公司主要财务信息 | | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入(百万元) | 22,820 | 27,985 | 31,684 | 35,553 | 40,900 | | 同比增长 (%) | 7.3% | 22.6% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 15.0% | | 营业利润(百万元) | 4,910 | 7,491 | 7,808 | 8,643 | 10,425 | | 同比增长 (%) | 19.4% ...
康龙化成2024年报点评:环比持续改善,新签快速回暖
东方证券· 2025-04-08 10:23
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 24.38 CNY based on a PE valuation method, reflecting a 23x earnings multiple for 2025 [3][12]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 12.276 billion CNY in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 6.4%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 1.793 billion CNY, up 12.0% year-on-year [12]. - The company experienced a significant increase in new orders, with a growth rate exceeding 20% in 2024, particularly in laboratory services and CMC services, which saw increases of over 15% and 35% respectively [12]. - The report highlights the resilience of the company's integrated platform, which supports its ability to meet global pharmaceutical innovation demands and ensures long-term stable growth [12]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: 13.809 billion CNY in 2025, 15.721 billion CNY in 2026, and 17.988 billion CNY in 2027, with respective year-on-year growth rates of 12.5%, 13.8%, and 14.4% [9]. - The company's gross profit margin is expected to stabilize around 36.0% in 2025 and 36.3% in 2026 and 2027, while the net profit margin is projected to be 13.7% in 2025 and improve to 15.1% by 2027 [9]. - The earnings per share (EPS) forecast is 1.06 CNY for 2025, 1.29 CNY for 2026, and 1.53 CNY for 2027, indicating a steady increase in profitability [9].
AI周度跟踪2025年第4期:快手加速AI布局,关注国内大模型发布动态
东方证券· 2025-04-08 10:23
传媒行业 行业研究 | 动态跟踪 快手加速 AI 布局,关注国内大模型发布动 态 ——AI 周度跟踪 2025 年第 4 期 核心观点 国家/地区 中国 行业 传媒行业 报告发布日期 2025 年 04 月 08 日 | 项雯倩 | 021-63325888*6128 | | --- | --- | | | xiangwenqian@orientsec.com.cn | | | 执业证书编号:S0860517020003 | | | 香港证监会牌照:BQP120 | | 李雨琪 | 021-63325888-3023 | | | liyuqi@orientsec.com.cn | | | 执业证书编号:S0860520050001 | | | 香港证监会牌照:BQP135 | | 金沐阳 | jinmuyang@orientsec.com.cn | 执业证书编号:S0860525030001 | | | | 阿里发布多款大模型,AI 产业链持续景 | 2025-03-31 | | --- | --- | | 气:——人工智能动态跟踪 2025 年 3 月第 | | | 3 期 | | | GTC 大会重磅发布 ...
贵州茅台:年报点评:业绩符合预期,看好中长期发展-20250408
东方证券· 2025-04-08 10:23
贵州茅台 600519.SH 公司研究 | 年报点评 业绩符合预期,看好中长期发展 核心观点 盈利预测与投资建议 ⚫ 据 24 年年报、25 年年度目标,略下调 25-26 年收入、毛利率。我们预测公司 2025- 2027 年每股收益分别为 73.20、81.42、91.00 元(原预测 25-26 年为 73.25、81.50 元)。我们维持采用 FCFF 估值法,预测目标价为 1853.36 元,维持买入评级。 风险提示:消费复苏不及预期、飞天批价大幅下跌、1935 增量不及预期、品牌力降 低、环境恶化风险。 公司主要财务信息 | | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入(百万元) | 147,694 | 170,899 | 185,322 | 205,199 | 225,778 | | 同比增长 (%) | 19.0% | 15.7% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 10.0% | | 营业利润(百万元) | 103,709 | 119,689 | 126,970 | ...
纺织服装行业动态跟踪:美国消费龙头未来指引谨慎,关注关税推进进度
东方证券· 2025-04-08 10:23
纺织服装行业 行业研究 | 动态跟踪 美国消费龙头未来指引谨慎,关注关税推 进进度 核心观点 投资建议与投资标的 ⚫ 通过观察以上美国消费龙头企业表现,总结来看它们对于未来财年预期大多较为谨 慎,其中关税压力和美国消费客群的消费降级为核心因素。另一方面,沃尔玛、露 露乐檬对于中国市场的表述则更为积极,我们推荐龙头运动服饰品牌公司安踏体育 (02020,买入),建议关注李宁(02331,买入)、特步国际(01368,买入)和滔搏 (06110,增持),同时也中长期看好经营韧性较强、具备全球竞争力的龙头制造企业 申洲国际(02313,买入)、伟星股份(002003,买入)、华利集团(300979,买入) 等。 风险提示:关税、全球经济衰退、地缘政治风险 注:沃尔玛 FY26 财报时间为 2025 年 2 月-2026 年 1 月,塔吉特、露露乐檬和达乐 FY25 财报时间为 2025 年 2 月-2026 年 1 月,耐克 FY25Q4 财报时间为 2025 年 3 月-2025 年 5 月。 国家/地区 中国 行业 纺织服装行业 报告发布日期 2025 年 04 月 08 日 看好(维持) | 施红梅 | 02 ...
京新药业2024年报点评:业绩稳中向好,地达西尼放量可期
东方证券· 2025-04-08 10:23
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price of 13.65 CNY, maintaining the rating from previous assessments [2][4]. Core Insights - The company has shown steady performance with revenue and net profit growth, achieving a revenue of 41.59 billion CNY (up 3.99% year-on-year) and a net profit of 7.12 billion CNY (up 15.04% year-on-year) in the latest report [9]. - The sales structure has been adjusted, and the commercialization and research and development are expected to make progress, particularly with the product Didasyn [7][9]. - The company has successfully entered nearly 600 hospitals with Didasyn and has conducted over 160 academic promotion activities, indicating strong commercial potential [9]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are adjusted to 7.81 billion CNY, 8.91 billion CNY, and 10.49 billion CNY respectively, with an upward adjustment in gross margin [2]. - The company’s gross margin is expected to improve from 50.0% in 2024 to 52.9% by 2027, while net profit margin is projected to increase from 17.1% to 19.6% over the same period [7][12]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 0.83 CNY in 2024 to 1.22 CNY in 2027 [12]. Segment Performance - Finished drug revenue reached 25.22 billion CNY (up 8.42% year-on-year), while raw material drug revenue was 8.76 billion CNY (down 8.37% year-on-year) [9]. - Medical device revenue grew to 6.87 billion CNY (up 7.84% year-on-year), driven by market share gains and international expansion [9]. Market Position and Valuation - The company’s market capitalization is approximately 11.12 billion CNY, with a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 18.0 for 2023, expected to decrease to 10.6 by 2027 [4][12]. - The company is positioned favorably within the pharmaceutical and biotechnology industry in China, with a focus on innovative drug development and commercialization strategies [4][9].
康龙化成(300759):2024年报点评:环比持续改善,新签快速回暖
东方证券· 2025-04-08 09:52
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 24.38 CNY based on a PE valuation method, reflecting a 23x earnings multiple for 2025 [3][12]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 12.276 billion CNY in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 6.4%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 1.793 billion CNY, up 12.0% year-on-year [12]. - The company has shown resilience with stable growth in its core segments, particularly in laboratory services, which generated 7.047 billion CNY in revenue, a 5.8% increase [12]. - New order signings have rebounded significantly, with a year-on-year growth exceeding 20%, indicating strong future revenue potential [12]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: 13.809 billion CNY in 2025, 15.721 billion CNY in 2026, and 17.988 billion CNY in 2027, with respective growth rates of 12.5%, 13.8%, and 14.4% [9]. - The company's net profit is expected to reach 1.893 billion CNY in 2025, 2.287 billion CNY in 2026, and 2.719 billion CNY in 2027, with growth rates of 5.6%, 20.8%, and 18.8% respectively [9]. - The earnings per share (EPS) forecast is 1.06 CNY for 2025, 1.29 CNY for 2026, and 1.53 CNY for 2027 [9]. Market Position and Competitive Landscape - The company operates in the pharmaceutical and biotechnology industry, facing increasing competition but also benefiting from a recovering investment environment in the sector [12]. - The integrated platform model of the company is expected to enhance its ability to meet global pharmaceutical innovation demands, supporting long-term growth [12].
恒瑞医药(600276):创新发力,国际化快速推进
东方证券· 2025-04-08 09:27
创新发力,国际化快速推进 ——恒瑞医药 2024 年报点评 核心观点 盈利预测与投资建议 ⚫ 我们预计 2025-26 年 EPS 为 1.06/1.17 元(原预测值分别为 1.03/1.21 元),新增预 测 2027 年 EPS 为 1.42 元。根据 PE 估值法及可比公司估值水平,给予公司 2025 年 53 倍市盈率,对应目标价为 56.18 元,维持"买入"评级。 风险提示 ⚫ 创新药研发不及预期的风险,创新药销售不及预期的风险,仿制药进入集采的风 险。 公司主要财务信息 | | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入(百万元) | 22,820 | 27,985 | 31,684 | 35,553 | 40,900 | | 同比增长 (%) | 7.3% | 22.6% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 15.0% | | 营业利润(百万元) | 4,910 | 7,491 | 7,808 | 8,643 | 10,425 | | 同比增长 (%) | 19.4% ...